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成本效益分析於公共政策的應用 - 臺灣大學圖書館*公開取用電子書

成本效益分析於公共政策的應用 - 臺灣大學圖書館*公開取用電子書

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298 行政管理論文選輯(第十七輯)<br />

地震機率<br />

裝設%<br />

表五、人命價值 420 萬時在不同地震發生機率下<br />

不同的裝設率所獲致的社會淨效益(單位:億元)<br />

假設一條人命=420 萬元時<br />

P=100% P=1/10 P=1/100 P=1/1000 P=1/10000 P=0<br />

100% 1,346.47 106.18 -17.85 -30.25 -31.49 -31.63<br />

95% 1,279.15 100.87 -16.96 -28.74 -29.92 -30.05<br />

90% 1,211.82 95.56 -16.07 -27.23 -28.34 -28.47<br />

85% 1,144.50 90.25 -15.17 -25.72 -26.77 -26.89<br />

80% 1,077.18 84.94 -14.28 -24.20 -25.20 -25.31<br />

75% 1,009.85 79.63 -13.39 -22.69 -23.62 -23.72<br />

70% 942.53 74.32 -12.50 -21.18 -22.05 -22.14<br />

65% 875.20 69.02 -11.60 -19.67 -20.47 -20.56<br />

60% 807.88 63.71 -10.71 -18.15 -18.90 -18.98<br />

55% 740.56 58.40 -9.82 -16.64 -17.32 -17.40<br />

50% 673.23 53.09 -8.93 -15.13 -15.75 -15.82<br />

45% 605.91 47.78 -8.03 -13.61 14.17 -14.23<br />

40% 538.59 42.47 -7.14 -12.10 -12.60 -12.65<br />

35% 471.26 37.16 -6.25 -10.59 -11.02 -11.07<br />

30% 403.94 31.85 -5.36 -9.08 -9.45 -9.49<br />

25% 336.62 26.54 -4.46 -7.56 -7.87 -7.91<br />

20% 269.29 21.24 -3.57 -6.05 -6.30 -6.33<br />

15% 201.97 15.93 -2.68 -4.54 -4.72 -4.74<br />

10% 134.65 10.62 -1.79 -3.03 -3.15 -3.16<br />

5% 67.32 5.31 -0.89 -1.51 -1.57 -1.58<br />

0% 0 0 0 0 0 0

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