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Sustainability Report - Bank Sarasin-Alpen

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Solar Energy 2005<br />

therefore located in Asia and Europe, even though other regions would be more<br />

advantageous as they enjoy more sunshine.<br />

Fig. 18: newly installed collector capacity (MW th ) in 2004<br />

Australia 154<br />

Japan 186<br />

Israel 266<br />

Turkey 336<br />

Europe 1'121<br />

Latin America 224<br />

Rest of A sia 370<br />

Africa 98<br />

USA /CDN 91<br />

RoW 119<br />

China 8'750<br />

Underlying data: W.B. Koldehoff, October 2005<br />

Top ten solar collector<br />

countries: China and Australia<br />

overtake Germany<br />

Australia expanding, but<br />

2004 was a difficult year<br />

Enormous potential<br />

for solar heating<br />

China’s dominance in newly installed area is mainly due to the huge size of its<br />

population. But even in pro capita terms, China's capacity of 6.7 kW th per 1,000<br />

inhabitants now puts it in fifth place, which means it has overtaken the stagnating<br />

German market (6.4 kW th /1,000 inhabitants) during the last year. Since 2000<br />

China’s pro capita installation has risen by 20% p.a. and still shows no sign of<br />

slowing (see Fig. 18). Israel is still undisputed leader when measured by “newly<br />

installed capacity per 1,000 inhabitants”. Last year Israel managed to put a stop<br />

to the downturn it has suffered since 2001, and capacity rose again by 7%. Austria<br />

and Greece (second and third place) also increased their capacity again in<br />

2004, by 10% and 28% respectively. Turkey, Switzerland and Denmark all<br />

posted moderate growth. Spain has broken into the Top Ten for the first time,<br />

pushing out Japan by a whisker.<br />

Australia was unable to repeat its stunning 2003 performance of +136%, but still<br />

managed to grow well over 30%. It was a difficult year for Australia in relative<br />

terms. The 2003 boom was obviously fuelled by the Renewable Energy<br />

(Electricity) Act 2000, which came into effect in April 2001 12 . The rebate for installing<br />

a solar hot water system has since been cut from AUD 1,100 to 700. We<br />

therefore do not anticipate overly dynamic growth for the current year either.<br />

Next year new orders are anticipated from the State of Victoria, which passed a<br />

new building ordinance effective 1 July 2005. This stipulates that solar energy<br />

must ultimately cover 60% of hot water generation. With one stroke, this has<br />

created a potential market of some 30,000 systems.<br />

The example of Australia shows how sensitively a young market can react to<br />

changes or uncertainties in state subsidy programmes. The cost of purchasing<br />

12<br />

www.greenhouse.gov.au/markets/mret/index.html<br />

Dezember 2005 35

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