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A comparative study of models for predation and parasitism

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42<br />

thinking <strong>of</strong> a function equivalent to g2 in eq. (4a. 2b) while IVLEV was thinking <strong>of</strong><br />

one equivalent to the function f in eq.<br />

(4a. 2a). This reasoning suggests, however,<br />

that GAUSE'S propgsal <strong>of</strong> his equation, the justification <strong>of</strong> which was based erroneously<br />

on an observation <strong>of</strong> parasites with discrete generations, is not acceptable, <strong>for</strong> two<br />

reasons, if applied to predators with continuous generations. First, as pointed out by<br />

NICHOLSON <strong>and</strong> BAILEY (1935, p. 552, first paragraph), the number <strong>of</strong> progeny in a<br />

predator population, unlike that in a parasite population, will not in general be propor-<br />

tional to the number <strong>of</strong> prey eaten by the parental predators.<br />

be avoided if it could be verified that the exponential function as in eq.<br />

This objection might<br />

(4d. 6) still<br />

holds <strong>for</strong> protozoan predators in which the value <strong>and</strong> the ecological significance <strong>of</strong><br />

the coefficient ~ are different from those <strong>of</strong> the coefficient a in eq. (4d. 7), <strong>and</strong> there-<br />

<strong>for</strong>e that the similarity between the two equations is only coincidental.<br />

My second objection, however, seems unavoidable. Clearly, dy/dt is a linear func-<br />

tion <strong>of</strong> y in eq. (4d. 6), suggesting that the predator population exhibits a geometric<br />

increase <strong>for</strong> any given value <strong>of</strong> x. This contradicts GAUSE'S own suggestion <strong>of</strong> a<br />

logistic law with respect to the natural increase <strong>of</strong> the prey population in the absence<br />

<strong>of</strong> predators; in particular with respect to the function gl (x) in the generalized LOTKA-<br />

VOLTERRA eq. (4a. 2a). GAUSE'S inconsistency in this respect, i.e. adopting the logistic<br />

law <strong>for</strong> gl <strong>and</strong> neglecting it <strong>for</strong> gz, appears to be attributed to the misconception in<br />

his statement (GAuSE 1934, p. 53, last paragraph): "In the general <strong>for</strong>m the rate <strong>of</strong><br />

increase in the number <strong>of</strong> individuals <strong>of</strong> the predatory species resulting from the<br />

devouring <strong>of</strong> the prey dN2/dt Eequivalent to dy/dt in my notation] can be represented<br />

by means <strong>of</strong> a certain geometrical increase which is realized in proportion to the<br />

unutilized opportunity <strong>of</strong> growth.<br />

This unutilized opportunity is a function <strong>of</strong> the<br />

number <strong>of</strong> prey at a given moment." It appears that GAUSE overlooked in the last<br />

sentence above that the 'unutilized opportunity <strong>of</strong> growth' in the predator population<br />

is a function not only <strong>of</strong> the density <strong>of</strong> prey but also <strong>of</strong> the density <strong>of</strong> the predators<br />

at the same time.<br />

To summarize, in section IV <strong>of</strong> chapter III in his book, GAUSE (1934) tried to<br />

improve the LOTKA-VOLTERRA <strong>for</strong>mulation <strong>of</strong> the prey-predator system. His sugges-<br />

tions, however, were reasonable only with respect to the function gl (x) in eq. (4a. 2a)<br />

<strong>and</strong> not with g2(x, y) in eq. (4a. 2b). As to the function f(x, y) in eq. (4a. 2a),<br />

there was no suggestion by GAUSE, <strong>and</strong> the function f was left uncriticized as a<br />

linear function <strong>of</strong> x, which is unreasonable. For these reasons, GAUSE'S mathematical<br />

investigations into the prey-predator interaction system are unsatisfactory.<br />

e). ROYAMA'S model <strong>of</strong> r<strong>and</strong>om searching <strong>and</strong> probability <strong>of</strong> r<strong>and</strong>om encounters<br />

In the previous sections, it has been shown that the instantaneous hunting func-<br />

tion, i. e. f, is, unlike the simple assumption by LOTKA <strong>and</strong> VOLTERRA <strong>and</strong> by<br />

NICHOLSON <strong>and</strong> BAILEY, not a linear function <strong>of</strong> prey or host density. This finding<br />

influences the notion <strong>of</strong> 'the area <strong>of</strong> discovery' that was originally used by NICHOLSON

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