Rivaroxaban for the treatment of deep vein thrombosis and ...

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Table 58: Deterministic base case analysis (in cancer patients) using the manufacturer’s assumptions (before amendment of errors identified in the model). LIFETIME (40 years) ICER estimate: dominant Costs Rivaroxaban LMWH/VKA Increment Drug cost £365 £1,146 -£781 Monitor cost £0 £262 -£262 Event costs £563 £535 £28 Bleed cost £122 £196 -£74 PTS/CTEPH £67 £63 £4 Total Cost £1,117 £2,203 -£1,085 Outcomes No of deaths 1.00 1.00 -0.00 No VTEs 0.32 0.31 0.01 No maj Bleeds 0.03 0.04 -0.01 QALYs (discounted) 4.68 4.68 0.00135 WTP = £20,000 WTP = £30,000 NMB £1,112.35 £1,125.83 Table 59: Deterministic base case analysis (in cancer patients) using the manufacturer’s assumptions after amendment of errors identified in the model. LIFETIME (40 years) ICER estimate: dominant Costs Rivaroxaban LMWH/VKA Increment Drug cost £365 £1,146 -£781 Monitor cost £0 £449 -£449 Event costs £725 £694 £30 Bleed cost £122 £199 -£77 PTS/CTEPH £91 £87 £4 Total Cost £1,303 £2,574 -£1,272 Outcomes No of deaths 1.00 1.00 0.00 No VTEs 0.35 0.34 0.01 No maj Bleeds 0.03 0.04 -0.01 QALYs (discounted) 4.63 4.63 0.00129 WTP = £20,000 WTP = £30,000 NMB £1,297.41 £1,310.27 165 Copyright 2012 Queen's Printer and Controller of HMSO. All rights reserved.
Table 60: Deterministic base case analysis (in cancer patients) using the manufacturer’s assumptions after amendment of errors identified in the model, using the mean HR assuming U(0,5) LIFETIME (40 years) ICER estimate: £34,865 per QALY sold Costs Rivaroxaban LMWH/VKA Increment Drug cost £365 £1,242 -£876 Monitor cost £0 £490 -£490 Event costs £725 £633 £91 Bleed cost £122 £0 £122 PTS/CTEPH £91 £78 £13 Total Cost £1,303 £2,443 -£1,141 Outcomes No of deaths 1.00 1.00 0.00 No VTEs 0.35 0.32 0.03 No maj Bleeds 0.03 0.00 0.03 QALYs (discounted) 4.63 4.66 -0.03272 WTP = £20,000 WTP = £30,000 NMB £486.33 £159.16 Table 61: Deterministic base case analysis (in cancer patients) using the manufacturer’s assumptions after amendment of errors identified in the model, using the mean HR assuming U(0,2) LIFETIME (40 years) ICER estimate: £75,408 per QALY yielded Costs Rivaroxaban LMWH/VKA Increment Drug cost £365 £1,192 -£826 Monitor cost £0 £468 -£468 Event costs £725 £668 £56 Bleed cost £122 £94 £28 PTS/CTEPH £91 £83 £8 Total Cost £1,303 £2,505 -£1,202 Outcomes No of deaths 1.00 1.00 0.00 No VTEs 0.35 0.33 0.02 No maj Bleeds 0.03 0.02 0.01 QALYs (discounted) 4.63 4.64 -0.01594 WTP = £20,000 WTP = £30,000 NMB £883.34 £723.91 166 Copyright 2012 Queen's Printer and Controller of HMSO. All rights reserved.
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Rivaroxaban for the treatment of de
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TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Abbreviat
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Table 12 Time to therapeutic INR (I
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identified in the model). Table 40
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Figures Figure 1 Flow diagram for i
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Figure 23 Exploratory analysis in c
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MS Manufacturer’s submission NE S
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The dose of LMWH used reflects Amer
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The exploratory analysis in cancer
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intended treatment duration of 12 m
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VTE therefore has a substantial bur
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indefinite treatment. VTE LMWH, low
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3 Critique of manufacturer’s defi
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Subgroups to be considered Special
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contraindications for the drug (as
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3.1.3 MTC populations The populatio
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3.2.2 Length of treatment As discus
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“No preventative therapy” is th
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It could be argued that poor TTR ma
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3.4.2 Outcomes recommended by EMA r
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4 CLINICAL EFFECTIVENESS 4.1 Critiq
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competitor products were excluded f
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Figure 1 Flow diagram for identifyi
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Table 7: Table showing list of rele
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The approach taken to quality asses
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o EINSTEIN-DVT dose-ranging study 3
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Trial name References, study type E
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4.2.1 Critique of pivotal EINSTEIN-
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However, the study design did not i
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Table 10: Summary of outcomes for E
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Chi-square analyses were undertaken
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clarification on this matter, the m
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Both of these factors are likely to
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It remains unclear why these patien
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leeding may be less suited to longe
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may account for the apparent differ
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Table 13: Criteria used to define a
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DVT and/or PE xxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxxx
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There is some doubt about the appro
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Subgroup analyses - EINSTEIN-Ext Su
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o It is clear that bleed events wer
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is likely to be small as the outcom
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depends on the specific parameteris
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4.4.3 Between study standard deviat
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Table 19.2: VTE recurrence (dichoto
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Table 22 Uncertainties in clinical
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The ERG are of the understanding th
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For the primary analysis, the rates
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In the economic model, the manufact
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Finally, in cancer patients, the ma
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Our experts believed that patients
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Similarly, the manufacturer used da
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Table 25: baseline risk of events f
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y intended treatment duration given
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eflect the current long term risk o
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survival of 70% in the 148 non-surg
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Monitoring xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
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The ERG acknowledges that the monit
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For patients managed in the inpatie
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The searches identified 2,811 poten
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The health state utility value for
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Page 127 and 128: few occasions for both VTEs and ble
Page 129 and 130: 2) the values used in the PSA for t
Page 131 and 132: 5.2.1 Results included in the manuf
Page 133 and 134: Figure 8: Tornado plot - Net Moneta
Page 135 and 136: 5.2.2.1.2. Results for patients for
Page 137 and 138: Figure 12: Cost-effectiveness plane
Page 139 and 140: Figure 14: Tornado plot - Net Monet
Page 141 and 142: 5.2.2.2 Subgroup analysis - cancer
Page 143 and 144: Figure 17: Tornado plot - Net Monet
Page 145 and 146: 5.2.3 Comment on validity of result
Page 147 and 148: Table 36: Summary of uncertainties
Page 149 and 150: Summary of uncertainties Has the im
Page 155 and 156: Superseded - See Erratum 6. ADDITIO
Page 157 and 158: Superseded - See Erratum Table 37 S
Page 159 and 160: Superseded - See Erratum Table 38:
Page 163 and 164: Superseded - See Erratum Figure 21:
Page 167 and 168: Superseded - See Erratum 6.3. Proba
Page 173 and 174: 6.5. Exploratory analysis in cancer
Page 175: Figure 23: Exploratory analysis in
Page 179 and 180: The ERG also examined the impact of
Page 181 and 182: days after stopping treatment.(Bull
Page 183 and 184: Both Phase II studies performed ana
Page 185 and 186: Appendix 2 Correction of Tables 29
Page 187 and 188: Appendix 3 Definition of `sufficien
Page 189 and 190: A bullet on page 42 states that `53
Page 191 and 192: Both numbers refer to the placebo a
Page 193 and 194: 9. REFERENCES 1. Bayer PLC. Rivarox
Page 195 and 196: http://www.dh.gov.uk/en/Publication
Page 197 and 198: 51. Department of Health. NHS Refer
Page 199: 77. NICE Guidance. Atrial fibrillat
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