Assessment of Planning and Retail Issues - Renfrewshire Council
Assessment of Planning and Retail Issues - Renfrewshire Council
Assessment of Planning and Retail Issues - Renfrewshire Council
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Proposed Extensions<br />
at Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park,<br />
Braehead, Renfrew<br />
<strong>Assessment</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>Planning</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Retail</strong> <strong>Issues</strong><br />
May 2010
PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />
BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
C o n t e n t s<br />
1 Introduction 1<br />
3 <strong>Planning</strong> Policy Context 4<br />
4 <strong>Retail</strong> Impact <strong>Issues</strong> 16<br />
5 Conclusions 30<br />
Appendix: <strong>Retail</strong> Tables 1 - 24<br />
RDPC Limited<br />
PO Box 8050<br />
EDINBURGH<br />
EH5 3YS<br />
T: 0131 467 8050<br />
F: 0131 467 8051<br />
E: robert@rdpc.co.uk
1 INTRODUCTION<br />
The Proposals<br />
1.1 Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park is a well-established retail warehouse park which forms an<br />
integral part <strong>of</strong> the range <strong>of</strong> facilities which are available at Braehead, <strong>and</strong> which<br />
contribute substantially to meeting the retail, leisure, business, housing <strong>and</strong><br />
employment needs <strong>of</strong> <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>.<br />
1.2 For many years following its opening, the retail park was not fully let, despite the<br />
popularity <strong>of</strong> Braehead as a retail destination. The closure <strong>of</strong> the B&Q warehouse<br />
further increased the vacancy levels within the retail park. Fortunately, as a result<br />
<strong>of</strong> extensive marketing efforts by Capital Shopping Centres (CSC) <strong>and</strong> with<br />
considerable assistance from <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, the retail park is now fully<br />
occupied, <strong>and</strong> has benefited considerably from the relocation <strong>of</strong> Sainsbury’s into<br />
the former B&Q unit.<br />
1.3 Despite the recession, the retail market has held up reasonably well. Competition<br />
between retailers is strong, <strong>and</strong> so also is competition between major retail<br />
destinations. The coming on-stream <strong>of</strong> Silverburn has exerted competitive<br />
pressures on Braehead, <strong>and</strong> the prospect <strong>of</strong> major new retail development at<br />
Glasgow Harbour has made it imperative that Braehead should be able to respond<br />
to internal development pressures <strong>and</strong> to accommodate the needs <strong>of</strong> its tenants,<br />
as well as providing new opportunities where possible.<br />
1.4 With the retail park now fully let <strong>and</strong> trading well, with existing tenants looking to<br />
improve their <strong>of</strong>fer <strong>and</strong> a number <strong>of</strong> prospective new tenants expressing interest<br />
in Braehead, there is a need to provide some additional expansion space to cater<br />
for these interests. CSC have identified an opportunity to strengthen the retail<br />
park <strong>and</strong> improve its efficiency <strong>and</strong> appearance by providing two new units at<br />
either end <strong>of</strong> the existing run <strong>of</strong> units, with each unit providing an additional 1,679<br />
square metres <strong>of</strong> gross floorspace on two levels.<br />
1.5 The new easternmost unit will reflect the design <strong>of</strong> the existing units <strong>and</strong> will have<br />
a new l<strong>and</strong>scaped area adjacent to it. The proposal for the westernmost unit<br />
involves realignment <strong>of</strong> the adjacent roadway out <strong>of</strong> the bus station to create<br />
additional l<strong>and</strong> for the new development <strong>and</strong> associated l<strong>and</strong>scaping. The front<br />
past <strong>of</strong> the side wall <strong>of</strong> the new unit will be angled to follow the alignment <strong>of</strong> the<br />
roadway, <strong>and</strong> will incorporate a substantial area <strong>of</strong> glazing to enhance its side<br />
elevation, in recognition <strong>of</strong> the fact that this elevation faces across to the main<br />
Braehead Centre - effectively creating a ‘side frontage’ to the western end <strong>of</strong> the<br />
retail park units. This will greatly improve the view <strong>of</strong> the retail park from the
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BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
main centre <strong>and</strong> the bus station, <strong>and</strong> will enhance the connectivity between the<br />
facilities. As with the eastern unit, the main design features <strong>of</strong> the western unit will<br />
reflect the design <strong>of</strong> the existing buildings, so that both extensions connect<br />
seamlessly into the existing structures.<br />
1.6 Minor adjustments will be made to the road markings <strong>and</strong> traffic isl<strong>and</strong> at the north<br />
end <strong>of</strong> the bus station in order to accommodate the proposed changes, <strong>and</strong> one<br />
<strong>of</strong> the bus stances will be slightly repositioned.<br />
1.7 The opportunity will also be taken to alter <strong>and</strong> improve the footpath route at the<br />
west end <strong>of</strong> the retail park, making a stronger <strong>and</strong> more attractive link between<br />
the retail park, bus station, main centre entrance <strong>and</strong> riverside boulevard. Muchimproved<br />
l<strong>and</strong>scaped areas will be provided in this area between the retail park<br />
<strong>and</strong> the riverside, <strong>and</strong> additional l<strong>and</strong>scaping will also be provided where the<br />
roadway is being reduced in width to accommodate the western extension. The<br />
covered walkway which runs along the front <strong>of</strong> the retail warehouse units will be<br />
extended westwards across the front <strong>of</strong> the new unit, <strong>and</strong> an enlarged pedestrian<br />
circulation area will be provided here, in front <strong>of</strong> the unit between the car park<br />
<strong>and</strong> the road.<br />
1.8 In recognition <strong>of</strong> the fact that the amount <strong>of</strong> parking spaces provided at Braehead<br />
exceeds the national parking st<strong>and</strong>ards, no additional parking spaces are being<br />
proposed for this development.<br />
1.9 Also being proposed is a new mezzanine floor within the existing Curry’s retail unit<br />
at the retail park, amounting to an additional 2,323 square metres gross floorspace.<br />
Following discussions with <strong>of</strong>ficers <strong>of</strong> <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, it has been agreed<br />
that this proposal should be brought forward by means <strong>of</strong> an application for a<br />
Certificate <strong>of</strong> Lawful Use or Development, on the basis that the installation <strong>of</strong> a<br />
mezzanine floor does not constitute development <strong>and</strong> this does not require<br />
planning permission. Consequently does not require to be assessed against<br />
current planning policy.<br />
1.10 CSC recognise that the installation <strong>of</strong> mezzanine floors throughout the retail park<br />
could, if pursued in an uncontrolled manner, raise issues <strong>of</strong> concern in relation to<br />
possible effects on trade in other centres. Accordingly, CSC have agreed that if<br />
<strong>Renfrewshire</strong> <strong>Council</strong> is minded to approve the current proposals, they will enter<br />
into a legal agreement with the council, the effect <strong>of</strong> which will be to prevent<br />
further installation <strong>of</strong> mezzanine floors in the retail park, other than any which may
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BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
be approved following the submission <strong>of</strong> formal planning applications.<br />
1.11 All these proposals have been discussed with the appropriate <strong>of</strong>ficers at<br />
<strong>Renfrewshire</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, <strong>and</strong> the supporting information for the applications has<br />
been compiled in accordance with their advice <strong>and</strong> guidance. As the applications<br />
constitute ‘local developments’ for the purposes <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Planning</strong> Acts, no preapplication<br />
notice has been issued <strong>and</strong> no design <strong>and</strong> access statement prepared.<br />
1.12 The next section <strong>of</strong> the report addresses the relevant planning policies to be<br />
applied to the extension proposals, <strong>and</strong> the third section considers retail<br />
expenditure <strong>and</strong> impact issues.
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BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
2 PLANNING POLICY CONTEXT<br />
Background<br />
2.1 The policy context for Braehead has been evolving over many years, from the<br />
original decision <strong>of</strong> the Secretary <strong>of</strong> State for Scotl<strong>and</strong> to approve the proposal,<br />
through various statements <strong>of</strong> Scottish retail planning policy, several structure plans<br />
- originally for Strathclyde <strong>and</strong> latterly for Glasgow <strong>and</strong> The Clyde Valley, <strong>and</strong> the<br />
<strong>Renfrewshire</strong> Local Plan, leading to the now-emerging Strategic Development Plan<br />
for Glasgow <strong>and</strong> The Clyde Valley.<br />
Original <strong>Planning</strong> Decision<br />
2.2 The Braehead shopping <strong>and</strong> leisure centre was approved on appeal by the<br />
Secretary <strong>of</strong> State for Scotl<strong>and</strong> in 1990. The Reporter appointed to conduct the<br />
public inquiry into the Braehead proposal reached the following conclusion, which<br />
was accepted by the Secretary <strong>of</strong> State:<br />
“The key policy COM1 states a preference for locating major new shopping<br />
proposals in or adjoining existing centres, but does not rule out the possibility <strong>of</strong><br />
exceptions, or <strong>of</strong> new additions to the hierarchy. The 1988 alteration to the<br />
structure plan proposes two new shopping centres that would be additions to the<br />
hierarchy. The sheer size <strong>of</strong> the Braehead scheme would give it sufficient status<br />
to be considered as part <strong>of</strong> the hierarchy, at about Tier 2 level. This distinguishes<br />
it from smaller shopping developments at sporadic locations that would dissipate<br />
<strong>and</strong> dilute shopping provision away from the recognised centres, without creating<br />
worthwhile focal points that would function as new centres. For this reason,<br />
Braehead would not set a precedent for other smaller retail developments”.<br />
2.3 Although the Secretary <strong>of</strong> State approved the Braehead development in 1990 on<br />
the basis that it would function as a new centre in the shopping hierarchy, the<br />
centre itself did not open until October 1999. The first Structure Plan to emerge<br />
following the opening <strong>of</strong> Braehead - the new Glasgow & The Clyde Valley<br />
Structure Plan - overlooked the fact that the centre had opened <strong>and</strong> was now a<br />
major element in the shopping hierarchy. However the Scottish Ministers, when<br />
approving the plan in 2002, inserted additional wording into the plan regarding<br />
Braehead:
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BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
“It is recognised that the Braehead Shopping Centre is playing a valuable catalytic<br />
role in relation to the redevelopment <strong>of</strong> the Renfrew Riverside. In due course the<br />
Braehead Shopping Centre is likely to assume certain town centre functions in<br />
respect <strong>of</strong> the wider Renfrew Riverside area. The role <strong>and</strong> function <strong>of</strong> the<br />
shopping centre will be monitored by the Joint Committee”.<br />
2.4 In the eight years since this statement was inserted into the Structure Plan by<br />
Scottish Ministers, the Braehead Centre has cemented its position as the primary<br />
retail destination in <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>, as a major focus for employment <strong>and</strong> leisure,<br />
<strong>and</strong> as the heart <strong>of</strong> a growing residential <strong>and</strong> business community in the Renfrew<br />
Riverside area. Its catalytic role in driving forward the regeneration <strong>of</strong> this area<br />
remains crucial, hence the need to ensure that facilities such as the retail park can<br />
evolve <strong>and</strong> respond positively to tenants’ needs <strong>and</strong> changing market conditions.<br />
The Relationship <strong>of</strong> Centres in North <strong>Renfrewshire</strong><br />
2.5 While Paisley town centre’s role has changed over the past twenty years, it was<br />
recognised in a recent study (the 2006 Yellow Book study into a strategy for<br />
Paisley’s regeneration <strong>and</strong> transformation, commissioned by <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> <strong>Council</strong>,<br />
Paisley Vision Board <strong>and</strong> Scottish Enterprise <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>) that it cannot be<br />
expected to return to the role it once held. The changes in Paisley town centre’s<br />
role <strong>and</strong> function were evident in advance <strong>of</strong> the opening <strong>of</strong> Braehead, due to the<br />
increasing popularity <strong>of</strong> Glasgow City Centre <strong>and</strong> other major centres such as East<br />
Kilbride. The Yellow Book study stressed that Paisley town centre needed to<br />
focus on its strengths <strong>and</strong> shift its focus, particularly in relation to retailing, by<br />
concentrating on the ‘value retail’ sector <strong>of</strong> the market, <strong>and</strong> on serving the needs<br />
<strong>of</strong> those living <strong>and</strong> working in the town centre. The study recommended that<br />
redevelopment efforts should be focused on residential <strong>and</strong> mixed use schemes,<br />
<strong>and</strong> that there should be an effort to increase evening activity with more cafes <strong>and</strong><br />
restaurants.<br />
2.6 In future, the broadest range <strong>of</strong> retail <strong>and</strong> leisure facilities in <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> will be<br />
best met by playing to the strengths <strong>of</strong> each centre - Paisley, Renfrew <strong>and</strong><br />
Braehead - in order to maximise the investment potential <strong>of</strong> the area as a whole.<br />
The promotion <strong>of</strong> the three centres in accordance with a strategy which maintains<br />
<strong>and</strong> develops their complementary functions will ensure that each centre can<br />
benefit from the others, while consumers will be able to enjoy the combined<br />
strengths <strong>of</strong> all three.
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National <strong>Planning</strong> Framework for Scotl<strong>and</strong> 2<br />
2.7 The second National <strong>Planning</strong> Framework for Scotl<strong>and</strong> (NPF2) was issued by the<br />
Scottish Government in its final approved form in June 2009. It provides the<br />
national policy context for development plans <strong>and</strong> sets out a long-term strategy for<br />
sustainable development in Scotl<strong>and</strong> over the next two decades.<br />
2.8 Central to the promotion <strong>of</strong> sustainable development <strong>and</strong> economic prosperity for<br />
Scotl<strong>and</strong> is the need to regenerate areas <strong>of</strong> brownfield l<strong>and</strong> which are not fully<br />
contributing to economic growth, promote urban investment, <strong>and</strong> create new<br />
employment opportunities. Braehead has been at the core <strong>of</strong> radical <strong>and</strong><br />
substantial urban renewal <strong>and</strong> economic regeneration at Renfrew Riverside, <strong>and</strong><br />
remains a key element in the drive to breathe new life into the Clyde Corridor.<br />
NPF2 confirms, in paragraph 87, that the Clyde Corridor - encompassing the<br />
major regeneration initiatives along the Clyde Gateway <strong>and</strong> the Clyde Waterfront -<br />
is the national strategic regeneration priority. In paragraph 196 NPF2 recognises<br />
the new community growth which is emerging in North Renfrew - a community<br />
which would not be developing in the absence <strong>of</strong> Braehead. Consolidation <strong>of</strong><br />
development <strong>and</strong> continued job creation at Braehead is key to its continued<br />
contribution to the success <strong>of</strong> Scotl<strong>and</strong>’s top regeneration priority.<br />
Scottish <strong>Planning</strong> Policy - Town Centres <strong>and</strong> <strong>Retail</strong>ing<br />
2.9 Since approval <strong>of</strong> the Braehead development in 1990, there have been four<br />
Scottish planning policy statements on retailing, comprising two versions <strong>of</strong><br />
National <strong>Planning</strong> Policy Guideline No.8 - Town Centres <strong>and</strong> <strong>Retail</strong>ing (NPPG8),<br />
Scottish <strong>Planning</strong> Policy No.8 - Town Centres <strong>and</strong> <strong>Retail</strong>ing (SPP8), <strong>and</strong> most<br />
recently the consolidated Scottish <strong>Planning</strong> Policy statement (SPP) issued in<br />
February 2010.<br />
2.10 The consolidated SPP sets out national planning policies for all development<br />
sectors, including retailing. The section on Town Centres <strong>and</strong> <strong>Retail</strong>ing generally<br />
follows the policies contained in SPP8, emphasising the importance <strong>of</strong> supporting<br />
town centres, <strong>and</strong> advising planning authorities to define a ‘Network <strong>of</strong> Centres’<br />
- comprising town centres, commercial centres <strong>and</strong> other local centres - which<br />
will meet the retail needs <strong>of</strong> the area, <strong>and</strong> which will provide the context for<br />
assessment <strong>of</strong> proposals for new development.
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2.11 Paragraph 63 <strong>of</strong> the SPP explains that development proposals in edge-<strong>of</strong>-centre<br />
or commercial centre locations should be assessed having regard to the availability<br />
<strong>of</strong> more central locations <strong>and</strong> the potential impact on existing centres. In relation<br />
to new developments which are contrary to the development plan, the planning<br />
authority should ensure that the sequential approach to retail site selection has<br />
been used, there is no unacceptable individual or cumulative impact on the vitality<br />
<strong>and</strong> viability <strong>of</strong> the identified network <strong>of</strong> centres, the proposal will help to meet<br />
qualitative <strong>and</strong> quantitative deficiencies identified in the development plan, <strong>and</strong> will<br />
not conflict with other significant objectives <strong>of</strong> the development plan or other<br />
relevant strategies. A retail impact analysis is required for a development<br />
proposed outside a town centre which is not in accord with the development plan.<br />
2.12 All the relevant issues raised by the SPP are addressed as part <strong>of</strong> the following<br />
assessment <strong>of</strong> the current proposals against the requirements <strong>of</strong> the development<br />
plan.<br />
Glasgow <strong>and</strong> The Clyde Valley Structure Plan<br />
2.13 The Third Alteration to the Glasgow <strong>and</strong> The Clyde Valley Structure Plan was<br />
approved with modifications by Ministers in 2008, but was then altered again by<br />
the Fourth Alteration, approved by Ministers in March 2009. This Fourth<br />
Alteration had the effect <strong>of</strong> designating Braehead as a ‘Commercial Centre’,<br />
meaning that - for the purposes <strong>of</strong> applying the sequential approach - Braehead is<br />
a third choice location for new development after town centres <strong>and</strong> edge-<strong>of</strong>centre<br />
locations, but in preference to out-<strong>of</strong>-centre locations.<br />
2.14 However, so far as proposals to exp<strong>and</strong> existing facilities are concerned, paragraph<br />
62 <strong>of</strong> the SPP makes clear that the sequential approach only applies if the<br />
extension proposals “are <strong>of</strong> a scale or form sufficient to change their role <strong>and</strong><br />
function”. In this case the proposals involve only two relatively modest extensions<br />
at either end <strong>of</strong> the existing run <strong>of</strong> buildings, in order to improve the ability <strong>of</strong> the<br />
retail park to respond to a highly competitive marketplace, accommodate interest<br />
from retailers who otherwise are likely to choose to locate outside <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>,<br />
<strong>and</strong> to cater for the evolving needs <strong>of</strong> existing tenants. The proposals are not <strong>of</strong><br />
a scale or form sufficient to change the role <strong>and</strong> function <strong>of</strong> the retail park, or <strong>of</strong><br />
Braehead as a whole, <strong>and</strong> accordingly the sequential approach does not apply in<br />
this instance.<br />
2.15 In any case it is clear that it would not be possible to enhance the retail park or
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cater for the requirements <strong>of</strong> existing tenants by constructing new retail units in<br />
another part <strong>of</strong> <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>.<br />
Clyde Waterfront Initiative<br />
2.16 In setting the overall strategic context for any new development at Braehead, the<br />
‘Clyde Waterfront Initiative’ is one <strong>of</strong> three ‘Metropolitan Flagship Initiatives’<br />
promoted by the Structure Plan. A central element <strong>of</strong> the Clyde Waterfront<br />
Initiative is “building upon the catalytic role <strong>of</strong> Braehead regional leisure <strong>and</strong><br />
shopping centre in the regeneration <strong>of</strong> Renfrew Riverside”. These current<br />
proposals will promote the continued contribution <strong>of</strong> Braehead to economic<br />
regeneration in this area <strong>of</strong> <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>.<br />
Development Management Policies<br />
2.17 Strategic Policy 9 in the Structure Plan sets out the criteria which a development<br />
proposal should satisfy in order to be regarded as in accordance with the plan. For<br />
retail development proposals which are likely to be ‘significant’ - i.e. those<br />
comprising comparison floorspace <strong>of</strong> more than 2,000 square metres - it is<br />
necessary to demonstrate that (A) the case for the development has been<br />
established, (B) the location is appropriate, <strong>and</strong> (C) infrastructure requirements<br />
have been met.<br />
2.18 In this case, each planning application is proposing a development <strong>of</strong> less than<br />
2,000 square metres, <strong>and</strong> thus neither application exceeds the Structure Plan’s<br />
definition <strong>of</strong> a ‘significant’ development. However as the combined total <strong>of</strong> both<br />
applications exceeds 2,000 square metres, it is appropriate to consider the<br />
proposals against Strategic Policy 9.<br />
2.19 Dealing firstly with the ‘A’ criteria relating to the case for the development, the<br />
first test is the extent to which the proposals satisfy the criteria set out in Schedule<br />
6(c)(I) <strong>of</strong> the Structure Plan. The first two criteria relate to the balance <strong>of</strong><br />
expenditure <strong>and</strong> turnover in the relevant catchment area <strong>and</strong> the potential impact<br />
on any town centre listed in the Network <strong>of</strong> Town Centres. These issues are<br />
considered in the next section <strong>of</strong> this report, which shows that there is adequate<br />
retail expenditure within the Braehead catchment area to support the new<br />
developments <strong>and</strong> that there will be no adverse impact on any existing town<br />
centre.
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2.20 The third criterion relates to out-<strong>of</strong>-centre development proposals <strong>and</strong> thus is not<br />
relevant to a proposal in a Commercial Centre.<br />
2.21 Criterion (d) requires consideration <strong>of</strong> the contribution <strong>of</strong> the proposals to the<br />
improvement <strong>of</strong> the vitality or viability <strong>of</strong> town centres, <strong>and</strong> functional relationship<br />
to existing town centres. It is accepted that the proposals, being located in a<br />
Commercial Centre, do not directly result in the improvement <strong>of</strong> any town<br />
centre, but nor are they likely to have any adverse effect. By achieving a modest<br />
enhancement <strong>of</strong> the quality <strong>and</strong> attractiveness <strong>of</strong> the retail park compared to other<br />
major retail parks outside <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>, they will help to underpin <strong>and</strong> extend the<br />
substantial investment in Renfrew Riverside which the overall Braehead<br />
development has delivered, complementing its regenerative benefits <strong>and</strong> thereby<br />
indirectly benefiting Renfrew. It is particularly encouraging that Capital Shopping<br />
Centres believe that additional investment can be attracted to Renfrew Riverside<br />
so soon after a very severe recession.<br />
2.22 The proposals are for bulky goods retail floorspace only <strong>and</strong> thus will conform to<br />
criterion (e) in Schedule 6(c)(I).<br />
2.23 As regards criterion (f), which requires consideration <strong>of</strong> the appropriateness <strong>of</strong><br />
locating new bulky goods retailing at Commercial Centres, <strong>and</strong> their suitability for<br />
access by means other than the private car, these proposals seek only to modestly<br />
consolidate an existing established bulky goods retail location - it being recognised<br />
in paragraph 12.24 <strong>of</strong> the Structure Plan that the retail warehouse parks were<br />
established to accommodate bulky goods retail outlets which could not be<br />
accommodated in or adjoining town centres. The Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park is highly<br />
accessible by non-car modes, being located immediately adjacent to Braehead Bus<br />
Station, <strong>and</strong> also served by the frequent buses which run between Braehead,<br />
Govan <strong>and</strong> Glasgow. The proposals will also enhance the appearance <strong>of</strong> the<br />
existing retail warehousing at Braehead.<br />
2.24 Criterion (g) is not relevant as it relates to retail parks next to town centres.<br />
Criterion (h) relates to the requirements <strong>of</strong> Strategic Policies 3 (Strategic<br />
Management <strong>of</strong> Travel Dem<strong>and</strong>s) <strong>and</strong> 9B(vi) (Promotion <strong>of</strong> Sustainable Transport),<br />
<strong>and</strong> it is considered that these proposals comply with these policies by focusing<br />
new retail warehousing in a location already well served by buses, <strong>and</strong> in a way<br />
which is unlikely to generate significant extra trips by car, but rather result in<br />
longer dwell times by customers. Furthermore they should reduce the likelihood<br />
<strong>of</strong> car-borne visitors needing to visit other retail warehouse parks in order to
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compare potential purchases, <strong>and</strong> - because the proposals do not involve any new<br />
parking spaces - will ensure a reduction in the ratio <strong>of</strong> parking spaces per square<br />
metre <strong>of</strong> floorspace at Braehead, thus further promoting sustainable travel<br />
patterns.<br />
2.25 Criterion (I) is not relevant as it does not relate to retail warehouse locations, <strong>and</strong><br />
the current proposals could not achieve the enhancement <strong>of</strong> the Braehead <strong>Retail</strong><br />
Park if they were located in any <strong>of</strong> the locations listed in Schedule 6(c)(iv).<br />
2.26 Criterion (j) refers to the contribution <strong>of</strong> the development to remedying any<br />
qualitative deficiencies in existing retail provision. Given that there have been no<br />
improvements to the retail park since it was constructed, other than one minor<br />
unit subdivision, <strong>and</strong> that other retail warehousing destinations have been<br />
established <strong>and</strong>/or significantly improved since then, it is considered that the<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park has become disadvantaged in qualitative terms, <strong>and</strong> that<br />
some enhancement is long overdue.<br />
2.27 Criterion (k) does not apply.<br />
2.28 Turning now to the ‘B’ criteria relating to whether the location <strong>of</strong> the<br />
development is appropriate, the relevant tests are to ensure that the vitality <strong>and</strong><br />
viability <strong>of</strong> town centres is safeguarded <strong>and</strong> promoted by applying the sequential<br />
approach, promote sustainable transport, avoid risk <strong>of</strong> flooding, avoid negative<br />
impact on health <strong>and</strong> safety, <strong>and</strong> contribute to the implementation <strong>of</strong> the air quality<br />
strategy.<br />
2.29 We have already discussed the sequential approach <strong>and</strong> the fact that the SPP<br />
indicates that it does not apply in this instance. So far as the Structure Plan’s policy<br />
on the sequential approach is concerned, as set out in Schedule 6(c)(ii), as<br />
amended by the Fourth Alteration, this states that the preference should be for<br />
town centre sites where sites or buildings suitable for conversion are available, <strong>and</strong><br />
that locations which are easily accessible by a choice <strong>of</strong> means <strong>of</strong> transport,<br />
especially public transport, should be preferred. In this case it is clear that it would<br />
not be possible to enhance the Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park using sites or buildings<br />
elsewhere in <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>. The location is easily accessible <strong>and</strong> well served by<br />
public transport.<br />
2.30 We commented previously on the ways in which the proposals will promote<br />
sustainable transport. Drainage information is being submitted with the
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applications to address the flood risk issue. There are no health <strong>and</strong> safety<br />
implications, nor do the proposals give rise to any significant air quality<br />
implications, particularly as the location is readily accessible by public transport <strong>and</strong><br />
the traffic generating effects <strong>of</strong> the developments are expected to be very modest.<br />
2.31 Finally, as regards the ‘C’ criteria relating to infrastructure requirements, the<br />
transport assessment <strong>and</strong> drainage reports submitted with the applications set out<br />
the provision being made to address the infrastructure requirements <strong>of</strong> the<br />
proposals.<br />
2.32 Consequently it is considered that the proposals satisfy the criteria set down in<br />
Strategic Policy 9 <strong>of</strong> the Structure Plan, <strong>and</strong> thus do not constitute a departure<br />
from the plan.<br />
Local Plan Policy<br />
2.33 The <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> Local Plan was adopted in 2006. It recognises a hierarchy <strong>of</strong><br />
town centres comprising strategic town centres <strong>and</strong> secondary centres,<br />
neighbourhood shops, out <strong>of</strong> centre retailing, <strong>and</strong> - as a separate category - the<br />
Braehead Regional Shopping Centre <strong>and</strong> Leisure Centre. The plan recognises that<br />
Braehead is ‘not currently included in the Structure Plan’s Network <strong>of</strong> Town<br />
Centres’, <strong>and</strong> that ‘while the non-retail development on Renfrew Riverside will be<br />
encouraged, the role <strong>and</strong> function <strong>of</strong> the regional shopping centre will be<br />
monitored by the Structure Plan Joint Committee’.<br />
2.34 The local plan pre-dates the designation <strong>of</strong> Braehead as a Commercial Centre in<br />
the Structure Plan <strong>and</strong> the adjusted policies associated with that designation. It<br />
refers to Braehead as an out-<strong>of</strong>-centre retail location, which is no longer correct.<br />
2.35 Paragraph 7.11 in the Local Plan confirms the policy objective <strong>of</strong> maintaining the<br />
regional centre at Braehead. There are four policies <strong>of</strong> direct relevance to the<br />
current proposals - policies R1, R2, R13 <strong>and</strong> R16.<br />
2.36 Policy R1 states that town centre uses will be directed to the strategic <strong>and</strong><br />
secondary centres in <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>, <strong>and</strong> that all proposals for town centre uses will<br />
be considered against the criteria specified in Table R1. Policy R2 states that<br />
‘significant’ shopping developments <strong>of</strong> more than 2,000 square metres <strong>of</strong><br />
comparison floorspace will be directed to the strategic town centres to support<br />
their vitality <strong>and</strong> viability, <strong>and</strong> will be assessed against relevant Structure Plan
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policies.<br />
2.37 Policy R13 relates to the retail warehouse parks in the plan areas, <strong>and</strong> states that<br />
there will be a presumption against proposals for additional floorspace beyond the<br />
level specified in current consents for these areas. Because the policy pre-dates<br />
the Fourth Alteration to the Structure Plan, it does not take account <strong>of</strong> the fact<br />
that the retail warehouse parks are now Commercial Centres. It also does not<br />
take account <strong>of</strong> the advice in the SPP that investment to maintain <strong>and</strong> improve<br />
Commercial Centres should be supported where the centres are part <strong>of</strong> the<br />
network <strong>of</strong> centres <strong>and</strong> where such investment will not undermine town centres.<br />
This advice in the SPP makes clear that it is no longer appropriate to impose<br />
blanket presumptions against additional development in Commercial Centres.<br />
2.38 Policy R16 refers specifically to the Braehead Regional Shopping <strong>and</strong> Leisure<br />
Centre <strong>and</strong> confirms that the centre is allocated for the uses specified in the<br />
planning permissions for the centre. It also states that “Proposals for additional<br />
development in the specified categories will be supported where they satisfy the<br />
provisions <strong>of</strong> structure plan policy, <strong>and</strong> the criteria in Table R1" (these criteria<br />
listed in Table R1 relate to the sequential approach, capacity <strong>and</strong> impact issues,<br />
traffic <strong>and</strong> sustainable transport, amenity, design, environmental impact <strong>and</strong><br />
infrastructure provision).<br />
<strong>Assessment</strong> <strong>of</strong> the Proposals Against Policy<br />
2.39 The proposals will be in accordance with the support given by the Local Plan to<br />
maintaining the Regional Centre at Braehead, which is now endorsed by the<br />
Structure Plan’s recognition <strong>of</strong> Braehead as a Commercial Centre <strong>and</strong>, in Schedule<br />
6(c)(I)(c), the importance <strong>of</strong> protecting Braehead from new out-<strong>of</strong>-centre<br />
developments. Although the local plan distinguishes between the main Braehead<br />
Centre <strong>and</strong> the retail park, <strong>and</strong> has different policies for each element, the<br />
designation <strong>of</strong> both parts <strong>of</strong> Braehead’s retail <strong>of</strong>fer as Commercial Centres<br />
removes any remaining justification for treating the two elements separately. Thus<br />
it is appropriate to consider the relevance <strong>of</strong> both policies R13 <strong>and</strong> R16 to the<br />
current proposal, as well as Policies R1 <strong>and</strong> R2.<br />
Policy R1<br />
2.40 Dealing firstly with Policy R1, which directs town centre uses to the strategic <strong>and</strong><br />
secondary centres, these proposals require to be assessed against the criteria set
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out in Table R1 in the Local Plan.<br />
2.41 The first criterion listed in Table R1 relates to the sequential approach, <strong>and</strong> this<br />
issue has already been fully addressed. The second <strong>and</strong> third criteria refer to<br />
whether the proposal can be supported by the catchment population <strong>and</strong> the likely<br />
impact <strong>of</strong> the proposal on other centres, <strong>and</strong> these matters are addressed in the<br />
next section <strong>of</strong> the report. We have also discussed the fourth criterion relating to<br />
the need to achieve sustainable transport, <strong>and</strong> the fifth criterion relating to<br />
adequacy <strong>of</strong> arrangements for traffic circulation <strong>and</strong> parking is being addressed in<br />
the transport assessment. There are no implications for the amenity <strong>of</strong> any nearby<br />
properties, so the sixth criterion is satisfied, <strong>and</strong> the quality <strong>of</strong> design has been<br />
addressed in the first section <strong>of</strong> this report, thus addressing the seventh criterion.<br />
2.42 There are no particular environmental effects associated with the proposal which<br />
require special consideration, beyond the discussions already presented, <strong>and</strong> all<br />
implications for infrastructure are addressed in the reports on drainage <strong>and</strong><br />
transport, thus satisfying the eighth <strong>and</strong> ninth criteria.<br />
2.43 It is important to note that Policy R1 requires the tests in Table R1 to be applied<br />
to all proposals for town centre uses, regardless <strong>of</strong> their proposed location. In this<br />
case the tests laid down in the table are all satisfied by the current proposals.<br />
Policy R2<br />
2.44 Turning to Policy R2, this indicates that significant shopping developments <strong>of</strong> more<br />
than 2,000 square metres comparison floorspace should be directed to the<br />
strategic town centres <strong>and</strong> that such proposals will be tested against relevant<br />
Structure Plan policies. As has been noted, the two applications to which this<br />
statement relates are each proposing developments <strong>of</strong> less than 2,000 square<br />
metres, but it is appropriate to consider the implications <strong>of</strong> Policy R2 given that the<br />
proposals in combination amount to more than 2,000 square metres. A full<br />
analysis <strong>of</strong> all the relevant Structure Plan policies has already been carried out, <strong>and</strong><br />
the proposals have been shown to comply with Strategic Policy 9, which means<br />
that they also comply with the tests imposed by Policy R2.<br />
Policy R13<br />
2.45 It has been noted earlier that the presumption in the Policy R13 against additional<br />
floorspace at the retail park does not accord with the advice contained in the SPP
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relating to support for investment in Commercial Centres. Furthermore this<br />
proposal is being taken forward only on the basis that approval <strong>of</strong> the additional<br />
retail floorspace will result in the prevention, by legal agreement, <strong>of</strong> any additional<br />
internal mezzanine floors in the retail park which otherwise could be installed<br />
without requiring planning permission. Thus the result <strong>of</strong> approving these<br />
proposals will be to reinforce the effectiveness <strong>of</strong> Policy R13, notwithst<strong>and</strong>ing its<br />
non-compliance with the SPP.<br />
2.46 Consequently, although the proposal amounts to a departure from Policy R13, it<br />
is considered that the departure is not significant, because (1) the additional<br />
floorspace is far less than could be provided by way <strong>of</strong> mezzanine floors in the<br />
retail park, which in future will be under the full control <strong>of</strong> the council because <strong>of</strong><br />
the effect <strong>of</strong> the new legal agreement, <strong>and</strong> (2) in the light <strong>of</strong> national retail planning<br />
policy set out in the SPP, it is no longer appropriate to impose blanket<br />
presumptions against additional retail floorspace at the Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park, which<br />
is now designated as a Commercial Centre.<br />
Policy R16<br />
2.47 Policy R16 is described in the Local Plan as referring to the “area <strong>of</strong> the Braehead<br />
shopping mall <strong>and</strong> indoor sports area, with associated parking”. The area-specific<br />
wording dates from around eight years ago when the Local Plan was finalised prior<br />
to the Local Plan Inquiry. Following the inquiry, the Reporter appointed to<br />
conduct the inquiry <strong>and</strong> make recommendations to the council concluded that the<br />
whole <strong>of</strong> Braehead should be included in a single planning policy area reflecting its<br />
strategic importance, rather than having two separate policies for the mall <strong>and</strong><br />
retail park. The Reporter’s recommendation was not accepted at the time by the<br />
council, primarily because the Structure Plan also had separate policies for the mall<br />
<strong>and</strong> retail park. However the Fourth Alteration <strong>of</strong> the Structure Plan has<br />
designated both Braehead Centre <strong>and</strong> the retail park as two adjoining Commercial<br />
Centres, which combine to make one single centre, <strong>and</strong> thus it is logical that Policy<br />
R16 should apply to the centre as a whole. Furthermore the title ‘Braehead<br />
Regional Shopping <strong>and</strong> Leisure Centre’ is customarily taken to apply to Braehead<br />
Centre, the retail park, IKEA <strong>and</strong> Xscape - comprising all <strong>of</strong> Braehead’s retail <strong>and</strong><br />
leisure elements.<br />
2.48 It is relevant that the proposal to relocate the Sainsbury’s superstore into the<br />
former B&Q Warehouse in the retail park was assessed by the council against the<br />
terms <strong>of</strong> Policy R16, reinforcing the view that the policy should be applied to the
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whole <strong>of</strong> Braehead.<br />
2.49 Policy R16 states that Braehead is allocated for the uses specified in the original<br />
planning permission, <strong>and</strong> that additional development proposals will be supported<br />
when they satisfy the Structure Plan <strong>and</strong> the criteria in Table R1. As has been<br />
shown earlier, the current proposals satisfy both the Structure Plan <strong>and</strong> the tests<br />
in Table R1. Therefore it is in accord with Policy R16.<br />
Policy Conclusions<br />
2.50 Braehead is one <strong>of</strong> the principal drivers <strong>of</strong> economic regeneration in Scotl<strong>and</strong>’s<br />
national strategic regeneration priority area - the Clyde Corridor - <strong>and</strong> is a vital<br />
long-term catalyst for regeneration <strong>and</strong> renewal in <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>. The approved<br />
Structure Plan make clears the continuing importance <strong>of</strong> that catalytic benefit in<br />
maintaining progress with urban renewal along the Clyde Waterfront. This in turn<br />
means ensuring that investment can continue to be attracted to Braehead.<br />
Similarly the Local Plan recognises the importance <strong>of</strong> maintaining the Braehead<br />
asset for the benefit <strong>of</strong> <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>.<br />
2.51 The current proposals for the retail park satisfy the tests laid down in the Structure<br />
Plan’s Strategic Policy 9 (which in turn ensures compliance with other relevant<br />
policies in the Structure Plan), <strong>and</strong> they do not amount to a material departure<br />
from the provisions <strong>of</strong> the Local Plan - subject to the expenditure <strong>and</strong> impact<br />
issues which are addressed in the following section <strong>of</strong> this report.
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3 RETAIL IMPACT ISSUES<br />
3.1 The proposals which are the subject <strong>of</strong> applications for planning permission <strong>and</strong><br />
a Certificate <strong>of</strong> Lawful Use or Development involve the introduction <strong>of</strong> two retail<br />
warehouse units each <strong>of</strong> 1,679 square metres gross retail floorspace, <strong>and</strong> 2,323<br />
square metres for the Currys mezzanine floor. The combined floorspace <strong>of</strong> the<br />
two retail units exceeds the 2,500 square metres gross floorspace which Scottish<br />
<strong>Planning</strong> Policy dictates should be the subject <strong>of</strong> a retail impact analysis, <strong>and</strong><br />
accordingly such an analysis has been carried out. Although the Curry’s mezzanine<br />
floor does not constitute development <strong>and</strong> is not the subject <strong>of</strong> a planning<br />
application, for the sake <strong>of</strong> completeness - <strong>and</strong> in order to address cumulative<br />
impact issues - the retail impact analysis takes account <strong>of</strong> the proposed additional<br />
floorspace within the Curry’s unit.<br />
3.2 Again for cumulative impact reasons, It is also appropriate to take account <strong>of</strong> the<br />
recent relocation <strong>of</strong> the Sainsbury’s store from the main Braehead Centre to the<br />
former B&Q unit at the east end <strong>of</strong> the retail park, with the subsequent re-use <strong>of</strong><br />
the former Sainsbury’s store by another retailer - Primark, the clothing store.<br />
3.3 For this reason our analysis is based on the retail impact study which was<br />
undertaken by this practice in 2008 to assess the potential trade diversions<br />
resulting from the Sainsbury relocation, but taking account <strong>of</strong> the effects <strong>of</strong> the<br />
economic recession which were not anticipated in July 2008. It then continues by<br />
building in the additional effect <strong>of</strong> the current proposals.<br />
3.4 The 2008 study did not consider the effect <strong>of</strong> the transfer <strong>of</strong> the convenience<br />
(food, drink <strong>and</strong> groceries) element <strong>of</strong> the Sainsbury’s operation, because the<br />
consequent increase in convenience turnover was estimated to be relatively<br />
insignificant. Similarly with the current proposals, no food sales are proposed <strong>and</strong><br />
therefore no convenience impact assessment is being undertaken.<br />
3.5 Furthermore, <strong>and</strong> unlike the Sainsbury’s relocation proposal, the current proposal<br />
only involves additional ‘bulky goods’ retail floorspace - i.e. the sale <strong>of</strong> furniture,<br />
textiles / s<strong>of</strong>t furnishings <strong>and</strong> lighting, carpets <strong>and</strong> floor coverings, electrical goods,<br />
DIY / hardware goods, <strong>and</strong> automotive accessories - essentially replacing some <strong>of</strong><br />
the bulky goods floorspace which was formerly provided by the B&Q warehouse.<br />
Consequently the effect <strong>of</strong> the trade diversions will be more focused on those<br />
retail locations which specialise in the sale <strong>of</strong> bulky goods.
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Catchment Area<br />
3.6 Braehead has an extensive catchment area, because <strong>of</strong> its unique retail<br />
characteristics <strong>and</strong> its associated leisure operations. The retail park is a less<br />
powerful attraction than the main centre because <strong>of</strong> its more restricted range <strong>of</strong><br />
goods <strong>and</strong> because there are other retail parks serving the West <strong>of</strong> Scotl<strong>and</strong>, but<br />
it benefits from being immediately adjacent to the main centre <strong>and</strong> the Braehead<br />
Bus Station, <strong>and</strong> because it includes the only IKEA store in the West <strong>of</strong> Scotl<strong>and</strong>.<br />
For that reason Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park also has a wide catchment area.<br />
3.7 The results <strong>of</strong> the household shopping survey undertaken in preparation for the<br />
Third Alteration to the Structure Plan revealed that Braehead draws trade from<br />
a significant part <strong>of</strong> the Greater Glasgow area, but focused on the western <strong>and</strong><br />
southern parts - the Paisley / Renfrew catchment in particular, but to a lesser<br />
extent the Glasgow South / Newton Mearns area <strong>and</strong> the Glasgow North West /<br />
Clydebank area.<br />
3.8 Other areas send relatively little <strong>of</strong> their trade to Braehead, but we have included<br />
the Bishopbriggs, Greenock, Dumbarton, East Kilbride <strong>and</strong> Argyll & Bute areas<br />
within the main catchment because <strong>of</strong> the collective contribution which -<br />
according to the household survey - these areas make to Braehead’s overall<br />
turnover - amounting to around 15% from these areas combined. No other areas<br />
make any significant contribution to Braehead’s catchment, although the centre<br />
also draws a modest proportion <strong>of</strong> its trade from many other parts <strong>of</strong> Scotl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />
also Northern Irel<strong>and</strong>.<br />
Population Estimates<br />
3.9 Table 1 sets out the population estimates for the main catchment area, using data<br />
contained in the technical reports which support the Glasgow & Clyde Valley<br />
Structure Plan. The table shows the projected changes in population within each<br />
<strong>of</strong> the centre catchment areas from 2006 to the structure plan horizon date <strong>of</strong><br />
2011, the estimates for 2008 <strong>and</strong> 2010 being pro-rata estimates derived from the<br />
2006 <strong>and</strong> 2011 figures. We have then estimated the population for 2012 from the<br />
projections contained in the latest (2010) Scottish population projections from the<br />
General Registrar’s Office (GRO). The estimates show a small decline in<br />
population over the 6 year period.<br />
3.10 We have selected 2012 as the year in which to assess the potential impact <strong>of</strong> the
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proposals, on the assumption that all the new retail floorspace will have been<br />
provided <strong>and</strong> occupied by then, <strong>and</strong> the retailers will have achieved an established<br />
<strong>and</strong> settled trading situation.<br />
Expenditure Estimates<br />
3.11 Using 2005 retail expenditure estimates for the 10 minute <strong>and</strong> 20 drive time<br />
isochrone areas around Braehead, provided by the MapInfo (now Pitney Bowes)<br />
organisation, <strong>and</strong> by referring to expenditure growth projections also provided by<br />
Pitney Bowes in their <strong>Retail</strong> Expenditure Guide 2009/10, published in September<br />
2009, it is possible to project the growth in spending for each <strong>of</strong> the main<br />
comparison goods categories for the period from 2005 to 2012.<br />
3.12 The projections to 2008 are based on actual recorded expenditure growth during<br />
that period, showing an overall increase <strong>of</strong> around 15% in real terms from 2005<br />
to 2008. However from 2008 to 2012 the expenditure projections rely on careful<br />
interpretation <strong>of</strong> the various economic indicators which are available.<br />
3.13 The Pitney Bowes <strong>Retail</strong> Expenditure Guide 2009/10 contains two sets <strong>of</strong><br />
expenditure forecasts - one based on PB’s own research <strong>and</strong> the other produced<br />
by Oxford Economics. The latter forecasts are not solely based on past trends but<br />
also take account <strong>of</strong> prevailing socio-economic factors. However they were<br />
produced at a time when the UK was still in the depths <strong>of</strong> recession <strong>and</strong><br />
accordingly are very pessimistic. Furthermore the government’s Office for<br />
National Statistics monitor <strong>of</strong> retail spending by volume (i.e. excluding changes in<br />
prices) shows that growth in spending on non-food goods increased by 3% in real<br />
terms in 2008 <strong>and</strong> 4% in 2009, with positive indications that retail growth is<br />
holding up in 2010. Consequently the Oxford Economics projection <strong>of</strong> a<br />
reduction in comparison spending <strong>of</strong> 2.7% per annum from 2008 to 2010, <strong>and</strong> an<br />
average rate <strong>of</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> only 1.6% per annum from 2008 to 2014, now appears<br />
unrealistic.<br />
3.14 In contrast, the Pitney Bowes estimates, based solely on past trends, suggests a<br />
growth rate <strong>of</strong> between 4.9% <strong>and</strong> 5.5% per annum from 2008, based on longterm<br />
(1978-2008) <strong>and</strong> medium-term (1988-2008) trends. These too appear<br />
unrealistic, but in a too-positive rather than too-negative way.<br />
3.15 Accordingly we have applied a growth rate <strong>of</strong> 3.5% per annum for the period<br />
2008 to 2012, being the average <strong>of</strong> the growth recorded by the Office for National
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Statistics during the two ‘recession years’, <strong>and</strong> below even the most cautious <strong>of</strong><br />
the trend projections published by Pitney Bowes (which range from 3.9% ultra<br />
long term to 6.6% short term).<br />
3.16 The variations in spending between the 10 <strong>and</strong> 20 minute drive-time areas are not<br />
substantial, <strong>and</strong> thus their allocation to the different catchment areas is not critical,<br />
but we have applied the figures according to the allocation shown in Table 1, with<br />
Paisley / Renfrew, Glasgow NW / Clydebank <strong>and</strong> Glasgow South / Newton Mearns<br />
catchments being in the 0-10 drive time <strong>and</strong> the others in the 10-20 minute area.<br />
3.17 By applying the expenditure estimates in Table 2 to the population projections in<br />
Table 1, we are able to estimate the amount <strong>of</strong> comparison spending available for<br />
each category <strong>of</strong> product for the years 2008, 2010 <strong>and</strong> 2012. Table 3 shows that<br />
total available comparison spending in the main catchment will reach more than<br />
£4,200 million this year <strong>and</strong> £4,500 million in 2012 (at 2005 prices), representing<br />
a £300 million increase in two years, even on the basis <strong>of</strong> the modest growth<br />
forecasts which we have adopted. Table 3 also shows that comparison<br />
expenditure growth in the Paisley / Renfrew catchment will be considerable, rising<br />
from £810 million in 2008 to £915 million by 2012, an increase <strong>of</strong> more than £100<br />
million over four years, despite the very lean growth period from 2008 to 2010.<br />
Shopping Patterns<br />
3.18 The next stage <strong>of</strong> the analysis is to estimate the likely distribution <strong>of</strong> comparison<br />
expenditure around the main catchment area, using the results <strong>of</strong> the 2003<br />
household survey which was undertaken in the structure plan area. In Tables 4 to<br />
7 we have used these survey results but applied them to the estimated available<br />
spending in 2008 - i.e. we have assumed that the shopping patterns <strong>of</strong> 2003 will<br />
remain the same until 2008. Later in the analysis we will address any likely changes<br />
in shopping patterns which need to be taken into account.<br />
3.19 By applying the estimates <strong>of</strong> available expenditure in 2008 to the results <strong>of</strong> the<br />
household survey for each shopping catchment area, we are able to produce<br />
tables <strong>of</strong> spending in each shopping destination for each product category (Tables<br />
4 to 7). The distribution <strong>of</strong> spending varies considerably from product to product,<br />
so that for example Glasgow city centre attracts 46% <strong>of</strong> all available spending on<br />
clothing in the catchment, but only 12.6% <strong>of</strong> spending on electrical goods. In the<br />
Paisley / Renfrew catchment, Braehead is revealed as the most popular destination<br />
for all the product categories in 2003, but Paisley is also shown to be performing
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quite strongly for most categories. Tables 4 to 7 also show that some 21% <strong>of</strong><br />
expenditure on clothing originating in the Paisley / Renfrew catchment was lost to<br />
Glasgow city centre in 2003, but that leakage on electrical goods was less than 4%<br />
<strong>and</strong> on furniture <strong>and</strong> floor coverings was less than 6%. Were it not for Braehead,<br />
it is likely that leakage <strong>of</strong> spending on clothing out <strong>of</strong> <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> - to Glasgow<br />
in particular - would have been very much higher than the level shown in the 2003<br />
household survey results.<br />
3.20 It will be evident from table 3 that spending on clothing, electrical goods, DIY,<br />
furniture <strong>and</strong> floor coverings only accounted for around two-thirds <strong>of</strong> all<br />
comparison spending in 2003. However the household survey results do not<br />
cover shopping patterns for the remaining categories <strong>of</strong> goods, <strong>and</strong> consequently<br />
it is necessary to use the survey results for the main categories <strong>of</strong> goods as a guide<br />
to the likely pattern <strong>of</strong> spending for other goods. For spending on other<br />
'mainstream' High Street goods we have used similar proportions <strong>of</strong> spending<br />
distribution to clothing spending, but weighted more towards local town centres<br />
<strong>and</strong> less to Glasgow city centre. For spending on other types <strong>of</strong> bulky goods we<br />
have used the average <strong>of</strong> spending on the main categories <strong>of</strong> bulky goods. The<br />
resultant calculations are shown in tables 8 <strong>and</strong> 9.<br />
Estimated Turnover in Existing Shopping Destinations<br />
3.21 By pulling together the output spending figures from tables 4 to 9, we are able to<br />
produce Table 10 which contains an estimate <strong>of</strong> total comparison spending from<br />
each catchment zone to each destination. In most cases this estimated spend will<br />
be equivalent to the turnover <strong>of</strong> that centre. However some centres will draw<br />
some <strong>of</strong> their trade from outside the main Braehead catchment, <strong>and</strong> this should<br />
be borne in mind when considering the likely total turnover <strong>of</strong> those centres. For<br />
Braehead we have estimated the amount <strong>of</strong> additional trade likely to be drawn to<br />
the centre from outside the catchment, based on many years <strong>of</strong> working on retail<br />
planning projects for the centre. For Glasgow city centre, which will draw a great<br />
deal <strong>of</strong> its trade from areas outside the Braehead catchment, we have used the<br />
total turnover as estimated in the capacity analysis set out in the Glasgow City<br />
Plan, adjusted to the 2005 prices used in our analysis, <strong>and</strong> then projected to 2008<br />
using actual growth rates <strong>and</strong> assuming the same market share as the City Plan<br />
estimates for 2006. This calculation is detailed in Table 11, <strong>and</strong> shows a total<br />
turnover <strong>of</strong> £1,630 million in 2008, <strong>of</strong> which £1,051 million comes from the main<br />
Braehead catchment.
PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 21 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />
BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
3.22 As well as providing a good indication <strong>of</strong> the likely turnover <strong>of</strong> each centre,<br />
assuming no changes to the shopping patterns which prevailed in 2003, Table 10<br />
is useful in showing the nature <strong>of</strong> each centre's trade draw - i.e the proportion <strong>of</strong><br />
its turnover drawn from each catchment zone. For Glasgow city centre the trade<br />
is drawn widely from across the whole area, whereas Paisley's trade draw is very<br />
concentrated within its own catchment.<br />
3.23 One anomaly in the household survey results is in relation to Renfrew, where a<br />
number <strong>of</strong> respondents indicated that they visited Renfrew for a variety <strong>of</strong> bulky<br />
goods purchases. This resulted in an estimated turnover for Renfrew town centre<br />
which was much higher than would be expected for such a centre. However it<br />
is likely that some survey respondents specified 'Renfrew' when they actually<br />
meant either Braehead (including the retail park <strong>and</strong> IKEA) or one <strong>of</strong> the two retail<br />
parks near Renfrew (Blythswood or Abbotsinch). For this reason we have made<br />
minor adjustments to the distribution <strong>of</strong> comparison spend to compensate for this<br />
anomaly.<br />
3.24 Table 12 presents the market share which would be likely to be achieved by each<br />
shopping destination from each catchment - i.e. the proportion <strong>of</strong> available<br />
spending from each zone which is captured by each centre - in 2008, assuming<br />
that 2003 shopping patterns prevailed. This shows Paisley <strong>and</strong> Braehead sharing<br />
roughly equal market shares (Paisley capturing 24% <strong>of</strong> the available comparison<br />
trade in the catchment <strong>and</strong> Braehead 23%), with Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park <strong>and</strong> IKEA<br />
at 12%. The combined attractions <strong>of</strong> all the centres in the Paisley catchment<br />
achieve a total market share <strong>of</strong> nearly 80%, with only 10.6% being exported to<br />
Glasgow. This represents a huge improvement in expenditure retention<br />
compared with pre-Braehead days, <strong>and</strong> emphasises how important Braehead <strong>and</strong><br />
its facilities had become in <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> by 2003.<br />
3.25 Table 12 also shows that, on the basis <strong>of</strong> the 2003 survey results, Braehead <strong>Retail</strong><br />
Park including IKEA accounts for around one-third <strong>of</strong> the total retail trade drawn<br />
to Braehead.<br />
The Effect <strong>of</strong> Floorspace Changes in the Paisley Area<br />
3.26 For the Sainsbury’s relocation analysis in 2008, <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> <strong>Council</strong> supplied a list<br />
<strong>of</strong> anticipated retail floorspace changes in the Paisley area which required to be<br />
built into the model <strong>of</strong> expenditure distribution. The most significant ones were<br />
the redevelopment <strong>of</strong> the Arnott’s site in Paisley town centre, a 12,000 square
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BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
metre extension to Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park, <strong>and</strong> a 4,995 square metre extension to<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park. We also included the additional floorspace provided by<br />
Marks <strong>and</strong> Spencer at Braehead. Against these additions to retail floorspace had<br />
to be balanced the reduction in floorspace resulting from closure <strong>of</strong> the Arnott’s<br />
department store <strong>and</strong> Littlewoods in Paisley town centre. The amount <strong>of</strong> gross<br />
comparison floorspace estimated in Paisley town centre after allowing for<br />
floorspace reductions <strong>and</strong> the redevelopment <strong>of</strong> Arnott’s was 46,775 square<br />
metres.<br />
3.27 Using these figures we produced Tables 13 <strong>and</strong> 14. Table 13 allowed for<br />
reductions in floorspace in Paisley town centre, as revealed from the council’s<br />
surveys <strong>of</strong> 2003 <strong>and</strong> 2008, while Table 14 showed the likely effect <strong>of</strong> the<br />
introduction <strong>of</strong> new approved floorspace in the Paisley area, by making<br />
appropriate adjustments to the market shares achieved by each shopping<br />
destination to allow for these floorspace changes. Unfortunately the more recent<br />
floorspace survey figures were not directly comparable with the ones from 2003<br />
because <strong>of</strong> a change in the geographical extent <strong>of</strong> the area being surveyed, which<br />
results in Paisley town centre’s turnover appearing to drop more dramatically -<br />
when comparing Table 13 with Table 14 - than it would have done in reality.<br />
However Table 13 provides a reasonable estimate <strong>of</strong> the base turnover <strong>of</strong> Paisley<br />
town centre before allowing for the implementation <strong>of</strong> new developments.<br />
3.28 A comparison <strong>of</strong> Table 13 with Table 14 shows that the implementation <strong>of</strong><br />
commitments would be likely to result in Paisley town centre’s turnover increasing<br />
from its low point <strong>of</strong> £166 million, following floorspace closures, to around £180<br />
million, with Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park increasing its turnover by around £12 million<br />
<strong>and</strong> Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park by £28.5 million. The combined turnover <strong>of</strong> Braehead<br />
Mall <strong>and</strong> <strong>Retail</strong> Park drawn from the main catchment area reduces by £27 million.<br />
<strong>Council</strong> surveys show a very substantial reduction in Renfrew town centre’s<br />
comparison floorspace between 2003 <strong>and</strong> 2008, <strong>and</strong> this is also reflected in Table<br />
14 - although the scale <strong>of</strong> the reduction suggests that the two surveys are not<br />
compatible in terms <strong>of</strong> the geographical areas to which they relate, as is the case<br />
in Paisley town centre<br />
The Effect <strong>of</strong> Silverburn<br />
3.29 The next stage in the exercise in 2008 was to build in the effect <strong>of</strong> Silverburn<br />
shopping centre at Pollok to the model <strong>of</strong> shopping patterns. Although the centre<br />
was not yet fully let, we were able to produce an estimate <strong>of</strong> its likely trading
PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 23 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />
BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
potential when fully let, on the assumption that this would be achieved by 2010 (in<br />
reality Silverburn is now largely let, with only a few vacant units).<br />
3.30 Table 15 sets out our estimate <strong>of</strong> the altered shopping patterns after allowing for<br />
the Silverburn effect, adjusted to take account <strong>of</strong> the changed expenditure<br />
estimates compared with the previous analysis. It is estimated that the centre<br />
would have achieved a turnover <strong>of</strong> £275 million from the Braehead main<br />
catchment in 2008 if fully let, resulting in a 20% reduction in Braehead’s turnover<br />
potential, <strong>and</strong> a 5.4% impact on Paisley’s comparison trade. East Kilbride is<br />
estimated to lose around 18% <strong>of</strong> its comparison trade drawn from the Braehead<br />
catchment, <strong>and</strong> Glasgow City Centre 5.4%. Our estimates are based on the likely<br />
market penetration <strong>of</strong> Silverburn into each catchment, having regard to the nature<br />
<strong>of</strong> the facilities in those catchments <strong>and</strong> their distance from Silverburn, <strong>and</strong> also<br />
having regard to the extent to which shoppers living in the Pollok area were<br />
making trips to other shopping destinations when surveyed in 2003.<br />
Expenditure Growth to 2010<br />
3.31 Table 16 takes the estimated changes in shopping patterns following the opening<br />
<strong>of</strong> Silverburn, <strong>and</strong> simply rolls forward those patterns from 2008 to 2010, so we<br />
can see how the various spending flows would be higher in 2010 as a result <strong>of</strong><br />
expenditure growth, assuming no change in shopping habits or floorspace<br />
provision. Overall turnover generated from catchment spending increases from<br />
£3,985 million to £4,216 million.<br />
Effect <strong>of</strong> City Centre Commitments<br />
3.32 As previously explained, Table 11 shows the estimated turnover <strong>of</strong> the city centre<br />
in 2008, after allowing for the implementation <strong>of</strong> commitments assumed by the<br />
Glasgow City Plan. However the latest estimates produced by Glasgow City<br />
<strong>Council</strong> (GCC Factsheet, July 2009) show an anticipated additional comparison<br />
floorspace provision <strong>of</strong> some 91,600 square metres to 2013, excluding the<br />
Buchanan Galleries extension but including the St. Enoch extension. It is unlikely<br />
that the Buchanan Galleries development will have opened <strong>and</strong> reached normal<br />
trading conditions by 2012 so has not been built into our model, but we have<br />
assumed that all the other permissions will have been implemented by then.<br />
3.33 Following the same process as for Silverburn, in Table 17 we have made further<br />
adjustments to the market shares <strong>of</strong> centres within each area to allow for the likely
PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 24 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />
BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
effect <strong>of</strong> the additional floorspace provision in Glasgow City Centre. This results<br />
in that element <strong>of</strong> the city centre’s turnover which is drawn from the Braehead<br />
catchment increasing from £1,046 million to £1,137 million, while Braehead’s<br />
turnover from catchment drops from £307 million to £279 million, reflecting the<br />
shift in market share from Braehead to the city centre.<br />
3.34 Braehead’s turnover is shown to have dropped by nearly £90 million because <strong>of</strong><br />
the combined effects <strong>of</strong> the Silverburn development <strong>and</strong> new floorspace in the city<br />
centre. Similarly the Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park’s turnover is down by some £29 million<br />
compared with the 2008 projected estimate, because <strong>of</strong> the impact <strong>of</strong> expansion<br />
<strong>of</strong> Abbotsinch <strong>and</strong> Phoenix retail parks. However, apart from the impact on<br />
Braehead, the expansion <strong>of</strong> these retail parks is shown to have been absorbed into<br />
the retail system without any significant adverse effects, <strong>and</strong> the Silverburn<br />
development is also now a part <strong>of</strong> the system <strong>and</strong> taking around £260 million <strong>of</strong><br />
comparison spending from the Braehead catchment.<br />
3.35 Table 18 shows the likely trade draw pattern in 2010, which can be read alongside<br />
Table 17's market share analysis to provide the full picture <strong>of</strong> likely shopping<br />
patterns, <strong>and</strong> also compared with Table 10 to show estimated changes in trade<br />
draw from 2008 to 2010 after all commitments have been taken into account.<br />
One notable change is the more localised trade draw <strong>of</strong> Braehead, indicating a<br />
shrinking catchment because <strong>of</strong> the effect <strong>of</strong> new developments elsewhere.<br />
Turnover Potential from Sainsbury’s Relocation<br />
3.36 Tables 19 to 21 show the estimated effect <strong>of</strong> the Sainsbury’s relocation, which was<br />
set out in our 2008 report in support <strong>of</strong> the Sainsbury’s planning application. Table<br />
19 shows the calculation we undertook to estimate the potential difference in<br />
turnover at Braehead when comparing the reoccupation <strong>of</strong> the B&Q Warehouse,<br />
subdivided into four units for bulky goods sales, with the Sainsbury’s relocation.<br />
In 2008 we did not know the likely occupation <strong>of</strong> the vacated Sainsbury’s store in<br />
the main centre, but now we know that this will be occupied by Primark, the<br />
clothing <strong>and</strong> footwear retailer, so we are able to more accurately estimate the<br />
likely comparison turnover <strong>of</strong> that unit.<br />
3.37 On the assumption that an electrical retailer, a carpet warehouse, a furniture<br />
retailer <strong>and</strong> car accessories operation could have occupied the old B&Q, we<br />
applied <strong>Retail</strong> Rankings estimates <strong>of</strong> the turnover potential for such retailers to the<br />
floorspace which could be created, <strong>and</strong> as a result we estimated that the total
PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 25 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />
BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
potential comparison turnover could be <strong>of</strong> the order <strong>of</strong> £36 million in 2010,<br />
generated by the reoccupied B&Q <strong>and</strong> also by the comparison floorspace which<br />
would remain in the unrelocated Sainsbury’s store in the mall.<br />
3.38 We then considered the proportion <strong>of</strong> this turnover which would be competing<br />
directly with retailers in the High Streets <strong>of</strong> existing town centres - i.e. the amount<br />
<strong>of</strong> trade which would not be available to existing town centres if the B&Q was<br />
reoccupied. The 2003 household survey revealed that only 50% or so <strong>of</strong> spending<br />
in the Paisley catchment on electrical, carpets <strong>and</strong> furniture goods was made in<br />
retail parks, with the remainder made in town centres. There is no data available<br />
for car accessories stores so we assumed that 75% <strong>of</strong> such trade would be in retail<br />
parks. As regards the comparison trade in the old Sainsbury’s, this was<br />
unrestricted floorspace <strong>and</strong> was located close to the other comparison shops in<br />
the main shopping mall, so it was appropriate to assume that none <strong>of</strong> that trade<br />
would be available to town centres. Thus we were able to estimate that, <strong>of</strong> the<br />
total turnover potential generated by a reoccupied B&Q <strong>and</strong> by Sainsbury’s<br />
remaining in the mall, some £20 million <strong>of</strong> the total £36 million would be<br />
unavailable for town centre consumption by virtue <strong>of</strong> the existing permission at the<br />
retail park at Braehead.<br />
3.39 We then considered the turnover potential <strong>of</strong> the situation at Braehead with<br />
Sainsbury’s relocated, <strong>and</strong> we have updated that analysis in light <strong>of</strong> the knowledge<br />
that Primark are occupying the vacated Sainsbury store in the main centre.<br />
Table 19 shows that the total turnover potential <strong>of</strong> the reoccupied mall floorspace<br />
<strong>and</strong> the comparison element <strong>of</strong> the new Sainsbury’s could be £37 million, assuming<br />
healthy trading conditions. However some <strong>of</strong> the Sainsbury’s comparison<br />
floorspace trades in restricted goods <strong>and</strong> so competes with retail parks as well as<br />
town centres, while the unrestricted comparison floorspace - although it can be<br />
considered to be in competition with town centres - will also compete to a<br />
considerable extent with similar large superstores selling unrestricted comparison<br />
goods in out-<strong>of</strong>-centre locations. Consequently we assumed that 75% rather than<br />
100% <strong>of</strong> this unrestricted floorspace would be in direct competition with town<br />
centres. As regards the unrestricted floorspace in the former Sainsbury’s in the<br />
mall, occupied by Primark, all <strong>of</strong> this (100%) potentially competes with existing<br />
town centres. Thus the total potential turnover <strong>of</strong> competing floorspace is £32.3<br />
million.<br />
3.40 Comparing the two scenarios set out in Table 19, it can be seen that the net<br />
increase in competing comparison turnover compared with the turnover potential
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BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
<strong>of</strong> the B&Q reoccupied scenario is £12.5 million, <strong>and</strong> it is this turnover which can<br />
be regarded as potentially being diverted from other retail destinations.<br />
Estimated Trade Diversions Due to Sainsbury Relocation<br />
3.41 We then estimated how the additional £12.5 million trade at Braehead would be<br />
diverted from other shopping destinations, <strong>and</strong> this analysis is set out in Table 20.<br />
For each catchment we estimated how the comparison trade might be<br />
redistributed, having regard to the nature <strong>of</strong> the shopping facilities which would<br />
be likely to be in competition with the improved <strong>of</strong>fer at Braehead, <strong>and</strong> the market<br />
share <strong>and</strong> trade draw patterns revealed in Tables 17 <strong>and</strong> 18.<br />
3.42 We assumed that 70% <strong>of</strong> the new trade at Braehead would be drawn from the<br />
Paisley / Renfrew catchment (Table 20, column 8) - which is considerably higher<br />
than the 52% which Braehead drew from the Paisley catchment when the<br />
household survey was undertaken (Table 10, column 9), reflecting the more<br />
localised catchment <strong>of</strong> the Sainsbury’s element <strong>of</strong> the additional turnover, <strong>and</strong> also<br />
reflecting the prediction in Table 18 that Braehead’s trade draw will tend to<br />
become more localised as the increased competition from other centres takes<br />
effect. We estimated that the remaining trade would be drawn from throughout<br />
the existing Braehead catchment, broadly reflecting the 2003 patterns, except for<br />
the draw from the Pollok area where the trade draw would be lower than in 2003<br />
because <strong>of</strong> the Silverburn effect. Some <strong>of</strong> the trade within the new comparison<br />
floorspace would be diverted from other existing stores within the Braehead<br />
centre, reflecting competition between existing <strong>and</strong> new traders.<br />
3.43 The total effect <strong>of</strong> the estimated trade diversions can be seen in the right-h<strong>and</strong><br />
columns <strong>of</strong> Table 20, where the percentage impacts <strong>and</strong> changes in turnover per<br />
square metre are shown. All the percentage reductions are extremely low (less<br />
than 1%), which is not surprising given that the total trade diversion is only £12.5<br />
million. None <strong>of</strong> these trade diversions would cause any longer-term trading<br />
difficulty in the centres concerned.<br />
3.44 The turnover at Braehead is predicted to increase by 3% as a result <strong>of</strong> the<br />
Sainsbury’s relocation, although still £67 million below the level that it could have<br />
expected to achieve from the main catchment area in 2008 in the absence <strong>of</strong> the<br />
various competing new developments coming on stream. Braehead’s market<br />
share is projected to fall to 6.9% <strong>of</strong> the available spending in its catchment,<br />
compared with its 9% market share in 2003.
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BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
Effect <strong>of</strong> the Proposed Extensions to the <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
3.45 Having now analysed all the likely changes to the turnover, market share <strong>and</strong> trade<br />
draw <strong>of</strong> Braehead <strong>and</strong> other centres as a result <strong>of</strong> the implementation <strong>of</strong><br />
commitments, relocation <strong>of</strong> Sainsbury’s, <strong>and</strong> increases in retail expenditure to<br />
2010, we can now consider the likely effect <strong>of</strong> the proposed extensions to the<br />
retail park, assuming also that the new mezzanine floor is installed in the existing<br />
Curry’s unit.<br />
3.46 As previously explained, we are assuming that the proposed extensions will have<br />
been built <strong>and</strong> occupied, <strong>and</strong> a normal level <strong>of</strong> trade established, by the year 2012.<br />
Consequently we need to roll forward the patterns <strong>of</strong> retail spending from 2010<br />
to 2012 before proceeding further. Table 21 shows the estimated patterns <strong>of</strong><br />
spending in 2010 following the implementation <strong>of</strong> all commitments plus the<br />
Sainsbury’s relocation, <strong>and</strong> Table 22 shows the same spending patterns applied to<br />
2012 levels <strong>of</strong> expenditure. The total turnover derived from the catchment, <strong>of</strong><br />
£4,506 million, is the same total as shown in the expenditure calculations in<br />
Table 3.<br />
Estimated Turnover <strong>of</strong> the New Floorspace<br />
3.47 Table 23 shows our estimate <strong>of</strong> the potential turnover <strong>of</strong> the new retail floorspace<br />
being proposed. We have assumed one <strong>of</strong> the units being occupied by a furniture<br />
retailer <strong>and</strong> the other by a higher-value operator such as an electrical goods<br />
retailer. We have then applied the 2009 <strong>Retail</strong> Rankings estimate <strong>of</strong> Curry’s<br />
turnover to the proposed mezzanine floor area. The total potential additional<br />
turnover is £26.2 million.<br />
3.48 Following the same methodology as in Table 20 for the Sainsbury’s relocation, we<br />
have then estimated the likely source <strong>of</strong> the £26.2 million in terms <strong>of</strong> trade draw<br />
from each part <strong>of</strong> the catchment, <strong>and</strong> the centres from which the trade is likely to<br />
be diverted. Based on the household survey evidence <strong>and</strong> our analysis <strong>of</strong> changes<br />
since then, showing the retail park drawing around 55% <strong>of</strong> its main catchment<br />
trade from the Paisley / Renfrew area, 20% from the Glasgow South area, 11%<br />
from North West Glasgow, <strong>and</strong> smaller amounts from the remaining sub-areas,<br />
we have assumed that the new floorspace will have similar trade draw<br />
characteristics. Accordingly Table 24 examines the likely trade diversions from<br />
each shopping destination, based on similar trade draws to those currently<br />
achieved at the retail park.
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BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
3.49 Some <strong>of</strong> the trade drawn to the new facilities at Braehead will have been<br />
previously directed to other retailers in the park, so some <strong>of</strong> the diversions will be<br />
within Braehead itself. The rest <strong>of</strong> the trade drawn to the new units <strong>and</strong> the<br />
additional Curry’s floorspace will be diverted primarily from other retail parks in<br />
<strong>Renfrewshire</strong> <strong>and</strong> beyond. Table 24 shows how we have estimated this<br />
redistribution is likely to occur - the trade obtained from within <strong>Renfrewshire</strong><br />
being diverted almost entirely from the other retail parks in <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>, while<br />
trade drawn from beyond the Paisley / Renfrew area is likely to be diverted<br />
primarily from those facilities which are most directly in competition with the<br />
Braehead retail park.<br />
3.50 The anticipated outcome <strong>of</strong> the introduction <strong>of</strong> the additional floorspace is an 11%<br />
increase in the turnover within the retail park, although a slight (2%) reduction in<br />
the level <strong>of</strong> turnover per square metre, as is normally the case when the amount<br />
<strong>of</strong> floorspace in a centre is increased. Each <strong>of</strong> the three main competing retail<br />
parks in <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> experience a reduction <strong>of</strong> around 7% in turnover, although<br />
the largest actual reduction in monetary terms is at Abbotsinch, which is the<br />
largest <strong>and</strong> most popular <strong>of</strong> the three other retail parks. There are no other<br />
predicted trade diversions <strong>of</strong> any significance.<br />
3.51 The overall effect, therefore, is <strong>of</strong> a very self-contained redistribution <strong>of</strong> turnover<br />
within the <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> retail parks. There are no town centres likely to be<br />
affected by the proposals.<br />
Conclusions<br />
3.52 Our detailed analysis builds on the earlier analysis undertaken to examine the<br />
implications <strong>of</strong> relocating Sainsbury’s from the main centre to the retail park, but<br />
also takes account <strong>of</strong> the effects <strong>of</strong> the recession <strong>and</strong> the reduction in retail<br />
expenditure growth which had not yet emerged when the 2008 analysis was<br />
undertaken, <strong>and</strong> allows for a higher level <strong>of</strong> additional retail floorspace being<br />
provided in Glasgow city centre.<br />
3.53 The analysis shows that although the pace <strong>of</strong> retail growth has eased, <strong>and</strong> the<br />
expenditure projections are lower than they were in 2008 for the same future<br />
years, there is ample scope for redistribution <strong>of</strong> bulky goods trade to support the<br />
modest amount <strong>of</strong> additional retail floorspace being proposed for Braehead <strong>Retail</strong><br />
Park, after taking account <strong>of</strong> the implementation <strong>of</strong> commitments <strong>and</strong> the recent<br />
relocation <strong>of</strong> Sainsbury’s into the retail park - which had the effect <strong>of</strong> reducing the
PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 29 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />
BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
amount <strong>of</strong> bulky goods floorspace available at Braehead. There are no town<br />
centres likely to be affected by the proposal, <strong>and</strong> the estimated trade reductions<br />
in the other retail parks are all relatively modest at around 7% - with residual<br />
turnover levels in 2012 which are very similar to estimated 2010 levels (Table 24<br />
compared with Table 21).<br />
3.54 Consequently the current proposals do not raise any concerns so far as retail<br />
impact or expenditure availability is concerned, <strong>and</strong> the retail impact <strong>and</strong><br />
catchment capacity tests required by the SPP, the Structure Plan <strong>and</strong> the Local<br />
Plan are all satisfied.
PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 30 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />
BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
4 CONCLUSIONS<br />
4.1 The new SPP - which is the most recent statement <strong>of</strong> planning policy in Scotl<strong>and</strong>,<br />
<strong>and</strong> more up to date than the Glasgow & The Clyde Valley Structure Plan <strong>and</strong> the<br />
<strong>Renfrewshire</strong> Local Plan, gives support to investment to maintain <strong>and</strong> improve<br />
commercial centres, where the centres are part <strong>of</strong> the network <strong>of</strong> centres in the<br />
development plan <strong>and</strong> where such investment will not undermine town centres.<br />
The Fourth Alteration to the Structure Plan confirmed Braehead as a commercial<br />
centre, <strong>and</strong> the analysis in the previous section <strong>of</strong> this report demonstrated that<br />
the proposed investment at Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park will not undermine any town<br />
centres. Accordingly there is national policy support for the current proposals.<br />
4.2 The proposals have been thoroughly assessed against the policies <strong>of</strong> the Structure<br />
Plan <strong>and</strong> shown to accord with its requirements. The relevant local plan policies<br />
R1, R2, R13 <strong>and</strong> R16 have also been examined, <strong>and</strong> it has been noted that the<br />
proposal complies with policies R1, R2 <strong>and</strong> R16, but does not conform with the<br />
floorspace restrictions <strong>of</strong> Policy R13. However it is considered that the departure<br />
from Policy R13 is not significant, because (1) the additional floorspace is far less<br />
than could be provided by way <strong>of</strong> mezzanine floors in the retail park, which in<br />
future will be under the full control <strong>of</strong> the council because <strong>of</strong> the effect <strong>of</strong> the<br />
proposed new legal agreement, <strong>and</strong> (2) in the light <strong>of</strong> national retail planning policy<br />
set out in the SPP, it is no longer appropriate to impose blanket presumptions<br />
against additional retail floorspace at the Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park, which is now<br />
designated as a Commercial Centre.<br />
4.3 A detailed retail impact analysis has been undertaken, which shows that the effect<br />
<strong>of</strong> the proposed additional retail floorspace will be to reduce the turnover at the<br />
existing <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> retail parks by around 7%, but that each park will still<br />
maintain a healthy turnover-to-floorspace ratio. There are no town centres likely<br />
to be affected by the proposals.<br />
4.4 The proposals will allow the retail park to respond to additional external<br />
competition from other retail destinations, restore some <strong>of</strong> the bulky goods retail<br />
floorspace which was lost to the park following the relocation <strong>of</strong> Sainsbury’s, <strong>and</strong><br />
allow the park some flexibility to accommodate the future needs <strong>of</strong> its tenants, as<br />
well as providing new opportunities. It will also result in the visual enhancement<br />
<strong>of</strong> the park, particularly at the western end facing the main centre, improve links<br />
between the retail park, bus station <strong>and</strong> main centre, <strong>and</strong> allow improvements to
PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 31 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />
BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
l<strong>and</strong>scaping. The new extensions will be <strong>of</strong> a high st<strong>and</strong>ard <strong>of</strong> design, <strong>and</strong> will link<br />
in well with the existing buildings.<br />
4.5 Accordingly <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> <strong>Council</strong> is invited to give its full support to the proposals<br />
<strong>and</strong> to approve the planning applications <strong>and</strong> the Certificate <strong>of</strong> Lawful Use or<br />
Development.
PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />
BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />
Appendix<br />
<strong>Retail</strong> Tables 1 - 24
Table 1<br />
Population Estimates - Braehead Main Catchment<br />
Bishopbriggs / Kirkintilloch<br />
Glasgow NW / Clydebank<br />
Dumbarton / Vale <strong>of</strong> Leven<br />
Glasgow Sth / Newtn Mrns<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
E Kilbride / Rutherglen<br />
Greenock<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
# from Technical Report 7/06<br />
* from Technical Report 7, July 2000<br />
10 - 20<br />
0 - 10<br />
10 - 20<br />
10 - 20<br />
0 - 10<br />
10 - 20<br />
10 - 20<br />
10 - 20<br />
+ estimated from GROS population projections 2010<br />
~ estimated pro-rata from 2006 <strong>and</strong> 2011 estimates<br />
Population 2011 #<br />
124143<br />
262277<br />
45442<br />
204442<br />
252683<br />
164475<br />
74994<br />
90939<br />
1219395<br />
Population 2006 *<br />
126885<br />
282299<br />
45153<br />
213526<br />
259391<br />
165284<br />
74314<br />
91390<br />
1258242<br />
Population 2008 ~<br />
125788<br />
274290<br />
45269<br />
209892<br />
256708<br />
164960<br />
74586<br />
91210<br />
1242703<br />
Population 2010 ~<br />
124691<br />
266281<br />
45384<br />
206259<br />
254025<br />
164637<br />
74858<br />
91029<br />
1227164<br />
Population 2012 +<br />
123723<br />
261694<br />
45341<br />
204272<br />
252521<br />
165105<br />
74575<br />
89467<br />
1216699<br />
15/4/10
Table 2<br />
Comparison Expenditure Estimates<br />
Expenditure Breakdown<br />
2005 estimates at 05 prices<br />
Clothing / footwear<br />
Electrical goods<br />
DIY / hardware<br />
Furniture / floorcoverings<br />
Other (bulky)<br />
Other (mainstream)<br />
Total<br />
2005 estimates from MapInfo<br />
0-10<br />
mins<br />
737<br />
451<br />
268<br />
306<br />
300<br />
687<br />
2749<br />
10-20<br />
mins<br />
772<br />
468<br />
275<br />
316<br />
310<br />
712<br />
2853<br />
Growth projections from Pitney Bowes <strong>Retail</strong> Expenditure Guide 2009/10<br />
Growth to 2008<br />
(actual growth)<br />
0-10<br />
847<br />
518<br />
308<br />
352<br />
345<br />
789<br />
3,159<br />
10-20<br />
887<br />
538<br />
316<br />
363<br />
356<br />
818<br />
3,278<br />
Project to 2010<br />
0-10<br />
907<br />
555<br />
330<br />
377<br />
369<br />
846<br />
3,384<br />
10-20<br />
950<br />
576<br />
338<br />
389<br />
382<br />
876<br />
3,512<br />
Project to 2011<br />
0-10<br />
939<br />
575<br />
341<br />
390<br />
382<br />
875<br />
3,502<br />
10-20<br />
983<br />
596<br />
350<br />
403<br />
395<br />
907<br />
3,634<br />
Project to 2012<br />
0-10<br />
972<br />
595<br />
353<br />
403<br />
396<br />
906<br />
3,624<br />
10-20<br />
1,018<br />
617<br />
363<br />
417<br />
409<br />
939<br />
3,762<br />
15/4/10
Table 3<br />
Comparison Expenditure Estimates<br />
by Area <strong>and</strong> Category<br />
Bishopbriggs / Kirkintilloch<br />
Glasgow NW / Clydebank<br />
Dumbarton / Vale <strong>of</strong> Leven<br />
Glasgow Sth / Newtn Mrns<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
E Kilbride / Rutherglen<br />
Greenock<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
Total 2008<br />
Bishopbriggs / Kirkintilloch<br />
Glasgow NW / Clydebank<br />
Dumbarton / Vale <strong>of</strong> Leven<br />
Glasgow Sth / Newtn Mrns<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
E Kilbride / Rutherglen<br />
Greenock<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
Total 2010<br />
Bishopbriggs / Kirkintilloch<br />
Glasgow NW / Clydebank<br />
Dumbarton / Vale <strong>of</strong> Leven<br />
Glasgow Sth / Newtn Mrns<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
E Kilbride / Rutherglen<br />
Greenock<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
Total 2010<br />
2008<br />
412.34<br />
866.36<br />
148.39<br />
662.95<br />
810.82<br />
540.75<br />
244.50<br />
298.99<br />
3985.09<br />
2010<br />
437.86<br />
900.97<br />
159.37<br />
697.88<br />
859.49<br />
578.12<br />
262.86<br />
319.65<br />
4216.20<br />
2012<br />
465.40<br />
948.51<br />
170.56<br />
768.39<br />
915.26<br />
621.06<br />
280.52<br />
336.54<br />
4506.25<br />
Clothing<br />
111.58<br />
232.27<br />
40.15<br />
177.74<br />
217.38<br />
146.32<br />
66.16<br />
80.90<br />
1072.50<br />
Clothing<br />
118.48<br />
241.55<br />
43.12<br />
187.10<br />
230.43<br />
156.44<br />
71.13<br />
86.49<br />
1134.74<br />
Clothing<br />
125.93<br />
254.29<br />
46.15<br />
207.92<br />
245.38<br />
168.06<br />
75.91<br />
91.07<br />
1214.71<br />
Elect<br />
67.64<br />
142.13<br />
24.34<br />
108.76<br />
133.02<br />
88.70<br />
40.11<br />
49.05<br />
653.76<br />
Elect<br />
71.82<br />
147.81<br />
26.14<br />
114.49<br />
141.01<br />
94.83<br />
43.12<br />
52.43<br />
691.67<br />
Elect<br />
76.34<br />
155.61<br />
27.98<br />
126.05<br />
150.16<br />
101.88<br />
46.02<br />
55.21<br />
739.24<br />
DIY<br />
39.75<br />
84.46<br />
14.30<br />
64.63<br />
79.05<br />
52.12<br />
23.57<br />
28.82<br />
386.70<br />
DIY<br />
42.20<br />
87.84<br />
15.36<br />
68.04<br />
83.79<br />
55.73<br />
25.34<br />
30.81<br />
409.10<br />
DIY<br />
44.86<br />
92.47<br />
16.44<br />
74.07<br />
89.23<br />
59.86<br />
27.04<br />
32.44<br />
436.41<br />
Furn<br />
45.67<br />
96.44<br />
16.44<br />
73.80<br />
90.26<br />
59.89<br />
27.08<br />
33.12<br />
442.68<br />
Furn<br />
48.50<br />
100.29<br />
17.65<br />
77.68<br />
95.67<br />
64.03<br />
29.12<br />
35.40<br />
468.35<br />
Furn<br />
51.55<br />
105.58<br />
18.89<br />
85.11<br />
101.88<br />
68.79<br />
31.07<br />
37.28<br />
500.14<br />
Other<br />
Bulky<br />
44.80<br />
94.55<br />
16.12<br />
72.35<br />
88.49<br />
58.76<br />
26.57<br />
32.49<br />
434.12<br />
Other<br />
Bulky<br />
47.58<br />
98.32<br />
17.32<br />
76.16<br />
93.80<br />
62.82<br />
28.56<br />
34.73<br />
459.28<br />
Other<br />
Bulky<br />
50.57<br />
103.51<br />
18.53<br />
83.49<br />
99.88<br />
67.48<br />
30.48<br />
36.57<br />
490.52<br />
Other<br />
Main<br />
102.90<br />
216.51<br />
37.03<br />
165.68<br />
202.63<br />
134.95<br />
61.02<br />
74.62<br />
995.34<br />
Other<br />
Main<br />
109.27<br />
225.16<br />
39.77<br />
174.41<br />
214.80<br />
144.28<br />
65.60<br />
79.77<br />
1053.06<br />
Other<br />
Main<br />
116.15<br />
237.04<br />
42.56<br />
191.76<br />
228.73<br />
154.99<br />
70.01<br />
83.99<br />
1125.24<br />
15/4/10<br />
Total<br />
412.34<br />
866.36<br />
148.39<br />
662.95<br />
810.82<br />
540.75<br />
244.50<br />
298.99<br />
3985.09<br />
Total<br />
437.86<br />
900.97<br />
159.37<br />
697.88<br />
859.49<br />
578.12<br />
262.86<br />
319.65<br />
4216.20<br />
Total<br />
465.40<br />
948.51<br />
170.56<br />
768.39<br />
915.26<br />
621.06<br />
280.52<br />
336.54<br />
4506.25
Table 4<br />
Shopping Patterns in Main Catchment 2008<br />
Clothing<br />
Destination<br />
Origin<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />
%<br />
73.8%<br />
0.0%<br />
3.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
5.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
7.0%<br />
10.2%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
82.37<br />
0.00<br />
4.31<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
5.62<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
7.86<br />
11.42<br />
111.58<br />
Source: Glasgow & Clyde Valley Household Shopping Survey 2004<br />
Glas NW / Clydbk<br />
%<br />
62.8%<br />
0.0%<br />
11.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
12.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
5.1%<br />
7.5%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
145.92<br />
0.00<br />
26.62<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.32<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.62<br />
0.00<br />
28.57<br />
0.00<br />
11.85<br />
17.37<br />
232.27<br />
Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />
%<br />
29.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
15.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
32.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.2%<br />
5.7%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
11.75<br />
0.00<br />
6.37<br />
0.00<br />
0.16<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.82<br />
0.00<br />
13.06<br />
0.00<br />
5.71<br />
2.29<br />
40.15<br />
Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />
%<br />
57.4%<br />
1.5%<br />
15.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.2%<br />
1.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
4.0%<br />
11.5%<br />
8.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
102.11<br />
2.67<br />
27.88<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.13<br />
0.00<br />
0.13<br />
0.38<br />
2.67<br />
0.00<br />
7.13<br />
20.50<br />
14.13<br />
177.74<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
%<br />
20.6%<br />
27.7%<br />
40.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.8%<br />
2.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.3%<br />
2.3%<br />
4.6%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
44.81<br />
60.11<br />
87.25<br />
0.00<br />
0.65<br />
1.72<br />
6.25<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.65<br />
0.43<br />
0.00<br />
0.65<br />
4.96<br />
9.91<br />
217.38<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
%<br />
32.7%<br />
0.1%<br />
1.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
4.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
51.9%<br />
0.8%<br />
8.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
47.89<br />
0.19<br />
2.09<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
5.89<br />
0.00<br />
0.19<br />
76.01<br />
1.14<br />
12.92<br />
146.32<br />
%<br />
19.5%<br />
1.0%<br />
13.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.3%<br />
1.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
58.7%<br />
5.7%<br />
100.0%<br />
Greenock<br />
£m<br />
12.89<br />
0.69<br />
8.76<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.17<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.17<br />
0.17<br />
0.69<br />
0.00<br />
38.84<br />
3.78<br />
66.16<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
%<br />
57.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
7.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
6.7%<br />
11.2%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
46.36<br />
0.00<br />
11.82<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.82<br />
0.00<br />
6.36<br />
0.00<br />
5.45<br />
9.09<br />
80.90<br />
15/4/10<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
494.10<br />
63.66<br />
175.10<br />
0.00<br />
0.81<br />
1.72<br />
6.87<br />
0.00<br />
0.13<br />
16.96<br />
3.28<br />
48.87<br />
83.79<br />
96.31<br />
80.91<br />
1072.50
Table 5<br />
Shopping Patterns in Main Catchment 2008<br />
Electrical Goods<br />
Destination<br />
Origin<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />
%<br />
17.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.8%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
58.7%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
6.3%<br />
16.4%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
11.77<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.52<br />
0.00<br />
0.13<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
39.70<br />
0.13<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
4.27<br />
11.12<br />
67.64<br />
Source: Glasgow & Clyde Valley Household Shopping Survey 2004<br />
Glas NW / Clydbk<br />
%<br />
19.1%<br />
0.1%<br />
1.2%<br />
0.8%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
15.8%<br />
0.2%<br />
16.8%<br />
0.1%<br />
30.6%<br />
14.7%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
27.09<br />
0.12<br />
1.73<br />
1.11<br />
0.25<br />
0.00<br />
0.12<br />
0.49<br />
0.00<br />
22.51<br />
0.25<br />
23.87<br />
0.12<br />
43.54<br />
20.91<br />
142.13<br />
Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />
%<br />
6.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
3.8%<br />
1.4%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
11.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
32.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
34.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
1.51<br />
0.00<br />
0.93<br />
0.35<br />
0.12<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.12<br />
2.80<br />
0.00<br />
7.80<br />
0.00<br />
8.27<br />
2.45<br />
24.34<br />
Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />
%<br />
21.3%<br />
1.1%<br />
5.3%<br />
3.8%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.6%<br />
0.8%<br />
35.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.5%<br />
12.0%<br />
18.2%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
23.18<br />
1.21<br />
5.75<br />
4.13<br />
0.10<br />
0.10<br />
0.10<br />
0.71<br />
0.91<br />
38.10<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.61<br />
13.10<br />
19.76<br />
108.76<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
%<br />
3.6%<br />
20.3%<br />
15.8%<br />
11.6%<br />
0.6%<br />
1.9%<br />
1.6%<br />
18.8%<br />
8.0%<br />
4.2%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
3.0%<br />
10.2%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
4.79<br />
26.96<br />
21.05<br />
15.47<br />
0.80<br />
2.55<br />
2.07<br />
25.04<br />
10.69<br />
5.58<br />
0.48<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
3.99<br />
13.56<br />
133.02<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
%<br />
9.9%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.3%<br />
53.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
20.7%<br />
2.0%<br />
11.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
8.74<br />
0.15<br />
0.00<br />
0.87<br />
0.15<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.15<br />
0.29<br />
47.63<br />
0.00<br />
0.15<br />
18.35<br />
1.75<br />
10.49<br />
88.70<br />
%<br />
1.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
88.0%<br />
6.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
Greenock<br />
£m<br />
0.74<br />
0.00<br />
0.12<br />
0.25<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.12<br />
0.00<br />
0.87<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
35.28<br />
2.72<br />
40.11<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
%<br />
9.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
3.8%<br />
1.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
34.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
17.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
9.0%<br />
24.4%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
4.40<br />
0.00<br />
1.89<br />
0.63<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
16.98<br />
0.00<br />
8.80<br />
0.00<br />
4.40<br />
11.95<br />
49.05<br />
15/4/10<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
82.23<br />
28.43<br />
31.47<br />
23.33<br />
1.41<br />
2.78<br />
2.30<br />
26.51<br />
12.00<br />
174.17<br />
0.86<br />
40.63<br />
20.09<br />
114.60<br />
92.95<br />
653.76
Table 6<br />
Shopping Patterns in Main Catchment 2008<br />
DIY / Hardware<br />
Destination<br />
Origin<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />
%<br />
4.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
80.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.2%<br />
11.7%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
1.81<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.51<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.07<br />
0.00<br />
31.84<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.87<br />
4.64<br />
39.75<br />
Source: Glasgow & Clyde Valley Household Shopping Survey 2004<br />
Glas NW / Clydbk<br />
%<br />
4.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
1.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
73.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
5.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.9%<br />
6.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
3.92<br />
0.00<br />
0.07<br />
1.31<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.15<br />
0.00<br />
61.66<br />
0.00<br />
4.72<br />
0.00<br />
7.55<br />
5.08<br />
84.46<br />
Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />
%<br />
1.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
2.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
65.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
11.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
15.8%<br />
3.5%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
0.14<br />
0.00<br />
0.07<br />
0.35<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
9.35<br />
0.00<br />
1.63<br />
0.00<br />
2.27<br />
0.50<br />
14.30<br />
Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />
%<br />
6.7%<br />
0.7%<br />
1.0%<br />
8.7%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.1%<br />
0.2%<br />
71.5%<br />
0.8%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.7%<br />
5.1%<br />
3.4%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
4.35<br />
0.44<br />
0.63<br />
5.61<br />
0.13<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.69<br />
0.13<br />
46.24<br />
0.50<br />
0.00<br />
0.44<br />
3.28<br />
2.20<br />
64.63<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.0%<br />
5.3%<br />
31.8%<br />
0.5%<br />
2.7%<br />
3.5%<br />
27.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
3.4%<br />
2.6%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
0.00<br />
6.29<br />
4.16<br />
25.16<br />
0.39<br />
2.13<br />
2.81<br />
21.77<br />
0.00<br />
11.51<br />
0.00<br />
0.10<br />
0.00<br />
2.71<br />
2.03<br />
79.05<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
%<br />
4.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
76.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.7%<br />
1.1%<br />
9.3%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
2.18<br />
0.00<br />
0.09<br />
0.09<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.09<br />
39.73<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
4.54<br />
0.57<br />
4.82<br />
52.12<br />
%<br />
1.2%<br />
1.2%<br />
1.2%<br />
7.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.8%<br />
7.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
69.9%<br />
0.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
Greenock<br />
£m<br />
0.28<br />
0.28<br />
0.28<br />
1.75<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.18<br />
1.66<br />
0.00<br />
2.39<br />
0.00<br />
0.09<br />
0.00<br />
16.48<br />
0.18<br />
23.57<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
%<br />
3.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
72.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
9.8%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.5%<br />
4.9%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
1.05<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.35<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
20.74<br />
0.00<br />
2.81<br />
0.00<br />
2.46<br />
1.41<br />
28.82<br />
15/4/10<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
13.73<br />
7.01<br />
5.30<br />
35.13<br />
0.51<br />
2.13<br />
2.99<br />
24.34<br />
0.22<br />
223.45<br />
0.50<br />
9.35<br />
4.98<br />
36.18<br />
20.87<br />
386.70
Table 7<br />
Shopping Patterns in Main Catchment 2008<br />
Furniture / Floorcoverings<br />
Destination<br />
Origin<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />
%<br />
23.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
7.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
44.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.8%<br />
0.0%<br />
6.3%<br />
18.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
10.61<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
3.24<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.25<br />
0.00<br />
20.09<br />
0.00<br />
0.37<br />
0.00<br />
2.87<br />
8.24<br />
45.67<br />
Source: Glasgow & Clyde Valley Household Shopping Survey 2004<br />
Glas NW / Clydbk<br />
%<br />
21.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
11.8%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.8%<br />
0.0%<br />
31.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
12.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.6%<br />
13.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
20.21<br />
0.51<br />
0.00<br />
11.38<br />
0.26<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.77<br />
0.00<br />
30.57<br />
0.00<br />
11.89<br />
0.00<br />
8.31<br />
12.53<br />
96.44<br />
Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />
%<br />
11.3%<br />
1.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
11.3%<br />
0.7%<br />
24.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
30.0%<br />
9.3%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
1.86<br />
0.22<br />
0.00<br />
1.42<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.44<br />
0.00<br />
1.86<br />
0.11<br />
4.05<br />
0.00<br />
4.93<br />
1.53<br />
16.44<br />
Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />
%<br />
27.0%<br />
1.8%<br />
0.0%<br />
15.7%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
1.5%<br />
1.1%<br />
18.6%<br />
1.8%<br />
0.3%<br />
1.8%<br />
10.1%<br />
19.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
19.95<br />
1.34<br />
0.00<br />
11.59<br />
0.22<br />
0.00<br />
0.11<br />
1.11<br />
0.78<br />
13.71<br />
1.34<br />
0.22<br />
1.34<br />
7.47<br />
14.60<br />
73.80<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
%<br />
5.6%<br />
21.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
26.9%<br />
0.9%<br />
1.4%<br />
4.0%<br />
7.2%<br />
4.3%<br />
14.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
6.3%<br />
6.3%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
5.06<br />
19.42<br />
0.00<br />
24.32<br />
0.82<br />
1.31<br />
3.59<br />
6.53<br />
3.92<br />
13.22<br />
0.00<br />
0.65<br />
0.00<br />
5.71<br />
5.71<br />
90.26<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
%<br />
15.0%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
6.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.8%<br />
0.3%<br />
47.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
18.2%<br />
1.1%<br />
10.5%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
8.98<br />
0.16<br />
0.00<br />
3.78<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.47<br />
0.16<br />
28.21<br />
0.00<br />
0.32<br />
10.88<br />
0.63<br />
6.30<br />
59.89<br />
%<br />
14.4%<br />
2.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
6.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
3.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
4.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
64.1%<br />
3.6%<br />
100.0%<br />
Greenock<br />
£m<br />
3.89<br />
0.69<br />
0.00<br />
1.81<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.83<br />
0.00<br />
1.25<br />
0.00<br />
0.28<br />
0.00<br />
17.36<br />
0.97<br />
27.08<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
%<br />
14.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
5.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
26.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.8%<br />
0.0%<br />
17.6%<br />
23.5%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
4.87<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.95<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.97<br />
0.00<br />
8.77<br />
0.00<br />
2.92<br />
0.00<br />
5.84<br />
7.79<br />
33.12<br />
15/4/10<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
75.43<br />
22.34<br />
0.00<br />
59.50<br />
1.29<br />
1.31<br />
3.70<br />
11.38<br />
4.85<br />
117.68<br />
1.45<br />
20.71<br />
12.21<br />
53.13<br />
57.69<br />
442.68
Table 8<br />
Shopping Patterns in Main Catchment 2008<br />
Other (Bulky)<br />
Destination<br />
Origin<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />
%<br />
15.8%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.8%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
59.9%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
5.2%<br />
15.7%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
7.08<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.25<br />
0.00<br />
0.04<br />
0.00<br />
0.09<br />
0.00<br />
26.82<br />
0.04<br />
0.11<br />
0.00<br />
2.34<br />
7.03<br />
44.80<br />
Glas NW / Clydbk<br />
%<br />
15.9%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.6%<br />
4.3%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
35.5%<br />
0.1%<br />
12.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
18.4%<br />
11.9%<br />
100.0%<br />
Source: Average <strong>of</strong> 2004 household survey results for main categories <strong>of</strong> bulky goods<br />
£m<br />
14.99<br />
0.19<br />
0.53<br />
4.04<br />
0.15<br />
0.00<br />
0.04<br />
0.41<br />
0.00<br />
33.58<br />
0.07<br />
11.85<br />
0.04<br />
17.39<br />
11.28<br />
94.55<br />
Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />
%<br />
6.4%<br />
0.4%<br />
1.8%<br />
3.9%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.8%<br />
0.2%<br />
25.4%<br />
0.2%<br />
24.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
28.1%<br />
8.1%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
1.03<br />
0.06<br />
0.29<br />
0.62<br />
0.03<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.13<br />
0.03<br />
4.10<br />
0.03<br />
3.95<br />
0.00<br />
4.53<br />
1.31<br />
16.12<br />
Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />
%<br />
19.2%<br />
1.2%<br />
2.6%<br />
8.6%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
1.0%<br />
0.7%<br />
39.7%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.1%<br />
1.4%<br />
9.6%<br />
14.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
13.90<br />
0.87<br />
1.87<br />
6.24<br />
0.13<br />
0.03<br />
0.06<br />
0.74<br />
0.53<br />
28.70<br />
0.54<br />
0.07<br />
0.99<br />
6.98<br />
10.70<br />
72.35<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
%<br />
3.3%<br />
17.4%<br />
8.3%<br />
21.5%<br />
0.7%<br />
2.0%<br />
2.8%<br />
17.6%<br />
4.8%<br />
10.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
4.1%<br />
7.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
2.88<br />
15.41<br />
7.38<br />
19.01<br />
0.59<br />
1.75<br />
2.48<br />
15.61<br />
4.27<br />
8.87<br />
0.14<br />
0.22<br />
0.00<br />
3.63<br />
6.23<br />
88.49<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
%<br />
9.9%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.4%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.3%<br />
57.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
16.8%<br />
1.5%<br />
10.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
5.82<br />
0.09<br />
0.03<br />
1.39<br />
0.04<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.18<br />
0.16<br />
33.83<br />
0.00<br />
0.13<br />
9.88<br />
0.86<br />
6.33<br />
58.76<br />
%<br />
5.4%<br />
1.1%<br />
0.4%<br />
4.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
2.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
5.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
76.2%<br />
4.3%<br />
100.0%<br />
Greenock<br />
£m<br />
1.44<br />
0.28<br />
0.12<br />
1.11<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.05<br />
0.77<br />
0.00<br />
1.32<br />
0.00<br />
0.11<br />
0.00<br />
20.23<br />
1.14<br />
26.57<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
%<br />
9.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.7%<br />
2.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
41.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
13.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
11.4%<br />
19.1%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
3.02<br />
0.00<br />
0.55<br />
0.86<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.29<br />
0.00<br />
13.61<br />
0.00<br />
4.26<br />
0.00<br />
3.72<br />
6.19<br />
32.49<br />
15/4/10<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
50.17<br />
16.91<br />
10.76<br />
34.53<br />
0.94<br />
1.82<br />
2.63<br />
18.21<br />
5.00<br />
150.83<br />
0.82<br />
20.69<br />
10.91<br />
59.69<br />
50.20<br />
434.12
Table 9<br />
Shopping Patterns in Main Catchment 2008<br />
Other (Mainstream)<br />
Destination<br />
Origin<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />
%<br />
55.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
3.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
5.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
25.9%<br />
10.2%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
56.60<br />
0.00<br />
3.97<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
5.18<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
26.62<br />
10.53<br />
102.90<br />
Glas NW / Clydbk<br />
%<br />
45.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
1.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
20.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
15.2%<br />
7.5%<br />
100.0%<br />
Source: Based on 2004 survey results for clothing category but weighted towards local centres<br />
£m<br />
97.43<br />
0.00<br />
21.65<br />
3.16<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.30<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.51<br />
0.00<br />
43.30<br />
0.00<br />
32.96<br />
16.19<br />
216.51<br />
Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />
%<br />
18.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
13.0%<br />
2.9%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
38.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
20.0%<br />
5.7%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
6.67<br />
0.00<br />
4.81<br />
1.06<br />
0.15<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.75<br />
0.00<br />
14.07<br />
0.00<br />
7.41<br />
2.11<br />
37.03<br />
Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />
%<br />
48.0%<br />
1.5%<br />
12.7%<br />
3.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.2%<br />
1.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
7.0%<br />
18.0%<br />
8.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
79.53<br />
2.49<br />
21.02<br />
4.97<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.12<br />
0.00<br />
0.12<br />
0.36<br />
2.49<br />
0.00<br />
11.60<br />
29.81<br />
13.17<br />
165.68<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
%<br />
14.0%<br />
32.5%<br />
33.0%<br />
7.1%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.8%<br />
2.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.3%<br />
4.0%<br />
4.6%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
28.37<br />
65.95<br />
66.87<br />
14.47<br />
0.60<br />
1.61<br />
5.82<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.60<br />
0.40<br />
0.00<br />
0.60<br />
8.11<br />
9.24<br />
202.63<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
%<br />
25.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
1.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
4.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
55.0%<br />
5.5%<br />
8.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
33.74<br />
0.18<br />
1.93<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
5.43<br />
0.00<br />
0.18<br />
74.22<br />
7.36<br />
11.92<br />
134.95<br />
%<br />
12.0%<br />
1.0%<br />
12.0%<br />
1.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.3%<br />
1.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
66.2%<br />
5.7%<br />
100.0%<br />
Greenock<br />
£m<br />
7.32<br />
0.63<br />
7.32<br />
0.76<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.16<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.16<br />
0.16<br />
0.63<br />
0.00<br />
40.38<br />
3.49<br />
61.02<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
%<br />
35.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
13.5%<br />
1.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
26.9%<br />
11.2%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
26.12<br />
0.00<br />
10.07<br />
0.83<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.68<br />
0.00<br />
7.46<br />
0.00<br />
20.08<br />
8.38<br />
74.62<br />
15/4/10<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
335.76<br />
69.25<br />
137.65<br />
25.24<br />
0.75<br />
1.61<br />
6.40<br />
0.00<br />
0.12<br />
15.67<br />
3.05<br />
65.65<br />
86.42<br />
172.74<br />
75.03<br />
995.34
Table 10<br />
Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Trade Draw from Main Catchment 2008<br />
assuming no change in shopping patterns 2004 - 2008<br />
Destination<br />
Origin<br />
Glasgow City Centre *<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
Source: Tables 4 to 9 combined<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />
%<br />
16.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.3%<br />
3.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
18.5%<br />
1.7%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.4%<br />
14.0%<br />
£m<br />
170.24<br />
0.00<br />
8.28<br />
5.52<br />
0.00<br />
0.17<br />
0.00<br />
0.42<br />
0.00<br />
129.25<br />
0.17<br />
0.48<br />
0.00<br />
44.84<br />
52.98<br />
412.34<br />
Glas NW / Clydbk<br />
%<br />
29.4%<br />
0.4%<br />
14.0%<br />
11.8%<br />
11.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
3.2%<br />
2.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
21.7%<br />
3.2%<br />
60.3%<br />
0.1%<br />
22.8%<br />
22.1%<br />
£m<br />
309.56<br />
0.82<br />
50.60<br />
21.01<br />
0.65<br />
0.00<br />
0.79<br />
1.82<br />
0.00<br />
151.46<br />
0.32<br />
124.21<br />
0.16<br />
121.61<br />
83.36<br />
866.36<br />
Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />
%<br />
2.2%<br />
0.1%<br />
3.5%<br />
2.1%<br />
8.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.7%<br />
2.8%<br />
1.4%<br />
21.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
6.2%<br />
2.7%<br />
£m<br />
22.97<br />
0.28<br />
12.48<br />
3.81<br />
0.46<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.57<br />
0.15<br />
19.67<br />
0.14<br />
44.56<br />
0.00<br />
33.12<br />
10.18<br />
148.39<br />
* Note: Glasgow City Centre turnover is total estimate from Glasgow City Plan <strong>Retail</strong> Capacity Study projected to 2008 - see Table 11<br />
Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />
%<br />
23.1%<br />
4.3%<br />
15.9%<br />
18.3%<br />
10.2%<br />
1.1%<br />
2.1%<br />
4.0%<br />
11.6%<br />
18.2%<br />
75.8%<br />
0.1%<br />
10.6%<br />
15.2%<br />
19.7%<br />
£m<br />
243.02<br />
9.03<br />
57.15<br />
32.55<br />
0.58<br />
0.13<br />
0.52<br />
3.25<br />
2.59<br />
127.49<br />
7.55<br />
0.29<br />
23.11<br />
81.14<br />
74.57<br />
662.95<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
%<br />
8.2%<br />
93.5%<br />
51.8%<br />
55.4%<br />
67.1%<br />
97.4%<br />
92.5%<br />
85.7%<br />
84.6%<br />
5.8%<br />
14.6%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.6%<br />
5.5%<br />
12.4%<br />
£m<br />
85.91<br />
194.14<br />
186.72<br />
98.42<br />
3.83<br />
11.07<br />
23.02<br />
68.95<br />
18.88<br />
40.44<br />
1.45<br />
0.97<br />
1.25<br />
29.10<br />
46.68<br />
810.82<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
%<br />
10.2%<br />
0.4%<br />
1.1%<br />
3.5%<br />
3.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.0%<br />
3.1%<br />
23.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
88.8%<br />
2.3%<br />
14.0%<br />
£m<br />
107.35<br />
0.76<br />
4.14<br />
6.14<br />
0.19<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.80<br />
0.70<br />
160.73<br />
0.00<br />
0.96<br />
193.89<br />
12.31<br />
52.78<br />
540.75<br />
%<br />
2.5%<br />
1.2%<br />
4.6%<br />
3.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.3%<br />
4.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.9%<br />
3.3%<br />
0.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
31.6%<br />
3.3%<br />
Greenock<br />
£m<br />
26.55<br />
2.58<br />
16.60<br />
5.68<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.57<br />
3.38<br />
0.00<br />
6.16<br />
0.33<br />
1.80<br />
0.00<br />
168.57<br />
12.28<br />
244.50<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
%<br />
8.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
6.8%<br />
2.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
9.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
15.8%<br />
0.0%<br />
7.9%<br />
11.9%<br />
£m<br />
85.82<br />
0.00<br />
24.33<br />
4.61<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.26<br />
0.00<br />
63.58<br />
0.00<br />
32.62<br />
0.00<br />
41.96<br />
44.81<br />
298.99<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
1051.41<br />
207.60<br />
360.29<br />
177.73<br />
5.72<br />
11.37<br />
24.90<br />
80.44<br />
22.32<br />
698.78<br />
9.96<br />
205.89<br />
218.41<br />
532.64<br />
377.64<br />
3985.09<br />
Floorspace<br />
Gross Sales<br />
sq m sq m<br />
15/4/10<br />
Turnover<br />
/ sq m Total<br />
£ £m<br />
422,433 253,460 £6,429 1629.55<br />
62,373 37,424 £5,547 207.60<br />
44,818 26,947 £15,376 414.33<br />
47,900 38,864 £4,573 177.73<br />
2,517 1,510 £3,787 5.72<br />
4,281 2,569 £4,425 11.37<br />
12,300 9,225 £2,699 24.90<br />
20,696 15,522 £5,182 80.44<br />
10,273 7,705 £2,897 22.32
Table 11<br />
Changes to Glasgow City Centre Turnover<br />
City centre turnover 2000 ('94 prices)<br />
City centre turnover 2000 ('05 prices)<br />
Turnover as % <strong>of</strong> available spend 2000<br />
Available Spend in City 2006<br />
Available Spend in City 2008<br />
City Centre turnover 2008<br />
New developments to 2013<br />
(GCC <strong>Retail</strong> Factsheet, July 2009)<br />
£1,262.53 m (from City Plan)<br />
£1,185.33<br />
80.74%<br />
m<br />
£1,830.71 m (from City Plan)<br />
£2,018.36 m (5% growth)<br />
£1,629.55 m<br />
91,621 sq m gross<br />
54,973 sq m sales
Table 12<br />
Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Market Share from Catchment 2008<br />
assuming no change in shopping patterns 2004 - 2008<br />
Destination<br />
Origin<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
Source: Tables 10 <strong>and</strong> 11<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />
%<br />
41.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.0%<br />
1.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
31.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.9%<br />
12.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
170.24<br />
0.00<br />
8.28<br />
5.52<br />
0.00<br />
0.17<br />
0.00<br />
0.42<br />
0.00<br />
129.25<br />
0.17<br />
0.48<br />
0.00<br />
44.84<br />
52.98<br />
412.34<br />
Glas NW / Clydbk<br />
%<br />
35.7%<br />
0.1%<br />
5.8%<br />
2.4%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
17.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.0%<br />
9.6%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
309.56<br />
0.82<br />
50.60<br />
21.01<br />
0.65<br />
0.00<br />
0.79<br />
1.82<br />
0.00<br />
151.46<br />
0.32<br />
124.21<br />
0.16<br />
121.61<br />
83.36<br />
866.36<br />
Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />
%<br />
15.5%<br />
0.2%<br />
8.4%<br />
2.6%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.1%<br />
13.3%<br />
0.1%<br />
30.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
22.3%<br />
6.9%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
22.97<br />
0.28<br />
12.48<br />
3.81<br />
0.46<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.57<br />
0.15<br />
19.67<br />
0.14<br />
44.56<br />
0.00<br />
33.12<br />
10.18<br />
148.39<br />
Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />
%<br />
36.7%<br />
1.4%<br />
8.6%<br />
4.9%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.4%<br />
19.2%<br />
1.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
3.5%<br />
12.2%<br />
11.2%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
243.02<br />
9.03<br />
57.15<br />
32.55<br />
0.58<br />
0.13<br />
0.52<br />
3.25<br />
2.59<br />
127.49<br />
7.55<br />
0.29<br />
23.11<br />
81.14<br />
74.57<br />
662.95<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
%<br />
10.6%<br />
23.9%<br />
23.0%<br />
12.1%<br />
0.5%<br />
1.4%<br />
2.8%<br />
8.5%<br />
2.3%<br />
5.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.2%<br />
3.6%<br />
5.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
85.91<br />
194.14<br />
186.72<br />
98.42<br />
3.83<br />
11.07<br />
23.02<br />
68.95<br />
18.88<br />
40.44<br />
1.45<br />
0.97<br />
1.25<br />
29.10<br />
46.68<br />
810.82<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
%<br />
19.9%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.8%<br />
1.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.1%<br />
29.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
35.9%<br />
2.3%<br />
9.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
107.35<br />
0.76<br />
4.14<br />
6.14<br />
0.19<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.80<br />
0.70<br />
160.73<br />
0.00<br />
0.96<br />
193.89<br />
12.31<br />
52.78<br />
540.75<br />
%<br />
10.9%<br />
1.1%<br />
6.8%<br />
2.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
1.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.5%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
68.9%<br />
5.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
Greenock<br />
£m<br />
26.55<br />
2.58<br />
16.60<br />
5.68<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.57<br />
3.38<br />
0.00<br />
6.16<br />
0.33<br />
1.80<br />
0.00<br />
168.57<br />
12.28<br />
244.50<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
%<br />
28.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.1%<br />
1.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
21.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.0%<br />
15.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
85.82<br />
0.00<br />
24.33<br />
4.61<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.26<br />
0.00<br />
63.58<br />
0.00<br />
32.62<br />
0.00<br />
41.96<br />
44.81<br />
298.99<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
1051.41<br />
207.60<br />
360.29<br />
177.73<br />
5.72<br />
11.37<br />
24.90<br />
80.44<br />
22.32<br />
698.78<br />
9.96<br />
205.89<br />
218.41<br />
532.64<br />
377.64<br />
3985.09<br />
Floorspace<br />
Gross Sales<br />
sq m sq m<br />
15/4/10<br />
Turnover<br />
/ sq m Total<br />
£ £m<br />
422,433 253,460 £6,429 1629.55<br />
62,373 37,424 £5,547 207.60<br />
44,818 26,947 £15,376 414.33<br />
47,900 38,864 £4,573 177.73<br />
2,517 1,510 £3,787 5.72<br />
4,281 2,569 £4,425 11.37<br />
12,300 9,225 £2,699 24.90<br />
20,696 15,522 £5,182 80.44<br />
10,273 7,705 £2,897 22.32
Table 13<br />
Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Market Share from Catchment 2008<br />
allowing for reduction in retail floorspace in Paisley town centre<br />
Destination<br />
Origin<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />
%<br />
41.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.0%<br />
1.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
31.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.9%<br />
12.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
170.24<br />
0.00<br />
8.28<br />
5.52<br />
0.00<br />
0.17<br />
0.00<br />
0.42<br />
0.00<br />
129.25<br />
0.17<br />
0.48<br />
0.00<br />
44.84<br />
52.98<br />
412.34<br />
Glas NW / Clydbk<br />
%<br />
35.7%<br />
0.1%<br />
5.8%<br />
2.4%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
17.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.0%<br />
9.6%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
309.56<br />
0.82<br />
50.60<br />
21.01<br />
0.65<br />
0.00<br />
0.79<br />
1.82<br />
0.00<br />
151.46<br />
0.32<br />
124.21<br />
0.16<br />
121.61<br />
83.36<br />
866.36<br />
Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />
%<br />
15.5%<br />
0.2%<br />
8.4%<br />
2.6%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.1%<br />
13.3%<br />
0.1%<br />
30.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
22.3%<br />
6.9%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
22.97<br />
0.28<br />
12.48<br />
3.81<br />
0.46<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.57<br />
0.15<br />
19.67<br />
0.14<br />
44.56<br />
0.00<br />
33.12<br />
10.18<br />
148.39<br />
Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />
%<br />
36.7%<br />
1.4%<br />
8.6%<br />
4.9%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.4%<br />
19.2%<br />
1.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
3.5%<br />
12.2%<br />
11.2%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
243.02<br />
9.03<br />
57.15<br />
32.55<br />
0.58<br />
0.13<br />
0.52<br />
3.25<br />
2.59<br />
127.49<br />
7.55<br />
0.29<br />
23.11<br />
81.14<br />
74.57<br />
662.95<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
%<br />
12.2%<br />
18.8%<br />
25.5%<br />
12.6%<br />
0.5%<br />
1.4%<br />
3.0%<br />
8.9%<br />
2.3%<br />
5.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.2%<br />
3.6%<br />
5.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
98.92<br />
152.43<br />
207.14<br />
102.16<br />
3.83<br />
11.07<br />
24.32<br />
72.16<br />
18.88<br />
40.44<br />
1.45<br />
0.97<br />
1.25<br />
29.10<br />
46.68<br />
810.82<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
%<br />
19.9%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.8%<br />
1.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.1%<br />
29.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
35.9%<br />
2.3%<br />
9.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
107.35<br />
0.76<br />
4.14<br />
6.14<br />
0.19<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.80<br />
0.70<br />
160.73<br />
0.00<br />
0.96<br />
193.89<br />
12.31<br />
52.78<br />
540.75<br />
%<br />
10.9%<br />
1.1%<br />
6.8%<br />
2.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
1.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.5%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
68.9%<br />
5.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
Greenock<br />
£m<br />
26.55<br />
2.58<br />
16.60<br />
5.68<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.57<br />
3.38<br />
0.00<br />
6.16<br />
0.33<br />
1.80<br />
0.00<br />
168.57<br />
12.28<br />
244.50<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
%<br />
28.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.1%<br />
1.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
21.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.0%<br />
15.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
85.82<br />
0.00<br />
24.33<br />
4.61<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.26<br />
0.00<br />
63.58<br />
0.00<br />
32.62<br />
0.00<br />
41.96<br />
44.81<br />
298.99<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
1064.43<br />
165.90<br />
380.72<br />
181.47<br />
5.72<br />
11.37<br />
26.20<br />
83.65<br />
22.32<br />
698.78<br />
9.96<br />
205.89<br />
218.41<br />
532.64<br />
377.64<br />
3985.09<br />
Floorspace<br />
Gross Sales<br />
sq m sq m<br />
15/4/10<br />
Turnover<br />
/ sq m Total<br />
£ £m<br />
422,433 253,460 £6,481 1642.56<br />
39,972 23,983 £6,917 165.90<br />
44,818 26,947 £16,134 434.76<br />
47,900 38,864 £4,669 181.47<br />
2,517 1,510 £3,787 5.72<br />
4,281 2,569 £4,425 11.37<br />
12,300 9,225 £2,840 26.20<br />
20,696 15,522 £5,389 83.65<br />
10,273 7,705 £2,897 22.32
Table 14<br />
Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Market Share from Catchment 2008<br />
allowing for other changes in retail floorspace in Paisley area<br />
Destination<br />
Origin<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />
%<br />
41.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.0%<br />
1.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
31.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.9%<br />
12.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
170.24<br />
0.00<br />
8.28<br />
5.52<br />
0.00<br />
0.17<br />
0.00<br />
0.42<br />
0.00<br />
129.25<br />
0.17<br />
0.48<br />
0.00<br />
44.84<br />
52.98<br />
412.34<br />
Glas NW / Clydbk<br />
%<br />
35.7%<br />
0.1%<br />
5.8%<br />
2.1%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
17.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.0%<br />
9.6%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
309.56<br />
0.82<br />
50.60<br />
18.41<br />
0.65<br />
0.00<br />
4.33<br />
2.60<br />
0.00<br />
149.73<br />
0.32<br />
124.21<br />
0.16<br />
121.61<br />
83.36<br />
866.36<br />
Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />
%<br />
15.5%<br />
0.2%<br />
8.4%<br />
2.6%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.1%<br />
13.3%<br />
0.1%<br />
30.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
22.3%<br />
6.9%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
22.97<br />
0.28<br />
12.48<br />
3.81<br />
0.46<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.57<br />
0.15<br />
19.67<br />
0.14<br />
44.56<br />
0.00<br />
33.12<br />
10.18<br />
148.39<br />
Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />
%<br />
36.7%<br />
1.4%<br />
8.6%<br />
4.5%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.4%<br />
19.0%<br />
1.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
3.5%<br />
12.2%<br />
11.2%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
243.02<br />
9.03<br />
57.15<br />
29.89<br />
0.58<br />
0.13<br />
3.31<br />
4.64<br />
2.59<br />
125.95<br />
7.55<br />
0.29<br />
23.11<br />
81.14<br />
74.57<br />
662.95<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
%<br />
11.6%<br />
20.5%<br />
24.0%<br />
10.8%<br />
0.3%<br />
1.4%<br />
5.5%<br />
10.0%<br />
2.1%<br />
4.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.2%<br />
3.6%<br />
5.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
94.06<br />
166.22<br />
194.41<br />
87.92<br />
2.43<br />
11.07<br />
44.60<br />
81.08<br />
17.26<br />
32.33<br />
1.45<br />
0.97<br />
1.25<br />
29.10<br />
46.68<br />
810.82<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
%<br />
19.9%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.8%<br />
1.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.1%<br />
29.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
35.9%<br />
2.3%<br />
9.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
107.35<br />
0.76<br />
4.14<br />
6.14<br />
0.19<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.80<br />
0.70<br />
160.73<br />
0.00<br />
0.96<br />
193.89<br />
12.31<br />
52.78<br />
540.75<br />
%<br />
10.9%<br />
1.1%<br />
6.8%<br />
1.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.0%<br />
1.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.1%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
68.9%<br />
5.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
Greenock<br />
£m<br />
26.55<br />
2.58<br />
16.60<br />
4.05<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
2.44<br />
4.16<br />
0.00<br />
5.13<br />
0.33<br />
1.80<br />
0.00<br />
168.57<br />
12.28<br />
244.50<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
%<br />
28.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.1%<br />
1.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
21.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.0%<br />
15.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
85.82<br />
0.00<br />
24.33<br />
4.61<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.26<br />
0.00<br />
63.58<br />
0.00<br />
32.62<br />
0.00<br />
41.96<br />
44.81<br />
298.99<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
1059.56<br />
179.69<br />
367.99<br />
160.35<br />
4.32<br />
11.37<br />
54.69<br />
95.52<br />
20.70<br />
686.38<br />
9.96<br />
205.89<br />
218.41<br />
532.64<br />
377.64<br />
3985.09<br />
Floorspace<br />
Gross Sales<br />
sq m sq m<br />
15/4/10<br />
Turnover<br />
/ sq m Total<br />
£ £m<br />
422,433 253,460 £6,461 1637.70<br />
46,775 27,902 £6,440 179.69<br />
45,235 27,141 £15,550 422.03<br />
47,900 38,864 £4,126 160.35<br />
954 572 £7,542 4.32<br />
4,281 2,569 £4,425 11.37<br />
24,400 18,300 £2,988 54.69<br />
25,691 19,268 £4,957 95.52<br />
10,273 7,705 £2,687 20.70
Table 15<br />
Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Market Share from Catchment 2008<br />
including allowance for Silverburn<br />
Destination<br />
Origin<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Silverburn #<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />
%<br />
41.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.0%<br />
1.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
31.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.9%<br />
12.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
170.24<br />
0.00<br />
8.28<br />
5.52<br />
0.00<br />
0.17<br />
0.00<br />
0.42<br />
0.00<br />
129.25<br />
0.17<br />
0.48<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
44.84<br />
52.98<br />
412.34<br />
Glas NW / Clydbk<br />
%<br />
35.2%<br />
0.1%<br />
4.1%<br />
2.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
17.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.4%<br />
14.0%<br />
9.6%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
304.96<br />
0.82<br />
35.52<br />
17.33<br />
0.65<br />
0.00<br />
4.33<br />
2.60<br />
0.00<br />
149.73<br />
0.32<br />
124.21<br />
0.16<br />
20.76<br />
121.61<br />
83.36<br />
866.36<br />
Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />
%<br />
15.5%<br />
0.2%<br />
8.4%<br />
2.6%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.1%<br />
13.3%<br />
0.1%<br />
30.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
22.3%<br />
6.9%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
22.97<br />
0.28<br />
12.48<br />
3.81<br />
0.46<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.57<br />
0.15<br />
19.67<br />
0.14<br />
44.56<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
33.12<br />
10.18<br />
148.39<br />
Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />
%<br />
30.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
3.0%<br />
4.2%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.4%<br />
17.0%<br />
1.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.5%<br />
21.0%<br />
11.0%<br />
9.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
Source: Estimated trade diversions to Silverburn by RDPC Note # : Silverburn assumed to draw trade from beyond main Braehead catchment<br />
£m<br />
198.89<br />
2.65<br />
19.89<br />
27.84<br />
0.58<br />
0.13<br />
3.31<br />
4.64<br />
2.59<br />
112.70<br />
7.55<br />
0.29<br />
9.94<br />
139.22<br />
73.06<br />
59.67<br />
662.95<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
%<br />
10.4%<br />
20.1%<br />
21.3%<br />
9.7%<br />
0.3%<br />
1.4%<br />
5.3%<br />
9.8%<br />
2.1%<br />
3.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.2%<br />
7.0%<br />
3.6%<br />
5.6%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
84.33<br />
162.98<br />
172.42<br />
78.65<br />
2.43<br />
11.07<br />
42.97<br />
79.46<br />
17.26<br />
24.32<br />
1.45<br />
0.97<br />
1.25<br />
56.76<br />
29.10<br />
45.41<br />
810.82<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
%<br />
18.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.5%<br />
1.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.1%<br />
27.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
31.0%<br />
10.1%<br />
2.3%<br />
9.5%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
97.33<br />
0.76<br />
2.70<br />
5.41<br />
0.19<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.80<br />
0.70<br />
146.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.96<br />
167.63<br />
54.58<br />
12.31<br />
51.37<br />
540.75<br />
%<br />
10.7%<br />
1.1%<br />
5.7%<br />
1.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.0%<br />
1.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.5%<br />
68.9%<br />
5.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
Greenock<br />
£m<br />
26.16<br />
2.58<br />
13.94<br />
3.67<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
2.44<br />
4.16<br />
0.00<br />
4.89<br />
0.33<br />
1.80<br />
0.00<br />
3.68<br />
168.57<br />
12.28<br />
244.50<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
%<br />
28.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.1%<br />
1.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
21.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.0%<br />
15.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
85.82<br />
0.00<br />
24.33<br />
4.61<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.26<br />
0.00<br />
63.58<br />
0.00<br />
32.62<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
41.96<br />
44.81<br />
298.99<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
990.69<br />
170.06<br />
289.55<br />
146.83<br />
4.32<br />
11.37<br />
53.07<br />
93.90<br />
20.70<br />
650.16<br />
9.96<br />
205.89<br />
178.98<br />
275.00<br />
524.56<br />
360.04<br />
3985.09<br />
Change<br />
%<br />
-5.4%<br />
-5.4%<br />
-20.5%<br />
-8.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
-3.0%<br />
-1.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
-5.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
-18.0%<br />
+100%<br />
-1.5%<br />
-4.7%<br />
Floorspace<br />
Gross Sales<br />
sq m sq m<br />
15/4/10<br />
Turnover<br />
/ sq m Total<br />
£ £m<br />
422,433 253,460 £6,116 1550.04<br />
46,775 27,902 £6,095 170.06<br />
45,235 27,141 £12,361 335.49<br />
47,900 38,864 £3,778 146.83<br />
954 572 £7,542 4.32<br />
4,281 2,569 £4,425 11.37<br />
24,400 18,300 £2,900 53.07<br />
25,691 19,268 £4,873 93.90<br />
10,273 7,705 £2,687 20.70<br />
64,000<br />
38,400<br />
£9,310<br />
357.51
Table 16<br />
Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Market Share from Catchment 2010<br />
based on same market shares as 2008<br />
Destination<br />
Origin<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Silverburn<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />
%<br />
41.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.0%<br />
1.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
31.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.9%<br />
12.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
180.77<br />
0.00<br />
8.79<br />
5.86<br />
0.00<br />
0.18<br />
0.00<br />
0.44<br />
0.00<br />
137.25<br />
0.18<br />
0.51<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
47.61<br />
56.26<br />
437.86<br />
Glas NW / Clydbk<br />
%<br />
35.2%<br />
0.1%<br />
4.1%<br />
2.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
17.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.4%<br />
14.0%<br />
9.6%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
317.14<br />
0.85<br />
36.94<br />
18.02<br />
0.68<br />
0.00<br />
4.50<br />
2.70<br />
0.00<br />
155.71<br />
0.33<br />
129.17<br />
0.17<br />
21.59<br />
126.47<br />
86.69<br />
900.97<br />
Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />
%<br />
15.5%<br />
0.2%<br />
8.4%<br />
2.6%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.1%<br />
13.3%<br />
0.1%<br />
30.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
22.3%<br />
6.9%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
24.67<br />
0.30<br />
13.40<br />
4.09<br />
0.50<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.61<br />
0.16<br />
21.13<br />
0.15<br />
47.86<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
35.57<br />
10.93<br />
159.37<br />
Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />
%<br />
30.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
3.0%<br />
4.2%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.4%<br />
17.0%<br />
1.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.5%<br />
21.0%<br />
11.0%<br />
9.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
209.36<br />
2.79<br />
20.94<br />
29.31<br />
0.61<br />
0.14<br />
3.49<br />
4.89<br />
2.73<br />
118.64<br />
7.94<br />
0.30<br />
10.47<br />
146.55<br />
76.91<br />
62.81<br />
697.88<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
%<br />
10.4%<br />
20.1%<br />
21.3%<br />
9.7%<br />
0.3%<br />
1.4%<br />
5.3%<br />
9.8%<br />
2.1%<br />
3.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.2%<br />
7.0%<br />
3.6%<br />
5.6%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
89.39<br />
172.76<br />
182.77<br />
83.37<br />
2.58<br />
11.73<br />
45.55<br />
84.23<br />
18.29<br />
25.78<br />
1.54<br />
1.03<br />
1.32<br />
60.16<br />
30.85<br />
48.13<br />
859.49<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
%<br />
18.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.5%<br />
1.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.1%<br />
27.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
31.0%<br />
10.1%<br />
2.3%<br />
9.5%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
104.06<br />
0.81<br />
2.89<br />
5.78<br />
0.20<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.85<br />
0.75<br />
156.09<br />
0.00<br />
1.03<br />
179.22<br />
58.35<br />
13.16<br />
54.92<br />
578.12<br />
%<br />
10.7%<br />
1.1%<br />
5.7%<br />
1.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.0%<br />
1.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.5%<br />
68.9%<br />
5.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
Greenock<br />
£m<br />
28.13<br />
2.77<br />
14.98<br />
3.94<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
2.63<br />
4.47<br />
0.00<br />
5.26<br />
0.36<br />
1.93<br />
0.00<br />
3.96<br />
181.23<br />
13.21<br />
262.86<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
%<br />
28.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.1%<br />
1.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
21.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.0%<br />
15.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
91.76<br />
0.00<br />
26.01<br />
4.93<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.35<br />
0.00<br />
67.97<br />
0.00<br />
34.87<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
44.86<br />
47.91<br />
319.65<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
1045.27<br />
180.29<br />
306.72<br />
155.31<br />
4.57<br />
12.05<br />
56.18<br />
99.54<br />
21.93<br />
687.84<br />
10.50<br />
216.71<br />
191.18<br />
290.62<br />
556.65<br />
380.84<br />
4216.20<br />
Change<br />
%<br />
6.0%<br />
6.0%<br />
5.9%<br />
5.8%<br />
5.8%<br />
6.0%<br />
5.9%<br />
6.0%<br />
6.0%<br />
5.8%<br />
5.5%<br />
5.3%<br />
6.8%<br />
6.0%<br />
6.1%<br />
5.8%<br />
5.8%<br />
Floorspace<br />
Gross Sales<br />
sq m sq m<br />
15/4/10<br />
Turnover<br />
/ sq m Total<br />
£ £m<br />
422,433 253,460 £6,482 1643.04<br />
46,775 27,902 £6,461 180.29<br />
45,235 27,141 £13,094 355.38<br />
47,900 38,864 £3,996 155.31<br />
954 572 £7,979 4.57<br />
4,281 2,569 £4,690 12.05<br />
24,400 18,300 £3,070 56.18<br />
25,691 19,268 £5,166 99.54<br />
10,273 7,705 £2,846 21.93<br />
64,000<br />
38,400<br />
£9,869<br />
378.96
Table 17<br />
Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Market Share from Catchment 2010<br />
allowing for implementation <strong>of</strong> City Centre commitments<br />
Origin<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint Glas NW / Clydbk Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />
Destination<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Silverburn<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
%<br />
43.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.8%<br />
1.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
30.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.9%<br />
12.3%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
188.28<br />
0.00<br />
7.88<br />
5.25<br />
0.00<br />
0.18<br />
0.00<br />
0.44<br />
0.00<br />
133.66<br />
0.18<br />
0.51<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
47.61<br />
53.86<br />
437.86<br />
%<br />
36.5%<br />
0.1%<br />
3.5%<br />
1.9%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
17.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.3%<br />
14.0%<br />
9.6%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
328.85<br />
0.85<br />
31.53<br />
17.12<br />
0.68<br />
0.00<br />
4.50<br />
2.70<br />
0.00<br />
154.07<br />
0.33<br />
126.14<br />
0.17<br />
20.72<br />
126.47<br />
86.84<br />
900.97<br />
%<br />
17.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
7.3%<br />
2.5%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.1%<br />
13.2%<br />
0.1%<br />
29.8%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
22.3%<br />
6.9%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
27.02<br />
0.30<br />
11.63<br />
3.96<br />
0.50<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.61<br />
0.16<br />
21.04<br />
0.15<br />
47.49<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
35.57<br />
10.93<br />
159.37<br />
Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />
%<br />
33.5%<br />
0.4%<br />
2.5%<br />
3.9%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.4%<br />
17.0%<br />
1.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.3%<br />
18.5%<br />
11.0%<br />
9.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
233.79<br />
2.79<br />
17.45<br />
27.22<br />
0.61<br />
0.14<br />
3.49<br />
4.89<br />
2.73<br />
118.64<br />
7.94<br />
0.30<br />
9.07<br />
129.11<br />
76.91<br />
62.81<br />
697.88<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
%<br />
13.0%<br />
19.8%<br />
20.2%<br />
9.5%<br />
0.3%<br />
1.4%<br />
5.3%<br />
9.8%<br />
2.1%<br />
3.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.2%<br />
6.0%<br />
3.6%<br />
5.6%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
111.73<br />
170.18<br />
173.32<br />
81.65<br />
2.58<br />
11.73<br />
45.55<br />
84.23<br />
18.29<br />
25.78<br />
1.54<br />
1.03<br />
1.32<br />
51.57<br />
30.85<br />
48.13<br />
859.49<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
%<br />
21.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.1%<br />
25.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
30.8%<br />
9.0%<br />
2.3%<br />
9.5%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
121.37<br />
0.81<br />
2.31<br />
5.20<br />
0.20<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.85<br />
0.75<br />
147.42<br />
0.00<br />
1.03<br />
178.06<br />
52.03<br />
13.16<br />
54.92<br />
578.12<br />
%<br />
11.4%<br />
1.1%<br />
5.0%<br />
1.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.0%<br />
1.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.5%<br />
68.9%<br />
5.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
Greenock<br />
£m<br />
29.97<br />
2.77<br />
13.14<br />
3.94<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
2.63<br />
4.47<br />
0.00<br />
5.26<br />
0.36<br />
1.93<br />
0.00<br />
3.96<br />
181.23<br />
13.21<br />
262.86<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
%<br />
30.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
7.0%<br />
1.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
21.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.0%<br />
15.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
95.90<br />
0.00<br />
22.38<br />
4.48<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.35<br />
0.00<br />
67.92<br />
0.00<br />
34.87<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
44.86<br />
47.91<br />
319.65<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
1136.91<br />
177.71<br />
279.65<br />
148.82<br />
4.57<br />
12.05<br />
56.18<br />
99.54<br />
21.93<br />
673.79<br />
10.50<br />
213.30<br />
188.62<br />
257.39<br />
556.65<br />
378.60<br />
4216.20<br />
Change<br />
%<br />
14.8%<br />
-1.4%<br />
-9.0%<br />
-4.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
-2.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
-1.6%<br />
-1.3%<br />
-11.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
-0.6%<br />
Floorspace<br />
Gross Sales<br />
sq m sq m<br />
29/4/10<br />
Turnover<br />
/ sq m Total<br />
£ £m<br />
514,054 308,432 £6,113 1885.53<br />
46,775 27,902 £6,369 177.71<br />
45,235 27,141 £11,917 323.44<br />
47,900 38,864 £3,829 148.82<br />
954 572 £7,979 4.57<br />
4,281 2,569 £4,690 12.05<br />
24,400 18,300 £3,070 56.18<br />
25,691 19,268 £5,166 99.54<br />
10,273 7,705 £2,846 21.93<br />
64,000<br />
38,400<br />
£8,714<br />
334.61
Table 18<br />
Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Trade Draw from Catchment 2010<br />
Destination<br />
Origin<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Silverburn<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
Source: Table 17<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />
%<br />
16.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.8%<br />
3.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
19.8%<br />
1.7%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.6%<br />
14.2%<br />
£m<br />
188.28<br />
0.00<br />
7.88<br />
5.25<br />
0.00<br />
0.18<br />
0.00<br />
0.44<br />
0.00<br />
133.66<br />
0.18<br />
0.51<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
47.61<br />
53.86<br />
437.86<br />
Glas NW / Clydbk<br />
%<br />
28.9%<br />
0.5%<br />
11.3%<br />
11.5%<br />
14.8%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.0%<br />
2.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
22.9%<br />
3.2%<br />
59.1%<br />
0.1%<br />
8.1%<br />
22.7%<br />
22.9%<br />
£m<br />
328.85<br />
0.85<br />
31.53<br />
17.12<br />
0.68<br />
0.00<br />
4.50<br />
2.70<br />
0.00<br />
154.07<br />
0.33<br />
126.14<br />
0.17<br />
20.72<br />
126.47<br />
86.84<br />
900.97<br />
Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />
%<br />
2.4%<br />
0.2%<br />
4.2%<br />
2.7%<br />
10.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.6%<br />
0.7%<br />
3.1%<br />
1.4%<br />
22.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
6.4%<br />
2.9%<br />
£m<br />
27.02<br />
0.30<br />
11.63<br />
3.96<br />
0.50<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.61<br />
0.16<br />
21.04<br />
0.15<br />
47.49<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
35.57<br />
10.93<br />
159.37<br />
Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />
%<br />
20.6%<br />
1.6%<br />
6.2%<br />
18.3%<br />
13.4%<br />
1.1%<br />
6.2%<br />
4.9%<br />
12.4%<br />
17.6%<br />
75.7%<br />
0.1%<br />
4.8%<br />
50.2%<br />
13.8%<br />
16.6%<br />
£m<br />
233.79<br />
2.79<br />
17.45<br />
27.22<br />
0.61<br />
0.14<br />
3.49<br />
4.89<br />
2.73<br />
118.64<br />
7.94<br />
0.30<br />
9.07<br />
129.11<br />
76.91<br />
62.81<br />
697.88<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
%<br />
9.8%<br />
95.8%<br />
62.0%<br />
54.9%<br />
56.5%<br />
97.4%<br />
81.1%<br />
84.6%<br />
83.4%<br />
3.8%<br />
14.6%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.7%<br />
20.0%<br />
5.5%<br />
12.7%<br />
£m<br />
111.73<br />
170.18<br />
173.32<br />
81.65<br />
2.58<br />
11.73<br />
45.55<br />
84.23<br />
18.29<br />
25.78<br />
1.54<br />
1.03<br />
1.32<br />
51.57<br />
30.85<br />
48.13<br />
859.49<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
%<br />
10.7%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.8%<br />
3.5%<br />
4.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.9%<br />
3.4%<br />
21.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
94.4%<br />
20.2%<br />
2.4%<br />
14.5%<br />
£m<br />
121.37<br />
0.81<br />
2.31<br />
5.20<br />
0.20<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.85<br />
0.75<br />
147.42<br />
0.00<br />
1.03<br />
178.06<br />
52.03<br />
13.16<br />
54.92<br />
578.12<br />
%<br />
2.6%<br />
1.6%<br />
4.7%<br />
2.6%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
4.7%<br />
4.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.8%<br />
3.4%<br />
0.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.5%<br />
32.6%<br />
3.5%<br />
Greenock<br />
£m<br />
29.97<br />
2.77<br />
13.14<br />
3.94<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
2.63<br />
4.47<br />
0.00<br />
5.26<br />
0.36<br />
1.93<br />
0.00<br />
3.96<br />
181.23<br />
13.21<br />
262.86<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
%<br />
8.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.0%<br />
3.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
16.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
8.1%<br />
12.7%<br />
£m<br />
95.90<br />
0.00<br />
22.38<br />
4.48<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.35<br />
0.00<br />
67.92<br />
0.00<br />
34.87<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
44.86<br />
47.91<br />
319.65<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
Floorspace<br />
Gross Sales<br />
sq m sq m<br />
29/4/10<br />
Turnover<br />
/ sq m Total<br />
£ £m<br />
100.0% 1136.91 514,054 308,432 £6,113 1885.53<br />
100.0% 177.71 46,775 27,902 £6,369 177.71<br />
100.0% 279.65 45,235 27,141 £11,917 323.44<br />
100.0% 148.82 47,900 38,864 £3,829 148.82<br />
100.0% 4.57 954 572 £7,979 4.57<br />
100.0% 12.05 4,281 2,569 £4,690 12.05<br />
100.0% 56.18 24,400 18,300 £3,070 56.18<br />
100.0% 99.54 25,691 19,268 £5,166 99.54<br />
100.0% 21.93 10,273 7,705 £2,846 21.93<br />
100.0% 673.79<br />
100.0% 10.50<br />
100.0% 213.30<br />
100.0% 188.62<br />
100.0% 257.39 64,000 38,400 £8,714 334.61<br />
100.0% 556.65<br />
100.0% 378.60<br />
4216.20
Table 19<br />
Potential Turnover - B&Q Subdivision <strong>and</strong> new Sainsbury's<br />
B&Q Divided:<br />
Electrical<br />
Carpets<br />
Auto Accessories<br />
Furniture<br />
Total<br />
Comparison unrestricted (Sainsbury's)<br />
Overall total<br />
compared with<br />
Floorspace<br />
Comparison unrestricted (mall) *<br />
Comparison unrestricted (Sainsbury's)<br />
Comparison restricted (Sainsbury's)<br />
Overall total<br />
Increase in Comparison Turnover<br />
Note: * assumes Primark national turnover / sq m<br />
Gross<br />
2,000<br />
3,000<br />
1,000<br />
3,662<br />
9,662<br />
1,134<br />
10,796<br />
Gross<br />
6,460<br />
3,170<br />
1,056<br />
10,686<br />
Sales<br />
1,500<br />
2,550<br />
750<br />
2,930<br />
7,730<br />
738<br />
8,468<br />
Sales<br />
3,876<br />
2,275<br />
758<br />
6,909<br />
Turnover<br />
£ / sq m £m<br />
£7,000<br />
£1,265<br />
£2,500<br />
£5,500<br />
£6,000<br />
10.50<br />
3.23<br />
1.88<br />
16.11<br />
31.71<br />
4.43<br />
36.14<br />
Turnover<br />
£ / sq m £m<br />
£5,300<br />
£6,000<br />
£4,000<br />
20.54<br />
13.65<br />
3.03<br />
37.22<br />
29/4/10<br />
Potential High St Trade<br />
% £m<br />
50%<br />
50%<br />
25%<br />
50%<br />
100%<br />
5.25<br />
1.61<br />
0.47<br />
8.06<br />
15.39<br />
4.43<br />
19.82<br />
Potential High St Trade<br />
% £m<br />
100%<br />
75%<br />
50%<br />
20.54<br />
10.24<br />
1.52<br />
32.30<br />
12.48
Table 20<br />
Potential Comparison Trade Diversions - 2010<br />
resulting from Sainsbury's relocation<br />
Destination<br />
Glasgow NW Dumbarton / VL<br />
% £m % £m<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Silverburn<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
Source: Estimates by RDPC<br />
50.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
20.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
0.44<br />
0.00<br />
0.17<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.09<br />
0.00<br />
0.09<br />
0.00<br />
0.09<br />
0.87<br />
7.0%<br />
70.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
20.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
0.26<br />
0.00<br />
0.07<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.04<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.37<br />
3.0%<br />
Glasgow Sth / NM<br />
% £m<br />
50.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
5.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
35.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
0.50<br />
0.00<br />
0.05<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.35<br />
0.00<br />
0.10<br />
1.00<br />
8.0%<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
% £m<br />
40.0%<br />
8.0%<br />
18.0%<br />
2.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.0%<br />
1.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
20.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
3.49<br />
0.70<br />
1.57<br />
0.17<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.09<br />
0.09<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.75<br />
0.00<br />
0.87<br />
8.74<br />
70.0%<br />
Greenock<br />
% £m<br />
50.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
30.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
0.25<br />
0.00<br />
0.15<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.05<br />
0.00<br />
0.05<br />
0.50<br />
4.0%<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
% £m<br />
50.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
30.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
0.19<br />
0.00<br />
0.11<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.04<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.04<br />
0.37<br />
3.0%<br />
Elsewhere<br />
% £m<br />
30.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
20.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
30.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
0.19<br />
0.00<br />
0.12<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.06<br />
0.06<br />
0.00<br />
0.19<br />
0.62<br />
5.0%<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
5.32<br />
0.70<br />
2.26<br />
0.17<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.09<br />
0.09<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.16<br />
0.06<br />
2.30<br />
0.00<br />
1.34<br />
12.48<br />
100.0%<br />
Turnover<br />
Previous New<br />
£m £m<br />
1885.53 1880.22<br />
177.71 177.01<br />
323.44 333.66<br />
148.82 148.64<br />
4.57 4.57<br />
12.05 12.05<br />
56.18 56.09<br />
99.54 99.45<br />
21.93 21.93<br />
673.79 673.79<br />
10.50 10.50<br />
213.30 213.14<br />
188.62 188.56<br />
334.61 332.31<br />
556.65 556.65<br />
378.60 377.26<br />
Change<br />
%<br />
-0.3%<br />
-0.4%<br />
3.2%<br />
-0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
-0.2%<br />
-0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
-0.1%<br />
-0.0%<br />
-0.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
-0.4%<br />
29/4/10<br />
Turnover / sq m<br />
Previous New<br />
£ £<br />
£6,113 £6,096<br />
£6,369 £6,344<br />
£11,917 £12,294<br />
£3,829 £3,825<br />
£7,979 £7,979<br />
£4,690 £4,690<br />
£3,070 £3,065<br />
£5,166 £5,161<br />
£2,846 £2,846<br />
£8,714<br />
£8,654
Table 21<br />
Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Market Share from Catchment 2010<br />
after opening <strong>of</strong> Sainsbury's Braehead<br />
Origin<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint Glas NW / Clydbk Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />
Destination<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Silverburn<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
Source: Tables 19 <strong>and</strong> 20<br />
%<br />
43.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.8%<br />
1.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
30.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.9%<br />
12.3%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
188.28<br />
0.00<br />
7.88<br />
5.25<br />
0.00<br />
0.18<br />
0.00<br />
0.44<br />
0.00<br />
133.66<br />
0.18<br />
0.51<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
47.61<br />
53.86<br />
437.86<br />
%<br />
36.5%<br />
0.1%<br />
3.6%<br />
1.9%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
17.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.3%<br />
14.0%<br />
9.6%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
328.42<br />
0.85<br />
32.49<br />
16.86<br />
0.68<br />
0.00<br />
4.50<br />
2.70<br />
0.00<br />
154.07<br />
0.33<br />
126.05<br />
0.17<br />
20.63<br />
126.47<br />
86.75<br />
900.97<br />
%<br />
16.8%<br />
0.2%<br />
7.6%<br />
2.4%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.1%<br />
13.2%<br />
0.1%<br />
29.8%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
22.3%<br />
6.9%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
26.76<br />
0.30<br />
12.04<br />
3.85<br />
0.50<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.61<br />
0.16<br />
21.04<br />
0.15<br />
47.45<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
35.57<br />
10.93<br />
159.37<br />
Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />
%<br />
33.4%<br />
0.4%<br />
2.7%<br />
3.9%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.4%<br />
17.0%<br />
1.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.3%<br />
18.4%<br />
11.0%<br />
9.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
233.29<br />
2.79<br />
18.69<br />
26.93<br />
0.61<br />
0.14<br />
3.49<br />
4.89<br />
2.73<br />
118.64<br />
7.94<br />
0.30<br />
9.07<br />
128.76<br />
76.91<br />
62.71<br />
697.88<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
%<br />
12.6%<br />
19.7%<br />
21.3%<br />
9.2%<br />
0.3%<br />
1.4%<br />
5.3%<br />
9.8%<br />
2.1%<br />
3.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.2%<br />
5.8%<br />
3.6%<br />
5.5%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
108.24<br />
169.48<br />
183.02<br />
78.94<br />
2.58<br />
11.73<br />
45.47<br />
84.14<br />
18.29<br />
25.78<br />
1.54<br />
1.03<br />
1.32<br />
49.82<br />
30.85<br />
47.26<br />
859.49<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
%<br />
21.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.1%<br />
25.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
30.8%<br />
9.0%<br />
2.3%<br />
9.5%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
121.37<br />
0.81<br />
2.31<br />
5.20<br />
0.20<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.85<br />
0.75<br />
147.42<br />
0.00<br />
1.03<br />
178.06<br />
52.03<br />
13.16<br />
54.92<br />
578.12<br />
%<br />
11.3%<br />
1.1%<br />
5.2%<br />
1.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.0%<br />
1.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.5%<br />
68.9%<br />
5.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
Greenock<br />
£m<br />
29.72<br />
2.77<br />
13.64<br />
3.80<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
2.63<br />
4.47<br />
0.00<br />
5.26<br />
0.36<br />
1.93<br />
0.00<br />
3.91<br />
181.23<br />
13.16<br />
262.86<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
%<br />
29.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
7.1%<br />
1.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
21.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.0%<br />
15.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
95.71<br />
0.00<br />
22.75<br />
4.37<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.35<br />
0.00<br />
67.92<br />
0.00<br />
34.83<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
44.86<br />
47.87<br />
319.65<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
1131.78<br />
177.01<br />
292.81<br />
145.21<br />
4.57<br />
12.05<br />
56.09<br />
99.45<br />
21.93<br />
673.79<br />
10.50<br />
213.14<br />
188.62<br />
255.16<br />
556.65<br />
377.45<br />
4216.20<br />
Floorspace<br />
Gross Sales<br />
sq m sq m<br />
29/4/10<br />
Turnover<br />
/ sq m Total<br />
£ £m<br />
514,054 308,432 £6,096 1880.22<br />
46,775 27,902 £6,344 177.01<br />
51,970 31,126 £10,720 333.66<br />
42,343 33,941 £4,747 161.12<br />
954 572 £7,979 4.57<br />
4,281 2,569 £4,690 12.05<br />
24,400 18,300 £3,065 56.09<br />
25,691 19,268 £5,161 99.45<br />
10,273 7,705 £2,846 21.93<br />
64,000<br />
38,400<br />
£8,654<br />
332.31
Table 22<br />
Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Market Share from Catchment 2012<br />
assuming same market shares as Table 21<br />
Origin<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint Glas NW / Clydbk Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />
Destination<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Silverburn<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
%<br />
43.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.8%<br />
1.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
30.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.9%<br />
12.3%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
200.12<br />
0.00<br />
8.38<br />
5.58<br />
0.00<br />
0.19<br />
0.00<br />
0.47<br />
0.00<br />
142.07<br />
0.19<br />
0.55<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
50.61<br />
57.24<br />
465.40<br />
%<br />
36.5%<br />
0.1%<br />
3.6%<br />
1.9%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
17.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.3%<br />
14.0%<br />
9.6%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
345.75<br />
0.90<br />
34.20<br />
17.75<br />
0.71<br />
0.00<br />
4.74<br />
2.85<br />
0.00<br />
162.20<br />
0.35<br />
132.70<br />
0.18<br />
21.72<br />
133.14<br />
91.33<br />
948.51<br />
%<br />
16.8%<br />
0.2%<br />
7.6%<br />
2.4%<br />
0.3%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.1%<br />
13.2%<br />
0.1%<br />
29.8%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
22.3%<br />
6.9%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
28.64<br />
0.33<br />
12.89<br />
4.12<br />
0.53<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.65<br />
0.17<br />
22.51<br />
0.16<br />
50.79<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
38.07<br />
11.70<br />
170.56<br />
Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />
%<br />
33.4%<br />
0.4%<br />
2.7%<br />
3.9%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.5%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.4%<br />
17.0%<br />
1.1%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.3%<br />
18.4%<br />
11.0%<br />
9.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
256.86<br />
3.07<br />
20.57<br />
29.65<br />
0.67<br />
0.15<br />
3.84<br />
5.38<br />
3.00<br />
130.63<br />
8.75<br />
0.33<br />
9.99<br />
141.77<br />
84.68<br />
69.05<br />
768.39<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
%<br />
12.6%<br />
19.7%<br />
21.3%<br />
9.2%<br />
0.3%<br />
1.4%<br />
5.3%<br />
9.8%<br />
2.1%<br />
3.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.2%<br />
5.8%<br />
3.6%<br />
5.5%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
115.26<br />
180.48<br />
194.89<br />
84.07<br />
2.75<br />
12.49<br />
48.42<br />
89.60<br />
19.48<br />
27.46<br />
1.64<br />
1.09<br />
1.41<br />
53.06<br />
32.85<br />
50.32<br />
915.26<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
%<br />
21.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.1%<br />
25.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.2%<br />
30.8%<br />
9.0%<br />
2.3%<br />
9.5%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
130.38<br />
0.87<br />
2.48<br />
5.59<br />
0.22<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.92<br />
0.81<br />
158.37<br />
0.00<br />
1.10<br />
191.29<br />
55.90<br />
14.14<br />
59.00<br />
621.06<br />
%<br />
11.3%<br />
1.1%<br />
5.2%<br />
1.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.0%<br />
1.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
2.0%<br />
0.1%<br />
0.7%<br />
0.0%<br />
1.5%<br />
68.9%<br />
5.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
Greenock<br />
£m<br />
31.71<br />
2.96<br />
14.55<br />
4.05<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
2.81<br />
4.77<br />
0.00<br />
5.61<br />
0.38<br />
2.06<br />
0.00<br />
4.17<br />
193.41<br />
14.04<br />
280.52<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
%<br />
29.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
7.1%<br />
1.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.4%<br />
0.0%<br />
21.2%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.9%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
14.0%<br />
15.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
£m<br />
100.77<br />
0.00<br />
23.95<br />
4.60<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.42<br />
0.00<br />
71.51<br />
0.00<br />
36.67<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
47.23<br />
50.40<br />
336.54<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
1209.49<br />
188.60<br />
311.91<br />
155.41<br />
4.88<br />
12.83<br />
59.81<br />
106.05<br />
23.46<br />
720.36<br />
11.47<br />
225.30<br />
202.86<br />
276.62<br />
594.11<br />
403.08<br />
4506.25<br />
Floorspace<br />
Gross Sales<br />
sq m sq m<br />
29/4/10<br />
Turnover<br />
/ sq m Total<br />
£ £m<br />
514,054 308,432 £6,515 2009.33<br />
46,775 27,902 £6,759 188.60<br />
51,970 31,126 £11,419 355.44<br />
42,343 33,941 £5,081 172.45<br />
954 572 £8,529 4.88<br />
4,281 2,569 £4,996 12.83<br />
24,400 18,300 £3,268 59.81<br />
25,691 19,268 £5,504 106.05<br />
10,273 7,705 £3,045 23.46<br />
64,000<br />
38,400<br />
£9,382<br />
360.26
Table 23<br />
Estimated Turnover <strong>of</strong> Additional <strong>Retail</strong> Park Floorspace<br />
New Unit 1<br />
New Unit 2<br />
Currys mezzanine<br />
Total<br />
Floorspace (sq m)<br />
Gross Sales<br />
1,679<br />
1,679<br />
2,323<br />
5,681<br />
1,343<br />
1,343<br />
1,858<br />
4,545<br />
Turnover<br />
£ / sq m £m<br />
£3,500<br />
£7,000<br />
£6,500<br />
Table 24<br />
Potential Comparison Trade Diversions - 2010<br />
resulting from opening <strong>of</strong> new retail park floorspace at Braehead<br />
Destination<br />
Bishopbr / Kirkint Glasgow NW<br />
% £m % £m<br />
Glasgow City Centre<br />
Paisley<br />
Braehead<br />
Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />
Renfrew<br />
Johnstone<br />
Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />
Govan<br />
Clydebank<br />
East Kilbride<br />
Silverburn<br />
Local Town Centre<br />
Other incl Mail Order<br />
Total<br />
Trade Draw (%)<br />
Source: Estimates by RDPC<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
35.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
25.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
40.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.23<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.16<br />
0.00<br />
0.26<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.65<br />
2.5%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
20.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
40.0%<br />
20.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
20.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.47<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.94<br />
0.47<br />
0.00<br />
0.47<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
2.36<br />
9.0%<br />
4.70<br />
9.40<br />
12.08<br />
26.18<br />
Dumbarton / VL<br />
% £m<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
40.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
45.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
5.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.31<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.08<br />
0.00<br />
0.35<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.04<br />
0.79<br />
3.0%<br />
Glasgow Sth / NM<br />
% £m<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
25.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
25.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
25.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
5.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
1.18<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.47<br />
1.18<br />
0.47<br />
1.18<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.24<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
4.71<br />
18.0%<br />
Paisley / Renfrew<br />
% £m<br />
5.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
5.0%<br />
30.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
17.0%<br />
35.0%<br />
8.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
0.71<br />
0.00<br />
0.71<br />
4.24<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
2.40<br />
4.95<br />
1.13<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
14.14<br />
54.0%<br />
E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />
% £m<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
50.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
40.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.39<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.08<br />
0.00<br />
0.31<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.79<br />
3.0%<br />
Greenock<br />
% £m<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
25.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
20.0%<br />
35.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
20.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.20<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.16<br />
0.27<br />
0.00<br />
0.16<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.79<br />
3.0%<br />
Argyll & Bute<br />
% £m<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
30.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
35.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
30.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
5.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.20<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.23<br />
0.00<br />
0.20<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.03<br />
0.65<br />
2.5%<br />
Elsewhere<br />
% £m<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
20.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
5.0%<br />
20.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
50.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
5.0%<br />
100.0%<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.26<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.07<br />
0.26<br />
0.00<br />
0.65<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.07<br />
1.31<br />
5.0%<br />
Total<br />
£m<br />
0.71<br />
0.00<br />
0.71<br />
7.48<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
4.04<br />
7.68<br />
1.60<br />
3.59<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.00<br />
0.24<br />
0.00<br />
0.14<br />
26.18<br />
100.0%<br />
Turnover<br />
Previous New<br />
£m £m<br />
Change<br />
%<br />
29/4/10<br />
Turnover / sq m<br />
Previous New<br />
£ £<br />
2009.33 2008.62 -0.0% £6,515 £6,512<br />
188.60 188.60 0.0% £6,759 £6,759<br />
355.44 354.73 -0.2% £11,419 £11,397<br />
172.45 191.15 10.8% £5,081 £4,967<br />
4.88 4.88 0.0% £8,529 £8,529<br />
12.83 12.83 0.0% £4,996 £4,996<br />
59.81 55.77 -6.8% £3,268 £3,047<br />
106.05 98.37 -7.2% £5,504 £5,105<br />
23.46 21.86 -6.8% £3,045 £2,837<br />
720.36 716.77 -0.5%<br />
11.47 11.47 0.0%<br />
225.30 225.30 0.0%<br />
202.86 202.86 0.0%<br />
276.62 276.38 -0.1% £9,382 £7,197<br />
594.11 594.11 0.0%<br />
403.08 402.94 -0.0%