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Rivaroxaban for the treatment of deep vein thrombosis and ...

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- <strong>the</strong> <strong>treatment</strong> effect (HR) <strong>of</strong> rivaroxaban <strong>for</strong> major bleedings at <strong>the</strong> upper 95% CI<br />

Figure 11: Tornado plot - Net Monetary Benefit <strong>of</strong> rivaroxaban vs. LMWH/VKA, 6 months<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>treatment</strong>, lifetime horizon, duration specific inputs (reproduction <strong>of</strong> Figure 6, p. 34,<br />

Clarification letter 17 December 2011)<br />

Results <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> PSA were run over 1,000 iterations, using effectiveness data specific to patients treated<br />

<strong>for</strong> 6 months under a lifetime horizon are presented in Figure 12 <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> cost-effectiveness plane <strong>and</strong><br />

Figure 13 <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> CEAC.<br />

OWSA Tornado diagram <strong>for</strong> strategy (Net monetary benefit, QALY based): 1 vs 2 (lifetime)<br />

HR <strong>of</strong> VTE in 6 months patient group (EINSTEIN acute)<br />

HR <strong>of</strong> major bleed in 6 months patient group (EINSTEIN acute)<br />

Cost <strong>of</strong> ambulatory visits (OPs by different <strong>treatment</strong> setting plus<br />

district nurse)<br />

Cost <strong>of</strong> GP visit VKA<br />

Number <strong>of</strong> warfarin monitoring visits during initiation period (months 1-<br />

3)<br />

Number <strong>of</strong> warfarin monitoring visits per period <strong>of</strong> 3 months, after<br />

initiation period<br />

Disutility associated with WARF<br />

Discount rate applied to outcomes<br />

Mean age cohort<br />

State-related mortality (all parameters)<br />

Proportion <strong>of</strong> patients who self inject LMWH<br />

Probability major bleed is intra-cranial<br />

Death given treated PE (overall)<br />

Probability <strong>of</strong> major bleed in 6 months patient group over 0-3 months<br />

(EINSTEIN acute)<br />

Cost <strong>of</strong> subsequent appointments <strong>for</strong> follow-up VKA<br />

-300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700<br />

The manufacturer reported that rivaroxaban had a 85.0% chance <strong>of</strong> being cost-effective at a WTP <strong>of</strong><br />

£20,000 per QALY gained. <strong>Rivaroxaban</strong> was dominant (provided more QALYs at a lower cost) in<br />

68.7% <strong>of</strong> cases <strong>and</strong> was dominated (provided less QALYs at a higher cost) in 6.4% <strong>of</strong> iterations.<br />

125<br />

Copyright 2012 Queen's Printer <strong>and</strong> Controller <strong>of</strong> HMSO. All rights reserved.<br />

Low variation High variation

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