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A comparative study of models for predation and parasitism

A comparative study of models for predation and parasitism

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5T<br />

dency towards a number <strong>of</strong> miniature waves. The explanation <strong>of</strong> this trend is rather<br />

simple. As the direction <strong>and</strong> the length <strong>of</strong> each path are determined by chance, the<br />

predator's track is a kind <strong>of</strong> MA~KOV'S chain, although the probability distributions<br />

<strong>of</strong> both the direction <strong>of</strong> directed paths <strong>and</strong> the length <strong>of</strong> all paths are dependent<br />

stochastically on the location <strong>of</strong> the prey which were encountered9 This is a complex<br />

(or a generalized) 'r<strong>and</strong>om walk'9 Thus the predator's path <strong>of</strong> search was <strong>of</strong>ten<br />

deflected in an irregular manner <strong>and</strong>, because <strong>of</strong> the nature <strong>of</strong> a 'r<strong>and</strong>om walk', the<br />

predator tended to stay in a restricted area <strong>for</strong> some time. Consequently, the prey<br />

density in that vicinity was gradually depleted, <strong>and</strong> this caused a temporary drop in<br />

the predator's hunting efficiency. However, as the density <strong>of</strong> prey in the vicinity was<br />

lowered, the predator's undirected paths increased in length <strong>and</strong> eventually led to a<br />

pIace where the prey had not been exploited. Then the hunting efficiency increased<br />

temporarily be<strong>for</strong>e decreasing again. Thus the hunting curve was a kind <strong>of</strong> composite<br />

competition curve <strong>and</strong> became wavy. Figure 8 also includes a curve (broken line)<br />

calculated from eq. (4e. 9) <strong>for</strong> the same values <strong>of</strong> R <strong>and</strong> V (h=0, <strong>of</strong> course)9 The<br />

observed curve in this simulation model is always lower than the calculated one,<br />

but this is because factor h is not considered (see p. 54).<br />

Now, the same principle should also apply to an indiscriminate parasite9 The<br />

same set-up was used again except that none <strong>of</strong> the points (hosts) was removed from<br />

the area <strong>and</strong> parasitized hosts were left exposed to super<strong>parasitism</strong>. It was assumed<br />

that one egg was laid at each encounter. The result <strong>of</strong> the first experiment is shown<br />

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0 50 73 93 I10 13C, ~5~<br />

No. OF EGGS LAID (.n)<br />

Fig. 9. An observed relationship (solid line with black dots) between<br />

the total number <strong>of</strong> hosts parasitized (z) <strong>and</strong> the total number <strong>of</strong><br />

eggs laid (n) in the~first serie~<strong>of</strong> Monte Carlo simulation <strong>of</strong> the<br />

<strong>parasitism</strong> model <strong>of</strong> continuous search. The broken line with open<br />

circles is a theoretical relationship expected from the binomial distribution9

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