21.04.2014 Views

Low-cost airlines in China? - Orient Aviation

Low-cost airlines in China? - Orient Aviation

Low-cost airlines in China? - Orient Aviation

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

ma<strong>in</strong> story<br />

<strong>Low</strong>-<strong>cost</strong> <strong>airl<strong>in</strong>es</strong> <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a?<br />

It’s a possibility, but it will not be easy, writes HAN DAWEI<br />

S<strong>in</strong>ce the low-<strong>cost</strong> U.S. airl<strong>in</strong>e<br />

pioneer, Southwest Airl<strong>in</strong>es,<br />

was launched <strong>in</strong> 1971, the low<br />

<strong>cost</strong> airl<strong>in</strong>e (LCA) concept has<br />

been <strong>in</strong>troduced <strong>in</strong>to many<br />

countries, with most of them modelled<br />

on the success of Southwest. But to date<br />

the concept has not been <strong>in</strong>troduced<br />

<strong>in</strong>to Ch<strong>in</strong>a.<br />

Would it be possible to <strong>in</strong>troduce a<br />

low-fare, no-frills airl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a?<br />

Most LCAs have emerged from the<br />

successful conversion of a full-service<br />

airl<strong>in</strong>e. Every one of them was born <strong>in</strong> a<br />

free market. Under certa<strong>in</strong> rules, a low<strong>cost</strong><br />

airl<strong>in</strong>e is able to bid for a flight route<br />

and airport slot, as well as establish<strong>in</strong>g<br />

its airfare to meet its own marg<strong>in</strong>.<br />

To date Ch<strong>in</strong>ese carriers have been<br />

unable to set their own fares. A breakthrough<br />

was made last November when<br />

the Civil <strong>Aviation</strong> Adm<strong>in</strong>istration of<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a (CAAC) halted “price alliances”,<br />

forced upon domestic <strong>airl<strong>in</strong>es</strong> <strong>in</strong> 2000 to<br />

curb massive discount wars, that were<br />

leav<strong>in</strong>g major Ch<strong>in</strong>ese <strong>airl<strong>in</strong>es</strong> awash<br />

<strong>in</strong> red <strong>in</strong>k.<br />

There is speculation that the CAAC<br />

will completely deregulate fares with<strong>in</strong><br />

12 months. The CAAC has been work<strong>in</strong>g<br />

with the National Economic Plann<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Committee on airfare reform.<br />

This is very good news for the <strong>in</strong>troduction<br />

of an LCA <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a – with ticket<br />

prices to be based on market demand<br />

and <strong>cost</strong>s.<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a’s airl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong>dustry has consolidated<br />

the n<strong>in</strong>e <strong>airl<strong>in</strong>es</strong>, previously under<br />

the umbrella of the CAAC, <strong>in</strong>to three<br />

airl<strong>in</strong>e groups to enhance the competitiveness<br />

and efficiency of Ch<strong>in</strong>a’s major<br />

<strong>airl<strong>in</strong>es</strong> and to meet the challenge of<br />

the world airl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong>dustry. In future the<br />

CAAC will have no direct control over<br />

airl<strong>in</strong>e management. Instead, it will<br />

concentrate on its new role of <strong>in</strong>dustry<br />

regulator.<br />

The three airl<strong>in</strong>e groups, Ch<strong>in</strong>a<br />

National <strong>Aviation</strong> Hold<strong>in</strong>g, Ch<strong>in</strong>a Eastern<br />

Air Hold<strong>in</strong>g and Ch<strong>in</strong>a Southern<br />

Air Hold<strong>in</strong>g, are operat<strong>in</strong>g full-service<br />

flights on their domestic and <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />

routes, us<strong>in</strong>g multi-type aircraft<br />

fleets. On average, around 30% of their<br />

network are long-haul flights. It would<br />

be impossible to persuade any of them<br />

to convert to be<strong>in</strong>g a short-haul, no-frills<br />

carrier.<br />

It is the regional carriers which are<br />

best suited to the Southwest Airl<strong>in</strong>es<br />

low-<strong>cost</strong> model. They could <strong>in</strong>clude<br />

Sichuan Airl<strong>in</strong>es, Shandong Airl<strong>in</strong>es,<br />

Shenzhen Airl<strong>in</strong>es, Shanghai Airl<strong>in</strong>es,<br />

Xiamen Airl<strong>in</strong>es, Ha<strong>in</strong>an Airl<strong>in</strong>es and<br />

X<strong>in</strong>hua Airl<strong>in</strong>es.<br />

In fact, some of Ch<strong>in</strong>a’s <strong>airl<strong>in</strong>es</strong><br />

have been <strong>in</strong>tentionally or un<strong>in</strong>tentionally<br />

conduct<strong>in</strong>g low-<strong>cost</strong> operations<br />

on certa<strong>in</strong> sectors or <strong>in</strong> some regions<br />

for some considerable time. In 1995,<br />

Ha<strong>in</strong>an Airl<strong>in</strong>es purchased regional<br />

jets and deployed them on some high<br />

frequency short-haul sectors. Recently,<br />

‘A web-based<br />

e-ticket<strong>in</strong>g<br />

system could<br />

be <strong>in</strong>troduced<br />

<strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a on<br />

a wide scale<br />

and this would<br />

significantly<br />

reduce airl<strong>in</strong>e<br />

market<strong>in</strong>g <strong>cost</strong>s’<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a Southern Airl<strong>in</strong>es started shuttle<br />

flights between Guangzhou and Sanya,<br />

on Ha<strong>in</strong>an Island; about a two-hour sector.<br />

The flights offer maximum airfare<br />

discounts and simple <strong>in</strong>flight service.<br />

Benefit for Airl<strong>in</strong>e<br />

Operat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>cost</strong>s for a LCA are significantly<br />

lower than for a full-service<br />

competitor. This gives more room to<br />

adjust airfares, build market share and<br />

develop market opportunities.<br />

Ha<strong>in</strong>an, Shandong and Shanghai<br />

Airl<strong>in</strong>es are publicly listed companies <strong>in</strong><br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a. Sichuan will be listed soon. Other<br />

<strong>airl<strong>in</strong>es</strong> are owned by local prov<strong>in</strong>cial<br />

governments or by jo<strong>in</strong>t enterprises. But<br />

<strong>in</strong> all cases a board of directors takes<br />

responsibility for the company’s profitability<br />

and acts as a decision-maker on<br />

airl<strong>in</strong>e bus<strong>in</strong>ess strategy.<br />

It is possible for one or more of these<br />

<strong>airl<strong>in</strong>es</strong> to launch a low-<strong>cost</strong> airl<strong>in</strong>e once<br />

airfare barriers have been removed.<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a’s emerg<strong>in</strong>g market economy<br />

and air traffic deregulation means regional<br />

<strong>airl<strong>in</strong>es</strong> face <strong>in</strong>tense competition.<br />

Management has to develop an effective<br />

and susta<strong>in</strong>able bus<strong>in</strong>ess strategy to<br />

avoid be<strong>in</strong>g overrun by rivals. Could the<br />

LCA model be the answer?<br />

Fleet and route<br />

On their short-haul domestic routes,<br />

the major fleets of most of Ch<strong>in</strong>a’s regional<br />

<strong>airl<strong>in</strong>es</strong> are made up of one or two<br />

aircraft types with a full service cab<strong>in</strong><br />

configuration.<br />

Most LCAs primarily choose Boe<strong>in</strong>g<br />

737 aircraft and Airbus A320s for their<br />

fleets, which have proved suitable on<br />

short-haul routes, both economically<br />

and operationally. To convert <strong>in</strong>to an<br />

LCA and schedule future development,<br />

there would be no need to replace their<br />

fleets, but certa<strong>in</strong> renewal and adjustment<br />

would be necessary.<br />

Apart from fleets, routes at some<br />

<strong>airl<strong>in</strong>es</strong> would have to be extensively<br />

analysed and optimised. Recently, certa<strong>in</strong><br />

strict regulations have been issued<br />

by CAAC to accompany airl<strong>in</strong>e consolidation.<br />

For example, some high-volume<br />

domestic sectors like Beij<strong>in</strong>g-Shanghai<br />

have been made unavailable to <strong>airl<strong>in</strong>es</strong>,<br />

like Sichuan Airl<strong>in</strong>es, not based <strong>in</strong> these<br />

cities. I believe this is a “sunsh<strong>in</strong>e” policy<br />

favour<strong>in</strong>g the three new group<strong>in</strong>gs.<br />

Hard work must be carried out to<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>e how to best optimise those<br />

routes. With further extensive air<br />

traffic <strong>in</strong>dustry reform and marketisation,<br />

these anomalies will hopefully be<br />

remedied.<br />

Flight operation<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a’s regional <strong>airl<strong>in</strong>es</strong> employ<br />

all their own flight crew and some licensed<br />

eng<strong>in</strong>eers. They operate their<br />

own ground handl<strong>in</strong>g and m<strong>in</strong>or eng<strong>in</strong>e<br />

ma<strong>in</strong>tenance while major ma<strong>in</strong>tenance<br />

repair and overhaul are out-sourced.<br />

M<strong>in</strong>or changes to crew rosters and<br />

ma<strong>in</strong>tenance schedules could convert<br />

these aircraft from a full-service to a<br />

low-<strong>cost</strong> operation. However, as efficiency<br />

is crucial to low-<strong>cost</strong> operations,<br />

an extensive tailor-made tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g plan<br />

must be developed.<br />

24 <strong>Orient</strong> <strong>Aviation</strong>, February 2003

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!