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Breweries and Beverages Sector – A thirsty lot<br />

The booming beverages sector opens up to new players<br />

<strong>Angola</strong> has <strong>the</strong> third largest domestic market for alcoholic beverages in sub-Saharan <strong>Africa</strong> after South <strong>Africa</strong> and<br />

Nigeria, yet despite this it still has significant growth potential. Nigeria, which is second only to South <strong>Africa</strong>, has<br />

immense potential, however, installed capacity is currently meeting demand. <strong>Angola</strong>‟s market is undersupplied, and<br />

<strong>the</strong> dominant duopoly brewer, Cuca, has grown exponentially in <strong>the</strong> six years since privatisation. With stabilization<br />

and growing domestic demand, <strong>the</strong> beverages sector is opening up. In 2010 SABMiller opened a new US$135m<br />

brewery and soft drinks plant in Luanda and <strong>the</strong>ir Castle and N’gola brands are gaining traction. Portugal‟s Unicer is<br />

still being held at bay, however, through imports <strong>the</strong>y supply <strong>the</strong> bulk of <strong>the</strong> country‟s production deficit. <strong>Angola</strong>‟s<br />

higher than average per capita consumption, at over 59 litres per capita per annum <strong>Angola</strong> has one of <strong>the</strong> highest per<br />

capita consumption levels in <strong>Africa</strong>, only surpassed by Botswana, Namibia and South <strong>Africa</strong>. Bear in mind that <strong>Angola</strong><br />

is virtually a cash economy with a still underdeveloped consumer credit industry. Consequently, domestic<br />

consumption is funded by disposable cash flows, which indicates a large and growing middle class. The strong beer<br />

consumption statistics are also indicative of <strong>the</strong> long established Lusophone cultural influence.<br />

A bullish outlook for consumer industries is supported by a bottom heavy population distribution where an estimated<br />

43% of <strong>the</strong> population is under 14 years of age, with over 60% of <strong>Angola</strong>ns living in urban areas. The re-emergence of<br />

<strong>the</strong> agricultural sector, toge<strong>the</strong>r with rising employment and continued expansion of <strong>the</strong> non-oil economy buttresses a<br />

strong case for <strong>Angola</strong>‟s beverage sector.<br />

In 2010 SABMiller and Unicer entered <strong>the</strong> fray, and <strong>the</strong> breweries <strong>the</strong>y are building will boost installed lager capacity<br />

to somewhere in <strong>the</strong> region of 7.5 m HL, however, compared to current demand of 8.9m hl. We use regional proxies<br />

as an approximation of size, and would approximate a minimum value for Cuca in <strong>the</strong> region of US$ 2.4bn (EV/hl of<br />

US$395). Having higher growth potential than most o<strong>the</strong>r SSA countries, we would not be against using Nigerian<br />

Breweries as a specific peer, in which case a ball park valuation, factoring in strong growth characteristics, would be<br />

in <strong>the</strong> region of US$2.6bn (EV/hl of US$432). The details are provided per table 11.<br />

Companhia União de Cervejas de <strong>Angola</strong> (CUCA): Living up to <strong>the</strong> nickname ‘Ferrari’<br />

Cuca is <strong>Angola</strong>‟s largest beer and beverages manufacturer, boasting a 68% share of <strong>the</strong> local beer market, distributed<br />

country wide under <strong>the</strong> brands Cuca, Nokal and Eka. The company is owned by <strong>the</strong> French beverages giant Group BGI<br />

(Castel), who have a partnership with <strong>the</strong> MPLA‟s financial investment company, GEFI.<br />

The group consists of 7 factories and 4 000 employees; in 2002 <strong>the</strong> Cuca factory in Luanda was privatized, <strong>the</strong>n in<br />

2003 <strong>the</strong> Nokal (Luanda) brewery was acquired, quickly followed by <strong>the</strong> acquisition of Eka (in Dondo – Cuanza Norte)<br />

in <strong>the</strong> same year. In 2004 <strong>the</strong> Soba brewery in Catumbela was opened in <strong>the</strong> Benguela province that started<br />

production with an installed capacity of 600 000 HL per year. In 2005, yet ano<strong>the</strong>r brewery was opened in <strong>the</strong><br />

Cabinda province, and <strong>the</strong> latest development was <strong>the</strong> construction of a new plant called Cobeje (Bom Jesus in<br />

Bengo), which started production in under five months. In less than a year, <strong>the</strong> brewery‟s production reached 1,3m<br />

HL per year, taking <strong>the</strong> total group capacity to 6m HL.<br />

The biggest constraint for <strong>the</strong> brewery sector is <strong>the</strong> sourcing of raw materials which are mostly imported. The<br />

resuscitation of <strong>the</strong> agricultural sector will, with time, improve local availability of raw materials.<br />

SABMiller: Enter <strong>the</strong> big guns<br />

SABMiller, <strong>the</strong> world‟s second largest brewer, is growing <strong>the</strong>ir presence in <strong>Angola</strong> from scratch and <strong>the</strong>ir operational<br />

presence and activities have been stepped up considerably. SABMiller invested in a new brewery increasing capacity<br />

to 1m HL and in <strong>the</strong>ir 2011 annual report <strong>the</strong>y reported that lager volumes had increased by 26% following <strong>the</strong><br />

successful commissioning of <strong>the</strong> new Luanda plant. The group is currently operating in both <strong>the</strong> CSD bottling and<br />

beer brewing markets, with an installed capacity of 2,5m HL for soft drinks and 0,82m HL for lager. The group<br />

operates through <strong>the</strong> following companies and has <strong>the</strong> following shareholdings, with <strong>the</strong> remainder being owned by<br />

local <strong>Angola</strong>n shareholders:<br />

Company Name<br />

Effective<br />

interest<br />

Coca Cola Bottling Luanda SARL 28%<br />

Coca Cola Bottling Sul de <strong>Angola</strong> SARL 37%<br />

Empresa de Cervejas N‟Gola SARL 28%<br />

The brands marketed in <strong>Angola</strong> include Castle, Carling Black Label, and Redd‟s. The group also has a partnership<br />

agreement with <strong>the</strong> BGI group to distribute Cuca products in <strong>the</strong> Malanje region.<br />

SABMiller has commenced <strong>the</strong> construction of a brewery in North Luanda which will allow <strong>the</strong>m to compete in <strong>the</strong> fast<br />

growing beer market in that part of <strong>the</strong> country. The group has announced plans to invest US$125m to set up a<br />

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