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PoliCY reCoMMendaTions<br />
Kalpana Kochhar and Ejaz Ghani<br />
The results of the general equilibrium simulation indicate <strong>Pakistan</strong>’s<br />
granting of MFN to <strong>India</strong> would generate larger benefits if supported by<br />
improved connectivity and trade facilitation. The net economic impacts<br />
of SAFTA along with trade facilitation are beneficial to both <strong>Pakistan</strong><br />
and <strong>India</strong>, and eventually would lead to stronger economic growth for<br />
the region on the whole. Moving forward, policymakers need to give<br />
more emphasis to two Is—integration and investment.<br />
Recommendation 1: Integration<br />
<strong>Trade</strong> policy remains a key instrument for greater market integration.<br />
Although average trade tariff rates have come down in both <strong>India</strong> and<br />
<strong>Pakistan</strong>, tariff dispersion remains high. High tariff rates still persist on<br />
some major products. In addition to rationalizing import duties, policymakers<br />
should eliminate regulatory duties and other para-tariffs, along<br />
with several other restrictive measures that have limited trade in the past.<br />
Despite the fall in average tariffs, the trade restrictiveness of both<br />
<strong>India</strong> and <strong>Pakistan</strong> has been heavily triggered by the large volume of<br />
non-tariff barriers (NTBs). In promoting trade between <strong>India</strong> and<br />
<strong>Pakistan</strong>, the major stumbling block is the presence of such NTBs; a list<br />
of such NTBs is provided below (more details are available from De,<br />
Raihan, and Ghani 2012).<br />
• Subsidies: <strong>India</strong> provides abundant subsidies to agricultural producers<br />
and consumers; <strong>Pakistan</strong> provides excessive subsidies for<br />
wheat, cotton, fertilizers, and power.<br />
• <strong>Trade</strong> procedures: Some <strong>India</strong>n banks do not recognize letters of<br />
credit from <strong>Pakistan</strong>i banks, and vice versa.<br />
• Visa regimes: Very restrictive on both sides, with only one port of<br />
entry and exit. The visa regime on <strong>India</strong>’s side is unpredictable,<br />
city-specific, single-entry, and limited to a few days.<br />
• Air travel: Very limited; only a few flights.<br />
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