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CHAPTER XII<br />

BIOGAS INSTALLATION COST AND FINANCIAL VIABILITY 11<br />

12.1 INTRODUCTION<br />

Decisions about capital investment in different projects or assets involve comparisons of payments of money<br />

at different points of time. Whether to invest on a particular project depends upon the costs involved in that<br />

activity and the benefits derived from it. The simple decision rule is that if the benefits exceed the costs, the<br />

project is worth undertaking; otherwise not.<br />

Costs and benefits are of two types: private and social. The cost that only the individual decision maker bears<br />

is the private cost. Likewise, the gains/benefits received only by the decision makers is the private benefit.<br />

Besides private costs and private benefits, the same activity may also impose some costs or provide<br />

benefits to others as well. The sum of private costs and the costs to others is social costs. Similarly, the<br />

sum of private benefits and the benefits obtained by others is the social benefits.<br />

Let us take an example of private/social costs and benefits. Cost of transporting goods to market is a private<br />

cost, while the depreciation of road and the effect of pollution to the community should also be included<br />

while calculating social costs. Similarly, the benefits that a horticulturist gets from his apple farm is his<br />

private benefits, while the benefits that a bee farmer may get from that farm should be included while<br />

calculating social benefits.<br />

12.1.1 The Discount Rate and the Net Present Value<br />

In general, the value of one hundred rupees paid in the future is less than one hundred rupees today. Why?<br />

Because, you can earn interest on that money by putting it in a bank! If the interest rate is 10 percent per<br />

annum, you will get Rs 110 after one year if you put Rs 100 in a bank now. So, Rs 100 today is equivalent to<br />

Rs 110 after one year. In other words, if you put Rs 90.91 today in a bank earning 10 percent year, at the end<br />

of the year you will have exactly Rs 100. That is, Rs 90.91 plus interest payments of Rs 9.09 (Rs 90.91 times<br />

0.10 rounded to the nearest paisa) equal Rs 100.<br />

The process of translating a future payment into a value in the present is called discounting. The value in the<br />

present of a future payment is called the net present value (NPV). 12 The interest rate used to do the<br />

discounting is called the discount rate. In the preceding example, a future payment of Rs 100 has a net<br />

present value of Rs 90.91, and the discount rate is 10 percent. If the discount rate were 20 percent, the net<br />

present value of a future payment of Rs 100 would be Rs 83.33. It follows that the higher the discount rate,<br />

the lower the net present value of a future payment.<br />

It follows from the above discussions that<br />

payment in one year<br />

Net present value =<br />

(1 + the discount rate)<br />

Or, NPV = F<br />

1+ r<br />

where NPV is the net present value, F is the future payments, and r is the discount rate.<br />

To obtain the formula for the case where the payment is two years in the future, we have to do the<br />

discounting twice so that the corresponding formula for NPV would be<br />

11 This chapter is based upon the presentation of lecture made by Professor Dr. Nav R. Kanel in course of<br />

Training for the Trainers of Junior Biogas Technology organized by Biogas Support Programme (17-20 May<br />

2000)<br />

12 Net present value is also called present discounted value.<br />

94

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