LSC South East - lsc.gov.uk - Learning and Skills Council
LSC South East - lsc.gov.uk - Learning and Skills Council
LSC South East - lsc.gov.uk - Learning and Skills Council
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Figure 18: Net imports of students by local authorities<br />
Net imports between LAs<br />
4.10 Implications of travel to learn patterns for forecasting<br />
28<br />
Numbers<br />
800 800 - 3200<br />
0<br />
0-800<br />
- 800<br />
-550 -550 - 0<br />
-2000 - -550<br />
The overall evidence suggests that calculating population growth rates <strong>and</strong><br />
participation rates for district level authorities is only part of the information<br />
required. We also need to take account of travel patterns, as illustrated in Figure 18<br />
above. The interpretation could be ambiguous however. If we observe a projected<br />
increase in learners in a district that typically exports many of its learners, we could<br />
either conclude that the increase will likely be met by provision outside the borough,<br />
or that there is an additional argument for provision within the borough itself. This<br />
is, of course, a policy judgement. For authorities with large imports, the number<br />
taught will be larger than the resident population, possibly significantly so. Hence a<br />
large percentage increase relative to resident learners might not be so large when<br />
compared to numbers taught.