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14 NIVESHAK<br />
Cover Story<br />
<strong>Diesel</strong> Deregulation &<br />
Pricing Issues<br />
Prakhar Nagori & Palash Jain<br />
IIM Shillong<br />
Introduction<br />
Over the past decade there has been a tremendous<br />
pressure on India’s fiscal budget because of<br />
the huge subsidy bill. These subsidies majorly<br />
comprised of food and fuel subsidies. India is<br />
the fourth largest consumer of fuel and because<br />
it’s a developing country the demand keeps<br />
rising pushing the fuel subsidy bill higher and<br />
higher. The fuel subsidy has risen exponentially<br />
from 0.6% of GDP in 2004 to almost 2% in 2010.<br />
The subsidy on fuel was estimated at around<br />
INR 1.82 lakh crore for the last two financial<br />
years, that is, 2012-13 and 2013-14. According to<br />
some economists, the diesel subsidy has cost<br />
India around INR 3 lakh crore in the last five<br />
years. With the rupee depreciating drastically<br />
and increase in international crude oil prices,<br />
this bill was increasing in leaps and bounds<br />
and deregulation of fuel prices had become a<br />
necessity.<br />
However, this decision to deregulate the prices<br />
of fuel is not a recent one. The petrol and<br />
diesel prices were deregulated in 2002 by the<br />
Atal Bihari Vajpayee government. But when the<br />
government changed in 2004, this decision was<br />
overturned by the then petroleum minister, Mr.<br />
Mani Shankar Aiyar. As a consequence the fiscal<br />
deficit started shooting up.<br />
In 2010, the government of India then decided<br />
to deregulate the petrol prices to reduce the<br />
pressure it created on fiscal deficit, as a result<br />
of which the fuel subsidy bill started declining.<br />
In continuation to this policy, the government<br />
decided to deregulate the diesel prices which<br />
would reduce the fuel subsidy bill to 0.4% of<br />
GDP in 2014-15 as compared to 0.8% in 2013-14.<br />
NOVEMBER 2014