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A comparative study of models for predation and parasitism

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21<br />

HOLLING (1966). In order to maintain consistency throughout this <strong>study</strong>, an ef<strong>for</strong>t<br />

will be made, as far as possible, to use the same symbols denoting the same factors,<br />

parameters, etc. For example, x st<strong>and</strong>s <strong>for</strong> the density <strong>of</strong> a prey (host) species as<br />

against y <strong>for</strong> the predator (parasite) density, <strong>and</strong> t <strong>for</strong> a time-interval during which<br />

the prey (host) species are exposed to <strong>predation</strong> (<strong>parasitism</strong>). Symbols used extensively<br />

are listed <strong>and</strong> defined in Appendix 4. The consistency <strong>of</strong> using the same symbols<br />

<strong>for</strong> the same meaning in different <strong>models</strong> makes it difficult to use those <strong>of</strong> the<br />

original authors.<br />

Each subsection begins with the presentation <strong>of</strong> the model concerned, more or<br />

less in the manner that the original author presented it, so that the way he reasoned<br />

can be studied easily.<br />

a). The LOTKA-VOLTERRA model<br />

LOTKA (1925) <strong>and</strong> VOLTERRA (1926) independently proposed equations which<br />

are essentially the same. Both authors' methods are largely analytical (i. e. by mathematical<br />

analysis), though considering to some extent analogies from kinetics. VOLTE-<br />

RRA was thinking <strong>of</strong> <strong>predation</strong> whereas it was explicitly stated by LOTKA that his<br />

equations were <strong>for</strong> <strong>parasitism</strong>.<br />

Their first assumption is the geometric increase <strong>of</strong> a population; in the case <strong>of</strong><br />

the prey population, its instantaneous rate <strong>of</strong> increase per individual, i.e. (dx/dt)/x, is<br />

assumed to be constant in the absence <strong>of</strong> predators. Thus we have dx/dt-rx where<br />

r is a coefficient <strong>of</strong> increase (or <strong>of</strong> net birth -= birth minus death due to factors other<br />

than <strong>predation</strong>). Similarly, <strong>for</strong> the predator population, we have dy/dt=-r'y where<br />

-r' is a coefficient <strong>of</strong> decrease in the absence <strong>of</strong> the prey population, as predators<br />

will die if no food is available. However, if the two populations are put together,<br />

the prey population will now diminish as much as it is preyed upon. That is to say,<br />

in the presence <strong>of</strong> predators, the coefficient <strong>of</strong> increase must be equal to the difference<br />

between the net birth in the absence <strong>of</strong> predators <strong>and</strong> the death due to <strong>predation</strong>.<br />

It is assumed secondly that the number preyed upon is proportional to the number<br />

<strong>of</strong> encounters between prey <strong>and</strong> predator individuals, <strong>and</strong> so the rate <strong>of</strong> loss due to<br />

<strong>predation</strong> is equal to the rate at which an individual prey is encountered by predators,<br />

i.e. ax where a is a proportionality factor <strong>of</strong> encounters. Then r, under these circumstances,<br />

should be replaced by the expression (r-ay). Similarly, the predator population<br />

can now increase because food is available, <strong>and</strong> its rate <strong>of</strong> increase per predator<br />

must be equal to the difference between the death rate <strong>and</strong> the birth rate due to the<br />

intake <strong>of</strong> food. So, under the assumption that the birth rate is proportional to the<br />

amount <strong>of</strong> food eaten, which in the above assumption is proportional to the number<br />

<strong>of</strong> encounters with prey, the coefficient <strong>of</strong> the net increase in the predator population<br />

is equal to the expression (-r'+a'x), where a' is a positive constant. Thus we have,<br />

dx/dt = (r- ay) x<br />

=rx-ayx<br />

(4a. la)

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