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Lanzarote: el papel de la crisis - Fundación César Manrique

Lanzarote: el papel de la crisis - Fundación César Manrique

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at the same time that oil imports are <strong>de</strong>creased? What would be the repercussions for <strong>Lanzarote</strong><br />

of a possible <strong>crisis</strong> in oil prices and supplies? Clearly, <strong>Lanzarote</strong> will not be immune to what may<br />

happen in the future to energy <strong>de</strong>rived from oil (and even from gas). On this will <strong>de</strong>pend the to<br />

be or not to be of the is<strong>la</strong>nd of <strong>Lanzarote</strong> as we know it today.<br />

Given the limited resources of oil and gas and the present high consumption rates (which will<br />

rise as more countries reach a higher lev<strong>el</strong> of conventional <strong>de</strong>v<strong>el</strong>opment), it may be stated<br />

without hesitation that the <strong>de</strong>ca<strong>de</strong> of the year 2010 to the year 2020 will mark the<br />

commencement of the final phase of these fu<strong>el</strong>s. The first symptoms will be consi<strong>de</strong>rable rises<br />

in prices and all manner of political turmoil, leading to the onset of a period of ever-greater<br />

scarcity.<br />

For <strong>Lanzarote</strong>, the repercussions will be far from negligible on account of the major role<br />

p<strong>la</strong>yed by fu<strong>el</strong>s in the full spectrum of the is<strong>la</strong>nd’s activities. Not only would prices of goods<br />

and services (including water) increase but, more seriously, the cost of transport for tourists<br />

coming to the is<strong>la</strong>nd would also rise, meaning in practical terms that <strong>Lanzarote</strong> would<br />

progressiv<strong>el</strong>y become further removed from the continent of Europe. This would, in the main,<br />

affect the present mod<strong>el</strong> of mass, short-stay tourism, where the transport factor accounts<br />

for over 40 p.c. of the total tourism package.<br />

Bearing in mind the evolution of the popu<strong>la</strong>tion of Europe (the progressive ageing process)<br />

and new work habits and requirements (more free time, shorter working life, the possibility<br />

of working from anywhere in the world, etc.), the most a<strong>de</strong>quate response to this presumed<br />

energy <strong>crisis</strong> could consist of endowing <strong>Lanzarote</strong> with a new mod<strong>el</strong> of tourism. The mod<strong>el</strong><br />

would be based on the is<strong>la</strong>nd’s own energy resources so as to cut back the energy costs of<br />

the goods and services produced there and on longer average stays on the part of the visitor<br />

so as to reduce the cost of transport in the total package.<br />

From the point of view of energy, this entails the intensive use of energy resources <strong>de</strong>rived<br />

mainly from the sun and the wind and the wi<strong>de</strong>spread introduction of energy-saving systems<br />

in all possible applications.<br />

The intensive use of so<strong>la</strong>r, photovoltaic and thermal energy would lessen consi<strong>de</strong>rably the<br />

<strong>de</strong>pen<strong>de</strong>nce on oil for lighting, refrigeration and the heating of water, while the <strong>la</strong>rge-scale<br />

use of wind energy could mean that the total supply of the entire is<strong>la</strong>nd’s drinking water<br />

would be supplied without having resort to oil, not forgetting the growing possibility of<br />

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