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CFOs: Surviving in a New Era - AGA

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1<br />

executive summary<br />

The Association of Government Accountants (<strong>AGA</strong>)<br />

and Grant Thornton LLP have surveyed government<br />

chief f<strong>in</strong>ancial officers (CFO) s<strong>in</strong>ce 1996. The National<br />

Association of State Auditors, Comptrollers and<br />

Treasurers (NASACT) and the Government of Canada<br />

jo<strong>in</strong>ed us <strong>in</strong> 2008. The 2011 survey reports on 1,385<br />

onl<strong>in</strong>e and <strong>in</strong>-person <strong>in</strong>terviews with federal and<br />

state f<strong>in</strong>ancial professionals, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g 38 Canadian<br />

officials. <strong>AGA</strong>, NASACT and Grant Thornton will<br />

publish a second report on state government <strong>in</strong><br />

August 2011.<br />

Risk management needs attention<br />

In times of tight budgets and shr<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g staffs,<br />

effective management becomes critical. Small<br />

mistakes can multiply and have global implications.<br />

Governments need new solutions to<br />

survive and thrive – and <strong>CFOs</strong> have at their<br />

f<strong>in</strong>gertips the right concepts and processes for<br />

the challenge. One way is through effective risk<br />

management. When focused on core missions,<br />

risk management helps governments<br />

set priorities, avoid unneeded costs<br />

and deliver better services to citizens.<br />

Unfortunately, U.S. federal<br />

and state f<strong>in</strong>ancial executives<br />

and managers give a C to<br />

a B- grade on how well<br />

their entities <strong>in</strong>tegrate<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternal controls with risk<br />

management. F<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

executives say that many<br />

non-f<strong>in</strong>ancial leaders and<br />

managers do not understand<br />

risk, either ignor<strong>in</strong>g it or<br />

becom<strong>in</strong>g so risk-averse as<br />

to paralyze operations.<br />

Governments need the f<strong>in</strong>ancial perspective on<br />

risk management that <strong>CFOs</strong> provide. F<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

management leaders know how to handle f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

risks, but are usually absent from the operations<br />

or mission risk arenas. This is unfortunate<br />

because operations risks tend to cause f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

problems and vice versa. F<strong>in</strong>ancial executives say<br />

that recent budget shortfalls and cuts are caus<strong>in</strong>g<br />

new risks to government missions, to f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

management and to risk management itself. As<br />

f<strong>in</strong>ancial staffs get smaller, oversight decl<strong>in</strong>es and<br />

more th<strong>in</strong>gs slip through the cracks. Less money<br />

makes it difficult to start new activities, so <strong>CFOs</strong><br />

must become sales agents for better risk management<br />

efforts.<br />

Predictive and statistical<br />

analytics can deliver more value<br />

Predictive or statistical analytics or model<strong>in</strong>g<br />

uses data m<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g, statistical analysis, game<br />

theory and geospatial analysis<br />

to extract <strong>in</strong>formation from<br />

data, and then applies it<br />

to predict<strong>in</strong>g trends<br />

and patterns and<br />

to identify<strong>in</strong>g

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