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A comparative study of models for predation and parasitism

A comparative study of models for predation and parasitism

A comparative study of models for predation and parasitism

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52<br />

in Fig. 9, in which the total number <strong>of</strong> hosts parasitized, z, is plotted on the vertical<br />

axis against the total number <strong>of</strong> eggs laid, n, on the horizontal axis. It should be<br />

noticed, however, that this method <strong>of</strong> presentation is comparable to that in Fig. 8<br />

<strong>for</strong> the <strong>predation</strong> model, showing the effect <strong>of</strong> diminishing return3. Here again, a<br />

wavy tendency is discernible, which shows that the occurrence <strong>of</strong> super<strong>parasitism</strong> is<br />

periodically increased in accordance with changes in the number <strong>of</strong> eggs laid.<br />

One important difference between the <strong>predation</strong> model <strong>and</strong> the present <strong>parasitism</strong><br />

one is that the number <strong>of</strong> hosts freshly found hardly increased after 130 eggs had<br />

been laid in this example. This is because the parasite could not get out <strong>of</strong> the area<br />

already searched because no host individuals were removed from the area <strong>and</strong> the<br />

parasite repeatedly re-parasitized them. Also, it is noticeable that the observed number<br />

<strong>of</strong> hosts attacked was always lower than that expected in a r<strong>and</strong>om encounter, i.e.<br />

a binomial series (SToY's <strong>for</strong>mula; see w 4g), because <strong>of</strong> excessive super<strong>parasitism</strong>.<br />

Although the indiscriminate parasite in this model is unable to avoid superparasit-<br />

ism, to continue searching in the area already searched is obviously inefficient. If,<br />

however, the parasite periodically moved to start a new search elsewhere, it would<br />

raise its hunting efficiency, <strong>and</strong> so would be favoured by natural selection. If the<br />

parasite is unable to know whether the area where it starts a new search has already<br />

been searched by itself or by other parasites, the shift <strong>of</strong> hunting area can be only<br />

at r<strong>and</strong>om. Of course, a r<strong>and</strong>om shift <strong>of</strong> hunting area certainly involves the risk <strong>of</strong><br />

hitting an area which has already been searched by itself or by other parasites; but<br />

the parasite at least avoids the disadvantage <strong>of</strong> staying in an area which has just<br />

been searched by itself.<br />

In the second series <strong>of</strong> 'experiments', the parasite left the area after each five<br />

eggs had been laid <strong>and</strong> travelled <strong>for</strong> a certain distance in a r<strong>and</strong>omly determined<br />

direction (Fig. 10 a). Again, a wavy trend is seen, but the observed number <strong>of</strong> hosts<br />

v<br />

: ~- OBS,<br />

80<br />

....... THEOR.<br />

/o".-'" /<br />

__N<br />

nr<br />

ff~ 4O<br />

l.--<br />

ffl<br />

0<br />

212<br />

~ 20<br />

o<br />

6<br />

Z<br />

o 40 ~ 1oo 12o ~o<br />

No. OF EGGS LAiD (n)<br />

Fig. 10a. A result from the second series <strong>of</strong> Monte Carlo simulations<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>parasitism</strong> similar to the first series, except that a parasite, after<br />

every five eggs have been laid, moves 7. 5 unit lengths in a r<strong>and</strong>omly<br />

determined direction.

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