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Rivaroxaban for the treatment of deep vein thrombosis and ...

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Summary <strong>of</strong> uncertainties Has <strong>the</strong> impact on <strong>the</strong> ICER been<br />

used results from <strong>the</strong> rivaroxaban arm (from<br />

<strong>the</strong> main analysis) <strong>and</strong> adjusted <strong>the</strong> risk <strong>of</strong><br />

events to reflect <strong>the</strong> increase in risk in cancer<br />

patients vs. non cancer patients using data<br />

from <strong>the</strong> EINSTEIN-DVT trial.<br />

It is unclear if this is representative <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

risk <strong>of</strong> events in <strong>the</strong> cancer population?<br />

In cancer patients, <strong>the</strong> <strong>treatment</strong> effects were<br />

taken from <strong>the</strong> MTC. The manufacturer used<br />

<strong>the</strong> median. The ERG believes that <strong>the</strong> mean<br />

HR/OR would be more appropriate. The<br />

manufacturer also used a between study<br />

variability <strong>of</strong> U (0,5). The ERG believes this<br />

to be high <strong>and</strong> believes that a between study<br />

variability <strong>of</strong> U(0,2) or U(0,0.6) is more<br />

appropriate.<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, is <strong>the</strong> analysis robust?<br />

Is it likely to change <strong>the</strong> conclusions?<br />

examined?<br />

This has been partially examined by <strong>the</strong> ERG<br />

in an exploratory analysis using <strong>the</strong> mean<br />

<strong>treatment</strong> effect assuming a between study<br />

variability <strong>of</strong> U(0,5), U(0,2), U(0,0.6)<br />

The model relies on a series <strong>of</strong> assumptions<br />

<strong>and</strong> data not specific to cancer patients were<br />

used. It is unclear if <strong>the</strong>se are appropriate.<br />

Are results from <strong>the</strong> PSA robust? This has not been <strong>for</strong>mally examined due to<br />

time <strong>and</strong> resource constraints. Several issues<br />

141<br />

If so, what are <strong>the</strong> results?<br />

If not, is it possible to give any indication <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> direction<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> results?<br />

Copyright 2012 Queen's Printer <strong>and</strong> Controller <strong>of</strong> HMSO. All rights reserved.<br />

rivaroxaban as outputs from <strong>the</strong> MTC indicated that<br />

rivaroxaban had poorer outcomes compared with LMWH.<br />

Exploratory analyses was undertaken by <strong>the</strong> ERG using <strong>the</strong><br />

mean <strong>treatment</strong> effect assuming a between study variability <strong>of</strong><br />

U(0,5), U(0,2), U(0,0.6). Results are presented in section 6.<br />

It is unclear how a change in o<strong>the</strong>r assumptions would affect<br />

<strong>the</strong> ICER due to <strong>the</strong> absence <strong>of</strong> data.

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