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Table 3: 2011 Budget and Q1 income/expenditure outcome<br />

2011 2010<br />

Original budget<br />

AKZm<br />

Original Budget<br />

US$m<br />

Original budget<br />

AKZm<br />

Original Budget<br />

US$m % change<br />

Total revenue AKZ 4,172,418 US$ 45,352 AKZ 3,075,200 US$ 33,067 -27%<br />

Total expenses (AKZ 4,172,418) (US$ 45,352) (AKZ 3,075,200) (US$ 33,067) -27%<br />

Budget surplus/(deficit AKZ 0 US$ 0 AKZ 0 US$ 0<br />

Revenue Overview Budget 2011 Revenues realised for Q1 2011 % realised<br />

Recurrent Revenues A B B/A<br />

Petroleum Sector AKZ 2,403,340 US$ 26,123 AKZ 666,446 $7,244 28%<br />

Diamond sector AKZ 11,045 US$ 120 AKZ 1,856 $20 17%<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r recurrent revenues AKZ 986,800 US$ 10,726 AKZ 170,813 $1,857 17%<br />

Capital revenues<br />

Disposals AKZ 3,176 US$ 35 AKZ 321 $3 10%<br />

Financing AKZ 765,225 US$ 8,318 AKZ 100,237 $1,090 13%<br />

Capital transfers AKZ 2,833 US$ 31 AKZ 0 $0 0%<br />

Total Revenues AKZ 4,172,418 US$ 45,352 AKZ 939,672 US$ 10,214 23%<br />

Expenses Overview Budget 2011 Expenses for Q1 2011<br />

% realised<br />

Recurrent Revenues A B B/A<br />

Salaries and Wages AKZ 923,649 US$ 10,040 AKZ 178,459 US$ 1,940 19%<br />

Goods AKZ 207,033 US$ 2,250 AKZ 24,050 US$ 261 12%<br />

Services AKZ 507,744 US$ 5,519 AKZ 57,644 US$ 627 11%<br />

Interest on debt AKZ 72,436 US$ 787 AKZ 24,774 US$ 269 34%<br />

Subsidies and o<strong>the</strong>r Transfers AKZ 557,494 US$ 6,060 AKZ 41,889 US$ 455 8%<br />

Repayments AKZ 0 US$ 0 AKZ 0 US$ 0<br />

Capital revenues<br />

Investments AKZ 823,706 US$ 8,953 AKZ 101,014 US$ 1,098 12%<br />

Transfers of capital AKZ 11,591 US$ 126 AKZ 4,380 US$ 48 38%<br />

Capital transfers AKZ 46,282 US$ 503 AKZ 4,071 US$ 44 9%<br />

Repayment of financial liabilities AKZ 1,002,479 US$ 10,897 AKZ 44,524 US$ 484 4%<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r capital expenses AKZ 4 US$ 0 AKZ 0 US$ 0 0%<br />

Budgetary reserve AKZ 20,000 US$ 217 AKZ 0 US$ 0 0%<br />

Total Revenues AKZ 4,172,418 US$ 45,352 AKZ 480,805 US$ 5,226 12%<br />

Budget Surplus/(Deficit) AKZ 0 US$ 0 AKZ 458,867 US$ 4,988<br />

Source: Ministry of Finance<br />

Monetary Policy<br />

In recent years, The BNA has maintained a “strong kwanza” policy, involving intervention in <strong>the</strong> foreign exchange<br />

market to keep <strong>the</strong> currency stable against <strong>the</strong> US dollar. Since 2006 a managed float of <strong>the</strong> currency saw <strong>the</strong><br />

exchange rate oscillating in a tight band, around AKZ75: US$1 mark. This reduced inflation significantly from nearly<br />

430% in mid-2000 to <strong>the</strong> low double digit figures. With <strong>the</strong> demise of oil revenues during <strong>the</strong> 2008 commodities<br />

crash, panic struck <strong>the</strong> market, resulting in a massive externalisation of hard currencies. In a bid to maintain <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

„strong Kwanza‟ policy, <strong>the</strong> central bank spent in excess of US$ 6bn trying to maintain <strong>the</strong> local currency.<br />

Inevitably, in Q4 2009 <strong>the</strong> Kwanza lost about a quarter of its value, significantly impacting confidence in <strong>the</strong> local<br />

currency, and causing a liquidity crunch in <strong>the</strong> local banking sector. With <strong>the</strong> banks heavily invested into an illiquid<br />

real estate market, several players suffered a contraction in net assets. The tighter environment also unveiled<br />

several regulatory weaknesses and a massive internal fraud was unveiled at <strong>the</strong> central bank and finance ministries,<br />

which resulted in <strong>the</strong> repla<strong>cement</strong> of <strong>the</strong> central bank governor and finance minister in 2010.<br />

Post <strong>the</strong> crunch, oil prices have rebounded and liquidity is beginning to return to <strong>the</strong> market. The BNA has rebuilt its<br />

foreign reserve buffer to an all-time high of over US$22b.6n, from a low of some US$12bn at <strong>the</strong> height of <strong>the</strong> crash.<br />

In line with <strong>the</strong> rebound in oil fortunes, a fiscal surplus of US$5bn was recorded for <strong>the</strong> first quarter of 2011.<br />

The currency has found a new mean at circa AKZ93: US$1 and stability has returned to <strong>the</strong> market. Of <strong>the</strong> US$6.8bn<br />

in arrears to <strong>the</strong> private sector (mostly construction related), <strong>the</strong> government had still to pay just over US$2.7bn by<br />

July 2011. Weaknesses in <strong>the</strong> control environment were revealed where transfer pricing and fictitious invoicing was<br />

widely being used to expropriate revenues from <strong>the</strong> state, and an intensive exercise was carried out by <strong>the</strong> ministry<br />

of finance to audit all payments and assess <strong>the</strong>ir creditworthiness. New procurement and payment systems have<br />

now been rolled out across all ministries and quarterly expenditure ceilings have now been imposed to ensure that<br />

<strong>the</strong>re is greater control of <strong>the</strong> expenditure cycle.<br />

8

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