A comparative study of models for predation and parasitism
A comparative study of models for predation and parasitism
A comparative study of models for predation and parasitism
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HOLLING (1966). In order to maintain consistency throughout this <strong>study</strong>, an ef<strong>for</strong>t<br />
will be made, as far as possible, to use the same symbols denoting the same factors,<br />
parameters, etc. For example, x st<strong>and</strong>s <strong>for</strong> the density <strong>of</strong> a prey (host) species as<br />
against y <strong>for</strong> the predator (parasite) density, <strong>and</strong> t <strong>for</strong> a time-interval during which<br />
the prey (host) species are exposed to <strong>predation</strong> (<strong>parasitism</strong>). Symbols used extensively<br />
are listed <strong>and</strong> defined in Appendix 4. The consistency <strong>of</strong> using the same symbols<br />
<strong>for</strong> the same meaning in different <strong>models</strong> makes it difficult to use those <strong>of</strong> the<br />
original authors.<br />
Each subsection begins with the presentation <strong>of</strong> the model concerned, more or<br />
less in the manner that the original author presented it, so that the way he reasoned<br />
can be studied easily.<br />
a). The LOTKA-VOLTERRA model<br />
LOTKA (1925) <strong>and</strong> VOLTERRA (1926) independently proposed equations which<br />
are essentially the same. Both authors' methods are largely analytical (i. e. by mathematical<br />
analysis), though considering to some extent analogies from kinetics. VOLTE-<br />
RRA was thinking <strong>of</strong> <strong>predation</strong> whereas it was explicitly stated by LOTKA that his<br />
equations were <strong>for</strong> <strong>parasitism</strong>.<br />
Their first assumption is the geometric increase <strong>of</strong> a population; in the case <strong>of</strong><br />
the prey population, its instantaneous rate <strong>of</strong> increase per individual, i.e. (dx/dt)/x, is<br />
assumed to be constant in the absence <strong>of</strong> predators. Thus we have dx/dt-rx where<br />
r is a coefficient <strong>of</strong> increase (or <strong>of</strong> net birth -= birth minus death due to factors other<br />
than <strong>predation</strong>). Similarly, <strong>for</strong> the predator population, we have dy/dt=-r'y where<br />
-r' is a coefficient <strong>of</strong> decrease in the absence <strong>of</strong> the prey population, as predators<br />
will die if no food is available. However, if the two populations are put together,<br />
the prey population will now diminish as much as it is preyed upon. That is to say,<br />
in the presence <strong>of</strong> predators, the coefficient <strong>of</strong> increase must be equal to the difference<br />
between the net birth in the absence <strong>of</strong> predators <strong>and</strong> the death due to <strong>predation</strong>.<br />
It is assumed secondly that the number preyed upon is proportional to the number<br />
<strong>of</strong> encounters between prey <strong>and</strong> predator individuals, <strong>and</strong> so the rate <strong>of</strong> loss due to<br />
<strong>predation</strong> is equal to the rate at which an individual prey is encountered by predators,<br />
i.e. ax where a is a proportionality factor <strong>of</strong> encounters. Then r, under these circumstances,<br />
should be replaced by the expression (r-ay). Similarly, the predator population<br />
can now increase because food is available, <strong>and</strong> its rate <strong>of</strong> increase per predator<br />
must be equal to the difference between the death rate <strong>and</strong> the birth rate due to the<br />
intake <strong>of</strong> food. So, under the assumption that the birth rate is proportional to the<br />
amount <strong>of</strong> food eaten, which in the above assumption is proportional to the number<br />
<strong>of</strong> encounters with prey, the coefficient <strong>of</strong> the net increase in the predator population<br />
is equal to the expression (-r'+a'x), where a' is a positive constant. Thus we have,<br />
dx/dt = (r- ay) x<br />
=rx-ayx<br />
(4a. la)