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A comparative study of models for predation and parasitism

A comparative study of models for predation and parasitism

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78<br />

<strong>and</strong> t2 hours were required to consume WI <strong>and</strong> Wz, respectively, after the flies were<br />

<strong>of</strong>fered. Then the rates <strong>of</strong> consumption W~/t~ <strong>and</strong> W2/t~ could be considered as<br />

instantaneous rates if tl <strong>and</strong> t2 were not too large. It might be technically difficult to<br />

keep tPs sufficiently small, <strong>for</strong> otherwise W's could not be measured. If t's are long,<br />

then digestion may take place during those hours, <strong>and</strong> this must influence the value<br />

<strong>of</strong> W. Then what is required is the measurement <strong>of</strong> the relationship between W <strong>and</strong><br />

t <strong>for</strong> various Tts, from which the instantaneous rate, d W/dt, may be obtained. And,<br />

<strong>of</strong> course, it is d W/dt which should be incorporated in the synthesized instantaneous<br />

hunting equation.<br />

Although HOLLING'S approach, which he called an 'experimental component analy-<br />

sis', is no doubt important, some technical difficulties are expected, namely how to<br />

design experiments to meet theoretically required conditions; the example cited above<br />

clearly illustrates these difficulties. This is why I proposed a simpler approach in w 3,<br />

which can tentatively be used <strong>for</strong> calculating a predator-prey interaction without going<br />

through the details <strong>of</strong> physiological studies <strong>of</strong> hunger.<br />

In passing, HULLING tOO used differential equations, which could yield curves<br />

resembling observed ones, without attaching any significance to the equations as the<br />

means <strong>of</strong> inference. I must again suggest avoiding this unjustifiable operation.<br />

5. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS<br />

In this section, I shall deal with problems that are more methodological than<br />

technical. Be<strong>for</strong>e doing so, however, what was dealt with in w 4 will be summarized<br />

in the following diagram (Fig. 13).<br />

It is a flow diagram <strong>of</strong> reasoning leading to<br />

each model reviewed, <strong>and</strong> shows the scope that is covered by that model. The dia-<br />

gram is based on my own <strong>study</strong> <strong>and</strong> not necessarily identical to what the authors<br />

claimed in their original papers, as their verbal statements were <strong>of</strong>ten wrong.<br />

The reasoning starts from (A), a generalized instantaneous hunting equation.<br />

This generalization is obvious from eq. (3. 18), in which H(x, Y, t)f(x) can be written<br />

as f(X, Y, t) if x is fixed at X. From (A) there are two main streams, dealing with<br />

<strong>parasitism</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>predation</strong>.<br />

The <strong>predation</strong> flow is further divided into subflows 1 <strong>and</strong> 2.<br />

Subflow 2 goes<br />

directly to the determination <strong>of</strong> specific <strong>for</strong>ms <strong>of</strong> (A) to evaluate n, the number <strong>of</strong><br />

prey taken per unit area in time interval t when the prey density is kept constant.<br />

All the <strong>models</strong> after 1955 (except mine) belong to this flow. Since (A) is an instan-<br />

taneous equation, it cannot be used <strong>for</strong> comparison with observation except <strong>for</strong> cases<br />

in which reduction in the prey density can be neglected. Also (A) does not give any<br />

means <strong>of</strong> estimating the final density <strong>of</strong> the prey or host population at the end <strong>of</strong><br />

each generation.<br />

Hence, these equations in the category <strong>of</strong> (A) cannot be used, as<br />

they st<strong>and</strong>, <strong>for</strong> the <strong>study</strong> <strong>of</strong> prey-predator or host-parasite interaction systems.<br />

Subflow 1, however, incorporates the effects upon the number <strong>of</strong> prey taken per<br />

unit area (i. e. z) <strong>of</strong> (a) diminishing returns, (b) changes in the number in the prey

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