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<strong>Disaster</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Management</strong> For <strong>Coastal</strong> <strong>Tourism</strong> Destinations Responding To Climate Change<br />

A Practical Guide For Decision Makers<br />

6) Identify Vulnerable Population Groups<br />

During the vulnerability analysis, identify those neighborhoods, communities<br />

or locations where there are concentrations of vulnerable populations. These<br />

should include tourism workers and their families. A few examples of special<br />

need groups that may be relevant <strong>for</strong> the community include:<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Concentrations of elderly residents or families with young children;<br />

Single parent households especially those led by women;<br />

Disabled or handicapped persons;<br />

Neighborhoods of immigrants or minorities; and,<br />

Nursing homes, clinics and hospitals.<br />

7) Develop <strong>Risk</strong> Scenarios<br />

<strong>Risk</strong> Scenarios are an important tool <strong>for</strong> disaster managers in preparing<br />

an effective response capability (see section 5.3). Preparing a realistic risk<br />

scenario requires a carefully planned and thought out group activity that<br />

<br />

effects, and then examines how the community can better prepare <strong>for</strong>,<br />

<br />

fashion.<br />

The activities involved in developing risk scenarios include:<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Scenario Development. Select a time, day of the week and month that<br />

this event would probably occur. Determine the likely magnitude of the<br />

event in order to determine how the event will take shape and what will<br />

be affected at the particular time and place that it occurs.<br />

Estimate Damages and Secondary Effects. Using hazard and vulnerability<br />

maps and local knowledge, anticipate the full range of impacts,<br />

including any domino effects that might take place, such as potential <strong>for</strong><br />

contagious diseases, as well as environmental restoration that might be<br />

required.<br />

<strong>Disaster</strong> <strong>Management</strong> Implications. Consider the full range of preparedness,<br />

response and recovery implications: how best to evacuate and shelter the<br />

homeless and vulnerable; stockpile emergency supplies; the communication<br />

problems that might arise; relocating residences from hazard prone areas;<br />

providing potable water; and, restoring electrical power.<br />

56 | Managing <strong>Disaster</strong> <strong>Risk</strong>s At <strong>Coastal</strong> <strong>Tourism</strong> Destinations

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