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Innovation and clinical specialities: oncology<br />

predict the risk of breast cancer, based on the above risk factors<br />

identified in the American Caucasian population. The universal<br />

applicability of these models can not, however be taken for<br />

granted as the data on which they rely on were generated from<br />

predominantly American Caucasian population and have not been<br />

tested for African women 43,52,53<br />

The most prominent statistical models are the Gail and the<br />

Claus models. Gail and colleagues developed the most frequently<br />

used model, which incorporates age at menarche, the number of<br />

breast biopsies, age at first live birth, and the number of firstdegree<br />

relatives with breast cancer. It predicts the cumulative risk<br />

of breast cancer according to decade of life. To calculate breast<br />

cancer risk with the Gail model, a woman's risk factors are<br />

translated into an overall risk score by multiplying her relative risks<br />

from several categories. This risk score is then compared to an<br />

adjusted population risk of breast cancer to determine a woman’s<br />

individual risk. A software programme incorporating the Gail<br />

model is available from the National Cancer Institute at<br />

http://bcra.nci.nih.gov/brc.<br />

Claus and colleagues, using data from the Cancer and Steroid<br />

Hormone Study, a case-control study of breast cancer, developed<br />

the other frequently used risk-assessment model, which is based<br />

on assumptions about the prevalence of high-penetrance breast<br />

cancer susceptibility genes. Compared with the Gail model, the<br />

Claus model incorporates more information about family history,<br />

but excludes other risk factors. The Claus model provides<br />

individual estimates of breast cancer risk according to decade of<br />

life based on knowledge of first- and second-degree relatives with<br />

breast cancer and their age at diagnosis. Risk factors that are<br />

less-consistently associated with breast cancer (diet, use of oral<br />

contraceptives, lactation), or are rare in the general population<br />

(radiation exposure), are not included in either the Gail or Claus<br />

risk-assessment models. 54<br />

Pathology<br />

Breast cancers are derived from the epithelial cells that line the<br />

terminal duct lobular unit. Cancer cells that remain within the<br />

basement membrane of the elements of the terminal duct lobular<br />

unit and the draining duct are classified as in situ or non-invasive.<br />

An invasive breast cancer is one in which there is dissemination of<br />

cancer cells outside the basement membrane of the ducts and<br />

lobules into the surrounding adjacent normal tissue.<br />

Classification of Primary Breast Cancer<br />

Noninvasive Epithelial Cancers<br />

✚ Lobular Carcinoma in situ (LCIS).<br />

✚ Ductal Carcinoma in situ (DCIS) or intraductal carcinoma:<br />

Papillary, cribriform, solid and comedo types<br />

Invasive Epithelial Cancers (percentage of total)<br />

✚ Invasive lobular carcinoma (10-15).<br />

✚ Invasive ductal carcinoma.<br />

✚ Invasive ductal carcinoma, (NOS) Not Otherwise Specified<br />

(50-70).<br />

✚ Tubular carcinoma (2-3).<br />

✚ Mucinous or colloid carcinoma (2-3).<br />

✚ Medullary carcinoma (5).<br />

✚ Invasive cribriform (1-3).<br />

✚ Invasive papillary (1-2).<br />

✚ Adenoid cystic carcinoma (1).<br />

✚ Metaplastic carcinoma (1).<br />

✚ Pagets disease (

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