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Multiattribute acceptance sampling plans - Library(ISI Kolkata ...

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0.5.3 Part3 Bayesian multiattribute <strong>sampling</strong> inspection <strong>plans</strong> for continuous<br />

prior distribution<br />

0.5.3.1 Chapter 1: Bayesian <strong>sampling</strong> inspection <strong>plans</strong> for continuous prior distribution<br />

In this chapter it will be assumed that the process average defective (defects) for each<br />

attribute has a continuous prior distribution. We examine in particular, the problems of<br />

choice of a theoretical distribution as relevant to a multiattribute situation. The most widely<br />

used continuous prior distribution for the process average quality p i is the beta distribution.<br />

β(p i , s i , t i ) = p i<br />

s i −1 (1 − p i ) t i−1 /β(s i , t i ), s i > 0, t i > 0.<br />

We express the above using the parameters ; ¯p i and s i where ¯p i = s i /(s i + t i ).<br />

When ¯p i and ¯p i /s i are small ; more precisely, if ¯p i < 0.1 and ¯p i /s i < 0.2, this distribution<br />

can be approximated by a gamma distribution:<br />

f(p i , ¯p i , s i )dp i = e (−v i) (v i ) s−1 dv i /Γ(s i );<br />

v i = s i p i / ¯p i<br />

with mean E(p i ) = ¯p i and the shape parameter, s i . Hald (1981) used this approximation<br />

to tabulate the optimal <strong>sampling</strong> single <strong>sampling</strong> <strong>plans</strong>. Most of his results are based on<br />

assuming gamma as the right distribution in the effective range. Corresponding to a beta<br />

distribution of the single attribute process average of quality p i , the distribution of the lot<br />

quality denoted by X i as well as sample quality x i become a beta-binomial distribution which<br />

can similarly be approximated as a gamma-Poisson distribution.<br />

The gamma Poisson distribution assumed appears to be the right distribution when we<br />

are counting number of defects instead of defectives. Thus, in all the situations where we<br />

are counting number of defectives / defects we write the joint prior distribution of p =<br />

(p 1 , p 2 , ..., p r ) under the assumption of independence. The joint distribution term of x =<br />

(x 1 , x 2 , ..., x r ) is thus assumed to be the product of r gamma-Poisson distribution terms.<br />

The expression for the average costs connected with a <strong>sampling</strong> scheme is to be worked out<br />

from the general cost model expression, obtained under these assumptions.<br />

To verify how far the assumed probability distributional forms fits into a real life situation,<br />

we collected the inspection data for 86 lots containing about 25500 pieces each of filled vials<br />

of an eye drop produced by an established pharmaceutical company based at <strong>Kolkata</strong>. Each<br />

vial is inspected for six characteristics. From the criticality point of view, however, the defects<br />

can be grouped in two categories. We have been able to justify, by using the χ 2 goodness of fit<br />

analysis, the assumption that the distributions of lot quality follow the assumed theoretical<br />

gamma-Poisson distributions.<br />

Further, the scatter plot of the observed numbers of defects of the second category against<br />

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