Chiropractic 2025:
Chiropractic 2025:
Chiropractic 2025:
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Introduction<br />
<strong>Chiropractic</strong> <strong>2025</strong>: Divergent Futures<br />
Where will the chiropractic profession in the United States be 12 years from now? This <strong>Chiropractic</strong> <strong>2025</strong>: Divergent<br />
Futures report by the Institute for Alternative Futures (IAF) presents scenarios that provide four different answers<br />
to that question. The <strong>2025</strong> scenarios reflect the opportunities and challenges for chiropractic in the U.S. given our<br />
assessment of developments within both the chiropractic field and the broader context of health, science, technology,<br />
and society. The scenarios invite deliberation about which futures are more likely and which are more preferred by<br />
chiropractors.<br />
Viewed from 2013, the future of chiropractic remains fascinating and uncertain. <strong>Chiropractic</strong> as a uniquely American<br />
invention has persisted and grown worldwide despite organized suppression. In fact, chiropractic has become a<br />
global force. More and more countries, including Denmark and Switzerland, are granting legal recognition for<br />
the practice of chiropractic, and accept the profession as a member of government-sponsored health care delivery<br />
programs. There are now more schools of chiropractic located outside the United States than within it. <strong>Chiropractic</strong><br />
has also become a recognized and accepted health profession at the World Health Organization. International<br />
educational standards are being adopted across various accreditation agencies. Regulatory bodies are working to<br />
remove the impediments to practitioner mobility between jurisdictions. <strong>Chiropractic</strong> research is advancing as well in<br />
the U.S. and in countries around the world.<br />
The entrepreneurial spirit of chiropractors, fractures within the chiropractic community, and isolation from and<br />
oppression by organized medicine have all left chiropractors largely independent and separated from health care<br />
provider systems. As chiropractors were included in health insurance coverage in the 1980s, chiropractors enjoyed a<br />
brief period of relatively unrestricted, well-paid patient visits and many earned high incomes. However, a tightening<br />
of both reimbursement levels and allowable visits followed. With the rise of managed care in the 1990s—and later<br />
managed access to chiropractic services—chiropractors have seen their incomes, on average, fall further. Now,<br />
with the implementation of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2010, “value” is being redefined<br />
and measured in new ways; primary care is shifting from largely solo and small group physician practices to<br />
multidisciplinary teams; and provider organizations are shifting from fee-for-service to bundled payments, risk<br />
sharing, or capitation. These are among the major changes in health care that chiropractic is facing.<br />
Differences among chiropractors are also important. There is great diversity of practice styles and philosophies<br />
within the chiropractic profession. For this report, we will use an awkward but serviceable division of chiropractic<br />
into three communities (defined more specifically in Appendix 2): focused-scope, middle-scope, and broad-scope<br />
chiropractors. While there are differences within each of these, critical parts of chiropractic’s future will be shaped by<br />
how each community evolves and interacts with the other two.<br />
About 10% of chiropractors (“broad-scope”) focus on primary care or specialties dealing with a range of conditions<br />
beyond the spine. Many in this latter group want to broaden their practice rights further to include prescribing rights.<br />
They have been trying for years to do so and in 2013, it appears they may win this battle in a few states.<br />
At the other end of the spectrum, 10-15% of chiropractors (“focused-scope”) correct subluxations in the spine to free<br />
the body’s self-healing capacity. Some argue that they do not “treat conditions” but only fix problems with the spine<br />
2