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No. IV-18.4 - (IMD), Pune

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11<br />

The strength of northeast monsoon over land areas is also described only in<br />

terms of rainfall as in the case of the southwest monsoon and the specifications<br />

for the same are given in Appendix I.<br />

7.2 It will be seen from the table, that the monsoon activity (vigorous,<br />

active and normal) over south Peninsula as a whole is a maximum in October. By<br />

<strong>No</strong>vember, it rapidly decreases, except in Tamil Nadu where it continues in<br />

December also. Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema and South Interior Mysore<br />

are predominantly dry in <strong>No</strong>vember and December. Even in Tamil Nadu, dry days<br />

are considerably more in December (nearly 50%) than in <strong>No</strong>vember (about 25%).<br />

the<br />

Except along the east coast — in sub-divisions of Tamil Nadu and Coastal Andhra<br />

Pradesh - vigorous monsoon is very rare; in Coastal Andhra Pradesh, active to<br />

vigorous monsoon is mainly in October and decreases rapidly thereafter. In<br />

Tamil Nadu, however, it continues in <strong>No</strong>vember and December also.<br />

7.3 It is a point of interest to note that while along the west coast,<br />

active to vigorous monsoon conditions occur on 20/6 to 25% of the occasions at<br />

the height of the southwest monsoon season, along the east coast during the<br />

northeast monsoon, the corresponding figure is only about 15%.<br />

8. Sea Level Pressure<br />

8.1 The sea level pressure distribution during this season is characterised<br />

by a low in central Arabian Sea and central Bay connected across the Peninsula<br />

by a trough. A dumb—bell shaped isobar connecting the two lows over the sea<br />

areas is characteristics of the mid—season. When we examine the pentad mean sea<br />

level isobaric charts, we find a gradual southward progression of the dumb—bell<br />

shaped trough system through nearly 10 degrees of lat. during the months of,<br />

October and <strong>No</strong>vember. By end of <strong>No</strong>vember or beginning of December, the seasonal<br />

trough shifts to the south of the Indian Peninsula and isobars become almost<br />

east-west with minor trough patterns off the east and west coasts. Even after<br />

the seasonal trough had shifted well to the south of Indian Peninsula, it may

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