Strategic Housing Market Assessment - North Devon District Council

SHMA: Torridge and North Devon Update
Table 2.14: projected population of North Devon and Torridge by age band at
2031, 2008-based and 2010-based projections compared, 000s and percentage
change
Area
North Devon
Torridge
North Devon and
Torridge
Age
Band
2008-
based
2010-
based
Change
(no.)
Change
(%)
0-14 16.2 15.8 -0.4 -2.5
15-24 9.7 9.7 0 -0.0
25-34 9.0 8.4 -0.6 -6.7
35-44 11.9 10.8 -1.1 -9.2
45-54 12.0 10.6 -1.4 -11.7
55-64 14.1 13 -1.1 -7.8
65-74 14.5 13.8 -0.7 -4.8
75-84 11.1 10.8 -0.3 -2.7
85+ 6.5 6.1 -0.4 -6.2
All ages 105.0 99.1 -5.9 -5.6
0-14 11.6 11 -0.6 -5.2
15-24 6.7 6.7 0 0.0
25-34 6.2 5.8 -0.4 -6.5
35-44 9.2 8.1 -1.1 -12.0
45-54 9.7 8.3 -1.4 -14.4
55-64 12.2 11.1 -1.1 -9.0
65-74 12.8 12 -0.8 -6.3
75-84 9.5 8.9 -0.6 -6.3
85+ 5.1 4.6 -0.5 -9.8
All ages 83.0 76.5 -6.5 -7.8
0-14 27.8 26.8 -1.0 -3.6
15-24 16.4 16.4 0 0.0
25-34 15.2 14.2 -1.0 -6.6
35-44 21.1 18.9 -2.2 -10.4
45-54 21.7 18.9 -2.8 -12.9
55-64 26.3 24.1 -2.2 -8.4
65-74 27.3 25.8 -1.5 -5.5
75-84 20.6 19.7 -0.9 -4.4
85+ 11.6 10.7 -0.9 -7.8
All ages 188 175.6 -12.4 -6.6
(Source: Sub-National Population Projections 2008 and 2010, ONS, Office for
National Statistics website, http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/index.html.
Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence
v1.0 http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/.)
Key findings:
• Projected population size by 2031 has been reduced by almost 7%,
almost 6% in North Devon and almost 8% in Torridge. However, 2011
Census estimates of population imply that the assumptions for North
Devon have underestimated population growth and for Torridge, have
overestimated population growth.
49