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Low-cost airlines in China? - Orient Aviation

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BUSINESS DIGEST<br />

STATISTICS FOR OCTOBER AND SEPTEMBER, 2002<br />

STRONG SHOWING CONTINUES<br />

Compiled and presented by Kris Lim of the<br />

Research and Statistics Department of the<br />

Association of Asia Pacific Airl<strong>in</strong>es Secretariat<br />

OCTOBER 2002 STATISTICS<br />

In October, the prelim<strong>in</strong>ary consolidated revenue passenger<br />

kilometres (RPKs) for Association of Asia Pacific<br />

Airl<strong>in</strong>es (AAPA) member carriers grew 29.5% compared<br />

to the same month <strong>in</strong> 2001. The number of passengers<br />

carried (PAX) rose 26.2% to approximately 9.4 million.<br />

Capacity climbed 7.1%, which resulted <strong>in</strong> an <strong>in</strong>crease of 12.4<br />

percentage po<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>in</strong> load factor (PLF), to 73.5%.<br />

These impressive traffic statistics were achieved <strong>in</strong> comparison<br />

with the second month follow<strong>in</strong>g the events of September 11, <strong>in</strong><br />

2001. Despite these distortions, the October 2002 consolidated<br />

passenger traffic <strong>in</strong> RPKs and PAX grew by 2.4% and 7.4%, respectively,<br />

when compared to October 2000 figures.<br />

With the exception of Garuda Indonesia (GA), all carriers<br />

reported strong RPK growth <strong>in</strong> the month under review.<br />

Garuda’s RPKs were down 13.2% <strong>in</strong> October, due ma<strong>in</strong>ly to<br />

the Bali bomb<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Japan Airl<strong>in</strong>es (JL) and All Nippon Airways (NH) saw their<br />

RPKs grow by more than 50% year-on-year (YOY). Asiana<br />

Airl<strong>in</strong>es (OZ) and Korean Air (KE) reported an RPK <strong>in</strong>crease of<br />

RPK Growth by Carrier<br />

Percentage (Oct 02 vs Oct 01)<br />

around 40%. The rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g carriers also reported double-digit<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases for October.<br />

The RPKs recorded by the Japanese carriers, however,<br />

rema<strong>in</strong>ed significantly below the October 2000 level (down<br />

9.3% <strong>in</strong> the case of Japan Airl<strong>in</strong>es and 18.3% for All Nippon).<br />

Garuda’s RPKs - down 19.8% from the October 2000 level - was<br />

the other carrier with significantly weak traffic. However, the<br />

majority of the rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g carriers were either close to reach<strong>in</strong>g<br />

or surpassed the level of RPKs reported <strong>in</strong> October 2000.<br />

All carriers reported an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> PLF, rang<strong>in</strong>g from 6.9<br />

percentage po<strong>in</strong>ts (p.p.) for Ch<strong>in</strong>a Airl<strong>in</strong>es (CI) to 30.6 p.p. for<br />

All Nippon Airways. N<strong>in</strong>e carriers recorded load factors over<br />

70%. Another four <strong>airl<strong>in</strong>es</strong> achieved PLF’s between 60%-70%.<br />

All Nippon Airways had the highest load factor of 76.8% <strong>in</strong><br />

October last year.<br />

Cargo<br />

The consolidated freight tonne kilometres (FTKs) of AAPA<br />

member carriers <strong>in</strong>creased 23.9% over 12 months earlier. Capacity<br />

rose at a slower pace - 13.6% - allow<strong>in</strong>g the freight load<br />

factor (FLF) to reach 74.6%, 6.2 percentage po<strong>in</strong>ts higher than<br />

the FLF recorded <strong>in</strong> October 2001. It was the highest load factor<br />

of the year with traffic and capacity growth follow<strong>in</strong>g suit. The<br />

shutdown of the West Coast ports <strong>in</strong> the U.S. may also have<br />

PAX Growth by Carrier<br />

Percentage (Oct 02 vs Oct 01)<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

-10<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

GA<br />

BI CI SQ TG CX PR VN BR KE OZ NH JL<br />

-10<br />

GA<br />

CI BI SQ PR CX TG BR<br />

KE VN OZ JL NH<br />

ROLLS-ROYCE NEWS DIGEST<br />

“Rolls-Royce has signed a $200 million aftermarket service<br />

contract with South African Airways for ma<strong>in</strong>tenance of Trent 500 eng<strong>in</strong>es.”<br />

46 <strong>Orient</strong> <strong>Aviation</strong>, February 2003

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