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The Nation's Responses To Flood Disasters: A Historical Account

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<strong>The</strong> 1930s to the 1960s: Broadening Solutions to the Nation’s <strong>Flood</strong> Problems 19<br />

<strong>The</strong> flood hazard information developed by TVA for the early reports included<br />

data on historic floods and a future hypothetical flood termed the “maximum flood of<br />

reasonable regional expectancy.” This hypothetical flood measure led to numerous<br />

problems for its potential use in local land use planning. <strong>The</strong>se problems included its<br />

unwieldy name and its unlikely occurrence. On the other hand, TVA was hesitant to<br />

develop a lesser flood measure since this might imply that it was recommending a lesser<br />

planning standard. <strong>The</strong> strong difference of opinion among TVA engineers and others<br />

over the development of a hypothetical flood suitable for land use planning purposes was<br />

a considerable problem that significantly retarded the early progress of TVA’s floodplain<br />

management assistance program.<br />

<strong>To</strong> solve this impasse, two hypothetical floods were computed: the “maximum<br />

probable” and the “regional.” At that time, the TVA used the maximum probable flood<br />

to design flood control works. <strong>The</strong> maximum probable flood’s computed size was<br />

equivalent to the Corps’ “standard project flood” and was generally larger than the<br />

TVA’s flood of reasonable regional expectancy. Determining the regional flood size<br />

involved defining a flood comparable in magnitude to the largest known floods on similar<br />

streams within 60 to 100 miles of the stream reach under study. <strong>The</strong> regional flood for<br />

most streams studied was significantly smaller than the flood of reasonable regional<br />

expectancy or maximum probable flood and rapidly became the standard for floodplain<br />

regulations within the basin. TVA engineers thought it was large enough to use in<br />

planning, and state planners felt it was fair and reasonable since it was based on actual<br />

flood occurrences in the vicinity of the studied streams. <strong>The</strong>refore, local officials and<br />

citizen members of the planning commission, who would ultimately be called upon to<br />

enforce the regulations, rapidly embraced it. <strong>The</strong> basic data in the TVA flood hazard<br />

information reports would not change substantially until the mid-1970s when the “100year,”<br />

and sometimes the “500-year,” flood profiles and flooded area outlines were<br />

included, generally in response to the requirements of the National <strong>Flood</strong> Insurance<br />

Program (NFIP). 47<br />

Goddard and his staff were primarily responsible for preparing local flood<br />

studies, while Gray and his staff were responsible for working with state and local<br />

planners to adjust the land use in areas subject to flooding. Demonstrations in a few<br />

Tennessee communities, such as Athens, Lewisburg and Pulaski, were an immediate<br />

success instigating the program’s rapid spread to communities throughout the basin. By<br />

1965, TVA had prepared 92 floodplain information reports covering 112 communities.<br />

Forty-three had officially adopted floodplain regulations in their zoning ordinances or<br />

subdivision regulations or both. 48<br />

Goddard and Gray applied their leadership and energy by first working with state<br />

and local governments in the Tennessee River watershed encouraging a full range of<br />

47 Ibid., p. 17.<br />

48 Annual Report for Fiscal Year 1965, (Knoxville, TN: Tennessee Valley Authority, Division of Water Control Planning, 1965).

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