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A quantitative approach to carbon price risk modeling - CiteSeerX

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which with (40) implies that the following inclusions hold almost surely: Calculating<br />

left limit λ ↑ ξ i t(ω), we have<br />

{ξ ∗i<br />

t ∈]0, λ i ]} ⊆ {A ∗ t − E i t ≥ 0} ⇔ {A ∗ t − E i t < 0} ⊆ {ξ ∗i<br />

t = 0} (41)<br />

For the right limit λ ↓ ξ i t(ω), we obtain<br />

{ξ ∗i<br />

t ∈ [0, λ i [} ⊆ {A ∗ t − E i t ≤ 0} ⇔ {A ∗ t − E i t > 0} ⊆ {ξ ∗i<br />

t = λ i }. (42)<br />

The assertions (41) and (42) give (35) and (36) respectively.<br />

Finally, it remains <strong>to</strong> show the existence of the solution <strong>to</strong> the global optimization<br />

problem (14) formulated in the Proposition 1.<br />

Proof. Let us utilize techniques from functional analysis. First, note that L N 1 ,<br />

equipped with the norm<br />

T∑<br />

−1 N∑<br />

‖Ξ‖ = E(|Ξ i t|)<br />

t=0 i=1<br />

is a Banach space with dual L N ∞ . The canonical bilinear form is<br />

〈Ξ, ξ〉 :=<br />

T∑<br />

−1<br />

t=0 i=1<br />

N∑<br />

E(Ξ i tξt) i Ξ ∈ L N 1 , ξ ∈ L N ∞.<br />

Next, we consider the weak <strong>to</strong>pology σ(L N ∞, L N 1 ) on LN ∞ (see [12]). Note that<br />

in this <strong>to</strong>pology, the neighborhood basis of a point ξ ∈ L N ∞ is given by all finite<br />

intersections of sets<br />

B ξ (Ξ, δ) := {ξ ′ ∈ L N ∞ : |〈Ξ, ξ ′ − ξ〉| < δ}, Ξ ∈ L N 1 , δ > 0. (43)<br />

In other words, σ(L N ∞, L N 1 ) is the weakest <strong>to</strong>pology for which any linear functional<br />

L N ∞ → R, ξ ↦→ 〈Ξ, ξ〉, Ξ ∈ L N 1 (44)<br />

is continuous. A function f : L N ∞ → R is lower semicontinuous at ξ if for each<br />

ε > 0 there exist a neighborhood B ξ of ξ such that f(ξ ′ ) > f(ξ) − ε for all<br />

ξ ′ ∈ B ξ , the function is called lower semicontinuous, if it is lower semicontinuous<br />

at each point. This generalization of continuity is useful since lower semicontinuous<br />

functions attain their minima on compact sets. We use this property <strong>to</strong> show the<br />

existence of ξ ∗ , being a minimizer of ξ ↦→ E(−G(ξ)) on U . To proceed so, we need<br />

<strong>to</strong> prove that ξ ↦→ E(−G(ξ)) is lower semicontinuous with respect <strong>to</strong> σ(L N ∞, L N 1 ).<br />

Given ξ ∈ L N ∞ , write<br />

E(−G(ξ)) =<br />

T∑<br />

−1<br />

t=0 i=1<br />

N∑<br />

E(Etξ i t) i + πE((Γ − Π(ξ)) + ).<br />

21

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