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Pakistan-India Trade:

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PoliCY reCoMMendaTions<br />

Kalpana Kochhar and Ejaz Ghani<br />

The results of the general equilibrium simulation indicate <strong>Pakistan</strong>’s<br />

granting of MFN to <strong>India</strong> would generate larger benefits if supported by<br />

improved connectivity and trade facilitation. The net economic impacts<br />

of SAFTA along with trade facilitation are beneficial to both <strong>Pakistan</strong><br />

and <strong>India</strong>, and eventually would lead to stronger economic growth for<br />

the region on the whole. Moving forward, policymakers need to give<br />

more emphasis to two Is—integration and investment.<br />

Recommendation 1: Integration<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> policy remains a key instrument for greater market integration.<br />

Although average trade tariff rates have come down in both <strong>India</strong> and<br />

<strong>Pakistan</strong>, tariff dispersion remains high. High tariff rates still persist on<br />

some major products. In addition to rationalizing import duties, policymakers<br />

should eliminate regulatory duties and other para-tariffs, along<br />

with several other restrictive measures that have limited trade in the past.<br />

Despite the fall in average tariffs, the trade restrictiveness of both<br />

<strong>India</strong> and <strong>Pakistan</strong> has been heavily triggered by the large volume of<br />

non-tariff barriers (NTBs). In promoting trade between <strong>India</strong> and<br />

<strong>Pakistan</strong>, the major stumbling block is the presence of such NTBs; a list<br />

of such NTBs is provided below (more details are available from De,<br />

Raihan, and Ghani 2012).<br />

• Subsidies: <strong>India</strong> provides abundant subsidies to agricultural producers<br />

and consumers; <strong>Pakistan</strong> provides excessive subsidies for<br />

wheat, cotton, fertilizers, and power.<br />

• <strong>Trade</strong> procedures: Some <strong>India</strong>n banks do not recognize letters of<br />

credit from <strong>Pakistan</strong>i banks, and vice versa.<br />

• Visa regimes: Very restrictive on both sides, with only one port of<br />

entry and exit. The visa regime on <strong>India</strong>’s side is unpredictable,<br />

city-specific, single-entry, and limited to a few days.<br />

• Air travel: Very limited; only a few flights.<br />

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