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1. Introduction<br />
1.1 October to December is the major period of rainfall in south Peninsula,<br />
particularly the eastern half, comprising of the meteorological sub-divisions of.<br />
Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema and Tamil Nadu. In Tamil Nadu, this is the<br />
main rainy season accounting for nearly 60% of the annual rainfall in the<br />
coastal districts, and about 40% to 50% in the interior districts of the state.<br />
Though the principal rainy season for South Interior Mysore, Kerala and Arabian<br />
Sea Islands is the southwest monsoon, still rainfall continues till almost<br />
December in these sub-divisions, the period October to December contributing<br />
about 20% of the annual total. In Rayalaseema, September and October are the<br />
rainiest months, contributing 36% of the annual total.<br />
1.2 The term "<strong>No</strong>rtheast Monsoon" is often used to describe the period<br />
October to December. However, according to the departmental classification of<br />
the year into seasons, these three months constitute the "Post-Monsoon season";<br />
it is also known as "the Retreating Southwest Monsoon Season". As early as 1886,<br />
Blandford, in his Memoirs on "Rainfall of India", has raised the question about<br />
the term, '<strong>No</strong>rtheast Monsoon Rains'. He says "........it is hardly correct to<br />
speak of the Carnatic rains as those of the <strong>No</strong>rtheast Monsoon, in as much as the<br />
rainfall ceases as soon as the monsoon is established down to Ceylon. It falls<br />
only so long as the region in question is within or on the borders of the barometric<br />
depression towards which the winds blow, not from the north only, but<br />
also from east, southeast, and other quarters<br />
". Though the term<br />
'<strong>No</strong>rtheast Monsoon' has been in use for a long time to describe the rainfall<br />
season of the southeast Peninsula, the appropriateness of the term has often<br />
been discussed. As recently as 1972, the topic came up for discussion in the<br />
Seventh Conference of Forecasting Officers, which was in favour of the retention<br />
of the term and recommended*that "the term <strong>No</strong>rtheast Monsoon should continue to<br />
be used for rainfall season over south Peninsula during middle October to<br />
December".<br />
* This recommendation is under examination.