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Moving Toward <strong>Pakistan</strong>-<strong>India</strong> <strong>Trade</strong> Normalization: An Overview<br />
minds of our exporters who, to this day, generally believe that <strong>India</strong> does<br />
not welcome exports from <strong>Pakistan</strong>.<br />
In 1998, nuclear tests were conducted by <strong>India</strong>, and <strong>Pakistan</strong> followed<br />
suit. Political relations between the two countries became tense.<br />
The war in Kargil the following year further soured already frayed political<br />
ties. Fortunately, however, the serious friction in political relations<br />
did not disrupt trade relations in any significant manner.<br />
In 2002, <strong>Pakistan</strong>’s private sector got another jolt. When <strong>Pakistan</strong>’s<br />
exporters were given a concessionary package by the EU, <strong>India</strong> promptly<br />
filed a case with the WTO. It is important to emphasize here that<br />
<strong>Pakistan</strong>’s exporters suffered when <strong>Pakistan</strong> became a partner in the war<br />
on terror, and in fact they became a victim of that war. Immediately<br />
after the sad day of 9/11, <strong>Pakistan</strong> became a war zone, and the cost of<br />
<strong>Pakistan</strong>’s exports went up because of increases in insurance premiums.<br />
Buyers were demanding air-liftings of samples and inventories to third<br />
countries. Exporters started facing problems in obtaining visas. It was<br />
while <strong>Pakistan</strong>i exporters were facing these challenges that <strong>India</strong> filed<br />
the case against the EU package. This hostile act further strengthened<br />
the <strong>Pakistan</strong>i private sector’s perception of <strong>India</strong> as the “enemy.”<br />
reCenT deVeloPMenTs<br />
In January 2004, the governments of <strong>India</strong> and <strong>Pakistan</strong> announced the<br />
start of a Composite Dialogue process. <strong>Trade</strong> relations were one of the<br />
areas of focus. Four rounds were held between 2004 and 2007:<br />
a. First Round (August 8, 2004, Islamabad)<br />
b. Second Round (August 9–10, 2005, New Delhi)<br />
c. Third Round (March 28–29, 2006, Islamabad)<br />
d. Fourth Round (July 31–August 1, 2007, New Delhi)<br />
The rounds were not very productive. There was only incremental<br />
progress. When in January 2011, I was told by our foreign minister that<br />
trade had been included as a track in the Composite Dialogue, I studied<br />
the minutes of these four rounds. To my surprise, the minutes of the<br />
Composite Dialogue made no mention of complete normalization of<br />
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