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State Utility<br />

value or<br />

decrement<br />

Confidence<br />

<strong>in</strong>terval or<br />

Std Error<br />

48<br />

Reference Duration Reference<br />

THR TKR<br />

NMCR Bleed 0 - Assumption 0.949 1.73<br />

M<strong>in</strong>or Bleed 0 - 0.949 1.73<br />

Post-Discharge Period Days Days<br />

PE 0 - 30 30 Assumption<br />

Symptomatic Distal DVT –0.08 0.004082* Ingelgard 56 30 30<br />

Symptomatic Proximal DVT –0.08 30 30<br />

ICH Disabled –0.49 0.03* Boehr<strong>in</strong>ger 47 90 90<br />

Long-term Markov phase Months Months<br />

Ag<strong>in</strong>g (annual impact) –0.00029 –0.000015* Sullivan 53 12 12 Sullivan 53<br />

Treated VTE –0.01 0.000510* Gage 55 1 1 Assumption<br />

ICH Disabled State –0.49 –0.025000* 47<br />

Boehr<strong>in</strong>ger 12 12 NCC <strong>for</strong><br />

Acute<br />

Care 59<br />

PE –0.08 –0.004082* Ingelgard 56 DVT –0.08 –0.004082*<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

Mild/Moderate PTS (yr 1) –0.02 –0.001020* Lenert 57<br />

12 12 Lenert 57<br />

Mild/Moderate PTS (yr 2+) –0.02 –0.001020* 12 12<br />

Severe PTS (yr 1) –0.07 0.003571* 12 12<br />

Severe PTS (yr 2+) –0.07 0.003571* 12 12<br />

* 95% confidence <strong>in</strong>terval assumed to be ±10%.<br />

Comment<br />

The ERG identified a possible typographical error was identified <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> word analy* <strong>in</strong><br />

l<strong>in</strong>e #74 <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Medl<strong>in</strong>e search <strong>for</strong> cost-effectiveness, where it appears as anlay*. The<br />

error appeared to have been repeated <strong>in</strong> all subsequent strategies us<strong>in</strong>g this filter. Also,<br />

Medl<strong>in</strong>e Mesh terms were used to search Embase <strong>in</strong> l<strong>in</strong>es #76-97 <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Embase costeffectiveness<br />

strategy, and <strong>the</strong> appropriate Emtree translations were not used. In <strong>the</strong><br />

clarification phase, <strong>the</strong> Manufacturer has updated <strong>the</strong> searches tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> above issues<br />

<strong>in</strong>to account. This resulted <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> identification <strong>of</strong> additional citations. However, as stated<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> response on <strong>the</strong> clarification requests <strong>the</strong> manufacturer stated that on review <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

title and abstract, none <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> references met <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>clusion criteria <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> review.<br />

The standard errors <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> utilities and <strong>the</strong> utility decrements were all set to 10%. The<br />

ERG considered that it would have been more appropriate to use estimates based on<br />

empirical evidence. In <strong>the</strong> response on <strong>the</strong> clarification issue, <strong>the</strong> manufacturer reported<br />

standard errors from <strong>the</strong> literature, if available.<br />

For some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> utility <strong>in</strong>puts (PTS, impact <strong>of</strong> age, <strong>in</strong>tracranial haemorrhage, symptomatic<br />

DVT) <strong>the</strong> method used to derive utilities was not mentioned. The ERG requested and<br />

received this additional <strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>mation <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> clarification phase. Based on <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>mation<br />

provided by <strong>the</strong> manufacturer, it was clear that a variety <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>struments (standard gamble,<br />

time trade <strong>of</strong>f, several tariffs <strong>of</strong> EQ-5D), perspectives (patients / general public), and<br />

populations (UK / Sweden / US / various countries) were used to derive utility <strong>in</strong>put.<br />

There<strong>for</strong>e, <strong>the</strong> utility values and decrements are considered to be prone to some bias. In<br />

addition, <strong>the</strong> duration <strong>for</strong> which utility decrements are applied was predom<strong>in</strong>antly based<br />

Copyright 2011 Queen’s Pr<strong>in</strong>ter and Controller <strong>of</strong> HMSO. All rights reserved.

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