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SEPTEMBER 21, 2010<br />

ANALYSIS<br />

Table of Contents:<br />

CORPORATE PROFILE 1<br />

SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE AND<br />

MAN<strong>AG</strong>EMENT STRATEGY 2<br />

KEY RATING CONSIDERATIONS 4<br />

BUSINESS RISK FACTORS 6<br />

FINANCIAL RISK FACTORS 8<br />

DEBT STRUCTURE AND GROUP<br />

FINANCING 12<br />

LIQUIDITY 12<br />

MOODY’S RELATED RESEARCH 12<br />

Analyst Contacts:<br />

FRANKFURT 49.69.70730.700<br />

Stanislas Duquesnoy 49.69.70730.781<br />

Assistant Vice President-Analyst<br />

Stanislas.Duquesnoy@moodys.com<br />

Max Huefner 49.69.70730.783<br />

Associate Analyst<br />

Max.Huefner@moodys.com<br />

LONDON 44.20.7772.5454<br />

David G. Staples 44.20.7772.5593<br />

Managing Director-Corporate Finance<br />

David.Staples@moodys.com<br />

This Analysis provides an in-depth discussion<br />

of credit rating(s) for <strong>Evonik</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> <strong>AG</strong><br />

and should be read in conjunction with<br />

Moody’s most recent Credit Opinion and<br />

rating information available on Moody's<br />

website.<br />

<strong>Evonik</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> <strong>AG</strong><br />

Essen, Germany<br />

Corporate Profile<br />

GLOBAL CORPORATE FINANCE<br />

<strong>Evonik</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> <strong>AG</strong>, headquartered in Essen, Germany (Ba1, Stable outlook), is the<br />

holding company of the <strong>Evonik</strong> Group (EI, <strong>Evonik</strong> or the group), an industrial<br />

conglomerate encompassing chemicals, energy and real estate businesses. While the roots of<br />

EI date back to 1843, the group in its current legal form was established in 2007, when the<br />

so-called “white division” of R<strong>AG</strong> <strong>AG</strong> was separated from the mining activities of the group<br />

and incorporated under EI. <strong>Evonik</strong> is majority-owned by R<strong>AG</strong>-Stiftung, which was set up to<br />

fund liabilities relating to the termination of R<strong>AG</strong>’s mining activities until 2018. Funds of<br />

the financial investor CVC Capital Partners acquired a 25.01% stake in EI in 2008.<br />

EI reported revenues of €13.1 billion and EBITDA of €2 billion for the fiscal year-ended<br />

(FYE) 31 December 2009. The group employed 38,681 people at FYE 2009.<br />

FIGURE 1<br />

2009 Sales by segments<br />

Energy<br />

20%<br />

Real Estate<br />

3%<br />

Source: Company reports<br />

Services &<br />

Corporate<br />

1%<br />

Chemicals<br />

76%<br />

EBITDA and EBITDA margin by segment (2009)<br />

EBITDA in € million<br />

1,700<br />

1,500<br />

1,300<br />

1,100<br />

900<br />

700<br />

500<br />

300<br />

100<br />

16.1%<br />

Source: Company reports<br />

16.3%<br />

48.4%<br />

Chemicals Energy Real Estate


2 SEPTEMBER 21, 2010<br />

GLOBAL CORPORATE FINANCE<br />

Chemicals: <strong>Evonik</strong>’s chemicals business is one of the world’s leading specialty chemicals enterprises,<br />

with approx. 80% of revenues generated from products that hold top three market positions globally.<br />

The group’s chemicals portfolio is widespread, ranging from commoditised chemical applications in its<br />

industrial chemicals business to more stable and higher-margin applications in its health & nutrition<br />

sub-segment. EI also benefits from “Verbund” structures in silicon, its C4 chemistry business,<br />

isophorone and Methylmetacrylates (MMA), which offers better control over supplies and higher<br />

margins. EI’s chemicals portfolio is geared towards a wide array of end industries, including<br />

automotive, construction, food, pharmaceuticals, home & personal care, and oil & gas.<br />

Energy: EI’s energy business is the fifth-largest power producer on a basis of long-term contracts in<br />

Germany, with 10,201 MW of installed capacity in 2009, albeit with limited market share compared<br />

with the four largest players (RWE, Eon, Vattenfall and EnBW). EI primarily operates coal-powered<br />

power plants and its installed power generation capacity is split approximately 80%/20% between its<br />

domestic market and international locations (Turkey, Colombia and the Philippines). Besides its<br />

generation activities, <strong>Evonik</strong> also provides engineering expertise in the construction of power plants.<br />

The group is currently seeking to divest a stake in its energy business.<br />

Real Estate: With around 60,000 units (as per end of 2009) in the largest German state, North Rhine-<br />

Westphalia (NRW), EI’s real estate business is one of Germany’s largest residential real estate<br />

companies. EI also holds a 50% stake in THS, which owns approx. 73,000 residential units. In the<br />

medium term, EI is seeking to spin off its real estate business.<br />

Shareholder Structure and Management Strategy<br />

On 8 November 2007, Germany’s lower house of parliament approved the proposed coal mining<br />

financing legislation. This constituted a key milestone in a process that would ultimately lead to the<br />

complete discontinuation of the country’s hard-coal mining activities by the end of 2018, in line with<br />

the agreement made in February 2008 on a compromise between the German federal government, the<br />

states of NRW and Saarland, R<strong>AG</strong> <strong>AG</strong> and the IG BCE trade union. As part of the reorganisation<br />

process necessary to implement the compromise, the R<strong>AG</strong> group was sold to R<strong>AG</strong>-Stiftung, a<br />

foundation set up under German civil law. Subsequently, all of its non-coal businesses, which are held<br />

by EI, were separated from the subsidised hard-coal mining operations conducted by Deutsche<br />

Steinkohle <strong>AG</strong> (DSK). In July 2010, the European Commission approved a proposal for a regulation<br />

to allow state subsidies for loss-making coal mines only if plans for a closure by October 2014 are<br />

presented. In order to align the different time schedules negotiations between the involved parties will<br />

follow.If executed as proposed, the decision by the European Commission could increase pressure on<br />

R<strong>AG</strong>-Stiftung to fund mining liabilities four years earlier than initially anticipated.<br />

R<strong>AG</strong>-Stiftung owns 74.99% of EI, with the remaining stake owned by CVC. In order to raise the<br />

necessary funds to wind down the hard-coal mining activities, R<strong>AG</strong> Stiftung accumulates cash from<br />

dividends. Moody’s understands that it is the shareholders’ intention to sell their stakes through an<br />

initial public offering (IPO), notwithstanding that R<strong>AG</strong>-Stiftung would most likely keep a minority<br />

stake in EI post-IPO.<br />

ANALYSIS: EVONIK INDUSTRIES <strong>AG</strong>


3 SEPTEMBER 21, 2010<br />

FIGURE 2<br />

Shareholder structure of <strong>Evonik</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> <strong>AG</strong><br />

¹ domination and profit-and-loss transfer agreement<br />

Source: <strong>Evonik</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> <strong>AG</strong><br />

Stronger focus on EI’s chemicals operations ...<br />

GLOBAL CORPORATE FINANCE<br />

Following a strategic review of the group’s operations and market opportunities at the end of fiscal<br />

year (FY) 2009, EI is currently in the transition from its conglomerate structure to becoming a focused<br />

chemicals company, paying specific attention to trends such as resource efficiency, health & nutrition<br />

and globalisation of technologies. In order to improve the breadth and strength of the group’s<br />

chemicals portfolio, EI will aim to reduce its exposure to energy and real estate.<br />

The group is well advanced in the process to sell a stake in its energy business, with potential bidders<br />

having submitted non-binding offers in a second round of bidding. Proceeds from a sale are likely to<br />

be kept in the group and used both to reduce leverage and to fund development projects at the<br />

chemicals division through a combination of organic and external growth initiatives.<br />

EI is considering a possible listing for the real estate business or the sale of a minority stake in the<br />

business in order to reduce its exposure to real estate. However, in the meantime, EI is likely to merge<br />

its real estate operations with THS. This entity owns around 73,000 units in NRW and is 50%<br />

controlled by EI and 50% by labour union (Vermögensverwaltungs- und Treuhandgesellschaft der<br />

Industriegewerkschaft Bergbau und Energie mbh (IGBCE), Hannover).<br />

... and continued attention to cost optimisation ...<br />

CVC Funds R<strong>AG</strong>-Stiftung<br />

100% 1<br />

25.01%<br />

<strong>Evonik</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> <strong>AG</strong><br />

<strong>Evonik</strong> Degussa GmbH<br />

<strong>Evonik</strong> Steag GmbH<br />

<strong>Evonik</strong> Immobilien<br />

GmbH<br />

<strong>Evonik</strong> Services GmbH<br />

Directly and<br />

indirectly 74.99%<br />

In early 2009, EI launched a cost optimisation programme, “On Track”, with the aim of reducing<br />

annual costs sustainable by €500 million by FY 2012. This programme is broad-based and focuses on<br />

operational improvements, administrative and corporate centre costs, shared services costs, and<br />

sourcing. EI is progressing well with the implementation of the programme, with more than one<br />

quarter of sustainable savings achieved at the end of FY 2009. It is also likely that EI will achieve<br />

savings slightly exceeding €550 million, which is higher than initially anticipated.<br />

ANALYSIS: EVONIK INDUSTRIES <strong>AG</strong>


4 SEPTEMBER 21, 2010<br />

GLOBAL CORPORATE FINANCE<br />

... should pave the way for a successful IPO in the medium term<br />

The ultimate target of EI is to float the business in an IPO, as this option would allow both<br />

shareholders to fulfil their strategic objectives. CVC could exit its investment in the medium term and<br />

R<strong>AG</strong>-Stiftung could raise proceeds necessary to fund liabilities arising from the discontinuation of<br />

Germany’s hard-coal mining operations. Moody’s believes that the successful implementation of EI’s<br />

strategy focused on the development of its chemicals franchise will support a successful IPO.<br />

All in all, EI’s corporate strategy is sensible and should be supportive of the group’s credit profile, in<br />

Moody’s view. The divestment proceeds from the sale of a stake in the energy business will be used to<br />

reduce EI’s leverage and should enable the group to strengthen its chemicals franchise. Moody’s<br />

considers EI’s focus on its chemicals franchise to be positive, as the group lacks critical mass in energy<br />

and already has an excellent platform for growth in chemicals, with leading market positions in most<br />

of its chemicals end markets. Moody’s also notes that a more focused group with a strong chemicals<br />

franchise should be easier to float on the stock exchange.<br />

Key Rating Considerations<br />

On September 21, 2010 Moody’s Investors Services has assigned a Ba1 Corporate Family Rating<br />

(CFR) for the group and Probability of Default Rating (PDR) to <strong>Evonik</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> <strong>AG</strong>, the holding<br />

company of a German-based conglomerate encompassing chemicals, energy and real estate businesses.<br />

At the same time, Moody’s has assigned a Ba1 rating to EUR750 million of Senior Unsecured Notes<br />

issued by <strong>Evonik</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> <strong>AG</strong>. The outlook on all ratings is stable. This was the first time that<br />

Moody’s has rated <strong>Evonik</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> <strong>AG</strong>.<br />

Moody’s Ba1 Corporate Family Rating for <strong>Evonik</strong> reflects the group’s (i) strong business profile in<br />

chemicals with leading market positions, large scale, wide end-product and end-market diversity with a<br />

good mix between more cyclical upstream activities and stable specialty applications, (ii) above average<br />

operating margins at the chemicals business supported by the quality and technology content of its<br />

products as well as through a good level of vertical integration through selective ‘Verbund’ structures,<br />

(iii) clear strategic path to focus on the group’s strong chemical division by partial divestments of the<br />

energy and real estate business notwithstanding that the successful implementation of this strategy<br />

bears execution risk, (iv) focus on optimizing its cost structure through the implementation of various<br />

cost initiatives across the businesses to further enhance margin levels notwithstanding that <strong>Evonik</strong><br />

already generates operating margins in excess of most of its European chemicals peers, (v) strong<br />

technology- as well as R&D platform (more than 20% of sales generated from products not older than<br />

five years) allowing for a timely response to customer needs and to new market trends, and (vi) strong<br />

liquidity profile with currently over EUR1.359 billion in cash on balance sheet as well as access to an<br />

undrawn EUR1.5 billion unsecured revolving credit facility.<br />

The rating remains constrained by <strong>Evonik</strong>’s (i) leveraged capital structure if compared to investment<br />

grade chemicals peers, (ii) aggressive dividend policy (payout ratios was around 100% of net income in<br />

FY 2009) which is expected to exert negative pressure on free cash flow generation going forward, (iii)<br />

limited exposure to cyclical customer industries such as automotive and construction notwithstanding<br />

that the group has no specific concentration on any specific industries, customers or products, (iv)<br />

shareholder structure with the cohabitation of a financial investor with a minority stake and a<br />

foundation set up in 2007 to wind down the subsidized coal activities of former R<strong>AG</strong> by 2018, which<br />

might have different strategic interests although the execution of the group’s strategy since the change<br />

in the ownership structure has been smooth and focused.<br />

ANALYSIS: EVONIK INDUSTRIES <strong>AG</strong>


5 SEPTEMBER 21, 2010<br />

GLOBAL CORPORATE FINANCE<br />

The stable outlook assigned to the rating reflects Moody’s expectation that <strong>Evonik</strong> will continue to<br />

focus on deleveraging and will apply discretion in the implementation of its organic growth strategy.<br />

The agency’s expectation is predicated upon a gradual recovery in chemicals demand across all regions<br />

with continued stronger growth patterns anticipated in emerging economies. The strong recovery in<br />

emerging market economies have been the main driver of the recovery in the European Chemicals<br />

industry. The derailing of emerging economies growth and / or a reversal in the recovery of developed<br />

economies, which are concurrently considered as tail risks could invalidate our assumption underlying<br />

the assignment of a stable outlook to <strong>Evonik</strong>.<br />

Continued strong operating performance coupled with prudent balance sheet management and / or<br />

proceeds from asset disposals applied to debt reduction leading to Adjusted Net Debt / EBITDA of<br />

below 3.5x and RCF / Net Debt of above 15% on a sustainable basis would exert positive pressure on<br />

the ratings.<br />

A sharp deterioration in the operating environment and / or shift in the group’s organic and external<br />

growth strategy leading to sustained negative free cash flow generation and / or a deterioration in<br />

Adjusted Net Debt / EBITDA to sustainably above 4.5x would lead to negative pressure on the<br />

ratings. The agency would also expect <strong>Evonik</strong> to maintain RCF / Net Debt in the low double digit to<br />

avert negative pressure on the ratings.<br />

FIGURE 3<br />

Rating factors table as per Moody’s Global Chemical Industry Rating Methodology<br />

EVONIK INDUSTRIES <strong>AG</strong><br />

CHEMICAL INDUSTRY<br />

Factor 1: Business Profile<br />

Aaa Aa A Baa Ba B Caa Ca<br />

a) Business Position Assessment X<br />

Factor 2: Size & Stability<br />

a) Revenue (Billions of US$) X<br />

b) # of Divisions of Equal Size X<br />

c) Stability of EBITDA X<br />

Factor 3: Cost Position<br />

a) EBITDA Margin (3 Yr. Avg.) X<br />

b) ROA - EBIT / Assets (3 Yr. Avg.) X<br />

Factor 4: Leverage / Financial policies<br />

a) Current Debt / Capital X<br />

b) Debt / EBITDA (3 Yr. Avg.) X<br />

Factor 5: Financial Strength<br />

a) EBITDA / Total Interest Expense (3 Yr. Avg.) X<br />

b) Retained Cash Flow / Debt (3 Yr. Avg.) X<br />

c) Free Cash Flow / Debt (3 Yr. Avg.)<br />

Rating:<br />

a) Indicated Rating from Grid X<br />

b) Actual Rating Assigned Ba1<br />

X<br />

ANALYSIS: EVONIK INDUSTRIES <strong>AG</strong>


6 SEPTEMBER 21, 2010<br />

GLOBAL CORPORATE FINANCE<br />

To assess EI, Moody’s has applied its Global Chemical Industry Rating Methodology, published in<br />

December 2009. The methodology contains five key rating factors (Business Profile, Size and Stability,<br />

Cost Position, Management Strategy and Financial Strength), incorporating several sub-factors or<br />

metrics, against which we assign a score to the company. EI’s performance against these factors and<br />

sub-factors is detailed under “Business Risk Factors” and “Financial Risk Factors”, as follows:<br />

Business Risk Factors<br />

The strong business profile of EI is largely supported by its world-leading chemicals franchise<br />

EI’s chemicals business segment, which accounts for 76% of group revenues and 79% of group<br />

EBITDA, is one of the largest and most profitable European specialty chemicals companies, with<br />

around 100 production sites in 28 countries. The products of the chemicals franchise hold marketleading<br />

positions, including in silicas, polyamide 12, super absorbants, Dl-methionine to name a few.<br />

EI is active across the entire value chain of the chemicals industry, with some exposure to commodity<br />

type chemicals (mainly centred around the group’s C4 chemistry expertise), but mainly to specialty<br />

chemicals applications in its consumer specialties and health & nutrition business units (conditioners,<br />

super absorbants, skin cleanser), which carry higher margins. Importantly, EI benefits from Verbund<br />

structures in several of its chemicals product lines (silicon, C4, isophorone and MMA), which enables<br />

the group to control the entire value chain, a key competitive advantage over non-integrated players.<br />

EI’s chemicals franchise is also widely diversified in terms of end markets, with exposure to the food,<br />

pharmaceuticals, healthcare, automotive and aerospace industries among others.<br />

FIGURE 4<br />

Sales by end market for Chemicals (2009)<br />

Source: <strong>Evonik</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> <strong>AG</strong><br />

Home / Personal Care<br />

18%<br />

Other<br />

17%<br />

Automotive<br />

16%<br />

Pharma<br />

4%<br />

Oil & Gas<br />

5%<br />

Construction<br />

7%<br />

Coating<br />

10%<br />

EI’s chemicals business uses raw materials ranging from petrochemicals to some natural oil-based<br />

oleochemicals. Despite the group’s transformation in the past five years to a more specialty-end<br />

chemicals company, approximately 70% of its raw materials are still sensitive to oil prices, albeit to<br />

varying degrees. The chemical division’s main raw materials include C4-crack, carbon black feedstock,<br />

propylene, methanol and acetone.<br />

Food<br />

12%<br />

Plastic<br />

11%<br />

ANALYSIS: EVONIK INDUSTRIES <strong>AG</strong>


7 SEPTEMBER 21, 2010<br />

GLOBAL CORPORATE FINANCE<br />

Raw material costs represent more than 40% of the division’s sales. In 2009, EI benefitted from the<br />

significant decrease in raw material costs which only partly had to be passed on to the customers (sales<br />

price -6%); During H1, the increase in raw material costs (compared to H1 2009) could be<br />

successfully passed on to the customers (sales price +7%)<br />

Energy and real estate businesses offer some level of earnings diversification but have lower, or more volatile,<br />

returns on capital employed<br />

The earnings diversification stemming from EI’s energy and real estate businesses, accounting for 20%<br />

and 3% of group revenues, respectively, is only valid to a certain extent. The group’s energy division is<br />

focused on power generation and has no retail integration. Moody’s notes that most of EI’s power<br />

generation is sold under long-term contracts to other utilities or industrial customers, which means<br />

that it is a more stable business and is relatively less exposed to normal economic cycles. The real estate<br />

business offers very stable earnings and operating cash flows but its contribution to the group’s overall<br />

earnings is relatively limited, with only 9% of group EBITDA generated from this business.<br />

Given the above, EI’s strategy to focus its efforts and resources on its chemicals franchise in future is<br />

sensible, in Moody’s view. This view is supported by our analysis of the group’s returns on capital<br />

employed (ROCE). As illustrated in Figure 5, below, the chemicals division generated ROCE well in<br />

excess of that of the real estate business over the past four years. In addition, ROCE at the group’s<br />

energy business has proven much more volatile than that at the chemicals division.<br />

FIGURE 5<br />

Return on Capital employed by division<br />

ROCE 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />

Chemicals 8.5% 10.1% 9.9% 10.3%<br />

Energy 13.8% 15.3% 13.2% 9.7%<br />

Real Estate 6.6% 8.3% 9.2% 7.3%<br />

The group generates around 61% of sales and has more than 80% of its assets (see Figure 6) in its<br />

traditional European markets. EI’s overweight position in the high-cost regions of Europe and North<br />

America is a disadvantage, particularly in certain sub-sectors of the chemicals industry, in which lowcost<br />

players based in China and India have exacerbated the competitiveness.<br />

FIGURE 6<br />

Geographical breakdown of sales and assets (FYE 2009)<br />

Sales<br />

Segment<br />

Assets<br />

Germany Europe excl. Germany North America Asia Central & South America Other<br />

0%<br />

Source: Company reports<br />

10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%<br />

ANALYSIS: EVONIK INDUSTRIES <strong>AG</strong>


8 SEPTEMBER 21, 2010<br />

GLOBAL CORPORATE FINANCE<br />

Score of A for the “Size and Stability” rating factor reflects the group’s scale and breadth ...<br />

With annual revenues of €13.1 billion (€10.0 billion for its chemicals division), EI is among the largest<br />

European chemical issuers rated by Moody’s. On a more negative note, the group’s energy business<br />

clearly lacks scale and breadth compared with other European multi-utilities. Moody’s expects the size<br />

of the group to remain relatively stable in the short to medium term, given that parts of the proceeds<br />

from a potential sale of a stake in the group’s energy business would be reinvested in the chemicals<br />

franchise while the other part will be applied to debt reduction. We do not expect EI to embark on an<br />

aggressive external expansion strategy as the group’s focus will be on maximising its enterprise value<br />

through organic projects and bolt-on acquisitions ahead of a potential IPO.<br />

... and the stability of its operating margins through the cycle<br />

As referred to above, EI’s diversified chemicals portfolio has proven very stable through the downturn,<br />

with EBITDA margins in FY 2009 exceeding those in the previous year. The group’s real estate<br />

business, albeit dilutive in terms of ROCE, offers earnings and operating cash flow stability through<br />

the cycle. As illustrated in Figure 7, below, EI has been able to sustain healthy and stable operating<br />

margins through the cycle and has outperformed its peers.<br />

FIGURE 7<br />

EBITDA margins of EI in comparison to peers<br />

ADJUSTED EBITDA MARGINS 2007 2008 2009<br />

<strong>Evonik</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> 14.42% 11.93% 13.87%<br />

Lanxess 9.87% 8.53% 7.81%<br />

Akzo Nobel 13.65% 13.77% 13.84%<br />

Clariant 8.79% 8.64% 4.75%<br />

Low Baa score for the “Cost Position” rating factor offers improvement potential in line with the implementation<br />

of EI’s “On Track” programme<br />

While EI already exhibits relatively high margins compared with most of its peers, Moody’s believes<br />

that the strength of the group’s chemicals operations should allow the group to increase its operating<br />

margins going forward. In addition, EI’s implementation of its broad-based cost optimisation<br />

programme, “On Track”, should help EI to retain industry-leading margins in the medium term, in<br />

Moody’s view. As a consequence of EI’s implementation of this cost optimisation programme and a<br />

higher focus on its chemicals operations, the group’s margins could be lifted into the high Baa – low A<br />

range (i.e. around 15% EBITDA margin) through the cycle.<br />

Financial Risk Factors<br />

High pension liabilities and reported financial debt ...<br />

EI’s overall weak Ba positioning for debt leverage rating factors reflects the group’s relatively high<br />

leverage on an adjusted basis. Adjustments for pension liabilities and operating leases accounted for<br />

almost 60% of EI’s adjusted net indebtedness at FYE 2009. While EI has largely focused on reducing<br />

its financial indebtedness over the past 12-18 months (its net reported indebtedness was reduced by<br />

€1.1 billion to €3.4 billion over the past 18 months to 30 June 2010), the group’s debt metrics remain<br />

weaker than those of its direct peers in high non-investment-grade and low-investment-grade territory.<br />

In Moody’s view, EI’s efforts to further reduce its leverage through asset disposals (the group is<br />

ANALYSIS: EVONIK INDUSTRIES <strong>AG</strong>


9 SEPTEMBER 21, 2010<br />

GLOBAL CORPORATE FINANCE<br />

currently in the process of selling a stake in the energy business), with the proceeds to be partly applied<br />

to debt reduction, should help to position the group’s debt metrics in line with an investment-grade<br />

rating over time. Moody’s notes that while pension liabilities are included in its debt adjustments, they<br />

exert less pressure on the capital structure of EI than financial indebtedness, given the absence of<br />

maturities and the lower level of net interest cost carried on these liabilities.<br />

... as well as a relatively aggressive dividend policy result in elevated debt metrics<br />

Moody’s notes that EI has historically returned material amounts of cash to its shareholders through<br />

the payment of sizeable dividends. Payout ratios have averaged more than 100% of the group’s net<br />

income over the past two years. Looking ahead, we expect EI to continue to pay large dividends.<br />

FIGURE 8<br />

EI has weaker credit metrics than its peers [1]<br />

EBITDA/ NET DEBT/<br />

RCF/<br />

FCF/<br />

RATING INTEREST EXP<br />

EBITDA NET DEBT NET DEBT<br />

<strong>Evonik</strong> <strong>Industries</strong> Ba1/sta 3.1x 4.8x 8.8% 10.9%<br />

Lanxess Baa2/sta 3.7x 2.9x 18.4% 19.8%<br />

Clariant Ba1/sta 3.0x 3.4x 26.2% 54.4%<br />

Akzo Nobel Baa1/sta 5.4x 2.1x 20.9% 22.2%<br />

[1] These figures are based on standard adjustments that Moody’s makes to enable global consistency for issuers reporting under IFRS. For details on<br />

these adjustments please refer to our rating methodology document “Moody’s Approach to Global Standard Adjustments in the Analysis of Financial<br />

Statements of Non-Financial Corporations - Part II”, published in February 2006.<br />

Ba score for “Financial Strength” rating factor reflects EI’s solid operating performance despite difficult market<br />

conditions ...<br />

Despite challenging market conditions especially during the first half of fiscal year 2009 with continued<br />

destocking patterns across the chemicals value chain and pressure on prices whilst most chemicals<br />

companies were still absorbing high raw material costs through their P&Ls, EI posted a robust<br />

operating performance. EI’s performance was supported by the strength of its chemicals franchise and<br />

the overall diversity of its business profile with exposure to chemicals, energy and real estate.<br />

In 2009, EI reported a decline in sales of 18% year-on-year to €13.1 billion. Both the group’s<br />

chemicals and energy businesses posted a sharp fall in sales (-15% and -25%, respectively), mainly on<br />

the back of lower volumes (-10% for the chemicals business), but also as a result of lower prices for<br />

the chemicals business (-6% year-on year). The real estate business fared well, with a 1% increase in<br />

revenues year-on-year.<br />

In the same period, EBITDA at the group level was down 6%, to €2.0 billion, lifting the EBITDA<br />

margin by 1.9 percentage points, to 15.5%, thanks to an over-proportional reduction in cost of goods<br />

sold (COGS, -20%) and the group’s implementation of cost-cutting measures including short working<br />

hours, optimised maintenance expenses, reduced external services and the streamlining of<br />

administrative functions. Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) fell by 14%, as EI<br />

maintained a high level of R&D (€300 million) in order not to jeopardise its future developments in<br />

an industry that is evolving rapidly. In terms of divisional EBITDA performance, the chemicals<br />

business proved to be the most resilient through the downturn. This division posted a 1% decline in<br />

EBITDA, lifting its margin by 2.3 percentage points to 16.1%, mainly as a result of cost-cutting<br />

measures in H1 2009 (3,500 employees, or almost 12% of the division’s workforce, were working<br />

short hours) and high operating leverage when volumes improved in H2 2009. Meanwhile, the energy<br />

ANALYSIS: EVONIK INDUSTRIES <strong>AG</strong>


10 SEPTEMBER 21, 2010<br />

GLOBAL CORPORATE FINANCE<br />

and real estate divisions posted a decline in EBITDA of 19% and 16%, respectively, notwithstanding<br />

that the real estate business benefited from a one-off gain on disposals in FY 2008.<br />

For H1 2010, EI reported a 24% year-on-year increase in sales to €7.8 billion, supported by a sharp<br />

improvement in the performance of the group’s chemicals business. The chemicals division posted a<br />

34% increase in revenues, to €6.3 billion, driven by higher volumes (+25%) and prices (+7%).<br />

Currency effects and changes in the scope of consolidation were more or less neutral (+1%<br />

respectively), while the revenues of the energy and real estate businesses were flat to slightly down (-1%<br />

and -3%, respectively). EBITDA was sharply up (+83% to €1.5 billion), again mainly supported by<br />

the chemicals business (+91% to €1.2 billion).<br />

FIGURE 9<br />

Revenues and profitability [1]<br />

€ MILLION 2009 2008 2007<br />

Turnover 13,076 15,873 14,444<br />

Operating Profit 791 898 994<br />

Operating Profit Margin 6.0% 5.7% 6.9%<br />

EBITDA [2] 1,814 1,893 2,083<br />

EBITDA Margin [2] 13.9% 11.9% 14.4%<br />

EBITA/ Average Assets excl. cash [2] 5.4% 5.6% 6.6%<br />

[1] These figures are based on standard adjustments that Moody’s makes to enable global consistency for issuers reporting under IFRS. For details on<br />

these adjustments, please refer to our rating methodology document “Moody’s Approach to Global Standard Adjustments in the Analysis of Financial<br />

Statements of Non-Financial Corporations – Part II”, published in February 2006.<br />

[2] EBITDA/EBITA computed as defined in Moody’s Global Chemical Industry Rating Methodology, published in February 2006.<br />

... and the management’s efforts to improve the group’s cost structure and cash flow generation<br />

EI rapidly adjusted to deteriorating market conditions at the end of FY 2008, as evidenced by the costcutting<br />

initiatives that the group launched to protects its earnings. The measures implemented were<br />

mainly centred on shortened working hours, reduced variable salary payments, reduction in external<br />

services and on the streamlining of administrative functions. EI achieved costs savings of more than<br />

€500 million during the course of 2009, of which more than one quarter was of a sustainable nature<br />

and will be retained. In addition to temporary measures to adjust to depressed market conditions EI<br />

has also launched a cost optimisation programme, “On Track” which aims to achieve annual<br />

sustainable cost savings of €500 million per annum by 2012. As referred to in the “Management<br />

Strategy” section, this programme will be focused on the entire value chain, with savings targeted in<br />

operations, corporate centre, administration, shared services, insurance and sourcing. The group’s<br />

various restructuring and cost-cutting measures led to a P&L charge of €103 million in 2009.<br />

Besides implementing short-term and sustainable cost-savings measures, EI has been focusing on<br />

protecting its cash flows through the increased control of working capital and capital expenditures<br />

(capex). EI managed to reduce its net working capital from €3.2 billion in December 2008 to around<br />

€2.3 billion in December 2009, and reduced its NWC/sales ratio, respectively the days of net working<br />

capital, significantly. The group has also reduced capex by 33%, to €834 million.<br />

In 2009, EI exhibited mixed results with regard to cash flow generation. EI’s funds from operations<br />

(FFO) and retained cash flow (RCF) were under pressure due to the group’s weaker operating<br />

performance, falling by 18% to €1.1 billion and by 21% to €760 million, respectively. The group’s<br />

ANALYSIS: EVONIK INDUSTRIES <strong>AG</strong>


11 SEPTEMBER 21, 2010<br />

GLOBAL CORPORATE FINANCE<br />

cash flow from operations (CFO) and FCF improved year-on-year, reflecting both company-specific<br />

measures to reduce capex, working capital days and volumes, which resulted in material working<br />

capital inflows (€1,230 net working capital inflow in 2009). As a result, EI’s FCF/net debt ratio<br />

(10.9%) exceeded its RCF/net debt ratio (8.8%).<br />

Going forward, Moody’s expects EI’s debt and cash flow metrics to improve as a result of: (i) moderate<br />

organic de-leveraging (FCF is expected to be slightly positive in 2010); (ii) asset disposals (EI is in advanced<br />

negotiations on the sale of a stake in its energy business); and (iii) improved operating performance and cash<br />

flow generation (before working capital movements). While Moody’s anticipates some of the proceeds from<br />

assets disposals being reinvested in the business, we believe that the management of the group will apply<br />

discretion in the reallocation of proceeds to ensure that it further improves its balance sheet structure and<br />

achieves an investment-grade financial profile in the medium term.<br />

FIGURE 10<br />

Cash flow and coverage ratios [1]<br />

€ MILLION 2009 2008 2007<br />

Funds from Operations (FFO) 1,101 1,338 1,369<br />

Cash Flow from Operations 2,191 471 1,277<br />

(FFO + Interest expense)/ Interest Expense 2.9x 2.5x 3.0x<br />

Retained Cash Flow (pre-WC) 760 958 1,073<br />

Free Cash Flow 944 -1,157 -149<br />

[1] These figures are based on standard adjustments that Moody’s makes to enable global consistency for issuers reporting under IFRS. For details on<br />

these adjustments, please refer to our rating methodology document “Moody’s Approach to Global Standard Adjustments in the Analysis of Financial<br />

Statements of Non-Financial Corporations – Part II”, published in February 2006.<br />

FIGURE 11<br />

Leverage and liquidity [1]<br />

€ MILLION 2009 2008 2007<br />

Short-Term Debt 455 1,008 942<br />

Long-Term Debt 4,040 4,394 3,752<br />

Total Debt 4,495 5,402 4,694<br />

Cash & Marketable Securities 885 542 349<br />

Net Debt 3,610 4,860 4,345<br />

Net Debt Adjustments:<br />

Underfunded Pensions 4,193 3,864 3,968<br />

Operating leases 876 750 558<br />

Contingent Liabilities/Other -26 -177 -181<br />

Net Adjusted Debt 8,653 9,297 8,690<br />

RCF 760 958 1,073<br />

FCF 944 -1,157 -149<br />

RCF/Net Adj. Debt 8.8% 10.3% 12.3%<br />

FCF/Net Adjusted Debt 10.9% -12.4% -1.7%<br />

[1] These figures are based on standard adjustments that Moody’s makes to enable global consistency for issuers reporting under IFRS. For details on<br />

these adjustments, please refer to the rating methodology document “Moody’s Approach to Global Standard Adjustments in the Analysis of Financial<br />

Statements of Non-Financial Corporations – Part II”, published in February 2006.<br />

ANALYSIS: EVONIK INDUSTRIES <strong>AG</strong>


12 SEPTEMBER 21, 2010<br />

Debt Structure and Group Financing<br />

GLOBAL CORPORATE FINANCE<br />

The debt structure of EI reflects the group’s relatively short history as well as its conglomerate<br />

structure, encompassing the previously independent operating companies. Therefore, the group’s<br />

financing comprises a mixture of debt instruments raised at the parent company level (a €1.5 billion<br />

unsecured syndicated revolving credit facility signed in June 2010 and a €750 million senior unsecured<br />

bond) and at operating subsidiary level (a €1.25 billion senior unsecured bond issued by <strong>Evonik</strong><br />

Degussa GmbH, ca. €1.2 billion worth of non-recourse project financing in the energy business and<br />

ca. €500 million worth of mortgage-backed real estate loans in the real estate business). The absence of<br />

notching of the €750 million senior unsecured bond from the CFR reflects Moody’s expectation that:<br />

(i) EI will increasingly act as the central funding entity for the group, providing liquidity to operating<br />

subsidiaries through intra-group cash pooling arrangements; and (ii) new debt will be mainly raised at<br />

the parent company level, thereby reducing the structural subordination from legacy debt located at<br />

the operating subsidiary level.<br />

EI has access to a €1.5 billion undrawn unsecured revolver signed in June 2010 with three tranches<br />

maturing in 2012, 2013 and 2015. The facility contains financial covenants with ample headroom.<br />

EI benefits from a comfortable maturity profile with no major maturities before FY 2013, when the<br />

€1.25 billion senior unsecured bond at <strong>Evonik</strong> Degussa GmbH matures.<br />

Liquidity<br />

EI’s liquidity position is strong. The group’s liquidity is supported by large cash balances (EUR1,359<br />

million at 30 th June 2010) and access to a EUR1.5 billion unsecured syndicated revolving credit<br />

facility (undrawn at 30 th June 2010). Operating cash outlays for the coming twelve months, which<br />

comprise mainly capital expenditures, working capital, dividends are expected to be largely covered by<br />

operating cash flows.<br />

Moody’s Related Research<br />

Industry Outlook:<br />

» North American and EMEA Chemicals Stable as Industrial Demand Strengthens, May 2010<br />

(125347)<br />

Rating Methodologies:<br />

» Moody’s Approach to Global Standard Adjustments in the Analysis of Financial Statements of<br />

Non-Financial Corporations – Part II”, February 2006 (96729)<br />

» Global Chemical Industry, December 2009 (121271)<br />

To access any of these reports, click on the entry above. Note that these references are current as of the date of publication of<br />

this report and that more recent reports may be available. All research may not be available to all clients.<br />

ANALYSIS: EVONIK INDUSTRIES <strong>AG</strong>


13 SEPTEMBER 21, 2010<br />

Report Number: 127540<br />

Authors<br />

Stanislas Duquesnoy<br />

Max Huefner<br />

Senior Production Associate<br />

Wendy Kroeker<br />

GLOBAL CORPORATE FINANCE<br />

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ANALYSIS: EVONIK INDUSTRIES <strong>AG</strong>

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