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Assessment of Planning and Retail Issues - Renfrewshire Council

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Proposed Extensions<br />

at Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park,<br />

Braehead, Renfrew<br />

<strong>Assessment</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>Planning</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Retail</strong> <strong>Issues</strong><br />

May 2010


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

C o n t e n t s<br />

1 Introduction 1<br />

3 <strong>Planning</strong> Policy Context 4<br />

4 <strong>Retail</strong> Impact <strong>Issues</strong> 16<br />

5 Conclusions 30<br />

Appendix: <strong>Retail</strong> Tables 1 - 24<br />

RDPC Limited<br />

PO Box 8050<br />

EDINBURGH<br />

EH5 3YS<br />

T: 0131 467 8050<br />

F: 0131 467 8051<br />

E: robert@rdpc.co.uk


1 INTRODUCTION<br />

The Proposals<br />

1.1 Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park is a well-established retail warehouse park which forms an<br />

integral part <strong>of</strong> the range <strong>of</strong> facilities which are available at Braehead, <strong>and</strong> which<br />

contribute substantially to meeting the retail, leisure, business, housing <strong>and</strong><br />

employment needs <strong>of</strong> <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>.<br />

1.2 For many years following its opening, the retail park was not fully let, despite the<br />

popularity <strong>of</strong> Braehead as a retail destination. The closure <strong>of</strong> the B&Q warehouse<br />

further increased the vacancy levels within the retail park. Fortunately, as a result<br />

<strong>of</strong> extensive marketing efforts by Capital Shopping Centres (CSC) <strong>and</strong> with<br />

considerable assistance from <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, the retail park is now fully<br />

occupied, <strong>and</strong> has benefited considerably from the relocation <strong>of</strong> Sainsbury’s into<br />

the former B&Q unit.<br />

1.3 Despite the recession, the retail market has held up reasonably well. Competition<br />

between retailers is strong, <strong>and</strong> so also is competition between major retail<br />

destinations. The coming on-stream <strong>of</strong> Silverburn has exerted competitive<br />

pressures on Braehead, <strong>and</strong> the prospect <strong>of</strong> major new retail development at<br />

Glasgow Harbour has made it imperative that Braehead should be able to respond<br />

to internal development pressures <strong>and</strong> to accommodate the needs <strong>of</strong> its tenants,<br />

as well as providing new opportunities where possible.<br />

1.4 With the retail park now fully let <strong>and</strong> trading well, with existing tenants looking to<br />

improve their <strong>of</strong>fer <strong>and</strong> a number <strong>of</strong> prospective new tenants expressing interest<br />

in Braehead, there is a need to provide some additional expansion space to cater<br />

for these interests. CSC have identified an opportunity to strengthen the retail<br />

park <strong>and</strong> improve its efficiency <strong>and</strong> appearance by providing two new units at<br />

either end <strong>of</strong> the existing run <strong>of</strong> units, with each unit providing an additional 1,679<br />

square metres <strong>of</strong> gross floorspace on two levels.<br />

1.5 The new easternmost unit will reflect the design <strong>of</strong> the existing units <strong>and</strong> will have<br />

a new l<strong>and</strong>scaped area adjacent to it. The proposal for the westernmost unit<br />

involves realignment <strong>of</strong> the adjacent roadway out <strong>of</strong> the bus station to create<br />

additional l<strong>and</strong> for the new development <strong>and</strong> associated l<strong>and</strong>scaping. The front<br />

past <strong>of</strong> the side wall <strong>of</strong> the new unit will be angled to follow the alignment <strong>of</strong> the<br />

roadway, <strong>and</strong> will incorporate a substantial area <strong>of</strong> glazing to enhance its side<br />

elevation, in recognition <strong>of</strong> the fact that this elevation faces across to the main<br />

Braehead Centre - effectively creating a ‘side frontage’ to the western end <strong>of</strong> the<br />

retail park units. This will greatly improve the view <strong>of</strong> the retail park from the


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 2 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

main centre <strong>and</strong> the bus station, <strong>and</strong> will enhance the connectivity between the<br />

facilities. As with the eastern unit, the main design features <strong>of</strong> the western unit will<br />

reflect the design <strong>of</strong> the existing buildings, so that both extensions connect<br />

seamlessly into the existing structures.<br />

1.6 Minor adjustments will be made to the road markings <strong>and</strong> traffic isl<strong>and</strong> at the north<br />

end <strong>of</strong> the bus station in order to accommodate the proposed changes, <strong>and</strong> one<br />

<strong>of</strong> the bus stances will be slightly repositioned.<br />

1.7 The opportunity will also be taken to alter <strong>and</strong> improve the footpath route at the<br />

west end <strong>of</strong> the retail park, making a stronger <strong>and</strong> more attractive link between<br />

the retail park, bus station, main centre entrance <strong>and</strong> riverside boulevard. Muchimproved<br />

l<strong>and</strong>scaped areas will be provided in this area between the retail park<br />

<strong>and</strong> the riverside, <strong>and</strong> additional l<strong>and</strong>scaping will also be provided where the<br />

roadway is being reduced in width to accommodate the western extension. The<br />

covered walkway which runs along the front <strong>of</strong> the retail warehouse units will be<br />

extended westwards across the front <strong>of</strong> the new unit, <strong>and</strong> an enlarged pedestrian<br />

circulation area will be provided here, in front <strong>of</strong> the unit between the car park<br />

<strong>and</strong> the road.<br />

1.8 In recognition <strong>of</strong> the fact that the amount <strong>of</strong> parking spaces provided at Braehead<br />

exceeds the national parking st<strong>and</strong>ards, no additional parking spaces are being<br />

proposed for this development.<br />

1.9 Also being proposed is a new mezzanine floor within the existing Curry’s retail unit<br />

at the retail park, amounting to an additional 2,323 square metres gross floorspace.<br />

Following discussions with <strong>of</strong>ficers <strong>of</strong> <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, it has been agreed<br />

that this proposal should be brought forward by means <strong>of</strong> an application for a<br />

Certificate <strong>of</strong> Lawful Use or Development, on the basis that the installation <strong>of</strong> a<br />

mezzanine floor does not constitute development <strong>and</strong> this does not require<br />

planning permission. Consequently does not require to be assessed against<br />

current planning policy.<br />

1.10 CSC recognise that the installation <strong>of</strong> mezzanine floors throughout the retail park<br />

could, if pursued in an uncontrolled manner, raise issues <strong>of</strong> concern in relation to<br />

possible effects on trade in other centres. Accordingly, CSC have agreed that if<br />

<strong>Renfrewshire</strong> <strong>Council</strong> is minded to approve the current proposals, they will enter<br />

into a legal agreement with the council, the effect <strong>of</strong> which will be to prevent<br />

further installation <strong>of</strong> mezzanine floors in the retail park, other than any which may


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 3 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

be approved following the submission <strong>of</strong> formal planning applications.<br />

1.11 All these proposals have been discussed with the appropriate <strong>of</strong>ficers at<br />

<strong>Renfrewshire</strong> <strong>Council</strong>, <strong>and</strong> the supporting information for the applications has<br />

been compiled in accordance with their advice <strong>and</strong> guidance. As the applications<br />

constitute ‘local developments’ for the purposes <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Planning</strong> Acts, no preapplication<br />

notice has been issued <strong>and</strong> no design <strong>and</strong> access statement prepared.<br />

1.12 The next section <strong>of</strong> the report addresses the relevant planning policies to be<br />

applied to the extension proposals, <strong>and</strong> the third section considers retail<br />

expenditure <strong>and</strong> impact issues.


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 4 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

2 PLANNING POLICY CONTEXT<br />

Background<br />

2.1 The policy context for Braehead has been evolving over many years, from the<br />

original decision <strong>of</strong> the Secretary <strong>of</strong> State for Scotl<strong>and</strong> to approve the proposal,<br />

through various statements <strong>of</strong> Scottish retail planning policy, several structure plans<br />

- originally for Strathclyde <strong>and</strong> latterly for Glasgow <strong>and</strong> The Clyde Valley, <strong>and</strong> the<br />

<strong>Renfrewshire</strong> Local Plan, leading to the now-emerging Strategic Development Plan<br />

for Glasgow <strong>and</strong> The Clyde Valley.<br />

Original <strong>Planning</strong> Decision<br />

2.2 The Braehead shopping <strong>and</strong> leisure centre was approved on appeal by the<br />

Secretary <strong>of</strong> State for Scotl<strong>and</strong> in 1990. The Reporter appointed to conduct the<br />

public inquiry into the Braehead proposal reached the following conclusion, which<br />

was accepted by the Secretary <strong>of</strong> State:<br />

“The key policy COM1 states a preference for locating major new shopping<br />

proposals in or adjoining existing centres, but does not rule out the possibility <strong>of</strong><br />

exceptions, or <strong>of</strong> new additions to the hierarchy. The 1988 alteration to the<br />

structure plan proposes two new shopping centres that would be additions to the<br />

hierarchy. The sheer size <strong>of</strong> the Braehead scheme would give it sufficient status<br />

to be considered as part <strong>of</strong> the hierarchy, at about Tier 2 level. This distinguishes<br />

it from smaller shopping developments at sporadic locations that would dissipate<br />

<strong>and</strong> dilute shopping provision away from the recognised centres, without creating<br />

worthwhile focal points that would function as new centres. For this reason,<br />

Braehead would not set a precedent for other smaller retail developments”.<br />

2.3 Although the Secretary <strong>of</strong> State approved the Braehead development in 1990 on<br />

the basis that it would function as a new centre in the shopping hierarchy, the<br />

centre itself did not open until October 1999. The first Structure Plan to emerge<br />

following the opening <strong>of</strong> Braehead - the new Glasgow & The Clyde Valley<br />

Structure Plan - overlooked the fact that the centre had opened <strong>and</strong> was now a<br />

major element in the shopping hierarchy. However the Scottish Ministers, when<br />

approving the plan in 2002, inserted additional wording into the plan regarding<br />

Braehead:


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 5 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

“It is recognised that the Braehead Shopping Centre is playing a valuable catalytic<br />

role in relation to the redevelopment <strong>of</strong> the Renfrew Riverside. In due course the<br />

Braehead Shopping Centre is likely to assume certain town centre functions in<br />

respect <strong>of</strong> the wider Renfrew Riverside area. The role <strong>and</strong> function <strong>of</strong> the<br />

shopping centre will be monitored by the Joint Committee”.<br />

2.4 In the eight years since this statement was inserted into the Structure Plan by<br />

Scottish Ministers, the Braehead Centre has cemented its position as the primary<br />

retail destination in <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>, as a major focus for employment <strong>and</strong> leisure,<br />

<strong>and</strong> as the heart <strong>of</strong> a growing residential <strong>and</strong> business community in the Renfrew<br />

Riverside area. Its catalytic role in driving forward the regeneration <strong>of</strong> this area<br />

remains crucial, hence the need to ensure that facilities such as the retail park can<br />

evolve <strong>and</strong> respond positively to tenants’ needs <strong>and</strong> changing market conditions.<br />

The Relationship <strong>of</strong> Centres in North <strong>Renfrewshire</strong><br />

2.5 While Paisley town centre’s role has changed over the past twenty years, it was<br />

recognised in a recent study (the 2006 Yellow Book study into a strategy for<br />

Paisley’s regeneration <strong>and</strong> transformation, commissioned by <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> <strong>Council</strong>,<br />

Paisley Vision Board <strong>and</strong> Scottish Enterprise <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>) that it cannot be<br />

expected to return to the role it once held. The changes in Paisley town centre’s<br />

role <strong>and</strong> function were evident in advance <strong>of</strong> the opening <strong>of</strong> Braehead, due to the<br />

increasing popularity <strong>of</strong> Glasgow City Centre <strong>and</strong> other major centres such as East<br />

Kilbride. The Yellow Book study stressed that Paisley town centre needed to<br />

focus on its strengths <strong>and</strong> shift its focus, particularly in relation to retailing, by<br />

concentrating on the ‘value retail’ sector <strong>of</strong> the market, <strong>and</strong> on serving the needs<br />

<strong>of</strong> those living <strong>and</strong> working in the town centre. The study recommended that<br />

redevelopment efforts should be focused on residential <strong>and</strong> mixed use schemes,<br />

<strong>and</strong> that there should be an effort to increase evening activity with more cafes <strong>and</strong><br />

restaurants.<br />

2.6 In future, the broadest range <strong>of</strong> retail <strong>and</strong> leisure facilities in <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> will be<br />

best met by playing to the strengths <strong>of</strong> each centre - Paisley, Renfrew <strong>and</strong><br />

Braehead - in order to maximise the investment potential <strong>of</strong> the area as a whole.<br />

The promotion <strong>of</strong> the three centres in accordance with a strategy which maintains<br />

<strong>and</strong> develops their complementary functions will ensure that each centre can<br />

benefit from the others, while consumers will be able to enjoy the combined<br />

strengths <strong>of</strong> all three.


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 6 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

National <strong>Planning</strong> Framework for Scotl<strong>and</strong> 2<br />

2.7 The second National <strong>Planning</strong> Framework for Scotl<strong>and</strong> (NPF2) was issued by the<br />

Scottish Government in its final approved form in June 2009. It provides the<br />

national policy context for development plans <strong>and</strong> sets out a long-term strategy for<br />

sustainable development in Scotl<strong>and</strong> over the next two decades.<br />

2.8 Central to the promotion <strong>of</strong> sustainable development <strong>and</strong> economic prosperity for<br />

Scotl<strong>and</strong> is the need to regenerate areas <strong>of</strong> brownfield l<strong>and</strong> which are not fully<br />

contributing to economic growth, promote urban investment, <strong>and</strong> create new<br />

employment opportunities. Braehead has been at the core <strong>of</strong> radical <strong>and</strong><br />

substantial urban renewal <strong>and</strong> economic regeneration at Renfrew Riverside, <strong>and</strong><br />

remains a key element in the drive to breathe new life into the Clyde Corridor.<br />

NPF2 confirms, in paragraph 87, that the Clyde Corridor - encompassing the<br />

major regeneration initiatives along the Clyde Gateway <strong>and</strong> the Clyde Waterfront -<br />

is the national strategic regeneration priority. In paragraph 196 NPF2 recognises<br />

the new community growth which is emerging in North Renfrew - a community<br />

which would not be developing in the absence <strong>of</strong> Braehead. Consolidation <strong>of</strong><br />

development <strong>and</strong> continued job creation at Braehead is key to its continued<br />

contribution to the success <strong>of</strong> Scotl<strong>and</strong>’s top regeneration priority.<br />

Scottish <strong>Planning</strong> Policy - Town Centres <strong>and</strong> <strong>Retail</strong>ing<br />

2.9 Since approval <strong>of</strong> the Braehead development in 1990, there have been four<br />

Scottish planning policy statements on retailing, comprising two versions <strong>of</strong><br />

National <strong>Planning</strong> Policy Guideline No.8 - Town Centres <strong>and</strong> <strong>Retail</strong>ing (NPPG8),<br />

Scottish <strong>Planning</strong> Policy No.8 - Town Centres <strong>and</strong> <strong>Retail</strong>ing (SPP8), <strong>and</strong> most<br />

recently the consolidated Scottish <strong>Planning</strong> Policy statement (SPP) issued in<br />

February 2010.<br />

2.10 The consolidated SPP sets out national planning policies for all development<br />

sectors, including retailing. The section on Town Centres <strong>and</strong> <strong>Retail</strong>ing generally<br />

follows the policies contained in SPP8, emphasising the importance <strong>of</strong> supporting<br />

town centres, <strong>and</strong> advising planning authorities to define a ‘Network <strong>of</strong> Centres’<br />

- comprising town centres, commercial centres <strong>and</strong> other local centres - which<br />

will meet the retail needs <strong>of</strong> the area, <strong>and</strong> which will provide the context for<br />

assessment <strong>of</strong> proposals for new development.


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 7 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

2.11 Paragraph 63 <strong>of</strong> the SPP explains that development proposals in edge-<strong>of</strong>-centre<br />

or commercial centre locations should be assessed having regard to the availability<br />

<strong>of</strong> more central locations <strong>and</strong> the potential impact on existing centres. In relation<br />

to new developments which are contrary to the development plan, the planning<br />

authority should ensure that the sequential approach to retail site selection has<br />

been used, there is no unacceptable individual or cumulative impact on the vitality<br />

<strong>and</strong> viability <strong>of</strong> the identified network <strong>of</strong> centres, the proposal will help to meet<br />

qualitative <strong>and</strong> quantitative deficiencies identified in the development plan, <strong>and</strong> will<br />

not conflict with other significant objectives <strong>of</strong> the development plan or other<br />

relevant strategies. A retail impact analysis is required for a development<br />

proposed outside a town centre which is not in accord with the development plan.<br />

2.12 All the relevant issues raised by the SPP are addressed as part <strong>of</strong> the following<br />

assessment <strong>of</strong> the current proposals against the requirements <strong>of</strong> the development<br />

plan.<br />

Glasgow <strong>and</strong> The Clyde Valley Structure Plan<br />

2.13 The Third Alteration to the Glasgow <strong>and</strong> The Clyde Valley Structure Plan was<br />

approved with modifications by Ministers in 2008, but was then altered again by<br />

the Fourth Alteration, approved by Ministers in March 2009. This Fourth<br />

Alteration had the effect <strong>of</strong> designating Braehead as a ‘Commercial Centre’,<br />

meaning that - for the purposes <strong>of</strong> applying the sequential approach - Braehead is<br />

a third choice location for new development after town centres <strong>and</strong> edge-<strong>of</strong>centre<br />

locations, but in preference to out-<strong>of</strong>-centre locations.<br />

2.14 However, so far as proposals to exp<strong>and</strong> existing facilities are concerned, paragraph<br />

62 <strong>of</strong> the SPP makes clear that the sequential approach only applies if the<br />

extension proposals “are <strong>of</strong> a scale or form sufficient to change their role <strong>and</strong><br />

function”. In this case the proposals involve only two relatively modest extensions<br />

at either end <strong>of</strong> the existing run <strong>of</strong> buildings, in order to improve the ability <strong>of</strong> the<br />

retail park to respond to a highly competitive marketplace, accommodate interest<br />

from retailers who otherwise are likely to choose to locate outside <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>,<br />

<strong>and</strong> to cater for the evolving needs <strong>of</strong> existing tenants. The proposals are not <strong>of</strong><br />

a scale or form sufficient to change the role <strong>and</strong> function <strong>of</strong> the retail park, or <strong>of</strong><br />

Braehead as a whole, <strong>and</strong> accordingly the sequential approach does not apply in<br />

this instance.<br />

2.15 In any case it is clear that it would not be possible to enhance the retail park or


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 8 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

cater for the requirements <strong>of</strong> existing tenants by constructing new retail units in<br />

another part <strong>of</strong> <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>.<br />

Clyde Waterfront Initiative<br />

2.16 In setting the overall strategic context for any new development at Braehead, the<br />

‘Clyde Waterfront Initiative’ is one <strong>of</strong> three ‘Metropolitan Flagship Initiatives’<br />

promoted by the Structure Plan. A central element <strong>of</strong> the Clyde Waterfront<br />

Initiative is “building upon the catalytic role <strong>of</strong> Braehead regional leisure <strong>and</strong><br />

shopping centre in the regeneration <strong>of</strong> Renfrew Riverside”. These current<br />

proposals will promote the continued contribution <strong>of</strong> Braehead to economic<br />

regeneration in this area <strong>of</strong> <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>.<br />

Development Management Policies<br />

2.17 Strategic Policy 9 in the Structure Plan sets out the criteria which a development<br />

proposal should satisfy in order to be regarded as in accordance with the plan. For<br />

retail development proposals which are likely to be ‘significant’ - i.e. those<br />

comprising comparison floorspace <strong>of</strong> more than 2,000 square metres - it is<br />

necessary to demonstrate that (A) the case for the development has been<br />

established, (B) the location is appropriate, <strong>and</strong> (C) infrastructure requirements<br />

have been met.<br />

2.18 In this case, each planning application is proposing a development <strong>of</strong> less than<br />

2,000 square metres, <strong>and</strong> thus neither application exceeds the Structure Plan’s<br />

definition <strong>of</strong> a ‘significant’ development. However as the combined total <strong>of</strong> both<br />

applications exceeds 2,000 square metres, it is appropriate to consider the<br />

proposals against Strategic Policy 9.<br />

2.19 Dealing firstly with the ‘A’ criteria relating to the case for the development, the<br />

first test is the extent to which the proposals satisfy the criteria set out in Schedule<br />

6(c)(I) <strong>of</strong> the Structure Plan. The first two criteria relate to the balance <strong>of</strong><br />

expenditure <strong>and</strong> turnover in the relevant catchment area <strong>and</strong> the potential impact<br />

on any town centre listed in the Network <strong>of</strong> Town Centres. These issues are<br />

considered in the next section <strong>of</strong> this report, which shows that there is adequate<br />

retail expenditure within the Braehead catchment area to support the new<br />

developments <strong>and</strong> that there will be no adverse impact on any existing town<br />

centre.


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2.20 The third criterion relates to out-<strong>of</strong>-centre development proposals <strong>and</strong> thus is not<br />

relevant to a proposal in a Commercial Centre.<br />

2.21 Criterion (d) requires consideration <strong>of</strong> the contribution <strong>of</strong> the proposals to the<br />

improvement <strong>of</strong> the vitality or viability <strong>of</strong> town centres, <strong>and</strong> functional relationship<br />

to existing town centres. It is accepted that the proposals, being located in a<br />

Commercial Centre, do not directly result in the improvement <strong>of</strong> any town<br />

centre, but nor are they likely to have any adverse effect. By achieving a modest<br />

enhancement <strong>of</strong> the quality <strong>and</strong> attractiveness <strong>of</strong> the retail park compared to other<br />

major retail parks outside <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>, they will help to underpin <strong>and</strong> extend the<br />

substantial investment in Renfrew Riverside which the overall Braehead<br />

development has delivered, complementing its regenerative benefits <strong>and</strong> thereby<br />

indirectly benefiting Renfrew. It is particularly encouraging that Capital Shopping<br />

Centres believe that additional investment can be attracted to Renfrew Riverside<br />

so soon after a very severe recession.<br />

2.22 The proposals are for bulky goods retail floorspace only <strong>and</strong> thus will conform to<br />

criterion (e) in Schedule 6(c)(I).<br />

2.23 As regards criterion (f), which requires consideration <strong>of</strong> the appropriateness <strong>of</strong><br />

locating new bulky goods retailing at Commercial Centres, <strong>and</strong> their suitability for<br />

access by means other than the private car, these proposals seek only to modestly<br />

consolidate an existing established bulky goods retail location - it being recognised<br />

in paragraph 12.24 <strong>of</strong> the Structure Plan that the retail warehouse parks were<br />

established to accommodate bulky goods retail outlets which could not be<br />

accommodated in or adjoining town centres. The Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park is highly<br />

accessible by non-car modes, being located immediately adjacent to Braehead Bus<br />

Station, <strong>and</strong> also served by the frequent buses which run between Braehead,<br />

Govan <strong>and</strong> Glasgow. The proposals will also enhance the appearance <strong>of</strong> the<br />

existing retail warehousing at Braehead.<br />

2.24 Criterion (g) is not relevant as it relates to retail parks next to town centres.<br />

Criterion (h) relates to the requirements <strong>of</strong> Strategic Policies 3 (Strategic<br />

Management <strong>of</strong> Travel Dem<strong>and</strong>s) <strong>and</strong> 9B(vi) (Promotion <strong>of</strong> Sustainable Transport),<br />

<strong>and</strong> it is considered that these proposals comply with these policies by focusing<br />

new retail warehousing in a location already well served by buses, <strong>and</strong> in a way<br />

which is unlikely to generate significant extra trips by car, but rather result in<br />

longer dwell times by customers. Furthermore they should reduce the likelihood<br />

<strong>of</strong> car-borne visitors needing to visit other retail warehouse parks in order to


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 10 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

compare potential purchases, <strong>and</strong> - because the proposals do not involve any new<br />

parking spaces - will ensure a reduction in the ratio <strong>of</strong> parking spaces per square<br />

metre <strong>of</strong> floorspace at Braehead, thus further promoting sustainable travel<br />

patterns.<br />

2.25 Criterion (I) is not relevant as it does not relate to retail warehouse locations, <strong>and</strong><br />

the current proposals could not achieve the enhancement <strong>of</strong> the Braehead <strong>Retail</strong><br />

Park if they were located in any <strong>of</strong> the locations listed in Schedule 6(c)(iv).<br />

2.26 Criterion (j) refers to the contribution <strong>of</strong> the development to remedying any<br />

qualitative deficiencies in existing retail provision. Given that there have been no<br />

improvements to the retail park since it was constructed, other than one minor<br />

unit subdivision, <strong>and</strong> that other retail warehousing destinations have been<br />

established <strong>and</strong>/or significantly improved since then, it is considered that the<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park has become disadvantaged in qualitative terms, <strong>and</strong> that<br />

some enhancement is long overdue.<br />

2.27 Criterion (k) does not apply.<br />

2.28 Turning now to the ‘B’ criteria relating to whether the location <strong>of</strong> the<br />

development is appropriate, the relevant tests are to ensure that the vitality <strong>and</strong><br />

viability <strong>of</strong> town centres is safeguarded <strong>and</strong> promoted by applying the sequential<br />

approach, promote sustainable transport, avoid risk <strong>of</strong> flooding, avoid negative<br />

impact on health <strong>and</strong> safety, <strong>and</strong> contribute to the implementation <strong>of</strong> the air quality<br />

strategy.<br />

2.29 We have already discussed the sequential approach <strong>and</strong> the fact that the SPP<br />

indicates that it does not apply in this instance. So far as the Structure Plan’s policy<br />

on the sequential approach is concerned, as set out in Schedule 6(c)(ii), as<br />

amended by the Fourth Alteration, this states that the preference should be for<br />

town centre sites where sites or buildings suitable for conversion are available, <strong>and</strong><br />

that locations which are easily accessible by a choice <strong>of</strong> means <strong>of</strong> transport,<br />

especially public transport, should be preferred. In this case it is clear that it would<br />

not be possible to enhance the Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park using sites or buildings<br />

elsewhere in <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>. The location is easily accessible <strong>and</strong> well served by<br />

public transport.<br />

2.30 We commented previously on the ways in which the proposals will promote<br />

sustainable transport. Drainage information is being submitted with the


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applications to address the flood risk issue. There are no health <strong>and</strong> safety<br />

implications, nor do the proposals give rise to any significant air quality<br />

implications, particularly as the location is readily accessible by public transport <strong>and</strong><br />

the traffic generating effects <strong>of</strong> the developments are expected to be very modest.<br />

2.31 Finally, as regards the ‘C’ criteria relating to infrastructure requirements, the<br />

transport assessment <strong>and</strong> drainage reports submitted with the applications set out<br />

the provision being made to address the infrastructure requirements <strong>of</strong> the<br />

proposals.<br />

2.32 Consequently it is considered that the proposals satisfy the criteria set down in<br />

Strategic Policy 9 <strong>of</strong> the Structure Plan, <strong>and</strong> thus do not constitute a departure<br />

from the plan.<br />

Local Plan Policy<br />

2.33 The <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> Local Plan was adopted in 2006. It recognises a hierarchy <strong>of</strong><br />

town centres comprising strategic town centres <strong>and</strong> secondary centres,<br />

neighbourhood shops, out <strong>of</strong> centre retailing, <strong>and</strong> - as a separate category - the<br />

Braehead Regional Shopping Centre <strong>and</strong> Leisure Centre. The plan recognises that<br />

Braehead is ‘not currently included in the Structure Plan’s Network <strong>of</strong> Town<br />

Centres’, <strong>and</strong> that ‘while the non-retail development on Renfrew Riverside will be<br />

encouraged, the role <strong>and</strong> function <strong>of</strong> the regional shopping centre will be<br />

monitored by the Structure Plan Joint Committee’.<br />

2.34 The local plan pre-dates the designation <strong>of</strong> Braehead as a Commercial Centre in<br />

the Structure Plan <strong>and</strong> the adjusted policies associated with that designation. It<br />

refers to Braehead as an out-<strong>of</strong>-centre retail location, which is no longer correct.<br />

2.35 Paragraph 7.11 in the Local Plan confirms the policy objective <strong>of</strong> maintaining the<br />

regional centre at Braehead. There are four policies <strong>of</strong> direct relevance to the<br />

current proposals - policies R1, R2, R13 <strong>and</strong> R16.<br />

2.36 Policy R1 states that town centre uses will be directed to the strategic <strong>and</strong><br />

secondary centres in <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>, <strong>and</strong> that all proposals for town centre uses will<br />

be considered against the criteria specified in Table R1. Policy R2 states that<br />

‘significant’ shopping developments <strong>of</strong> more than 2,000 square metres <strong>of</strong><br />

comparison floorspace will be directed to the strategic town centres to support<br />

their vitality <strong>and</strong> viability, <strong>and</strong> will be assessed against relevant Structure Plan


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policies.<br />

2.37 Policy R13 relates to the retail warehouse parks in the plan areas, <strong>and</strong> states that<br />

there will be a presumption against proposals for additional floorspace beyond the<br />

level specified in current consents for these areas. Because the policy pre-dates<br />

the Fourth Alteration to the Structure Plan, it does not take account <strong>of</strong> the fact<br />

that the retail warehouse parks are now Commercial Centres. It also does not<br />

take account <strong>of</strong> the advice in the SPP that investment to maintain <strong>and</strong> improve<br />

Commercial Centres should be supported where the centres are part <strong>of</strong> the<br />

network <strong>of</strong> centres <strong>and</strong> where such investment will not undermine town centres.<br />

This advice in the SPP makes clear that it is no longer appropriate to impose<br />

blanket presumptions against additional development in Commercial Centres.<br />

2.38 Policy R16 refers specifically to the Braehead Regional Shopping <strong>and</strong> Leisure<br />

Centre <strong>and</strong> confirms that the centre is allocated for the uses specified in the<br />

planning permissions for the centre. It also states that “Proposals for additional<br />

development in the specified categories will be supported where they satisfy the<br />

provisions <strong>of</strong> structure plan policy, <strong>and</strong> the criteria in Table R1" (these criteria<br />

listed in Table R1 relate to the sequential approach, capacity <strong>and</strong> impact issues,<br />

traffic <strong>and</strong> sustainable transport, amenity, design, environmental impact <strong>and</strong><br />

infrastructure provision).<br />

<strong>Assessment</strong> <strong>of</strong> the Proposals Against Policy<br />

2.39 The proposals will be in accordance with the support given by the Local Plan to<br />

maintaining the Regional Centre at Braehead, which is now endorsed by the<br />

Structure Plan’s recognition <strong>of</strong> Braehead as a Commercial Centre <strong>and</strong>, in Schedule<br />

6(c)(I)(c), the importance <strong>of</strong> protecting Braehead from new out-<strong>of</strong>-centre<br />

developments. Although the local plan distinguishes between the main Braehead<br />

Centre <strong>and</strong> the retail park, <strong>and</strong> has different policies for each element, the<br />

designation <strong>of</strong> both parts <strong>of</strong> Braehead’s retail <strong>of</strong>fer as Commercial Centres<br />

removes any remaining justification for treating the two elements separately. Thus<br />

it is appropriate to consider the relevance <strong>of</strong> both policies R13 <strong>and</strong> R16 to the<br />

current proposal, as well as Policies R1 <strong>and</strong> R2.<br />

Policy R1<br />

2.40 Dealing firstly with Policy R1, which directs town centre uses to the strategic <strong>and</strong><br />

secondary centres, these proposals require to be assessed against the criteria set


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out in Table R1 in the Local Plan.<br />

2.41 The first criterion listed in Table R1 relates to the sequential approach, <strong>and</strong> this<br />

issue has already been fully addressed. The second <strong>and</strong> third criteria refer to<br />

whether the proposal can be supported by the catchment population <strong>and</strong> the likely<br />

impact <strong>of</strong> the proposal on other centres, <strong>and</strong> these matters are addressed in the<br />

next section <strong>of</strong> the report. We have also discussed the fourth criterion relating to<br />

the need to achieve sustainable transport, <strong>and</strong> the fifth criterion relating to<br />

adequacy <strong>of</strong> arrangements for traffic circulation <strong>and</strong> parking is being addressed in<br />

the transport assessment. There are no implications for the amenity <strong>of</strong> any nearby<br />

properties, so the sixth criterion is satisfied, <strong>and</strong> the quality <strong>of</strong> design has been<br />

addressed in the first section <strong>of</strong> this report, thus addressing the seventh criterion.<br />

2.42 There are no particular environmental effects associated with the proposal which<br />

require special consideration, beyond the discussions already presented, <strong>and</strong> all<br />

implications for infrastructure are addressed in the reports on drainage <strong>and</strong><br />

transport, thus satisfying the eighth <strong>and</strong> ninth criteria.<br />

2.43 It is important to note that Policy R1 requires the tests in Table R1 to be applied<br />

to all proposals for town centre uses, regardless <strong>of</strong> their proposed location. In this<br />

case the tests laid down in the table are all satisfied by the current proposals.<br />

Policy R2<br />

2.44 Turning to Policy R2, this indicates that significant shopping developments <strong>of</strong> more<br />

than 2,000 square metres comparison floorspace should be directed to the<br />

strategic town centres <strong>and</strong> that such proposals will be tested against relevant<br />

Structure Plan policies. As has been noted, the two applications to which this<br />

statement relates are each proposing developments <strong>of</strong> less than 2,000 square<br />

metres, but it is appropriate to consider the implications <strong>of</strong> Policy R2 given that the<br />

proposals in combination amount to more than 2,000 square metres. A full<br />

analysis <strong>of</strong> all the relevant Structure Plan policies has already been carried out, <strong>and</strong><br />

the proposals have been shown to comply with Strategic Policy 9, which means<br />

that they also comply with the tests imposed by Policy R2.<br />

Policy R13<br />

2.45 It has been noted earlier that the presumption in the Policy R13 against additional<br />

floorspace at the retail park does not accord with the advice contained in the SPP


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relating to support for investment in Commercial Centres. Furthermore this<br />

proposal is being taken forward only on the basis that approval <strong>of</strong> the additional<br />

retail floorspace will result in the prevention, by legal agreement, <strong>of</strong> any additional<br />

internal mezzanine floors in the retail park which otherwise could be installed<br />

without requiring planning permission. Thus the result <strong>of</strong> approving these<br />

proposals will be to reinforce the effectiveness <strong>of</strong> Policy R13, notwithst<strong>and</strong>ing its<br />

non-compliance with the SPP.<br />

2.46 Consequently, although the proposal amounts to a departure from Policy R13, it<br />

is considered that the departure is not significant, because (1) the additional<br />

floorspace is far less than could be provided by way <strong>of</strong> mezzanine floors in the<br />

retail park, which in future will be under the full control <strong>of</strong> the council because <strong>of</strong><br />

the effect <strong>of</strong> the new legal agreement, <strong>and</strong> (2) in the light <strong>of</strong> national retail planning<br />

policy set out in the SPP, it is no longer appropriate to impose blanket<br />

presumptions against additional retail floorspace at the Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park, which<br />

is now designated as a Commercial Centre.<br />

Policy R16<br />

2.47 Policy R16 is described in the Local Plan as referring to the “area <strong>of</strong> the Braehead<br />

shopping mall <strong>and</strong> indoor sports area, with associated parking”. The area-specific<br />

wording dates from around eight years ago when the Local Plan was finalised prior<br />

to the Local Plan Inquiry. Following the inquiry, the Reporter appointed to<br />

conduct the inquiry <strong>and</strong> make recommendations to the council concluded that the<br />

whole <strong>of</strong> Braehead should be included in a single planning policy area reflecting its<br />

strategic importance, rather than having two separate policies for the mall <strong>and</strong><br />

retail park. The Reporter’s recommendation was not accepted at the time by the<br />

council, primarily because the Structure Plan also had separate policies for the mall<br />

<strong>and</strong> retail park. However the Fourth Alteration <strong>of</strong> the Structure Plan has<br />

designated both Braehead Centre <strong>and</strong> the retail park as two adjoining Commercial<br />

Centres, which combine to make one single centre, <strong>and</strong> thus it is logical that Policy<br />

R16 should apply to the centre as a whole. Furthermore the title ‘Braehead<br />

Regional Shopping <strong>and</strong> Leisure Centre’ is customarily taken to apply to Braehead<br />

Centre, the retail park, IKEA <strong>and</strong> Xscape - comprising all <strong>of</strong> Braehead’s retail <strong>and</strong><br />

leisure elements.<br />

2.48 It is relevant that the proposal to relocate the Sainsbury’s superstore into the<br />

former B&Q Warehouse in the retail park was assessed by the council against the<br />

terms <strong>of</strong> Policy R16, reinforcing the view that the policy should be applied to the


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whole <strong>of</strong> Braehead.<br />

2.49 Policy R16 states that Braehead is allocated for the uses specified in the original<br />

planning permission, <strong>and</strong> that additional development proposals will be supported<br />

when they satisfy the Structure Plan <strong>and</strong> the criteria in Table R1. As has been<br />

shown earlier, the current proposals satisfy both the Structure Plan <strong>and</strong> the tests<br />

in Table R1. Therefore it is in accord with Policy R16.<br />

Policy Conclusions<br />

2.50 Braehead is one <strong>of</strong> the principal drivers <strong>of</strong> economic regeneration in Scotl<strong>and</strong>’s<br />

national strategic regeneration priority area - the Clyde Corridor - <strong>and</strong> is a vital<br />

long-term catalyst for regeneration <strong>and</strong> renewal in <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>. The approved<br />

Structure Plan make clears the continuing importance <strong>of</strong> that catalytic benefit in<br />

maintaining progress with urban renewal along the Clyde Waterfront. This in turn<br />

means ensuring that investment can continue to be attracted to Braehead.<br />

Similarly the Local Plan recognises the importance <strong>of</strong> maintaining the Braehead<br />

asset for the benefit <strong>of</strong> <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>.<br />

2.51 The current proposals for the retail park satisfy the tests laid down in the Structure<br />

Plan’s Strategic Policy 9 (which in turn ensures compliance with other relevant<br />

policies in the Structure Plan), <strong>and</strong> they do not amount to a material departure<br />

from the provisions <strong>of</strong> the Local Plan - subject to the expenditure <strong>and</strong> impact<br />

issues which are addressed in the following section <strong>of</strong> this report.


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3 RETAIL IMPACT ISSUES<br />

3.1 The proposals which are the subject <strong>of</strong> applications for planning permission <strong>and</strong><br />

a Certificate <strong>of</strong> Lawful Use or Development involve the introduction <strong>of</strong> two retail<br />

warehouse units each <strong>of</strong> 1,679 square metres gross retail floorspace, <strong>and</strong> 2,323<br />

square metres for the Currys mezzanine floor. The combined floorspace <strong>of</strong> the<br />

two retail units exceeds the 2,500 square metres gross floorspace which Scottish<br />

<strong>Planning</strong> Policy dictates should be the subject <strong>of</strong> a retail impact analysis, <strong>and</strong><br />

accordingly such an analysis has been carried out. Although the Curry’s mezzanine<br />

floor does not constitute development <strong>and</strong> is not the subject <strong>of</strong> a planning<br />

application, for the sake <strong>of</strong> completeness - <strong>and</strong> in order to address cumulative<br />

impact issues - the retail impact analysis takes account <strong>of</strong> the proposed additional<br />

floorspace within the Curry’s unit.<br />

3.2 Again for cumulative impact reasons, It is also appropriate to take account <strong>of</strong> the<br />

recent relocation <strong>of</strong> the Sainsbury’s store from the main Braehead Centre to the<br />

former B&Q unit at the east end <strong>of</strong> the retail park, with the subsequent re-use <strong>of</strong><br />

the former Sainsbury’s store by another retailer - Primark, the clothing store.<br />

3.3 For this reason our analysis is based on the retail impact study which was<br />

undertaken by this practice in 2008 to assess the potential trade diversions<br />

resulting from the Sainsbury relocation, but taking account <strong>of</strong> the effects <strong>of</strong> the<br />

economic recession which were not anticipated in July 2008. It then continues by<br />

building in the additional effect <strong>of</strong> the current proposals.<br />

3.4 The 2008 study did not consider the effect <strong>of</strong> the transfer <strong>of</strong> the convenience<br />

(food, drink <strong>and</strong> groceries) element <strong>of</strong> the Sainsbury’s operation, because the<br />

consequent increase in convenience turnover was estimated to be relatively<br />

insignificant. Similarly with the current proposals, no food sales are proposed <strong>and</strong><br />

therefore no convenience impact assessment is being undertaken.<br />

3.5 Furthermore, <strong>and</strong> unlike the Sainsbury’s relocation proposal, the current proposal<br />

only involves additional ‘bulky goods’ retail floorspace - i.e. the sale <strong>of</strong> furniture,<br />

textiles / s<strong>of</strong>t furnishings <strong>and</strong> lighting, carpets <strong>and</strong> floor coverings, electrical goods,<br />

DIY / hardware goods, <strong>and</strong> automotive accessories - essentially replacing some <strong>of</strong><br />

the bulky goods floorspace which was formerly provided by the B&Q warehouse.<br />

Consequently the effect <strong>of</strong> the trade diversions will be more focused on those<br />

retail locations which specialise in the sale <strong>of</strong> bulky goods.


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Catchment Area<br />

3.6 Braehead has an extensive catchment area, because <strong>of</strong> its unique retail<br />

characteristics <strong>and</strong> its associated leisure operations. The retail park is a less<br />

powerful attraction than the main centre because <strong>of</strong> its more restricted range <strong>of</strong><br />

goods <strong>and</strong> because there are other retail parks serving the West <strong>of</strong> Scotl<strong>and</strong>, but<br />

it benefits from being immediately adjacent to the main centre <strong>and</strong> the Braehead<br />

Bus Station, <strong>and</strong> because it includes the only IKEA store in the West <strong>of</strong> Scotl<strong>and</strong>.<br />

For that reason Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park also has a wide catchment area.<br />

3.7 The results <strong>of</strong> the household shopping survey undertaken in preparation for the<br />

Third Alteration to the Structure Plan revealed that Braehead draws trade from<br />

a significant part <strong>of</strong> the Greater Glasgow area, but focused on the western <strong>and</strong><br />

southern parts - the Paisley / Renfrew catchment in particular, but to a lesser<br />

extent the Glasgow South / Newton Mearns area <strong>and</strong> the Glasgow North West /<br />

Clydebank area.<br />

3.8 Other areas send relatively little <strong>of</strong> their trade to Braehead, but we have included<br />

the Bishopbriggs, Greenock, Dumbarton, East Kilbride <strong>and</strong> Argyll & Bute areas<br />

within the main catchment because <strong>of</strong> the collective contribution which -<br />

according to the household survey - these areas make to Braehead’s overall<br />

turnover - amounting to around 15% from these areas combined. No other areas<br />

make any significant contribution to Braehead’s catchment, although the centre<br />

also draws a modest proportion <strong>of</strong> its trade from many other parts <strong>of</strong> Scotl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

also Northern Irel<strong>and</strong>.<br />

Population Estimates<br />

3.9 Table 1 sets out the population estimates for the main catchment area, using data<br />

contained in the technical reports which support the Glasgow & Clyde Valley<br />

Structure Plan. The table shows the projected changes in population within each<br />

<strong>of</strong> the centre catchment areas from 2006 to the structure plan horizon date <strong>of</strong><br />

2011, the estimates for 2008 <strong>and</strong> 2010 being pro-rata estimates derived from the<br />

2006 <strong>and</strong> 2011 figures. We have then estimated the population for 2012 from the<br />

projections contained in the latest (2010) Scottish population projections from the<br />

General Registrar’s Office (GRO). The estimates show a small decline in<br />

population over the 6 year period.<br />

3.10 We have selected 2012 as the year in which to assess the potential impact <strong>of</strong> the


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proposals, on the assumption that all the new retail floorspace will have been<br />

provided <strong>and</strong> occupied by then, <strong>and</strong> the retailers will have achieved an established<br />

<strong>and</strong> settled trading situation.<br />

Expenditure Estimates<br />

3.11 Using 2005 retail expenditure estimates for the 10 minute <strong>and</strong> 20 drive time<br />

isochrone areas around Braehead, provided by the MapInfo (now Pitney Bowes)<br />

organisation, <strong>and</strong> by referring to expenditure growth projections also provided by<br />

Pitney Bowes in their <strong>Retail</strong> Expenditure Guide 2009/10, published in September<br />

2009, it is possible to project the growth in spending for each <strong>of</strong> the main<br />

comparison goods categories for the period from 2005 to 2012.<br />

3.12 The projections to 2008 are based on actual recorded expenditure growth during<br />

that period, showing an overall increase <strong>of</strong> around 15% in real terms from 2005<br />

to 2008. However from 2008 to 2012 the expenditure projections rely on careful<br />

interpretation <strong>of</strong> the various economic indicators which are available.<br />

3.13 The Pitney Bowes <strong>Retail</strong> Expenditure Guide 2009/10 contains two sets <strong>of</strong><br />

expenditure forecasts - one based on PB’s own research <strong>and</strong> the other produced<br />

by Oxford Economics. The latter forecasts are not solely based on past trends but<br />

also take account <strong>of</strong> prevailing socio-economic factors. However they were<br />

produced at a time when the UK was still in the depths <strong>of</strong> recession <strong>and</strong><br />

accordingly are very pessimistic. Furthermore the government’s Office for<br />

National Statistics monitor <strong>of</strong> retail spending by volume (i.e. excluding changes in<br />

prices) shows that growth in spending on non-food goods increased by 3% in real<br />

terms in 2008 <strong>and</strong> 4% in 2009, with positive indications that retail growth is<br />

holding up in 2010. Consequently the Oxford Economics projection <strong>of</strong> a<br />

reduction in comparison spending <strong>of</strong> 2.7% per annum from 2008 to 2010, <strong>and</strong> an<br />

average rate <strong>of</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> only 1.6% per annum from 2008 to 2014, now appears<br />

unrealistic.<br />

3.14 In contrast, the Pitney Bowes estimates, based solely on past trends, suggests a<br />

growth rate <strong>of</strong> between 4.9% <strong>and</strong> 5.5% per annum from 2008, based on longterm<br />

(1978-2008) <strong>and</strong> medium-term (1988-2008) trends. These too appear<br />

unrealistic, but in a too-positive rather than too-negative way.<br />

3.15 Accordingly we have applied a growth rate <strong>of</strong> 3.5% per annum for the period<br />

2008 to 2012, being the average <strong>of</strong> the growth recorded by the Office for National


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Statistics during the two ‘recession years’, <strong>and</strong> below even the most cautious <strong>of</strong><br />

the trend projections published by Pitney Bowes (which range from 3.9% ultra<br />

long term to 6.6% short term).<br />

3.16 The variations in spending between the 10 <strong>and</strong> 20 minute drive-time areas are not<br />

substantial, <strong>and</strong> thus their allocation to the different catchment areas is not critical,<br />

but we have applied the figures according to the allocation shown in Table 1, with<br />

Paisley / Renfrew, Glasgow NW / Clydebank <strong>and</strong> Glasgow South / Newton Mearns<br />

catchments being in the 0-10 drive time <strong>and</strong> the others in the 10-20 minute area.<br />

3.17 By applying the expenditure estimates in Table 2 to the population projections in<br />

Table 1, we are able to estimate the amount <strong>of</strong> comparison spending available for<br />

each category <strong>of</strong> product for the years 2008, 2010 <strong>and</strong> 2012. Table 3 shows that<br />

total available comparison spending in the main catchment will reach more than<br />

£4,200 million this year <strong>and</strong> £4,500 million in 2012 (at 2005 prices), representing<br />

a £300 million increase in two years, even on the basis <strong>of</strong> the modest growth<br />

forecasts which we have adopted. Table 3 also shows that comparison<br />

expenditure growth in the Paisley / Renfrew catchment will be considerable, rising<br />

from £810 million in 2008 to £915 million by 2012, an increase <strong>of</strong> more than £100<br />

million over four years, despite the very lean growth period from 2008 to 2010.<br />

Shopping Patterns<br />

3.18 The next stage <strong>of</strong> the analysis is to estimate the likely distribution <strong>of</strong> comparison<br />

expenditure around the main catchment area, using the results <strong>of</strong> the 2003<br />

household survey which was undertaken in the structure plan area. In Tables 4 to<br />

7 we have used these survey results but applied them to the estimated available<br />

spending in 2008 - i.e. we have assumed that the shopping patterns <strong>of</strong> 2003 will<br />

remain the same until 2008. Later in the analysis we will address any likely changes<br />

in shopping patterns which need to be taken into account.<br />

3.19 By applying the estimates <strong>of</strong> available expenditure in 2008 to the results <strong>of</strong> the<br />

household survey for each shopping catchment area, we are able to produce<br />

tables <strong>of</strong> spending in each shopping destination for each product category (Tables<br />

4 to 7). The distribution <strong>of</strong> spending varies considerably from product to product,<br />

so that for example Glasgow city centre attracts 46% <strong>of</strong> all available spending on<br />

clothing in the catchment, but only 12.6% <strong>of</strong> spending on electrical goods. In the<br />

Paisley / Renfrew catchment, Braehead is revealed as the most popular destination<br />

for all the product categories in 2003, but Paisley is also shown to be performing


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quite strongly for most categories. Tables 4 to 7 also show that some 21% <strong>of</strong><br />

expenditure on clothing originating in the Paisley / Renfrew catchment was lost to<br />

Glasgow city centre in 2003, but that leakage on electrical goods was less than 4%<br />

<strong>and</strong> on furniture <strong>and</strong> floor coverings was less than 6%. Were it not for Braehead,<br />

it is likely that leakage <strong>of</strong> spending on clothing out <strong>of</strong> <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> - to Glasgow<br />

in particular - would have been very much higher than the level shown in the 2003<br />

household survey results.<br />

3.20 It will be evident from table 3 that spending on clothing, electrical goods, DIY,<br />

furniture <strong>and</strong> floor coverings only accounted for around two-thirds <strong>of</strong> all<br />

comparison spending in 2003. However the household survey results do not<br />

cover shopping patterns for the remaining categories <strong>of</strong> goods, <strong>and</strong> consequently<br />

it is necessary to use the survey results for the main categories <strong>of</strong> goods as a guide<br />

to the likely pattern <strong>of</strong> spending for other goods. For spending on other<br />

'mainstream' High Street goods we have used similar proportions <strong>of</strong> spending<br />

distribution to clothing spending, but weighted more towards local town centres<br />

<strong>and</strong> less to Glasgow city centre. For spending on other types <strong>of</strong> bulky goods we<br />

have used the average <strong>of</strong> spending on the main categories <strong>of</strong> bulky goods. The<br />

resultant calculations are shown in tables 8 <strong>and</strong> 9.<br />

Estimated Turnover in Existing Shopping Destinations<br />

3.21 By pulling together the output spending figures from tables 4 to 9, we are able to<br />

produce Table 10 which contains an estimate <strong>of</strong> total comparison spending from<br />

each catchment zone to each destination. In most cases this estimated spend will<br />

be equivalent to the turnover <strong>of</strong> that centre. However some centres will draw<br />

some <strong>of</strong> their trade from outside the main Braehead catchment, <strong>and</strong> this should<br />

be borne in mind when considering the likely total turnover <strong>of</strong> those centres. For<br />

Braehead we have estimated the amount <strong>of</strong> additional trade likely to be drawn to<br />

the centre from outside the catchment, based on many years <strong>of</strong> working on retail<br />

planning projects for the centre. For Glasgow city centre, which will draw a great<br />

deal <strong>of</strong> its trade from areas outside the Braehead catchment, we have used the<br />

total turnover as estimated in the capacity analysis set out in the Glasgow City<br />

Plan, adjusted to the 2005 prices used in our analysis, <strong>and</strong> then projected to 2008<br />

using actual growth rates <strong>and</strong> assuming the same market share as the City Plan<br />

estimates for 2006. This calculation is detailed in Table 11, <strong>and</strong> shows a total<br />

turnover <strong>of</strong> £1,630 million in 2008, <strong>of</strong> which £1,051 million comes from the main<br />

Braehead catchment.


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 21 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

3.22 As well as providing a good indication <strong>of</strong> the likely turnover <strong>of</strong> each centre,<br />

assuming no changes to the shopping patterns which prevailed in 2003, Table 10<br />

is useful in showing the nature <strong>of</strong> each centre's trade draw - i.e the proportion <strong>of</strong><br />

its turnover drawn from each catchment zone. For Glasgow city centre the trade<br />

is drawn widely from across the whole area, whereas Paisley's trade draw is very<br />

concentrated within its own catchment.<br />

3.23 One anomaly in the household survey results is in relation to Renfrew, where a<br />

number <strong>of</strong> respondents indicated that they visited Renfrew for a variety <strong>of</strong> bulky<br />

goods purchases. This resulted in an estimated turnover for Renfrew town centre<br />

which was much higher than would be expected for such a centre. However it<br />

is likely that some survey respondents specified 'Renfrew' when they actually<br />

meant either Braehead (including the retail park <strong>and</strong> IKEA) or one <strong>of</strong> the two retail<br />

parks near Renfrew (Blythswood or Abbotsinch). For this reason we have made<br />

minor adjustments to the distribution <strong>of</strong> comparison spend to compensate for this<br />

anomaly.<br />

3.24 Table 12 presents the market share which would be likely to be achieved by each<br />

shopping destination from each catchment - i.e. the proportion <strong>of</strong> available<br />

spending from each zone which is captured by each centre - in 2008, assuming<br />

that 2003 shopping patterns prevailed. This shows Paisley <strong>and</strong> Braehead sharing<br />

roughly equal market shares (Paisley capturing 24% <strong>of</strong> the available comparison<br />

trade in the catchment <strong>and</strong> Braehead 23%), with Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park <strong>and</strong> IKEA<br />

at 12%. The combined attractions <strong>of</strong> all the centres in the Paisley catchment<br />

achieve a total market share <strong>of</strong> nearly 80%, with only 10.6% being exported to<br />

Glasgow. This represents a huge improvement in expenditure retention<br />

compared with pre-Braehead days, <strong>and</strong> emphasises how important Braehead <strong>and</strong><br />

its facilities had become in <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> by 2003.<br />

3.25 Table 12 also shows that, on the basis <strong>of</strong> the 2003 survey results, Braehead <strong>Retail</strong><br />

Park including IKEA accounts for around one-third <strong>of</strong> the total retail trade drawn<br />

to Braehead.<br />

The Effect <strong>of</strong> Floorspace Changes in the Paisley Area<br />

3.26 For the Sainsbury’s relocation analysis in 2008, <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> <strong>Council</strong> supplied a list<br />

<strong>of</strong> anticipated retail floorspace changes in the Paisley area which required to be<br />

built into the model <strong>of</strong> expenditure distribution. The most significant ones were<br />

the redevelopment <strong>of</strong> the Arnott’s site in Paisley town centre, a 12,000 square


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 22 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

metre extension to Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park, <strong>and</strong> a 4,995 square metre extension to<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park. We also included the additional floorspace provided by<br />

Marks <strong>and</strong> Spencer at Braehead. Against these additions to retail floorspace had<br />

to be balanced the reduction in floorspace resulting from closure <strong>of</strong> the Arnott’s<br />

department store <strong>and</strong> Littlewoods in Paisley town centre. The amount <strong>of</strong> gross<br />

comparison floorspace estimated in Paisley town centre after allowing for<br />

floorspace reductions <strong>and</strong> the redevelopment <strong>of</strong> Arnott’s was 46,775 square<br />

metres.<br />

3.27 Using these figures we produced Tables 13 <strong>and</strong> 14. Table 13 allowed for<br />

reductions in floorspace in Paisley town centre, as revealed from the council’s<br />

surveys <strong>of</strong> 2003 <strong>and</strong> 2008, while Table 14 showed the likely effect <strong>of</strong> the<br />

introduction <strong>of</strong> new approved floorspace in the Paisley area, by making<br />

appropriate adjustments to the market shares achieved by each shopping<br />

destination to allow for these floorspace changes. Unfortunately the more recent<br />

floorspace survey figures were not directly comparable with the ones from 2003<br />

because <strong>of</strong> a change in the geographical extent <strong>of</strong> the area being surveyed, which<br />

results in Paisley town centre’s turnover appearing to drop more dramatically -<br />

when comparing Table 13 with Table 14 - than it would have done in reality.<br />

However Table 13 provides a reasonable estimate <strong>of</strong> the base turnover <strong>of</strong> Paisley<br />

town centre before allowing for the implementation <strong>of</strong> new developments.<br />

3.28 A comparison <strong>of</strong> Table 13 with Table 14 shows that the implementation <strong>of</strong><br />

commitments would be likely to result in Paisley town centre’s turnover increasing<br />

from its low point <strong>of</strong> £166 million, following floorspace closures, to around £180<br />

million, with Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park increasing its turnover by around £12 million<br />

<strong>and</strong> Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park by £28.5 million. The combined turnover <strong>of</strong> Braehead<br />

Mall <strong>and</strong> <strong>Retail</strong> Park drawn from the main catchment area reduces by £27 million.<br />

<strong>Council</strong> surveys show a very substantial reduction in Renfrew town centre’s<br />

comparison floorspace between 2003 <strong>and</strong> 2008, <strong>and</strong> this is also reflected in Table<br />

14 - although the scale <strong>of</strong> the reduction suggests that the two surveys are not<br />

compatible in terms <strong>of</strong> the geographical areas to which they relate, as is the case<br />

in Paisley town centre<br />

The Effect <strong>of</strong> Silverburn<br />

3.29 The next stage in the exercise in 2008 was to build in the effect <strong>of</strong> Silverburn<br />

shopping centre at Pollok to the model <strong>of</strong> shopping patterns. Although the centre<br />

was not yet fully let, we were able to produce an estimate <strong>of</strong> its likely trading


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 23 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

potential when fully let, on the assumption that this would be achieved by 2010 (in<br />

reality Silverburn is now largely let, with only a few vacant units).<br />

3.30 Table 15 sets out our estimate <strong>of</strong> the altered shopping patterns after allowing for<br />

the Silverburn effect, adjusted to take account <strong>of</strong> the changed expenditure<br />

estimates compared with the previous analysis. It is estimated that the centre<br />

would have achieved a turnover <strong>of</strong> £275 million from the Braehead main<br />

catchment in 2008 if fully let, resulting in a 20% reduction in Braehead’s turnover<br />

potential, <strong>and</strong> a 5.4% impact on Paisley’s comparison trade. East Kilbride is<br />

estimated to lose around 18% <strong>of</strong> its comparison trade drawn from the Braehead<br />

catchment, <strong>and</strong> Glasgow City Centre 5.4%. Our estimates are based on the likely<br />

market penetration <strong>of</strong> Silverburn into each catchment, having regard to the nature<br />

<strong>of</strong> the facilities in those catchments <strong>and</strong> their distance from Silverburn, <strong>and</strong> also<br />

having regard to the extent to which shoppers living in the Pollok area were<br />

making trips to other shopping destinations when surveyed in 2003.<br />

Expenditure Growth to 2010<br />

3.31 Table 16 takes the estimated changes in shopping patterns following the opening<br />

<strong>of</strong> Silverburn, <strong>and</strong> simply rolls forward those patterns from 2008 to 2010, so we<br />

can see how the various spending flows would be higher in 2010 as a result <strong>of</strong><br />

expenditure growth, assuming no change in shopping habits or floorspace<br />

provision. Overall turnover generated from catchment spending increases from<br />

£3,985 million to £4,216 million.<br />

Effect <strong>of</strong> City Centre Commitments<br />

3.32 As previously explained, Table 11 shows the estimated turnover <strong>of</strong> the city centre<br />

in 2008, after allowing for the implementation <strong>of</strong> commitments assumed by the<br />

Glasgow City Plan. However the latest estimates produced by Glasgow City<br />

<strong>Council</strong> (GCC Factsheet, July 2009) show an anticipated additional comparison<br />

floorspace provision <strong>of</strong> some 91,600 square metres to 2013, excluding the<br />

Buchanan Galleries extension but including the St. Enoch extension. It is unlikely<br />

that the Buchanan Galleries development will have opened <strong>and</strong> reached normal<br />

trading conditions by 2012 so has not been built into our model, but we have<br />

assumed that all the other permissions will have been implemented by then.<br />

3.33 Following the same process as for Silverburn, in Table 17 we have made further<br />

adjustments to the market shares <strong>of</strong> centres within each area to allow for the likely


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 24 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

effect <strong>of</strong> the additional floorspace provision in Glasgow City Centre. This results<br />

in that element <strong>of</strong> the city centre’s turnover which is drawn from the Braehead<br />

catchment increasing from £1,046 million to £1,137 million, while Braehead’s<br />

turnover from catchment drops from £307 million to £279 million, reflecting the<br />

shift in market share from Braehead to the city centre.<br />

3.34 Braehead’s turnover is shown to have dropped by nearly £90 million because <strong>of</strong><br />

the combined effects <strong>of</strong> the Silverburn development <strong>and</strong> new floorspace in the city<br />

centre. Similarly the Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park’s turnover is down by some £29 million<br />

compared with the 2008 projected estimate, because <strong>of</strong> the impact <strong>of</strong> expansion<br />

<strong>of</strong> Abbotsinch <strong>and</strong> Phoenix retail parks. However, apart from the impact on<br />

Braehead, the expansion <strong>of</strong> these retail parks is shown to have been absorbed into<br />

the retail system without any significant adverse effects, <strong>and</strong> the Silverburn<br />

development is also now a part <strong>of</strong> the system <strong>and</strong> taking around £260 million <strong>of</strong><br />

comparison spending from the Braehead catchment.<br />

3.35 Table 18 shows the likely trade draw pattern in 2010, which can be read alongside<br />

Table 17's market share analysis to provide the full picture <strong>of</strong> likely shopping<br />

patterns, <strong>and</strong> also compared with Table 10 to show estimated changes in trade<br />

draw from 2008 to 2010 after all commitments have been taken into account.<br />

One notable change is the more localised trade draw <strong>of</strong> Braehead, indicating a<br />

shrinking catchment because <strong>of</strong> the effect <strong>of</strong> new developments elsewhere.<br />

Turnover Potential from Sainsbury’s Relocation<br />

3.36 Tables 19 to 21 show the estimated effect <strong>of</strong> the Sainsbury’s relocation, which was<br />

set out in our 2008 report in support <strong>of</strong> the Sainsbury’s planning application. Table<br />

19 shows the calculation we undertook to estimate the potential difference in<br />

turnover at Braehead when comparing the reoccupation <strong>of</strong> the B&Q Warehouse,<br />

subdivided into four units for bulky goods sales, with the Sainsbury’s relocation.<br />

In 2008 we did not know the likely occupation <strong>of</strong> the vacated Sainsbury’s store in<br />

the main centre, but now we know that this will be occupied by Primark, the<br />

clothing <strong>and</strong> footwear retailer, so we are able to more accurately estimate the<br />

likely comparison turnover <strong>of</strong> that unit.<br />

3.37 On the assumption that an electrical retailer, a carpet warehouse, a furniture<br />

retailer <strong>and</strong> car accessories operation could have occupied the old B&Q, we<br />

applied <strong>Retail</strong> Rankings estimates <strong>of</strong> the turnover potential for such retailers to the<br />

floorspace which could be created, <strong>and</strong> as a result we estimated that the total


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 25 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

potential comparison turnover could be <strong>of</strong> the order <strong>of</strong> £36 million in 2010,<br />

generated by the reoccupied B&Q <strong>and</strong> also by the comparison floorspace which<br />

would remain in the unrelocated Sainsbury’s store in the mall.<br />

3.38 We then considered the proportion <strong>of</strong> this turnover which would be competing<br />

directly with retailers in the High Streets <strong>of</strong> existing town centres - i.e. the amount<br />

<strong>of</strong> trade which would not be available to existing town centres if the B&Q was<br />

reoccupied. The 2003 household survey revealed that only 50% or so <strong>of</strong> spending<br />

in the Paisley catchment on electrical, carpets <strong>and</strong> furniture goods was made in<br />

retail parks, with the remainder made in town centres. There is no data available<br />

for car accessories stores so we assumed that 75% <strong>of</strong> such trade would be in retail<br />

parks. As regards the comparison trade in the old Sainsbury’s, this was<br />

unrestricted floorspace <strong>and</strong> was located close to the other comparison shops in<br />

the main shopping mall, so it was appropriate to assume that none <strong>of</strong> that trade<br />

would be available to town centres. Thus we were able to estimate that, <strong>of</strong> the<br />

total turnover potential generated by a reoccupied B&Q <strong>and</strong> by Sainsbury’s<br />

remaining in the mall, some £20 million <strong>of</strong> the total £36 million would be<br />

unavailable for town centre consumption by virtue <strong>of</strong> the existing permission at the<br />

retail park at Braehead.<br />

3.39 We then considered the turnover potential <strong>of</strong> the situation at Braehead with<br />

Sainsbury’s relocated, <strong>and</strong> we have updated that analysis in light <strong>of</strong> the knowledge<br />

that Primark are occupying the vacated Sainsbury store in the main centre.<br />

Table 19 shows that the total turnover potential <strong>of</strong> the reoccupied mall floorspace<br />

<strong>and</strong> the comparison element <strong>of</strong> the new Sainsbury’s could be £37 million, assuming<br />

healthy trading conditions. However some <strong>of</strong> the Sainsbury’s comparison<br />

floorspace trades in restricted goods <strong>and</strong> so competes with retail parks as well as<br />

town centres, while the unrestricted comparison floorspace - although it can be<br />

considered to be in competition with town centres - will also compete to a<br />

considerable extent with similar large superstores selling unrestricted comparison<br />

goods in out-<strong>of</strong>-centre locations. Consequently we assumed that 75% rather than<br />

100% <strong>of</strong> this unrestricted floorspace would be in direct competition with town<br />

centres. As regards the unrestricted floorspace in the former Sainsbury’s in the<br />

mall, occupied by Primark, all <strong>of</strong> this (100%) potentially competes with existing<br />

town centres. Thus the total potential turnover <strong>of</strong> competing floorspace is £32.3<br />

million.<br />

3.40 Comparing the two scenarios set out in Table 19, it can be seen that the net<br />

increase in competing comparison turnover compared with the turnover potential


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 26 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

<strong>of</strong> the B&Q reoccupied scenario is £12.5 million, <strong>and</strong> it is this turnover which can<br />

be regarded as potentially being diverted from other retail destinations.<br />

Estimated Trade Diversions Due to Sainsbury Relocation<br />

3.41 We then estimated how the additional £12.5 million trade at Braehead would be<br />

diverted from other shopping destinations, <strong>and</strong> this analysis is set out in Table 20.<br />

For each catchment we estimated how the comparison trade might be<br />

redistributed, having regard to the nature <strong>of</strong> the shopping facilities which would<br />

be likely to be in competition with the improved <strong>of</strong>fer at Braehead, <strong>and</strong> the market<br />

share <strong>and</strong> trade draw patterns revealed in Tables 17 <strong>and</strong> 18.<br />

3.42 We assumed that 70% <strong>of</strong> the new trade at Braehead would be drawn from the<br />

Paisley / Renfrew catchment (Table 20, column 8) - which is considerably higher<br />

than the 52% which Braehead drew from the Paisley catchment when the<br />

household survey was undertaken (Table 10, column 9), reflecting the more<br />

localised catchment <strong>of</strong> the Sainsbury’s element <strong>of</strong> the additional turnover, <strong>and</strong> also<br />

reflecting the prediction in Table 18 that Braehead’s trade draw will tend to<br />

become more localised as the increased competition from other centres takes<br />

effect. We estimated that the remaining trade would be drawn from throughout<br />

the existing Braehead catchment, broadly reflecting the 2003 patterns, except for<br />

the draw from the Pollok area where the trade draw would be lower than in 2003<br />

because <strong>of</strong> the Silverburn effect. Some <strong>of</strong> the trade within the new comparison<br />

floorspace would be diverted from other existing stores within the Braehead<br />

centre, reflecting competition between existing <strong>and</strong> new traders.<br />

3.43 The total effect <strong>of</strong> the estimated trade diversions can be seen in the right-h<strong>and</strong><br />

columns <strong>of</strong> Table 20, where the percentage impacts <strong>and</strong> changes in turnover per<br />

square metre are shown. All the percentage reductions are extremely low (less<br />

than 1%), which is not surprising given that the total trade diversion is only £12.5<br />

million. None <strong>of</strong> these trade diversions would cause any longer-term trading<br />

difficulty in the centres concerned.<br />

3.44 The turnover at Braehead is predicted to increase by 3% as a result <strong>of</strong> the<br />

Sainsbury’s relocation, although still £67 million below the level that it could have<br />

expected to achieve from the main catchment area in 2008 in the absence <strong>of</strong> the<br />

various competing new developments coming on stream. Braehead’s market<br />

share is projected to fall to 6.9% <strong>of</strong> the available spending in its catchment,<br />

compared with its 9% market share in 2003.


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 27 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

Effect <strong>of</strong> the Proposed Extensions to the <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

3.45 Having now analysed all the likely changes to the turnover, market share <strong>and</strong> trade<br />

draw <strong>of</strong> Braehead <strong>and</strong> other centres as a result <strong>of</strong> the implementation <strong>of</strong><br />

commitments, relocation <strong>of</strong> Sainsbury’s, <strong>and</strong> increases in retail expenditure to<br />

2010, we can now consider the likely effect <strong>of</strong> the proposed extensions to the<br />

retail park, assuming also that the new mezzanine floor is installed in the existing<br />

Curry’s unit.<br />

3.46 As previously explained, we are assuming that the proposed extensions will have<br />

been built <strong>and</strong> occupied, <strong>and</strong> a normal level <strong>of</strong> trade established, by the year 2012.<br />

Consequently we need to roll forward the patterns <strong>of</strong> retail spending from 2010<br />

to 2012 before proceeding further. Table 21 shows the estimated patterns <strong>of</strong><br />

spending in 2010 following the implementation <strong>of</strong> all commitments plus the<br />

Sainsbury’s relocation, <strong>and</strong> Table 22 shows the same spending patterns applied to<br />

2012 levels <strong>of</strong> expenditure. The total turnover derived from the catchment, <strong>of</strong><br />

£4,506 million, is the same total as shown in the expenditure calculations in<br />

Table 3.<br />

Estimated Turnover <strong>of</strong> the New Floorspace<br />

3.47 Table 23 shows our estimate <strong>of</strong> the potential turnover <strong>of</strong> the new retail floorspace<br />

being proposed. We have assumed one <strong>of</strong> the units being occupied by a furniture<br />

retailer <strong>and</strong> the other by a higher-value operator such as an electrical goods<br />

retailer. We have then applied the 2009 <strong>Retail</strong> Rankings estimate <strong>of</strong> Curry’s<br />

turnover to the proposed mezzanine floor area. The total potential additional<br />

turnover is £26.2 million.<br />

3.48 Following the same methodology as in Table 20 for the Sainsbury’s relocation, we<br />

have then estimated the likely source <strong>of</strong> the £26.2 million in terms <strong>of</strong> trade draw<br />

from each part <strong>of</strong> the catchment, <strong>and</strong> the centres from which the trade is likely to<br />

be diverted. Based on the household survey evidence <strong>and</strong> our analysis <strong>of</strong> changes<br />

since then, showing the retail park drawing around 55% <strong>of</strong> its main catchment<br />

trade from the Paisley / Renfrew area, 20% from the Glasgow South area, 11%<br />

from North West Glasgow, <strong>and</strong> smaller amounts from the remaining sub-areas,<br />

we have assumed that the new floorspace will have similar trade draw<br />

characteristics. Accordingly Table 24 examines the likely trade diversions from<br />

each shopping destination, based on similar trade draws to those currently<br />

achieved at the retail park.


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 28 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

3.49 Some <strong>of</strong> the trade drawn to the new facilities at Braehead will have been<br />

previously directed to other retailers in the park, so some <strong>of</strong> the diversions will be<br />

within Braehead itself. The rest <strong>of</strong> the trade drawn to the new units <strong>and</strong> the<br />

additional Curry’s floorspace will be diverted primarily from other retail parks in<br />

<strong>Renfrewshire</strong> <strong>and</strong> beyond. Table 24 shows how we have estimated this<br />

redistribution is likely to occur - the trade obtained from within <strong>Renfrewshire</strong><br />

being diverted almost entirely from the other retail parks in <strong>Renfrewshire</strong>, while<br />

trade drawn from beyond the Paisley / Renfrew area is likely to be diverted<br />

primarily from those facilities which are most directly in competition with the<br />

Braehead retail park.<br />

3.50 The anticipated outcome <strong>of</strong> the introduction <strong>of</strong> the additional floorspace is an 11%<br />

increase in the turnover within the retail park, although a slight (2%) reduction in<br />

the level <strong>of</strong> turnover per square metre, as is normally the case when the amount<br />

<strong>of</strong> floorspace in a centre is increased. Each <strong>of</strong> the three main competing retail<br />

parks in <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> experience a reduction <strong>of</strong> around 7% in turnover, although<br />

the largest actual reduction in monetary terms is at Abbotsinch, which is the<br />

largest <strong>and</strong> most popular <strong>of</strong> the three other retail parks. There are no other<br />

predicted trade diversions <strong>of</strong> any significance.<br />

3.51 The overall effect, therefore, is <strong>of</strong> a very self-contained redistribution <strong>of</strong> turnover<br />

within the <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> retail parks. There are no town centres likely to be<br />

affected by the proposals.<br />

Conclusions<br />

3.52 Our detailed analysis builds on the earlier analysis undertaken to examine the<br />

implications <strong>of</strong> relocating Sainsbury’s from the main centre to the retail park, but<br />

also takes account <strong>of</strong> the effects <strong>of</strong> the recession <strong>and</strong> the reduction in retail<br />

expenditure growth which had not yet emerged when the 2008 analysis was<br />

undertaken, <strong>and</strong> allows for a higher level <strong>of</strong> additional retail floorspace being<br />

provided in Glasgow city centre.<br />

3.53 The analysis shows that although the pace <strong>of</strong> retail growth has eased, <strong>and</strong> the<br />

expenditure projections are lower than they were in 2008 for the same future<br />

years, there is ample scope for redistribution <strong>of</strong> bulky goods trade to support the<br />

modest amount <strong>of</strong> additional retail floorspace being proposed for Braehead <strong>Retail</strong><br />

Park, after taking account <strong>of</strong> the implementation <strong>of</strong> commitments <strong>and</strong> the recent<br />

relocation <strong>of</strong> Sainsbury’s into the retail park - which had the effect <strong>of</strong> reducing the


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 29 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

amount <strong>of</strong> bulky goods floorspace available at Braehead. There are no town<br />

centres likely to be affected by the proposal, <strong>and</strong> the estimated trade reductions<br />

in the other retail parks are all relatively modest at around 7% - with residual<br />

turnover levels in 2012 which are very similar to estimated 2010 levels (Table 24<br />

compared with Table 21).<br />

3.54 Consequently the current proposals do not raise any concerns so far as retail<br />

impact or expenditure availability is concerned, <strong>and</strong> the retail impact <strong>and</strong><br />

catchment capacity tests required by the SPP, the Structure Plan <strong>and</strong> the Local<br />

Plan are all satisfied.


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 30 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

4 CONCLUSIONS<br />

4.1 The new SPP - which is the most recent statement <strong>of</strong> planning policy in Scotl<strong>and</strong>,<br />

<strong>and</strong> more up to date than the Glasgow & The Clyde Valley Structure Plan <strong>and</strong> the<br />

<strong>Renfrewshire</strong> Local Plan, gives support to investment to maintain <strong>and</strong> improve<br />

commercial centres, where the centres are part <strong>of</strong> the network <strong>of</strong> centres in the<br />

development plan <strong>and</strong> where such investment will not undermine town centres.<br />

The Fourth Alteration to the Structure Plan confirmed Braehead as a commercial<br />

centre, <strong>and</strong> the analysis in the previous section <strong>of</strong> this report demonstrated that<br />

the proposed investment at Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park will not undermine any town<br />

centres. Accordingly there is national policy support for the current proposals.<br />

4.2 The proposals have been thoroughly assessed against the policies <strong>of</strong> the Structure<br />

Plan <strong>and</strong> shown to accord with its requirements. The relevant local plan policies<br />

R1, R2, R13 <strong>and</strong> R16 have also been examined, <strong>and</strong> it has been noted that the<br />

proposal complies with policies R1, R2 <strong>and</strong> R16, but does not conform with the<br />

floorspace restrictions <strong>of</strong> Policy R13. However it is considered that the departure<br />

from Policy R13 is not significant, because (1) the additional floorspace is far less<br />

than could be provided by way <strong>of</strong> mezzanine floors in the retail park, which in<br />

future will be under the full control <strong>of</strong> the council because <strong>of</strong> the effect <strong>of</strong> the<br />

proposed new legal agreement, <strong>and</strong> (2) in the light <strong>of</strong> national retail planning policy<br />

set out in the SPP, it is no longer appropriate to impose blanket presumptions<br />

against additional retail floorspace at the Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park, which is now<br />

designated as a Commercial Centre.<br />

4.3 A detailed retail impact analysis has been undertaken, which shows that the effect<br />

<strong>of</strong> the proposed additional retail floorspace will be to reduce the turnover at the<br />

existing <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> retail parks by around 7%, but that each park will still<br />

maintain a healthy turnover-to-floorspace ratio. There are no town centres likely<br />

to be affected by the proposals.<br />

4.4 The proposals will allow the retail park to respond to additional external<br />

competition from other retail destinations, restore some <strong>of</strong> the bulky goods retail<br />

floorspace which was lost to the park following the relocation <strong>of</strong> Sainsbury’s, <strong>and</strong><br />

allow the park some flexibility to accommodate the future needs <strong>of</strong> its tenants, as<br />

well as providing new opportunities. It will also result in the visual enhancement<br />

<strong>of</strong> the park, particularly at the western end facing the main centre, improve links<br />

between the retail park, bus station <strong>and</strong> main centre, <strong>and</strong> allow improvements to


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT 31 ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

l<strong>and</strong>scaping. The new extensions will be <strong>of</strong> a high st<strong>and</strong>ard <strong>of</strong> design, <strong>and</strong> will link<br />

in well with the existing buildings.<br />

4.5 Accordingly <strong>Renfrewshire</strong> <strong>Council</strong> is invited to give its full support to the proposals<br />

<strong>and</strong> to approve the planning applications <strong>and</strong> the Certificate <strong>of</strong> Lawful Use or<br />

Development.


PROPOSED EXTENSIONS AT ASSESSMENT OF PLANNING AND RETAIL ISSUES<br />

BRAEHEAD RETAIL PARK MAY 2010<br />

Appendix<br />

<strong>Retail</strong> Tables 1 - 24


Table 1<br />

Population Estimates - Braehead Main Catchment<br />

Bishopbriggs / Kirkintilloch<br />

Glasgow NW / Clydebank<br />

Dumbarton / Vale <strong>of</strong> Leven<br />

Glasgow Sth / Newtn Mrns<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

E Kilbride / Rutherglen<br />

Greenock<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

# from Technical Report 7/06<br />

* from Technical Report 7, July 2000<br />

10 - 20<br />

0 - 10<br />

10 - 20<br />

10 - 20<br />

0 - 10<br />

10 - 20<br />

10 - 20<br />

10 - 20<br />

+ estimated from GROS population projections 2010<br />

~ estimated pro-rata from 2006 <strong>and</strong> 2011 estimates<br />

Population 2011 #<br />

124143<br />

262277<br />

45442<br />

204442<br />

252683<br />

164475<br />

74994<br />

90939<br />

1219395<br />

Population 2006 *<br />

126885<br />

282299<br />

45153<br />

213526<br />

259391<br />

165284<br />

74314<br />

91390<br />

1258242<br />

Population 2008 ~<br />

125788<br />

274290<br />

45269<br />

209892<br />

256708<br />

164960<br />

74586<br />

91210<br />

1242703<br />

Population 2010 ~<br />

124691<br />

266281<br />

45384<br />

206259<br />

254025<br />

164637<br />

74858<br />

91029<br />

1227164<br />

Population 2012 +<br />

123723<br />

261694<br />

45341<br />

204272<br />

252521<br />

165105<br />

74575<br />

89467<br />

1216699<br />

15/4/10


Table 2<br />

Comparison Expenditure Estimates<br />

Expenditure Breakdown<br />

2005 estimates at 05 prices<br />

Clothing / footwear<br />

Electrical goods<br />

DIY / hardware<br />

Furniture / floorcoverings<br />

Other (bulky)<br />

Other (mainstream)<br />

Total<br />

2005 estimates from MapInfo<br />

0-10<br />

mins<br />

737<br />

451<br />

268<br />

306<br />

300<br />

687<br />

2749<br />

10-20<br />

mins<br />

772<br />

468<br />

275<br />

316<br />

310<br />

712<br />

2853<br />

Growth projections from Pitney Bowes <strong>Retail</strong> Expenditure Guide 2009/10<br />

Growth to 2008<br />

(actual growth)<br />

0-10<br />

847<br />

518<br />

308<br />

352<br />

345<br />

789<br />

3,159<br />

10-20<br />

887<br />

538<br />

316<br />

363<br />

356<br />

818<br />

3,278<br />

Project to 2010<br />

0-10<br />

907<br />

555<br />

330<br />

377<br />

369<br />

846<br />

3,384<br />

10-20<br />

950<br />

576<br />

338<br />

389<br />

382<br />

876<br />

3,512<br />

Project to 2011<br />

0-10<br />

939<br />

575<br />

341<br />

390<br />

382<br />

875<br />

3,502<br />

10-20<br />

983<br />

596<br />

350<br />

403<br />

395<br />

907<br />

3,634<br />

Project to 2012<br />

0-10<br />

972<br />

595<br />

353<br />

403<br />

396<br />

906<br />

3,624<br />

10-20<br />

1,018<br />

617<br />

363<br />

417<br />

409<br />

939<br />

3,762<br />

15/4/10


Table 3<br />

Comparison Expenditure Estimates<br />

by Area <strong>and</strong> Category<br />

Bishopbriggs / Kirkintilloch<br />

Glasgow NW / Clydebank<br />

Dumbarton / Vale <strong>of</strong> Leven<br />

Glasgow Sth / Newtn Mrns<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

E Kilbride / Rutherglen<br />

Greenock<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

Total 2008<br />

Bishopbriggs / Kirkintilloch<br />

Glasgow NW / Clydebank<br />

Dumbarton / Vale <strong>of</strong> Leven<br />

Glasgow Sth / Newtn Mrns<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

E Kilbride / Rutherglen<br />

Greenock<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

Total 2010<br />

Bishopbriggs / Kirkintilloch<br />

Glasgow NW / Clydebank<br />

Dumbarton / Vale <strong>of</strong> Leven<br />

Glasgow Sth / Newtn Mrns<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

E Kilbride / Rutherglen<br />

Greenock<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

Total 2010<br />

2008<br />

412.34<br />

866.36<br />

148.39<br />

662.95<br />

810.82<br />

540.75<br />

244.50<br />

298.99<br />

3985.09<br />

2010<br />

437.86<br />

900.97<br />

159.37<br />

697.88<br />

859.49<br />

578.12<br />

262.86<br />

319.65<br />

4216.20<br />

2012<br />

465.40<br />

948.51<br />

170.56<br />

768.39<br />

915.26<br />

621.06<br />

280.52<br />

336.54<br />

4506.25<br />

Clothing<br />

111.58<br />

232.27<br />

40.15<br />

177.74<br />

217.38<br />

146.32<br />

66.16<br />

80.90<br />

1072.50<br />

Clothing<br />

118.48<br />

241.55<br />

43.12<br />

187.10<br />

230.43<br />

156.44<br />

71.13<br />

86.49<br />

1134.74<br />

Clothing<br />

125.93<br />

254.29<br />

46.15<br />

207.92<br />

245.38<br />

168.06<br />

75.91<br />

91.07<br />

1214.71<br />

Elect<br />

67.64<br />

142.13<br />

24.34<br />

108.76<br />

133.02<br />

88.70<br />

40.11<br />

49.05<br />

653.76<br />

Elect<br />

71.82<br />

147.81<br />

26.14<br />

114.49<br />

141.01<br />

94.83<br />

43.12<br />

52.43<br />

691.67<br />

Elect<br />

76.34<br />

155.61<br />

27.98<br />

126.05<br />

150.16<br />

101.88<br />

46.02<br />

55.21<br />

739.24<br />

DIY<br />

39.75<br />

84.46<br />

14.30<br />

64.63<br />

79.05<br />

52.12<br />

23.57<br />

28.82<br />

386.70<br />

DIY<br />

42.20<br />

87.84<br />

15.36<br />

68.04<br />

83.79<br />

55.73<br />

25.34<br />

30.81<br />

409.10<br />

DIY<br />

44.86<br />

92.47<br />

16.44<br />

74.07<br />

89.23<br />

59.86<br />

27.04<br />

32.44<br />

436.41<br />

Furn<br />

45.67<br />

96.44<br />

16.44<br />

73.80<br />

90.26<br />

59.89<br />

27.08<br />

33.12<br />

442.68<br />

Furn<br />

48.50<br />

100.29<br />

17.65<br />

77.68<br />

95.67<br />

64.03<br />

29.12<br />

35.40<br />

468.35<br />

Furn<br />

51.55<br />

105.58<br />

18.89<br />

85.11<br />

101.88<br />

68.79<br />

31.07<br />

37.28<br />

500.14<br />

Other<br />

Bulky<br />

44.80<br />

94.55<br />

16.12<br />

72.35<br />

88.49<br />

58.76<br />

26.57<br />

32.49<br />

434.12<br />

Other<br />

Bulky<br />

47.58<br />

98.32<br />

17.32<br />

76.16<br />

93.80<br />

62.82<br />

28.56<br />

34.73<br />

459.28<br />

Other<br />

Bulky<br />

50.57<br />

103.51<br />

18.53<br />

83.49<br />

99.88<br />

67.48<br />

30.48<br />

36.57<br />

490.52<br />

Other<br />

Main<br />

102.90<br />

216.51<br />

37.03<br />

165.68<br />

202.63<br />

134.95<br />

61.02<br />

74.62<br />

995.34<br />

Other<br />

Main<br />

109.27<br />

225.16<br />

39.77<br />

174.41<br />

214.80<br />

144.28<br />

65.60<br />

79.77<br />

1053.06<br />

Other<br />

Main<br />

116.15<br />

237.04<br />

42.56<br />

191.76<br />

228.73<br />

154.99<br />

70.01<br />

83.99<br />

1125.24<br />

15/4/10<br />

Total<br />

412.34<br />

866.36<br />

148.39<br />

662.95<br />

810.82<br />

540.75<br />

244.50<br />

298.99<br />

3985.09<br />

Total<br />

437.86<br />

900.97<br />

159.37<br />

697.88<br />

859.49<br />

578.12<br />

262.86<br />

319.65<br />

4216.20<br />

Total<br />

465.40<br />

948.51<br />

170.56<br />

768.39<br />

915.26<br />

621.06<br />

280.52<br />

336.54<br />

4506.25


Table 4<br />

Shopping Patterns in Main Catchment 2008<br />

Clothing<br />

Destination<br />

Origin<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />

%<br />

73.8%<br />

0.0%<br />

3.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

7.0%<br />

10.2%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

82.37<br />

0.00<br />

4.31<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

5.62<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

7.86<br />

11.42<br />

111.58<br />

Source: Glasgow & Clyde Valley Household Shopping Survey 2004<br />

Glas NW / Clydbk<br />

%<br />

62.8%<br />

0.0%<br />

11.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

12.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

5.1%<br />

7.5%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

145.92<br />

0.00<br />

26.62<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.32<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.62<br />

0.00<br />

28.57<br />

0.00<br />

11.85<br />

17.37<br />

232.27<br />

Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />

%<br />

29.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

15.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

32.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.2%<br />

5.7%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

11.75<br />

0.00<br />

6.37<br />

0.00<br />

0.16<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.82<br />

0.00<br />

13.06<br />

0.00<br />

5.71<br />

2.29<br />

40.15<br />

Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />

%<br />

57.4%<br />

1.5%<br />

15.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.2%<br />

1.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

4.0%<br />

11.5%<br />

8.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

102.11<br />

2.67<br />

27.88<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.13<br />

0.00<br />

0.13<br />

0.38<br />

2.67<br />

0.00<br />

7.13<br />

20.50<br />

14.13<br />

177.74<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

%<br />

20.6%<br />

27.7%<br />

40.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.8%<br />

2.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.3%<br />

2.3%<br />

4.6%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

44.81<br />

60.11<br />

87.25<br />

0.00<br />

0.65<br />

1.72<br />

6.25<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.65<br />

0.43<br />

0.00<br />

0.65<br />

4.96<br />

9.91<br />

217.38<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

%<br />

32.7%<br />

0.1%<br />

1.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

4.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

51.9%<br />

0.8%<br />

8.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

47.89<br />

0.19<br />

2.09<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

5.89<br />

0.00<br />

0.19<br />

76.01<br />

1.14<br />

12.92<br />

146.32<br />

%<br />

19.5%<br />

1.0%<br />

13.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.3%<br />

1.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

58.7%<br />

5.7%<br />

100.0%<br />

Greenock<br />

£m<br />

12.89<br />

0.69<br />

8.76<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.17<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.17<br />

0.17<br />

0.69<br />

0.00<br />

38.84<br />

3.78<br />

66.16<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

%<br />

57.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

7.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

6.7%<br />

11.2%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

46.36<br />

0.00<br />

11.82<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.82<br />

0.00<br />

6.36<br />

0.00<br />

5.45<br />

9.09<br />

80.90<br />

15/4/10<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

494.10<br />

63.66<br />

175.10<br />

0.00<br />

0.81<br />

1.72<br />

6.87<br />

0.00<br />

0.13<br />

16.96<br />

3.28<br />

48.87<br />

83.79<br />

96.31<br />

80.91<br />

1072.50


Table 5<br />

Shopping Patterns in Main Catchment 2008<br />

Electrical Goods<br />

Destination<br />

Origin<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />

%<br />

17.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.8%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

58.7%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

6.3%<br />

16.4%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

11.77<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.52<br />

0.00<br />

0.13<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

39.70<br />

0.13<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

4.27<br />

11.12<br />

67.64<br />

Source: Glasgow & Clyde Valley Household Shopping Survey 2004<br />

Glas NW / Clydbk<br />

%<br />

19.1%<br />

0.1%<br />

1.2%<br />

0.8%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

15.8%<br />

0.2%<br />

16.8%<br />

0.1%<br />

30.6%<br />

14.7%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

27.09<br />

0.12<br />

1.73<br />

1.11<br />

0.25<br />

0.00<br />

0.12<br />

0.49<br />

0.00<br />

22.51<br />

0.25<br />

23.87<br />

0.12<br />

43.54<br />

20.91<br />

142.13<br />

Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />

%<br />

6.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

3.8%<br />

1.4%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

11.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

32.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

34.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

1.51<br />

0.00<br />

0.93<br />

0.35<br />

0.12<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.12<br />

2.80<br />

0.00<br />

7.80<br />

0.00<br />

8.27<br />

2.45<br />

24.34<br />

Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />

%<br />

21.3%<br />

1.1%<br />

5.3%<br />

3.8%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.6%<br />

0.8%<br />

35.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

12.0%<br />

18.2%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

23.18<br />

1.21<br />

5.75<br />

4.13<br />

0.10<br />

0.10<br />

0.10<br />

0.71<br />

0.91<br />

38.10<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.61<br />

13.10<br />

19.76<br />

108.76<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

%<br />

3.6%<br />

20.3%<br />

15.8%<br />

11.6%<br />

0.6%<br />

1.9%<br />

1.6%<br />

18.8%<br />

8.0%<br />

4.2%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

3.0%<br />

10.2%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

4.79<br />

26.96<br />

21.05<br />

15.47<br />

0.80<br />

2.55<br />

2.07<br />

25.04<br />

10.69<br />

5.58<br />

0.48<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

3.99<br />

13.56<br />

133.02<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

%<br />

9.9%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.3%<br />

53.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

20.7%<br />

2.0%<br />

11.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

8.74<br />

0.15<br />

0.00<br />

0.87<br />

0.15<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.15<br />

0.29<br />

47.63<br />

0.00<br />

0.15<br />

18.35<br />

1.75<br />

10.49<br />

88.70<br />

%<br />

1.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

88.0%<br />

6.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

Greenock<br />

£m<br />

0.74<br />

0.00<br />

0.12<br />

0.25<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.12<br />

0.00<br />

0.87<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

35.28<br />

2.72<br />

40.11<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

%<br />

9.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

3.8%<br />

1.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

34.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

17.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

9.0%<br />

24.4%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

4.40<br />

0.00<br />

1.89<br />

0.63<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

16.98<br />

0.00<br />

8.80<br />

0.00<br />

4.40<br />

11.95<br />

49.05<br />

15/4/10<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

82.23<br />

28.43<br />

31.47<br />

23.33<br />

1.41<br />

2.78<br />

2.30<br />

26.51<br />

12.00<br />

174.17<br />

0.86<br />

40.63<br />

20.09<br />

114.60<br />

92.95<br />

653.76


Table 6<br />

Shopping Patterns in Main Catchment 2008<br />

DIY / Hardware<br />

Destination<br />

Origin<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />

%<br />

4.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

80.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.2%<br />

11.7%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

1.81<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.51<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.07<br />

0.00<br />

31.84<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.87<br />

4.64<br />

39.75<br />

Source: Glasgow & Clyde Valley Household Shopping Survey 2004<br />

Glas NW / Clydbk<br />

%<br />

4.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

1.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

73.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

5.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.9%<br />

6.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

3.92<br />

0.00<br />

0.07<br />

1.31<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.15<br />

0.00<br />

61.66<br />

0.00<br />

4.72<br />

0.00<br />

7.55<br />

5.08<br />

84.46<br />

Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />

%<br />

1.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

2.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

65.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

11.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

15.8%<br />

3.5%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

0.14<br />

0.00<br />

0.07<br />

0.35<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

9.35<br />

0.00<br />

1.63<br />

0.00<br />

2.27<br />

0.50<br />

14.30<br />

Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />

%<br />

6.7%<br />

0.7%<br />

1.0%<br />

8.7%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.1%<br />

0.2%<br />

71.5%<br />

0.8%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.7%<br />

5.1%<br />

3.4%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

4.35<br />

0.44<br />

0.63<br />

5.61<br />

0.13<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.69<br />

0.13<br />

46.24<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

0.44<br />

3.28<br />

2.20<br />

64.63<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.0%<br />

5.3%<br />

31.8%<br />

0.5%<br />

2.7%<br />

3.5%<br />

27.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

3.4%<br />

2.6%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

0.00<br />

6.29<br />

4.16<br />

25.16<br />

0.39<br />

2.13<br />

2.81<br />

21.77<br />

0.00<br />

11.51<br />

0.00<br />

0.10<br />

0.00<br />

2.71<br />

2.03<br />

79.05<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

%<br />

4.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

76.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.7%<br />

1.1%<br />

9.3%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

2.18<br />

0.00<br />

0.09<br />

0.09<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.09<br />

39.73<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

4.54<br />

0.57<br />

4.82<br />

52.12<br />

%<br />

1.2%<br />

1.2%<br />

1.2%<br />

7.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.8%<br />

7.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

69.9%<br />

0.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

Greenock<br />

£m<br />

0.28<br />

0.28<br />

0.28<br />

1.75<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.18<br />

1.66<br />

0.00<br />

2.39<br />

0.00<br />

0.09<br />

0.00<br />

16.48<br />

0.18<br />

23.57<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

%<br />

3.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

72.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

9.8%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.5%<br />

4.9%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

1.05<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.35<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

20.74<br />

0.00<br />

2.81<br />

0.00<br />

2.46<br />

1.41<br />

28.82<br />

15/4/10<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

13.73<br />

7.01<br />

5.30<br />

35.13<br />

0.51<br />

2.13<br />

2.99<br />

24.34<br />

0.22<br />

223.45<br />

0.50<br />

9.35<br />

4.98<br />

36.18<br />

20.87<br />

386.70


Table 7<br />

Shopping Patterns in Main Catchment 2008<br />

Furniture / Floorcoverings<br />

Destination<br />

Origin<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />

%<br />

23.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

7.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

44.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.8%<br />

0.0%<br />

6.3%<br />

18.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

10.61<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

3.24<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.25<br />

0.00<br />

20.09<br />

0.00<br />

0.37<br />

0.00<br />

2.87<br />

8.24<br />

45.67<br />

Source: Glasgow & Clyde Valley Household Shopping Survey 2004<br />

Glas NW / Clydbk<br />

%<br />

21.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

11.8%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.8%<br />

0.0%<br />

31.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

12.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.6%<br />

13.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

20.21<br />

0.51<br />

0.00<br />

11.38<br />

0.26<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.77<br />

0.00<br />

30.57<br />

0.00<br />

11.89<br />

0.00<br />

8.31<br />

12.53<br />

96.44<br />

Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />

%<br />

11.3%<br />

1.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

11.3%<br />

0.7%<br />

24.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

9.3%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

1.86<br />

0.22<br />

0.00<br />

1.42<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.44<br />

0.00<br />

1.86<br />

0.11<br />

4.05<br />

0.00<br />

4.93<br />

1.53<br />

16.44<br />

Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />

%<br />

27.0%<br />

1.8%<br />

0.0%<br />

15.7%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

1.5%<br />

1.1%<br />

18.6%<br />

1.8%<br />

0.3%<br />

1.8%<br />

10.1%<br />

19.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

19.95<br />

1.34<br />

0.00<br />

11.59<br />

0.22<br />

0.00<br />

0.11<br />

1.11<br />

0.78<br />

13.71<br />

1.34<br />

0.22<br />

1.34<br />

7.47<br />

14.60<br />

73.80<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

%<br />

5.6%<br />

21.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

26.9%<br />

0.9%<br />

1.4%<br />

4.0%<br />

7.2%<br />

4.3%<br />

14.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

6.3%<br />

6.3%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

5.06<br />

19.42<br />

0.00<br />

24.32<br />

0.82<br />

1.31<br />

3.59<br />

6.53<br />

3.92<br />

13.22<br />

0.00<br />

0.65<br />

0.00<br />

5.71<br />

5.71<br />

90.26<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

%<br />

15.0%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

6.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.8%<br />

0.3%<br />

47.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

18.2%<br />

1.1%<br />

10.5%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

8.98<br />

0.16<br />

0.00<br />

3.78<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.47<br />

0.16<br />

28.21<br />

0.00<br />

0.32<br />

10.88<br />

0.63<br />

6.30<br />

59.89<br />

%<br />

14.4%<br />

2.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

6.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

3.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

4.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

64.1%<br />

3.6%<br />

100.0%<br />

Greenock<br />

£m<br />

3.89<br />

0.69<br />

0.00<br />

1.81<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.83<br />

0.00<br />

1.25<br />

0.00<br />

0.28<br />

0.00<br />

17.36<br />

0.97<br />

27.08<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

%<br />

14.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

5.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

26.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.8%<br />

0.0%<br />

17.6%<br />

23.5%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

4.87<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.95<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.97<br />

0.00<br />

8.77<br />

0.00<br />

2.92<br />

0.00<br />

5.84<br />

7.79<br />

33.12<br />

15/4/10<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

75.43<br />

22.34<br />

0.00<br />

59.50<br />

1.29<br />

1.31<br />

3.70<br />

11.38<br />

4.85<br />

117.68<br />

1.45<br />

20.71<br />

12.21<br />

53.13<br />

57.69<br />

442.68


Table 8<br />

Shopping Patterns in Main Catchment 2008<br />

Other (Bulky)<br />

Destination<br />

Origin<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />

%<br />

15.8%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.8%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

59.9%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

5.2%<br />

15.7%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

7.08<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.25<br />

0.00<br />

0.04<br />

0.00<br />

0.09<br />

0.00<br />

26.82<br />

0.04<br />

0.11<br />

0.00<br />

2.34<br />

7.03<br />

44.80<br />

Glas NW / Clydbk<br />

%<br />

15.9%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.6%<br />

4.3%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

35.5%<br />

0.1%<br />

12.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

18.4%<br />

11.9%<br />

100.0%<br />

Source: Average <strong>of</strong> 2004 household survey results for main categories <strong>of</strong> bulky goods<br />

£m<br />

14.99<br />

0.19<br />

0.53<br />

4.04<br />

0.15<br />

0.00<br />

0.04<br />

0.41<br />

0.00<br />

33.58<br />

0.07<br />

11.85<br />

0.04<br />

17.39<br />

11.28<br />

94.55<br />

Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />

%<br />

6.4%<br />

0.4%<br />

1.8%<br />

3.9%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.8%<br />

0.2%<br />

25.4%<br />

0.2%<br />

24.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

28.1%<br />

8.1%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

1.03<br />

0.06<br />

0.29<br />

0.62<br />

0.03<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.13<br />

0.03<br />

4.10<br />

0.03<br />

3.95<br />

0.00<br />

4.53<br />

1.31<br />

16.12<br />

Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />

%<br />

19.2%<br />

1.2%<br />

2.6%<br />

8.6%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

1.0%<br />

0.7%<br />

39.7%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.1%<br />

1.4%<br />

9.6%<br />

14.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

13.90<br />

0.87<br />

1.87<br />

6.24<br />

0.13<br />

0.03<br />

0.06<br />

0.74<br />

0.53<br />

28.70<br />

0.54<br />

0.07<br />

0.99<br />

6.98<br />

10.70<br />

72.35<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

%<br />

3.3%<br />

17.4%<br />

8.3%<br />

21.5%<br />

0.7%<br />

2.0%<br />

2.8%<br />

17.6%<br />

4.8%<br />

10.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

4.1%<br />

7.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

2.88<br />

15.41<br />

7.38<br />

19.01<br />

0.59<br />

1.75<br />

2.48<br />

15.61<br />

4.27<br />

8.87<br />

0.14<br />

0.22<br />

0.00<br />

3.63<br />

6.23<br />

88.49<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

%<br />

9.9%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.4%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.3%<br />

57.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

16.8%<br />

1.5%<br />

10.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

5.82<br />

0.09<br />

0.03<br />

1.39<br />

0.04<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.18<br />

0.16<br />

33.83<br />

0.00<br />

0.13<br />

9.88<br />

0.86<br />

6.33<br />

58.76<br />

%<br />

5.4%<br />

1.1%<br />

0.4%<br />

4.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

2.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

76.2%<br />

4.3%<br />

100.0%<br />

Greenock<br />

£m<br />

1.44<br />

0.28<br />

0.12<br />

1.11<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.05<br />

0.77<br />

0.00<br />

1.32<br />

0.00<br />

0.11<br />

0.00<br />

20.23<br />

1.14<br />

26.57<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

%<br />

9.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.7%<br />

2.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

41.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

13.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

11.4%<br />

19.1%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

3.02<br />

0.00<br />

0.55<br />

0.86<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.29<br />

0.00<br />

13.61<br />

0.00<br />

4.26<br />

0.00<br />

3.72<br />

6.19<br />

32.49<br />

15/4/10<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

50.17<br />

16.91<br />

10.76<br />

34.53<br />

0.94<br />

1.82<br />

2.63<br />

18.21<br />

5.00<br />

150.83<br />

0.82<br />

20.69<br />

10.91<br />

59.69<br />

50.20<br />

434.12


Table 9<br />

Shopping Patterns in Main Catchment 2008<br />

Other (Mainstream)<br />

Destination<br />

Origin<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />

%<br />

55.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

3.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

25.9%<br />

10.2%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

56.60<br />

0.00<br />

3.97<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

5.18<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

26.62<br />

10.53<br />

102.90<br />

Glas NW / Clydbk<br />

%<br />

45.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

15.2%<br />

7.5%<br />

100.0%<br />

Source: Based on 2004 survey results for clothing category but weighted towards local centres<br />

£m<br />

97.43<br />

0.00<br />

21.65<br />

3.16<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.30<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.51<br />

0.00<br />

43.30<br />

0.00<br />

32.96<br />

16.19<br />

216.51<br />

Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />

%<br />

18.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

13.0%<br />

2.9%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

38.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

5.7%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

6.67<br />

0.00<br />

4.81<br />

1.06<br />

0.15<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.75<br />

0.00<br />

14.07<br />

0.00<br />

7.41<br />

2.11<br />

37.03<br />

Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />

%<br />

48.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

12.7%<br />

3.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.2%<br />

1.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

7.0%<br />

18.0%<br />

8.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

79.53<br />

2.49<br />

21.02<br />

4.97<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.12<br />

0.00<br />

0.12<br />

0.36<br />

2.49<br />

0.00<br />

11.60<br />

29.81<br />

13.17<br />

165.68<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

%<br />

14.0%<br />

32.5%<br />

33.0%<br />

7.1%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.8%<br />

2.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.3%<br />

4.0%<br />

4.6%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

28.37<br />

65.95<br />

66.87<br />

14.47<br />

0.60<br />

1.61<br />

5.82<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.60<br />

0.40<br />

0.00<br />

0.60<br />

8.11<br />

9.24<br />

202.63<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

%<br />

25.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

1.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

4.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

55.0%<br />

5.5%<br />

8.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

33.74<br />

0.18<br />

1.93<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

5.43<br />

0.00<br />

0.18<br />

74.22<br />

7.36<br />

11.92<br />

134.95<br />

%<br />

12.0%<br />

1.0%<br />

12.0%<br />

1.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.3%<br />

1.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

66.2%<br />

5.7%<br />

100.0%<br />

Greenock<br />

£m<br />

7.32<br />

0.63<br />

7.32<br />

0.76<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.16<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.16<br />

0.16<br />

0.63<br />

0.00<br />

40.38<br />

3.49<br />

61.02<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

%<br />

35.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

13.5%<br />

1.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

26.9%<br />

11.2%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

26.12<br />

0.00<br />

10.07<br />

0.83<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.68<br />

0.00<br />

7.46<br />

0.00<br />

20.08<br />

8.38<br />

74.62<br />

15/4/10<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

335.76<br />

69.25<br />

137.65<br />

25.24<br />

0.75<br />

1.61<br />

6.40<br />

0.00<br />

0.12<br />

15.67<br />

3.05<br />

65.65<br />

86.42<br />

172.74<br />

75.03<br />

995.34


Table 10<br />

Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Trade Draw from Main Catchment 2008<br />

assuming no change in shopping patterns 2004 - 2008<br />

Destination<br />

Origin<br />

Glasgow City Centre *<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

Source: Tables 4 to 9 combined<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />

%<br />

16.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.3%<br />

3.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

18.5%<br />

1.7%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.4%<br />

14.0%<br />

£m<br />

170.24<br />

0.00<br />

8.28<br />

5.52<br />

0.00<br />

0.17<br />

0.00<br />

0.42<br />

0.00<br />

129.25<br />

0.17<br />

0.48<br />

0.00<br />

44.84<br />

52.98<br />

412.34<br />

Glas NW / Clydbk<br />

%<br />

29.4%<br />

0.4%<br />

14.0%<br />

11.8%<br />

11.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

3.2%<br />

2.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

21.7%<br />

3.2%<br />

60.3%<br />

0.1%<br />

22.8%<br />

22.1%<br />

£m<br />

309.56<br />

0.82<br />

50.60<br />

21.01<br />

0.65<br />

0.00<br />

0.79<br />

1.82<br />

0.00<br />

151.46<br />

0.32<br />

124.21<br />

0.16<br />

121.61<br />

83.36<br />

866.36<br />

Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />

%<br />

2.2%<br />

0.1%<br />

3.5%<br />

2.1%<br />

8.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.7%<br />

2.8%<br />

1.4%<br />

21.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

6.2%<br />

2.7%<br />

£m<br />

22.97<br />

0.28<br />

12.48<br />

3.81<br />

0.46<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.57<br />

0.15<br />

19.67<br />

0.14<br />

44.56<br />

0.00<br />

33.12<br />

10.18<br />

148.39<br />

* Note: Glasgow City Centre turnover is total estimate from Glasgow City Plan <strong>Retail</strong> Capacity Study projected to 2008 - see Table 11<br />

Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />

%<br />

23.1%<br />

4.3%<br />

15.9%<br />

18.3%<br />

10.2%<br />

1.1%<br />

2.1%<br />

4.0%<br />

11.6%<br />

18.2%<br />

75.8%<br />

0.1%<br />

10.6%<br />

15.2%<br />

19.7%<br />

£m<br />

243.02<br />

9.03<br />

57.15<br />

32.55<br />

0.58<br />

0.13<br />

0.52<br />

3.25<br />

2.59<br />

127.49<br />

7.55<br />

0.29<br />

23.11<br />

81.14<br />

74.57<br />

662.95<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

%<br />

8.2%<br />

93.5%<br />

51.8%<br />

55.4%<br />

67.1%<br />

97.4%<br />

92.5%<br />

85.7%<br />

84.6%<br />

5.8%<br />

14.6%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.6%<br />

5.5%<br />

12.4%<br />

£m<br />

85.91<br />

194.14<br />

186.72<br />

98.42<br />

3.83<br />

11.07<br />

23.02<br />

68.95<br />

18.88<br />

40.44<br />

1.45<br />

0.97<br />

1.25<br />

29.10<br />

46.68<br />

810.82<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

%<br />

10.2%<br />

0.4%<br />

1.1%<br />

3.5%<br />

3.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.0%<br />

3.1%<br />

23.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

88.8%<br />

2.3%<br />

14.0%<br />

£m<br />

107.35<br />

0.76<br />

4.14<br />

6.14<br />

0.19<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.80<br />

0.70<br />

160.73<br />

0.00<br />

0.96<br />

193.89<br />

12.31<br />

52.78<br />

540.75<br />

%<br />

2.5%<br />

1.2%<br />

4.6%<br />

3.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.3%<br />

4.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.9%<br />

3.3%<br />

0.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

31.6%<br />

3.3%<br />

Greenock<br />

£m<br />

26.55<br />

2.58<br />

16.60<br />

5.68<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.57<br />

3.38<br />

0.00<br />

6.16<br />

0.33<br />

1.80<br />

0.00<br />

168.57<br />

12.28<br />

244.50<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

%<br />

8.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

6.8%<br />

2.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

9.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

15.8%<br />

0.0%<br />

7.9%<br />

11.9%<br />

£m<br />

85.82<br />

0.00<br />

24.33<br />

4.61<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.26<br />

0.00<br />

63.58<br />

0.00<br />

32.62<br />

0.00<br />

41.96<br />

44.81<br />

298.99<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

1051.41<br />

207.60<br />

360.29<br />

177.73<br />

5.72<br />

11.37<br />

24.90<br />

80.44<br />

22.32<br />

698.78<br />

9.96<br />

205.89<br />

218.41<br />

532.64<br />

377.64<br />

3985.09<br />

Floorspace<br />

Gross Sales<br />

sq m sq m<br />

15/4/10<br />

Turnover<br />

/ sq m Total<br />

£ £m<br />

422,433 253,460 £6,429 1629.55<br />

62,373 37,424 £5,547 207.60<br />

44,818 26,947 £15,376 414.33<br />

47,900 38,864 £4,573 177.73<br />

2,517 1,510 £3,787 5.72<br />

4,281 2,569 £4,425 11.37<br />

12,300 9,225 £2,699 24.90<br />

20,696 15,522 £5,182 80.44<br />

10,273 7,705 £2,897 22.32


Table 11<br />

Changes to Glasgow City Centre Turnover<br />

City centre turnover 2000 ('94 prices)<br />

City centre turnover 2000 ('05 prices)<br />

Turnover as % <strong>of</strong> available spend 2000<br />

Available Spend in City 2006<br />

Available Spend in City 2008<br />

City Centre turnover 2008<br />

New developments to 2013<br />

(GCC <strong>Retail</strong> Factsheet, July 2009)<br />

£1,262.53 m (from City Plan)<br />

£1,185.33<br />

80.74%<br />

m<br />

£1,830.71 m (from City Plan)<br />

£2,018.36 m (5% growth)<br />

£1,629.55 m<br />

91,621 sq m gross<br />

54,973 sq m sales


Table 12<br />

Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Market Share from Catchment 2008<br />

assuming no change in shopping patterns 2004 - 2008<br />

Destination<br />

Origin<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

Source: Tables 10 <strong>and</strong> 11<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />

%<br />

41.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

1.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

31.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.9%<br />

12.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

170.24<br />

0.00<br />

8.28<br />

5.52<br />

0.00<br />

0.17<br />

0.00<br />

0.42<br />

0.00<br />

129.25<br />

0.17<br />

0.48<br />

0.00<br />

44.84<br />

52.98<br />

412.34<br />

Glas NW / Clydbk<br />

%<br />

35.7%<br />

0.1%<br />

5.8%<br />

2.4%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

17.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.0%<br />

9.6%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

309.56<br />

0.82<br />

50.60<br />

21.01<br />

0.65<br />

0.00<br />

0.79<br />

1.82<br />

0.00<br />

151.46<br />

0.32<br />

124.21<br />

0.16<br />

121.61<br />

83.36<br />

866.36<br />

Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />

%<br />

15.5%<br />

0.2%<br />

8.4%<br />

2.6%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.1%<br />

13.3%<br />

0.1%<br />

30.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

22.3%<br />

6.9%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

22.97<br />

0.28<br />

12.48<br />

3.81<br />

0.46<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.57<br />

0.15<br />

19.67<br />

0.14<br />

44.56<br />

0.00<br />

33.12<br />

10.18<br />

148.39<br />

Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />

%<br />

36.7%<br />

1.4%<br />

8.6%<br />

4.9%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.4%<br />

19.2%<br />

1.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

3.5%<br />

12.2%<br />

11.2%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

243.02<br />

9.03<br />

57.15<br />

32.55<br />

0.58<br />

0.13<br />

0.52<br />

3.25<br />

2.59<br />

127.49<br />

7.55<br />

0.29<br />

23.11<br />

81.14<br />

74.57<br />

662.95<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

%<br />

10.6%<br />

23.9%<br />

23.0%<br />

12.1%<br />

0.5%<br />

1.4%<br />

2.8%<br />

8.5%<br />

2.3%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.2%<br />

3.6%<br />

5.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

85.91<br />

194.14<br />

186.72<br />

98.42<br />

3.83<br />

11.07<br />

23.02<br />

68.95<br />

18.88<br />

40.44<br />

1.45<br />

0.97<br />

1.25<br />

29.10<br />

46.68<br />

810.82<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

%<br />

19.9%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.8%<br />

1.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.1%<br />

29.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

35.9%<br />

2.3%<br />

9.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

107.35<br />

0.76<br />

4.14<br />

6.14<br />

0.19<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.80<br />

0.70<br />

160.73<br />

0.00<br />

0.96<br />

193.89<br />

12.31<br />

52.78<br />

540.75<br />

%<br />

10.9%<br />

1.1%<br />

6.8%<br />

2.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

1.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.5%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

68.9%<br />

5.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

Greenock<br />

£m<br />

26.55<br />

2.58<br />

16.60<br />

5.68<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.57<br />

3.38<br />

0.00<br />

6.16<br />

0.33<br />

1.80<br />

0.00<br />

168.57<br />

12.28<br />

244.50<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

%<br />

28.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.1%<br />

1.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

21.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.0%<br />

15.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

85.82<br />

0.00<br />

24.33<br />

4.61<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.26<br />

0.00<br />

63.58<br />

0.00<br />

32.62<br />

0.00<br />

41.96<br />

44.81<br />

298.99<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

1051.41<br />

207.60<br />

360.29<br />

177.73<br />

5.72<br />

11.37<br />

24.90<br />

80.44<br />

22.32<br />

698.78<br />

9.96<br />

205.89<br />

218.41<br />

532.64<br />

377.64<br />

3985.09<br />

Floorspace<br />

Gross Sales<br />

sq m sq m<br />

15/4/10<br />

Turnover<br />

/ sq m Total<br />

£ £m<br />

422,433 253,460 £6,429 1629.55<br />

62,373 37,424 £5,547 207.60<br />

44,818 26,947 £15,376 414.33<br />

47,900 38,864 £4,573 177.73<br />

2,517 1,510 £3,787 5.72<br />

4,281 2,569 £4,425 11.37<br />

12,300 9,225 £2,699 24.90<br />

20,696 15,522 £5,182 80.44<br />

10,273 7,705 £2,897 22.32


Table 13<br />

Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Market Share from Catchment 2008<br />

allowing for reduction in retail floorspace in Paisley town centre<br />

Destination<br />

Origin<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />

%<br />

41.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

1.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

31.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.9%<br />

12.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

170.24<br />

0.00<br />

8.28<br />

5.52<br />

0.00<br />

0.17<br />

0.00<br />

0.42<br />

0.00<br />

129.25<br />

0.17<br />

0.48<br />

0.00<br />

44.84<br />

52.98<br />

412.34<br />

Glas NW / Clydbk<br />

%<br />

35.7%<br />

0.1%<br />

5.8%<br />

2.4%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

17.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.0%<br />

9.6%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

309.56<br />

0.82<br />

50.60<br />

21.01<br />

0.65<br />

0.00<br />

0.79<br />

1.82<br />

0.00<br />

151.46<br />

0.32<br />

124.21<br />

0.16<br />

121.61<br />

83.36<br />

866.36<br />

Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />

%<br />

15.5%<br />

0.2%<br />

8.4%<br />

2.6%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.1%<br />

13.3%<br />

0.1%<br />

30.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

22.3%<br />

6.9%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

22.97<br />

0.28<br />

12.48<br />

3.81<br />

0.46<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.57<br />

0.15<br />

19.67<br />

0.14<br />

44.56<br />

0.00<br />

33.12<br />

10.18<br />

148.39<br />

Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />

%<br />

36.7%<br />

1.4%<br />

8.6%<br />

4.9%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.4%<br />

19.2%<br />

1.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

3.5%<br />

12.2%<br />

11.2%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

243.02<br />

9.03<br />

57.15<br />

32.55<br />

0.58<br />

0.13<br />

0.52<br />

3.25<br />

2.59<br />

127.49<br />

7.55<br />

0.29<br />

23.11<br />

81.14<br />

74.57<br />

662.95<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

%<br />

12.2%<br />

18.8%<br />

25.5%<br />

12.6%<br />

0.5%<br />

1.4%<br />

3.0%<br />

8.9%<br />

2.3%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.2%<br />

3.6%<br />

5.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

98.92<br />

152.43<br />

207.14<br />

102.16<br />

3.83<br />

11.07<br />

24.32<br />

72.16<br />

18.88<br />

40.44<br />

1.45<br />

0.97<br />

1.25<br />

29.10<br />

46.68<br />

810.82<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

%<br />

19.9%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.8%<br />

1.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.1%<br />

29.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

35.9%<br />

2.3%<br />

9.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

107.35<br />

0.76<br />

4.14<br />

6.14<br />

0.19<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.80<br />

0.70<br />

160.73<br />

0.00<br />

0.96<br />

193.89<br />

12.31<br />

52.78<br />

540.75<br />

%<br />

10.9%<br />

1.1%<br />

6.8%<br />

2.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

1.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.5%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

68.9%<br />

5.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

Greenock<br />

£m<br />

26.55<br />

2.58<br />

16.60<br />

5.68<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.57<br />

3.38<br />

0.00<br />

6.16<br />

0.33<br />

1.80<br />

0.00<br />

168.57<br />

12.28<br />

244.50<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

%<br />

28.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.1%<br />

1.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

21.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.0%<br />

15.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

85.82<br />

0.00<br />

24.33<br />

4.61<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.26<br />

0.00<br />

63.58<br />

0.00<br />

32.62<br />

0.00<br />

41.96<br />

44.81<br />

298.99<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

1064.43<br />

165.90<br />

380.72<br />

181.47<br />

5.72<br />

11.37<br />

26.20<br />

83.65<br />

22.32<br />

698.78<br />

9.96<br />

205.89<br />

218.41<br />

532.64<br />

377.64<br />

3985.09<br />

Floorspace<br />

Gross Sales<br />

sq m sq m<br />

15/4/10<br />

Turnover<br />

/ sq m Total<br />

£ £m<br />

422,433 253,460 £6,481 1642.56<br />

39,972 23,983 £6,917 165.90<br />

44,818 26,947 £16,134 434.76<br />

47,900 38,864 £4,669 181.47<br />

2,517 1,510 £3,787 5.72<br />

4,281 2,569 £4,425 11.37<br />

12,300 9,225 £2,840 26.20<br />

20,696 15,522 £5,389 83.65<br />

10,273 7,705 £2,897 22.32


Table 14<br />

Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Market Share from Catchment 2008<br />

allowing for other changes in retail floorspace in Paisley area<br />

Destination<br />

Origin<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />

%<br />

41.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

1.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

31.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.9%<br />

12.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

170.24<br />

0.00<br />

8.28<br />

5.52<br />

0.00<br />

0.17<br />

0.00<br />

0.42<br />

0.00<br />

129.25<br />

0.17<br />

0.48<br />

0.00<br />

44.84<br />

52.98<br />

412.34<br />

Glas NW / Clydbk<br />

%<br />

35.7%<br />

0.1%<br />

5.8%<br />

2.1%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

17.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.0%<br />

9.6%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

309.56<br />

0.82<br />

50.60<br />

18.41<br />

0.65<br />

0.00<br />

4.33<br />

2.60<br />

0.00<br />

149.73<br />

0.32<br />

124.21<br />

0.16<br />

121.61<br />

83.36<br />

866.36<br />

Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />

%<br />

15.5%<br />

0.2%<br />

8.4%<br />

2.6%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.1%<br />

13.3%<br />

0.1%<br />

30.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

22.3%<br />

6.9%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

22.97<br />

0.28<br />

12.48<br />

3.81<br />

0.46<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.57<br />

0.15<br />

19.67<br />

0.14<br />

44.56<br />

0.00<br />

33.12<br />

10.18<br />

148.39<br />

Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />

%<br />

36.7%<br />

1.4%<br />

8.6%<br />

4.5%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.4%<br />

19.0%<br />

1.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

3.5%<br />

12.2%<br />

11.2%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

243.02<br />

9.03<br />

57.15<br />

29.89<br />

0.58<br />

0.13<br />

3.31<br />

4.64<br />

2.59<br />

125.95<br />

7.55<br />

0.29<br />

23.11<br />

81.14<br />

74.57<br />

662.95<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

%<br />

11.6%<br />

20.5%<br />

24.0%<br />

10.8%<br />

0.3%<br />

1.4%<br />

5.5%<br />

10.0%<br />

2.1%<br />

4.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.2%<br />

3.6%<br />

5.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

94.06<br />

166.22<br />

194.41<br />

87.92<br />

2.43<br />

11.07<br />

44.60<br />

81.08<br />

17.26<br />

32.33<br />

1.45<br />

0.97<br />

1.25<br />

29.10<br />

46.68<br />

810.82<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

%<br />

19.9%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.8%<br />

1.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.1%<br />

29.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

35.9%<br />

2.3%<br />

9.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

107.35<br />

0.76<br />

4.14<br />

6.14<br />

0.19<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.80<br />

0.70<br />

160.73<br />

0.00<br />

0.96<br />

193.89<br />

12.31<br />

52.78<br />

540.75<br />

%<br />

10.9%<br />

1.1%<br />

6.8%<br />

1.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.0%<br />

1.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.1%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

68.9%<br />

5.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

Greenock<br />

£m<br />

26.55<br />

2.58<br />

16.60<br />

4.05<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

2.44<br />

4.16<br />

0.00<br />

5.13<br />

0.33<br />

1.80<br />

0.00<br />

168.57<br />

12.28<br />

244.50<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

%<br />

28.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.1%<br />

1.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

21.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.0%<br />

15.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

85.82<br />

0.00<br />

24.33<br />

4.61<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.26<br />

0.00<br />

63.58<br />

0.00<br />

32.62<br />

0.00<br />

41.96<br />

44.81<br />

298.99<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

1059.56<br />

179.69<br />

367.99<br />

160.35<br />

4.32<br />

11.37<br />

54.69<br />

95.52<br />

20.70<br />

686.38<br />

9.96<br />

205.89<br />

218.41<br />

532.64<br />

377.64<br />

3985.09<br />

Floorspace<br />

Gross Sales<br />

sq m sq m<br />

15/4/10<br />

Turnover<br />

/ sq m Total<br />

£ £m<br />

422,433 253,460 £6,461 1637.70<br />

46,775 27,902 £6,440 179.69<br />

45,235 27,141 £15,550 422.03<br />

47,900 38,864 £4,126 160.35<br />

954 572 £7,542 4.32<br />

4,281 2,569 £4,425 11.37<br />

24,400 18,300 £2,988 54.69<br />

25,691 19,268 £4,957 95.52<br />

10,273 7,705 £2,687 20.70


Table 15<br />

Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Market Share from Catchment 2008<br />

including allowance for Silverburn<br />

Destination<br />

Origin<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Silverburn #<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />

%<br />

41.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

1.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

31.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.9%<br />

12.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

170.24<br />

0.00<br />

8.28<br />

5.52<br />

0.00<br />

0.17<br />

0.00<br />

0.42<br />

0.00<br />

129.25<br />

0.17<br />

0.48<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

44.84<br />

52.98<br />

412.34<br />

Glas NW / Clydbk<br />

%<br />

35.2%<br />

0.1%<br />

4.1%<br />

2.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

17.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.4%<br />

14.0%<br />

9.6%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

304.96<br />

0.82<br />

35.52<br />

17.33<br />

0.65<br />

0.00<br />

4.33<br />

2.60<br />

0.00<br />

149.73<br />

0.32<br />

124.21<br />

0.16<br />

20.76<br />

121.61<br />

83.36<br />

866.36<br />

Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />

%<br />

15.5%<br />

0.2%<br />

8.4%<br />

2.6%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.1%<br />

13.3%<br />

0.1%<br />

30.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

22.3%<br />

6.9%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

22.97<br />

0.28<br />

12.48<br />

3.81<br />

0.46<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.57<br />

0.15<br />

19.67<br />

0.14<br />

44.56<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

33.12<br />

10.18<br />

148.39<br />

Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />

%<br />

30.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

3.0%<br />

4.2%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.4%<br />

17.0%<br />

1.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

21.0%<br />

11.0%<br />

9.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

Source: Estimated trade diversions to Silverburn by RDPC Note # : Silverburn assumed to draw trade from beyond main Braehead catchment<br />

£m<br />

198.89<br />

2.65<br />

19.89<br />

27.84<br />

0.58<br />

0.13<br />

3.31<br />

4.64<br />

2.59<br />

112.70<br />

7.55<br />

0.29<br />

9.94<br />

139.22<br />

73.06<br />

59.67<br />

662.95<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

%<br />

10.4%<br />

20.1%<br />

21.3%<br />

9.7%<br />

0.3%<br />

1.4%<br />

5.3%<br />

9.8%<br />

2.1%<br />

3.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.2%<br />

7.0%<br />

3.6%<br />

5.6%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

84.33<br />

162.98<br />

172.42<br />

78.65<br />

2.43<br />

11.07<br />

42.97<br />

79.46<br />

17.26<br />

24.32<br />

1.45<br />

0.97<br />

1.25<br />

56.76<br />

29.10<br />

45.41<br />

810.82<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

%<br />

18.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.5%<br />

1.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.1%<br />

27.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

31.0%<br />

10.1%<br />

2.3%<br />

9.5%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

97.33<br />

0.76<br />

2.70<br />

5.41<br />

0.19<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.80<br />

0.70<br />

146.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.96<br />

167.63<br />

54.58<br />

12.31<br />

51.37<br />

540.75<br />

%<br />

10.7%<br />

1.1%<br />

5.7%<br />

1.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.0%<br />

1.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

68.9%<br />

5.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

Greenock<br />

£m<br />

26.16<br />

2.58<br />

13.94<br />

3.67<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

2.44<br />

4.16<br />

0.00<br />

4.89<br />

0.33<br />

1.80<br />

0.00<br />

3.68<br />

168.57<br />

12.28<br />

244.50<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

%<br />

28.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.1%<br />

1.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

21.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.0%<br />

15.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

85.82<br />

0.00<br />

24.33<br />

4.61<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.26<br />

0.00<br />

63.58<br />

0.00<br />

32.62<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

41.96<br />

44.81<br />

298.99<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

990.69<br />

170.06<br />

289.55<br />

146.83<br />

4.32<br />

11.37<br />

53.07<br />

93.90<br />

20.70<br />

650.16<br />

9.96<br />

205.89<br />

178.98<br />

275.00<br />

524.56<br />

360.04<br />

3985.09<br />

Change<br />

%<br />

-5.4%<br />

-5.4%<br />

-20.5%<br />

-8.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

-3.0%<br />

-1.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

-5.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

-18.0%<br />

+100%<br />

-1.5%<br />

-4.7%<br />

Floorspace<br />

Gross Sales<br />

sq m sq m<br />

15/4/10<br />

Turnover<br />

/ sq m Total<br />

£ £m<br />

422,433 253,460 £6,116 1550.04<br />

46,775 27,902 £6,095 170.06<br />

45,235 27,141 £12,361 335.49<br />

47,900 38,864 £3,778 146.83<br />

954 572 £7,542 4.32<br />

4,281 2,569 £4,425 11.37<br />

24,400 18,300 £2,900 53.07<br />

25,691 19,268 £4,873 93.90<br />

10,273 7,705 £2,687 20.70<br />

64,000<br />

38,400<br />

£9,310<br />

357.51


Table 16<br />

Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Market Share from Catchment 2010<br />

based on same market shares as 2008<br />

Destination<br />

Origin<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Silverburn<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />

%<br />

41.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

1.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

31.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.9%<br />

12.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

180.77<br />

0.00<br />

8.79<br />

5.86<br />

0.00<br />

0.18<br />

0.00<br />

0.44<br />

0.00<br />

137.25<br />

0.18<br />

0.51<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

47.61<br />

56.26<br />

437.86<br />

Glas NW / Clydbk<br />

%<br />

35.2%<br />

0.1%<br />

4.1%<br />

2.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

17.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.4%<br />

14.0%<br />

9.6%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

317.14<br />

0.85<br />

36.94<br />

18.02<br />

0.68<br />

0.00<br />

4.50<br />

2.70<br />

0.00<br />

155.71<br />

0.33<br />

129.17<br />

0.17<br />

21.59<br />

126.47<br />

86.69<br />

900.97<br />

Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />

%<br />

15.5%<br />

0.2%<br />

8.4%<br />

2.6%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.1%<br />

13.3%<br />

0.1%<br />

30.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

22.3%<br />

6.9%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

24.67<br />

0.30<br />

13.40<br />

4.09<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.61<br />

0.16<br />

21.13<br />

0.15<br />

47.86<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

35.57<br />

10.93<br />

159.37<br />

Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />

%<br />

30.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

3.0%<br />

4.2%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.4%<br />

17.0%<br />

1.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

21.0%<br />

11.0%<br />

9.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

209.36<br />

2.79<br />

20.94<br />

29.31<br />

0.61<br />

0.14<br />

3.49<br />

4.89<br />

2.73<br />

118.64<br />

7.94<br />

0.30<br />

10.47<br />

146.55<br />

76.91<br />

62.81<br />

697.88<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

%<br />

10.4%<br />

20.1%<br />

21.3%<br />

9.7%<br />

0.3%<br />

1.4%<br />

5.3%<br />

9.8%<br />

2.1%<br />

3.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.2%<br />

7.0%<br />

3.6%<br />

5.6%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

89.39<br />

172.76<br />

182.77<br />

83.37<br />

2.58<br />

11.73<br />

45.55<br />

84.23<br />

18.29<br />

25.78<br />

1.54<br />

1.03<br />

1.32<br />

60.16<br />

30.85<br />

48.13<br />

859.49<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

%<br />

18.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.5%<br />

1.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.1%<br />

27.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

31.0%<br />

10.1%<br />

2.3%<br />

9.5%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

104.06<br />

0.81<br />

2.89<br />

5.78<br />

0.20<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.85<br />

0.75<br />

156.09<br />

0.00<br />

1.03<br />

179.22<br />

58.35<br />

13.16<br />

54.92<br />

578.12<br />

%<br />

10.7%<br />

1.1%<br />

5.7%<br />

1.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.0%<br />

1.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

68.9%<br />

5.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

Greenock<br />

£m<br />

28.13<br />

2.77<br />

14.98<br />

3.94<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

2.63<br />

4.47<br />

0.00<br />

5.26<br />

0.36<br />

1.93<br />

0.00<br />

3.96<br />

181.23<br />

13.21<br />

262.86<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

%<br />

28.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.1%<br />

1.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

21.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.0%<br />

15.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

91.76<br />

0.00<br />

26.01<br />

4.93<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.35<br />

0.00<br />

67.97<br />

0.00<br />

34.87<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

44.86<br />

47.91<br />

319.65<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

1045.27<br />

180.29<br />

306.72<br />

155.31<br />

4.57<br />

12.05<br />

56.18<br />

99.54<br />

21.93<br />

687.84<br />

10.50<br />

216.71<br />

191.18<br />

290.62<br />

556.65<br />

380.84<br />

4216.20<br />

Change<br />

%<br />

6.0%<br />

6.0%<br />

5.9%<br />

5.8%<br />

5.8%<br />

6.0%<br />

5.9%<br />

6.0%<br />

6.0%<br />

5.8%<br />

5.5%<br />

5.3%<br />

6.8%<br />

6.0%<br />

6.1%<br />

5.8%<br />

5.8%<br />

Floorspace<br />

Gross Sales<br />

sq m sq m<br />

15/4/10<br />

Turnover<br />

/ sq m Total<br />

£ £m<br />

422,433 253,460 £6,482 1643.04<br />

46,775 27,902 £6,461 180.29<br />

45,235 27,141 £13,094 355.38<br />

47,900 38,864 £3,996 155.31<br />

954 572 £7,979 4.57<br />

4,281 2,569 £4,690 12.05<br />

24,400 18,300 £3,070 56.18<br />

25,691 19,268 £5,166 99.54<br />

10,273 7,705 £2,846 21.93<br />

64,000<br />

38,400<br />

£9,869<br />

378.96


Table 17<br />

Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Market Share from Catchment 2010<br />

allowing for implementation <strong>of</strong> City Centre commitments<br />

Origin<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint Glas NW / Clydbk Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />

Destination<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Silverburn<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

%<br />

43.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.8%<br />

1.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

30.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.9%<br />

12.3%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

188.28<br />

0.00<br />

7.88<br />

5.25<br />

0.00<br />

0.18<br />

0.00<br />

0.44<br />

0.00<br />

133.66<br />

0.18<br />

0.51<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

47.61<br />

53.86<br />

437.86<br />

%<br />

36.5%<br />

0.1%<br />

3.5%<br />

1.9%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

17.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.3%<br />

14.0%<br />

9.6%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

328.85<br />

0.85<br />

31.53<br />

17.12<br />

0.68<br />

0.00<br />

4.50<br />

2.70<br />

0.00<br />

154.07<br />

0.33<br />

126.14<br />

0.17<br />

20.72<br />

126.47<br />

86.84<br />

900.97<br />

%<br />

17.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

7.3%<br />

2.5%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.1%<br />

13.2%<br />

0.1%<br />

29.8%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

22.3%<br />

6.9%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

27.02<br />

0.30<br />

11.63<br />

3.96<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.61<br />

0.16<br />

21.04<br />

0.15<br />

47.49<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

35.57<br />

10.93<br />

159.37<br />

Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />

%<br />

33.5%<br />

0.4%<br />

2.5%<br />

3.9%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.4%<br />

17.0%<br />

1.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.3%<br />

18.5%<br />

11.0%<br />

9.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

233.79<br />

2.79<br />

17.45<br />

27.22<br />

0.61<br />

0.14<br />

3.49<br />

4.89<br />

2.73<br />

118.64<br />

7.94<br />

0.30<br />

9.07<br />

129.11<br />

76.91<br />

62.81<br />

697.88<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

%<br />

13.0%<br />

19.8%<br />

20.2%<br />

9.5%<br />

0.3%<br />

1.4%<br />

5.3%<br />

9.8%<br />

2.1%<br />

3.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.2%<br />

6.0%<br />

3.6%<br />

5.6%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

111.73<br />

170.18<br />

173.32<br />

81.65<br />

2.58<br />

11.73<br />

45.55<br />

84.23<br />

18.29<br />

25.78<br />

1.54<br />

1.03<br />

1.32<br />

51.57<br />

30.85<br />

48.13<br />

859.49<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

%<br />

21.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.1%<br />

25.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

30.8%<br />

9.0%<br />

2.3%<br />

9.5%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

121.37<br />

0.81<br />

2.31<br />

5.20<br />

0.20<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.85<br />

0.75<br />

147.42<br />

0.00<br />

1.03<br />

178.06<br />

52.03<br />

13.16<br />

54.92<br />

578.12<br />

%<br />

11.4%<br />

1.1%<br />

5.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.0%<br />

1.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

68.9%<br />

5.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

Greenock<br />

£m<br />

29.97<br />

2.77<br />

13.14<br />

3.94<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

2.63<br />

4.47<br />

0.00<br />

5.26<br />

0.36<br />

1.93<br />

0.00<br />

3.96<br />

181.23<br />

13.21<br />

262.86<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

%<br />

30.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

7.0%<br />

1.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

21.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.0%<br />

15.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

95.90<br />

0.00<br />

22.38<br />

4.48<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.35<br />

0.00<br />

67.92<br />

0.00<br />

34.87<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

44.86<br />

47.91<br />

319.65<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

1136.91<br />

177.71<br />

279.65<br />

148.82<br />

4.57<br />

12.05<br />

56.18<br />

99.54<br />

21.93<br />

673.79<br />

10.50<br />

213.30<br />

188.62<br />

257.39<br />

556.65<br />

378.60<br />

4216.20<br />

Change<br />

%<br />

14.8%<br />

-1.4%<br />

-9.0%<br />

-4.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

-2.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

-1.6%<br />

-1.3%<br />

-11.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

-0.6%<br />

Floorspace<br />

Gross Sales<br />

sq m sq m<br />

29/4/10<br />

Turnover<br />

/ sq m Total<br />

£ £m<br />

514,054 308,432 £6,113 1885.53<br />

46,775 27,902 £6,369 177.71<br />

45,235 27,141 £11,917 323.44<br />

47,900 38,864 £3,829 148.82<br />

954 572 £7,979 4.57<br />

4,281 2,569 £4,690 12.05<br />

24,400 18,300 £3,070 56.18<br />

25,691 19,268 £5,166 99.54<br />

10,273 7,705 £2,846 21.93<br />

64,000<br />

38,400<br />

£8,714<br />

334.61


Table 18<br />

Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Trade Draw from Catchment 2010<br />

Destination<br />

Origin<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Silverburn<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

Source: Table 17<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint<br />

%<br />

16.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.8%<br />

3.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

19.8%<br />

1.7%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.6%<br />

14.2%<br />

£m<br />

188.28<br />

0.00<br />

7.88<br />

5.25<br />

0.00<br />

0.18<br />

0.00<br />

0.44<br />

0.00<br />

133.66<br />

0.18<br />

0.51<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

47.61<br />

53.86<br />

437.86<br />

Glas NW / Clydbk<br />

%<br />

28.9%<br />

0.5%<br />

11.3%<br />

11.5%<br />

14.8%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.0%<br />

2.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

22.9%<br />

3.2%<br />

59.1%<br />

0.1%<br />

8.1%<br />

22.7%<br />

22.9%<br />

£m<br />

328.85<br />

0.85<br />

31.53<br />

17.12<br />

0.68<br />

0.00<br />

4.50<br />

2.70<br />

0.00<br />

154.07<br />

0.33<br />

126.14<br />

0.17<br />

20.72<br />

126.47<br />

86.84<br />

900.97<br />

Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />

%<br />

2.4%<br />

0.2%<br />

4.2%<br />

2.7%<br />

10.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.6%<br />

0.7%<br />

3.1%<br />

1.4%<br />

22.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

6.4%<br />

2.9%<br />

£m<br />

27.02<br />

0.30<br />

11.63<br />

3.96<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.61<br />

0.16<br />

21.04<br />

0.15<br />

47.49<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

35.57<br />

10.93<br />

159.37<br />

Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />

%<br />

20.6%<br />

1.6%<br />

6.2%<br />

18.3%<br />

13.4%<br />

1.1%<br />

6.2%<br />

4.9%<br />

12.4%<br />

17.6%<br />

75.7%<br />

0.1%<br />

4.8%<br />

50.2%<br />

13.8%<br />

16.6%<br />

£m<br />

233.79<br />

2.79<br />

17.45<br />

27.22<br />

0.61<br />

0.14<br />

3.49<br />

4.89<br />

2.73<br />

118.64<br />

7.94<br />

0.30<br />

9.07<br />

129.11<br />

76.91<br />

62.81<br />

697.88<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

%<br />

9.8%<br />

95.8%<br />

62.0%<br />

54.9%<br />

56.5%<br />

97.4%<br />

81.1%<br />

84.6%<br />

83.4%<br />

3.8%<br />

14.6%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.7%<br />

20.0%<br />

5.5%<br />

12.7%<br />

£m<br />

111.73<br />

170.18<br />

173.32<br />

81.65<br />

2.58<br />

11.73<br />

45.55<br />

84.23<br />

18.29<br />

25.78<br />

1.54<br />

1.03<br />

1.32<br />

51.57<br />

30.85<br />

48.13<br />

859.49<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

%<br />

10.7%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.8%<br />

3.5%<br />

4.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.9%<br />

3.4%<br />

21.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

94.4%<br />

20.2%<br />

2.4%<br />

14.5%<br />

£m<br />

121.37<br />

0.81<br />

2.31<br />

5.20<br />

0.20<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.85<br />

0.75<br />

147.42<br />

0.00<br />

1.03<br />

178.06<br />

52.03<br />

13.16<br />

54.92<br />

578.12<br />

%<br />

2.6%<br />

1.6%<br />

4.7%<br />

2.6%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

4.7%<br />

4.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.8%<br />

3.4%<br />

0.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

32.6%<br />

3.5%<br />

Greenock<br />

£m<br />

29.97<br />

2.77<br />

13.14<br />

3.94<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

2.63<br />

4.47<br />

0.00<br />

5.26<br />

0.36<br />

1.93<br />

0.00<br />

3.96<br />

181.23<br />

13.21<br />

262.86<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

%<br />

8.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.0%<br />

3.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

16.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

8.1%<br />

12.7%<br />

£m<br />

95.90<br />

0.00<br />

22.38<br />

4.48<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.35<br />

0.00<br />

67.92<br />

0.00<br />

34.87<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

44.86<br />

47.91<br />

319.65<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

Floorspace<br />

Gross Sales<br />

sq m sq m<br />

29/4/10<br />

Turnover<br />

/ sq m Total<br />

£ £m<br />

100.0% 1136.91 514,054 308,432 £6,113 1885.53<br />

100.0% 177.71 46,775 27,902 £6,369 177.71<br />

100.0% 279.65 45,235 27,141 £11,917 323.44<br />

100.0% 148.82 47,900 38,864 £3,829 148.82<br />

100.0% 4.57 954 572 £7,979 4.57<br />

100.0% 12.05 4,281 2,569 £4,690 12.05<br />

100.0% 56.18 24,400 18,300 £3,070 56.18<br />

100.0% 99.54 25,691 19,268 £5,166 99.54<br />

100.0% 21.93 10,273 7,705 £2,846 21.93<br />

100.0% 673.79<br />

100.0% 10.50<br />

100.0% 213.30<br />

100.0% 188.62<br />

100.0% 257.39 64,000 38,400 £8,714 334.61<br />

100.0% 556.65<br />

100.0% 378.60<br />

4216.20


Table 19<br />

Potential Turnover - B&Q Subdivision <strong>and</strong> new Sainsbury's<br />

B&Q Divided:<br />

Electrical<br />

Carpets<br />

Auto Accessories<br />

Furniture<br />

Total<br />

Comparison unrestricted (Sainsbury's)<br />

Overall total<br />

compared with<br />

Floorspace<br />

Comparison unrestricted (mall) *<br />

Comparison unrestricted (Sainsbury's)<br />

Comparison restricted (Sainsbury's)<br />

Overall total<br />

Increase in Comparison Turnover<br />

Note: * assumes Primark national turnover / sq m<br />

Gross<br />

2,000<br />

3,000<br />

1,000<br />

3,662<br />

9,662<br />

1,134<br />

10,796<br />

Gross<br />

6,460<br />

3,170<br />

1,056<br />

10,686<br />

Sales<br />

1,500<br />

2,550<br />

750<br />

2,930<br />

7,730<br />

738<br />

8,468<br />

Sales<br />

3,876<br />

2,275<br />

758<br />

6,909<br />

Turnover<br />

£ / sq m £m<br />

£7,000<br />

£1,265<br />

£2,500<br />

£5,500<br />

£6,000<br />

10.50<br />

3.23<br />

1.88<br />

16.11<br />

31.71<br />

4.43<br />

36.14<br />

Turnover<br />

£ / sq m £m<br />

£5,300<br />

£6,000<br />

£4,000<br />

20.54<br />

13.65<br />

3.03<br />

37.22<br />

29/4/10<br />

Potential High St Trade<br />

% £m<br />

50%<br />

50%<br />

25%<br />

50%<br />

100%<br />

5.25<br />

1.61<br />

0.47<br />

8.06<br />

15.39<br />

4.43<br />

19.82<br />

Potential High St Trade<br />

% £m<br />

100%<br />

75%<br />

50%<br />

20.54<br />

10.24<br />

1.52<br />

32.30<br />

12.48


Table 20<br />

Potential Comparison Trade Diversions - 2010<br />

resulting from Sainsbury's relocation<br />

Destination<br />

Glasgow NW Dumbarton / VL<br />

% £m % £m<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Silverburn<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

Source: Estimates by RDPC<br />

50.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

0.44<br />

0.00<br />

0.17<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.09<br />

0.00<br />

0.09<br />

0.00<br />

0.09<br />

0.87<br />

7.0%<br />

70.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

0.26<br />

0.00<br />

0.07<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.04<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.37<br />

3.0%<br />

Glasgow Sth / NM<br />

% £m<br />

50.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

35.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

0.05<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.35<br />

0.00<br />

0.10<br />

1.00<br />

8.0%<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

% £m<br />

40.0%<br />

8.0%<br />

18.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.0%<br />

1.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

3.49<br />

0.70<br />

1.57<br />

0.17<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.09<br />

0.09<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.75<br />

0.00<br />

0.87<br />

8.74<br />

70.0%<br />

Greenock<br />

% £m<br />

50.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

0.25<br />

0.00<br />

0.15<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.05<br />

0.00<br />

0.05<br />

0.50<br />

4.0%<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

% £m<br />

50.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

0.19<br />

0.00<br />

0.11<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.04<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.04<br />

0.37<br />

3.0%<br />

Elsewhere<br />

% £m<br />

30.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

0.19<br />

0.00<br />

0.12<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.06<br />

0.06<br />

0.00<br />

0.19<br />

0.62<br />

5.0%<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

5.32<br />

0.70<br />

2.26<br />

0.17<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.09<br />

0.09<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.16<br />

0.06<br />

2.30<br />

0.00<br />

1.34<br />

12.48<br />

100.0%<br />

Turnover<br />

Previous New<br />

£m £m<br />

1885.53 1880.22<br />

177.71 177.01<br />

323.44 333.66<br />

148.82 148.64<br />

4.57 4.57<br />

12.05 12.05<br />

56.18 56.09<br />

99.54 99.45<br />

21.93 21.93<br />

673.79 673.79<br />

10.50 10.50<br />

213.30 213.14<br />

188.62 188.56<br />

334.61 332.31<br />

556.65 556.65<br />

378.60 377.26<br />

Change<br />

%<br />

-0.3%<br />

-0.4%<br />

3.2%<br />

-0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

-0.2%<br />

-0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

-0.1%<br />

-0.0%<br />

-0.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

-0.4%<br />

29/4/10<br />

Turnover / sq m<br />

Previous New<br />

£ £<br />

£6,113 £6,096<br />

£6,369 £6,344<br />

£11,917 £12,294<br />

£3,829 £3,825<br />

£7,979 £7,979<br />

£4,690 £4,690<br />

£3,070 £3,065<br />

£5,166 £5,161<br />

£2,846 £2,846<br />

£8,714<br />

£8,654


Table 21<br />

Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Market Share from Catchment 2010<br />

after opening <strong>of</strong> Sainsbury's Braehead<br />

Origin<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint Glas NW / Clydbk Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />

Destination<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Silverburn<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

Source: Tables 19 <strong>and</strong> 20<br />

%<br />

43.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.8%<br />

1.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

30.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.9%<br />

12.3%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

188.28<br />

0.00<br />

7.88<br />

5.25<br />

0.00<br />

0.18<br />

0.00<br />

0.44<br />

0.00<br />

133.66<br />

0.18<br />

0.51<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

47.61<br />

53.86<br />

437.86<br />

%<br />

36.5%<br />

0.1%<br />

3.6%<br />

1.9%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

17.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.3%<br />

14.0%<br />

9.6%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

328.42<br />

0.85<br />

32.49<br />

16.86<br />

0.68<br />

0.00<br />

4.50<br />

2.70<br />

0.00<br />

154.07<br />

0.33<br />

126.05<br />

0.17<br />

20.63<br />

126.47<br />

86.75<br />

900.97<br />

%<br />

16.8%<br />

0.2%<br />

7.6%<br />

2.4%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.1%<br />

13.2%<br />

0.1%<br />

29.8%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

22.3%<br />

6.9%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

26.76<br />

0.30<br />

12.04<br />

3.85<br />

0.50<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.61<br />

0.16<br />

21.04<br />

0.15<br />

47.45<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

35.57<br />

10.93<br />

159.37<br />

Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />

%<br />

33.4%<br />

0.4%<br />

2.7%<br />

3.9%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.4%<br />

17.0%<br />

1.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.3%<br />

18.4%<br />

11.0%<br />

9.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

233.29<br />

2.79<br />

18.69<br />

26.93<br />

0.61<br />

0.14<br />

3.49<br />

4.89<br />

2.73<br />

118.64<br />

7.94<br />

0.30<br />

9.07<br />

128.76<br />

76.91<br />

62.71<br />

697.88<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

%<br />

12.6%<br />

19.7%<br />

21.3%<br />

9.2%<br />

0.3%<br />

1.4%<br />

5.3%<br />

9.8%<br />

2.1%<br />

3.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.2%<br />

5.8%<br />

3.6%<br />

5.5%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

108.24<br />

169.48<br />

183.02<br />

78.94<br />

2.58<br />

11.73<br />

45.47<br />

84.14<br />

18.29<br />

25.78<br />

1.54<br />

1.03<br />

1.32<br />

49.82<br />

30.85<br />

47.26<br />

859.49<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

%<br />

21.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.1%<br />

25.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

30.8%<br />

9.0%<br />

2.3%<br />

9.5%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

121.37<br />

0.81<br />

2.31<br />

5.20<br />

0.20<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.85<br />

0.75<br />

147.42<br />

0.00<br />

1.03<br />

178.06<br />

52.03<br />

13.16<br />

54.92<br />

578.12<br />

%<br />

11.3%<br />

1.1%<br />

5.2%<br />

1.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.0%<br />

1.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

68.9%<br />

5.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

Greenock<br />

£m<br />

29.72<br />

2.77<br />

13.64<br />

3.80<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

2.63<br />

4.47<br />

0.00<br />

5.26<br />

0.36<br />

1.93<br />

0.00<br />

3.91<br />

181.23<br />

13.16<br />

262.86<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

%<br />

29.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

7.1%<br />

1.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

21.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.0%<br />

15.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

95.71<br />

0.00<br />

22.75<br />

4.37<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.35<br />

0.00<br />

67.92<br />

0.00<br />

34.83<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

44.86<br />

47.87<br />

319.65<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

1131.78<br />

177.01<br />

292.81<br />

145.21<br />

4.57<br />

12.05<br />

56.09<br />

99.45<br />

21.93<br />

673.79<br />

10.50<br />

213.14<br />

188.62<br />

255.16<br />

556.65<br />

377.45<br />

4216.20<br />

Floorspace<br />

Gross Sales<br />

sq m sq m<br />

29/4/10<br />

Turnover<br />

/ sq m Total<br />

£ £m<br />

514,054 308,432 £6,096 1880.22<br />

46,775 27,902 £6,344 177.01<br />

51,970 31,126 £10,720 333.66<br />

42,343 33,941 £4,747 161.12<br />

954 572 £7,979 4.57<br />

4,281 2,569 £4,690 12.05<br />

24,400 18,300 £3,065 56.09<br />

25,691 19,268 £5,161 99.45<br />

10,273 7,705 £2,846 21.93<br />

64,000<br />

38,400<br />

£8,654<br />

332.31


Table 22<br />

Estimated Total Turnover <strong>and</strong> Market Share from Catchment 2012<br />

assuming same market shares as Table 21<br />

Origin<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint Glas NW / Clydbk Dumbarton / V <strong>of</strong> Lvn<br />

Destination<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Silverburn<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

%<br />

43.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.8%<br />

1.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

30.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.9%<br />

12.3%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

200.12<br />

0.00<br />

8.38<br />

5.58<br />

0.00<br />

0.19<br />

0.00<br />

0.47<br />

0.00<br />

142.07<br />

0.19<br />

0.55<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

50.61<br />

57.24<br />

465.40<br />

%<br />

36.5%<br />

0.1%<br />

3.6%<br />

1.9%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

17.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.3%<br />

14.0%<br />

9.6%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

345.75<br />

0.90<br />

34.20<br />

17.75<br />

0.71<br />

0.00<br />

4.74<br />

2.85<br />

0.00<br />

162.20<br />

0.35<br />

132.70<br />

0.18<br />

21.72<br />

133.14<br />

91.33<br />

948.51<br />

%<br />

16.8%<br />

0.2%<br />

7.6%<br />

2.4%<br />

0.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.1%<br />

13.2%<br />

0.1%<br />

29.8%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

22.3%<br />

6.9%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

28.64<br />

0.33<br />

12.89<br />

4.12<br />

0.53<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.65<br />

0.17<br />

22.51<br />

0.16<br />

50.79<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

38.07<br />

11.70<br />

170.56<br />

Glas Sth / N Mearns<br />

%<br />

33.4%<br />

0.4%<br />

2.7%<br />

3.9%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.4%<br />

17.0%<br />

1.1%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.3%<br />

18.4%<br />

11.0%<br />

9.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

256.86<br />

3.07<br />

20.57<br />

29.65<br />

0.67<br />

0.15<br />

3.84<br />

5.38<br />

3.00<br />

130.63<br />

8.75<br />

0.33<br />

9.99<br />

141.77<br />

84.68<br />

69.05<br />

768.39<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

%<br />

12.6%<br />

19.7%<br />

21.3%<br />

9.2%<br />

0.3%<br />

1.4%<br />

5.3%<br />

9.8%<br />

2.1%<br />

3.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.2%<br />

5.8%<br />

3.6%<br />

5.5%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

115.26<br />

180.48<br />

194.89<br />

84.07<br />

2.75<br />

12.49<br />

48.42<br />

89.60<br />

19.48<br />

27.46<br />

1.64<br />

1.09<br />

1.41<br />

53.06<br />

32.85<br />

50.32<br />

915.26<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

%<br />

21.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.1%<br />

25.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.2%<br />

30.8%<br />

9.0%<br />

2.3%<br />

9.5%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

130.38<br />

0.87<br />

2.48<br />

5.59<br />

0.22<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.92<br />

0.81<br />

158.37<br />

0.00<br />

1.10<br />

191.29<br />

55.90<br />

14.14<br />

59.00<br />

621.06<br />

%<br />

11.3%<br />

1.1%<br />

5.2%<br />

1.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.0%<br />

1.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

0.1%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

68.9%<br />

5.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

Greenock<br />

£m<br />

31.71<br />

2.96<br />

14.55<br />

4.05<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

2.81<br />

4.77<br />

0.00<br />

5.61<br />

0.38<br />

2.06<br />

0.00<br />

4.17<br />

193.41<br />

14.04<br />

280.52<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

%<br />

29.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

7.1%<br />

1.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.4%<br />

0.0%<br />

21.2%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.9%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

14.0%<br />

15.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

£m<br />

100.77<br />

0.00<br />

23.95<br />

4.60<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.42<br />

0.00<br />

71.51<br />

0.00<br />

36.67<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

47.23<br />

50.40<br />

336.54<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

1209.49<br />

188.60<br />

311.91<br />

155.41<br />

4.88<br />

12.83<br />

59.81<br />

106.05<br />

23.46<br />

720.36<br />

11.47<br />

225.30<br />

202.86<br />

276.62<br />

594.11<br />

403.08<br />

4506.25<br />

Floorspace<br />

Gross Sales<br />

sq m sq m<br />

29/4/10<br />

Turnover<br />

/ sq m Total<br />

£ £m<br />

514,054 308,432 £6,515 2009.33<br />

46,775 27,902 £6,759 188.60<br />

51,970 31,126 £11,419 355.44<br />

42,343 33,941 £5,081 172.45<br />

954 572 £8,529 4.88<br />

4,281 2,569 £4,996 12.83<br />

24,400 18,300 £3,268 59.81<br />

25,691 19,268 £5,504 106.05<br />

10,273 7,705 £3,045 23.46<br />

64,000<br />

38,400<br />

£9,382<br />

360.26


Table 23<br />

Estimated Turnover <strong>of</strong> Additional <strong>Retail</strong> Park Floorspace<br />

New Unit 1<br />

New Unit 2<br />

Currys mezzanine<br />

Total<br />

Floorspace (sq m)<br />

Gross Sales<br />

1,679<br />

1,679<br />

2,323<br />

5,681<br />

1,343<br />

1,343<br />

1,858<br />

4,545<br />

Turnover<br />

£ / sq m £m<br />

£3,500<br />

£7,000<br />

£6,500<br />

Table 24<br />

Potential Comparison Trade Diversions - 2010<br />

resulting from opening <strong>of</strong> new retail park floorspace at Braehead<br />

Destination<br />

Bishopbr / Kirkint Glasgow NW<br />

% £m % £m<br />

Glasgow City Centre<br />

Paisley<br />

Braehead<br />

Braehead <strong>Retail</strong> Park / IKEA<br />

Renfrew<br />

Johnstone<br />

Phoenix <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Abbotsinch <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Blythswood <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Other <strong>Retail</strong> Park<br />

Govan<br />

Clydebank<br />

East Kilbride<br />

Silverburn<br />

Local Town Centre<br />

Other incl Mail Order<br />

Total<br />

Trade Draw (%)<br />

Source: Estimates by RDPC<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

35.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

25.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

40.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.23<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.16<br />

0.00<br />

0.26<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.65<br />

2.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

40.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.47<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.94<br />

0.47<br />

0.00<br />

0.47<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

2.36<br />

9.0%<br />

4.70<br />

9.40<br />

12.08<br />

26.18<br />

Dumbarton / VL<br />

% £m<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

40.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

45.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.31<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.08<br />

0.00<br />

0.35<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.04<br />

0.79<br />

3.0%<br />

Glasgow Sth / NM<br />

% £m<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

25.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

25.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

25.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

1.18<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.47<br />

1.18<br />

0.47<br />

1.18<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.24<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

4.71<br />

18.0%<br />

Paisley / Renfrew<br />

% £m<br />

5.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

17.0%<br />

35.0%<br />

8.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

0.71<br />

0.00<br />

0.71<br />

4.24<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

2.40<br />

4.95<br />

1.13<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

14.14<br />

54.0%<br />

E Kilbride / Ruth'gln<br />

% £m<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

50.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

40.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.39<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.08<br />

0.00<br />

0.31<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.79<br />

3.0%<br />

Greenock<br />

% £m<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

25.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

35.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.20<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.16<br />

0.27<br />

0.00<br />

0.16<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.79<br />

3.0%<br />

Argyll & Bute<br />

% £m<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

35.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.20<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.23<br />

0.00<br />

0.20<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.03<br />

0.65<br />

2.5%<br />

Elsewhere<br />

% £m<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

50.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

100.0%<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.26<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.07<br />

0.26<br />

0.00<br />

0.65<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.07<br />

1.31<br />

5.0%<br />

Total<br />

£m<br />

0.71<br />

0.00<br />

0.71<br />

7.48<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

4.04<br />

7.68<br />

1.60<br />

3.59<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.00<br />

0.24<br />

0.00<br />

0.14<br />

26.18<br />

100.0%<br />

Turnover<br />

Previous New<br />

£m £m<br />

Change<br />

%<br />

29/4/10<br />

Turnover / sq m<br />

Previous New<br />

£ £<br />

2009.33 2008.62 -0.0% £6,515 £6,512<br />

188.60 188.60 0.0% £6,759 £6,759<br />

355.44 354.73 -0.2% £11,419 £11,397<br />

172.45 191.15 10.8% £5,081 £4,967<br />

4.88 4.88 0.0% £8,529 £8,529<br />

12.83 12.83 0.0% £4,996 £4,996<br />

59.81 55.77 -6.8% £3,268 £3,047<br />

106.05 98.37 -7.2% £5,504 £5,105<br />

23.46 21.86 -6.8% £3,045 £2,837<br />

720.36 716.77 -0.5%<br />

11.47 11.47 0.0%<br />

225.30 225.30 0.0%<br />

202.86 202.86 0.0%<br />

276.62 276.38 -0.1% £9,382 £7,197<br />

594.11 594.11 0.0%<br />

403.08 402.94 -0.0%

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