Prospects of the ICT sector in Greece
Prospects of the ICT sector in Greece
Prospects of the ICT sector in Greece
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Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation<br />
and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14<br />
<strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>Greece</strong> – policy implications
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
Title:<br />
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Information and Communication Technologies Sectors <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>:<br />
Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable:<br />
<strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> – policy implications<br />
Implementation body: Foundation for Economic and Industrial Research<br />
Version:<br />
F<strong>in</strong>al<br />
Date: 30/10/06<br />
Comments:<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 2
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
INDEX<br />
1. Executive Summary .............................................................................................4<br />
2. Introduction........................................................................................................9<br />
3. The broad economic environment.......................................................................10<br />
3.1. Global and European Economy .......................................................................10<br />
3.1.1. The Global Economy..................................................................................10<br />
3.1.2. The European Economy .............................................................................11<br />
3.2. The Greek Economy ......................................................................................12<br />
3.2.1. The economic climate ................................................................................14<br />
3.3. The economic policy ......................................................................................15<br />
3.3.1. Directions and Changes..............................................................................15<br />
3.3.2. Delays-Problems........................................................................................16<br />
3.4. Public Policies for <strong>the</strong> Information Society........................................................17<br />
3.4.1. The current state.......................................................................................17<br />
3.4.2. The next step............................................................................................20<br />
3.5. Conclusion ....................................................................................................22<br />
4. Ma<strong>in</strong> F<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs - <strong>ICT</strong>s’ future prospects.................................................................22<br />
4.1. Basic f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs: Sources and Barriers / for growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>...........23<br />
4.2. Conclusions for <strong>the</strong> prospects <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: growth under certa<strong>in</strong><br />
preconditions.............................................................................................................33<br />
5. Policy propositions for support<strong>in</strong>g growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>...................................40<br />
6. Appendices .......................................................................................................50<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 3
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
1. Executive Summary<br />
The analysis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> data ga<strong>the</strong>red dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> present study, <strong>the</strong> current developments, <strong>the</strong><br />
obstacles that are still persistent, and <strong>the</strong> possible sources for fur<strong>the</strong>r development for <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> lead to <strong>the</strong> conclusion that <strong>the</strong> growth prospects <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> are moderate<br />
optimistic. These appraisals are based on several factors: <strong>the</strong> gradual attenuation <strong>of</strong><br />
demand and supply limitations, especially <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> telecommunication <strong>sector</strong>; <strong>the</strong><br />
macroeconomic environment that favours <strong>in</strong>vestments; and <strong>the</strong> gradual transition <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
State to <strong>the</strong> digital era, ameliorat<strong>in</strong>g its efficiency by <strong>of</strong>fer<strong>in</strong>g more electronic services to<br />
citizens and firms. However, <strong>the</strong> verification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se positive expectations depends also on<br />
certa<strong>in</strong> preconditions, whereas <strong>the</strong>re are actions on behalf <strong>of</strong> both <strong>the</strong> firms and public<br />
policy that could support this growth. More specifically:<br />
The Global and European economies keep on grow<strong>in</strong>g at a rapid rate. Emerg<strong>in</strong>g and<br />
develop<strong>in</strong>g economies are contribut<strong>in</strong>g more and more to this growth and gradually are<br />
chang<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> structure <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational trade. With<strong>in</strong> this framework, Greek economy<br />
susta<strong>in</strong>s its high growth rates that outweigh <strong>the</strong> European averages. These conditions<br />
create a favourable macroeconomic environment for all firms and <strong>the</strong>refore <strong>the</strong> domestic<br />
<strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> as well. Domestic demand is high, basically due to private consumption, while<br />
public <strong>in</strong>vestments have also <strong>in</strong>creased. The dynamic elements <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy, <strong>the</strong><br />
improved bus<strong>in</strong>ess climate, and <strong>the</strong> expressed will<strong>in</strong>gness for reformatory <strong>in</strong>itiatives imply<br />
that economic conditions do not constitute an obstacle for <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>sector</strong>.<br />
Never<strong>the</strong>less, it should be noted that favourable macroeconomic conditions are not a<br />
necessary and mandatory condition for <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>’s growth. At <strong>the</strong> same time, <strong>the</strong> long<br />
established structural problems <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek economy and possible delays <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> planned policy measures and actions create difficulties for all firms,<br />
touch<strong>in</strong>g upon <strong>ICT</strong> firms as well.<br />
Domestic demand for <strong>ICT</strong> products or services (Public, firms, and consumers) rema<strong>in</strong>s small<br />
scaled and problematic. Public <strong>sector</strong>’s primary demand is not strong and is h<strong>in</strong>dered by<br />
legislative <strong>in</strong>flexibilities and bureaucracy. As a result, <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> projects are implemented<br />
with significant delays. However, a secondary demand, that is a demand <strong>in</strong>duced by actions<br />
that aim at greater familiarization <strong>of</strong> citizens and firms with <strong>ICT</strong>s and by <strong>the</strong> proliferation <strong>of</strong><br />
additional electronic services, is far more important. It <strong>of</strong>fers multiply<strong>in</strong>g benefits and<br />
<strong>in</strong>creases <strong>the</strong> potential client base <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> whole <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 4
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
It is mostly firms and <strong>the</strong>n consumers that constitute a far more important market, than <strong>the</strong><br />
Public <strong>sector</strong>. However, <strong>the</strong>y both face some common problems: lack <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation and<br />
knowledge about <strong>ICT</strong> benefits, technophobia, population’s limited <strong>ICT</strong> skills, as well as<br />
organization difficulties towards <strong>the</strong> necessary organizational changes required by firms.<br />
These phenomena, <strong>in</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>ation with <strong>the</strong> fact that some broad sections <strong>of</strong> consumers and<br />
firms are not conv<strong>in</strong>ced about <strong>the</strong> tangible benefits <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestments - which by <strong>the</strong> way is<br />
a responsibility <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> firms as well –eventually shape clients <strong>of</strong> a ra<strong>the</strong>r low maturity.<br />
External demand is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g, but attracts only a small number <strong>of</strong> firms. Hence, export<br />
activity <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> firms has been limited so far and stems ma<strong>in</strong>ly from some large firms from<br />
manufactur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>sector</strong>s, trade, with <strong>the</strong> exception <strong>of</strong> some smaller export-oriented firms for IT<br />
services.<br />
However, <strong>the</strong>re are some <strong>in</strong>dications that domestic demand is streng<strong>the</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g, while firms tend<br />
to exploit <strong>the</strong> external demand, at a greater extent. A significant number <strong>of</strong> large and<br />
medium-sized firms <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> country have already surpassed <strong>the</strong> stage <strong>of</strong> connectivity and<br />
adopt more advanced <strong>ICT</strong> tools to an extent comparable to o<strong>the</strong>r developed countries. These<br />
firms cooperate throughout <strong>the</strong>ir value cha<strong>in</strong> with numerous smaller firms. The later will be<br />
forced to collaborate, <strong>in</strong> order to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir position <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> relevant market and hold on<br />
<strong>the</strong>ir big clients, even if <strong>the</strong>y are not fully conv<strong>in</strong>ced about <strong>the</strong> benefits <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestments. At<br />
<strong>the</strong> same time, younger and more <strong>in</strong>tense <strong>ICT</strong> users that are enter<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> economic activity<br />
will leverage <strong>ICT</strong>s’ diffusion <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> country.<br />
At <strong>the</strong> same time, State’s role on <strong>the</strong> creation <strong>of</strong> secondary demand is also re<strong>in</strong>forced. Apart<br />
from its <strong>in</strong>formative and tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g campaigns, it provides many more electronic services to <strong>the</strong><br />
public and at <strong>the</strong> same time it improves its efficiency and functions by adopt<strong>in</strong>g new<br />
technologies. Most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> projects under <strong>the</strong> 3 rd CFS are expected to operate <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> next<br />
couple <strong>of</strong> years, <strong>the</strong>reupon <strong>of</strong>fer<strong>in</strong>g additional services to customers and firms. These services<br />
will provide cost benefits, efficiency, and productivity ga<strong>in</strong>s <strong>in</strong> its users. Besides, at <strong>the</strong> public<br />
policy level, <strong>in</strong>itiatives and actions concern<strong>in</strong>g directly or <strong>in</strong>directly <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation society are<br />
proliferat<strong>in</strong>g, while <strong>the</strong>y are <strong>in</strong>corporated as additional elements <strong>in</strong> various o<strong>the</strong>r policy areas<br />
(Education, employment, <strong>in</strong>vestments policy, etc.)<br />
Look<strong>in</strong>g at <strong>the</strong> supply side, it is scattered, small <strong>in</strong> size, with numerous firms, while it seems<br />
to lack some <strong>in</strong>tensive efforts for learn<strong>in</strong>g and market specialization. The fact that <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong><br />
is relatively new, <strong>in</strong> a bus<strong>in</strong>ess area characterized by very fast technological developments,<br />
may be responsible for <strong>the</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> an established entrepreneurial culture. Price competition is<br />
<strong>in</strong>tense, but all <strong>the</strong> firms seem to sell similar products / services without any substantial<br />
differentiation. Despite <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> can be characterized as <strong>in</strong>novative, R&D is<br />
very scarce and limited to a small number <strong>of</strong> firms. These firms mostly collaborate with<br />
universities, on <strong>the</strong> basis however <strong>of</strong> an <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g, extensive and important research<br />
agenda.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 5
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
One <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> basic barriers for <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>’s growth is <strong>the</strong> limited broadband diffusion and <strong>the</strong><br />
ra<strong>the</strong>r low quality <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> relevant <strong>in</strong>frastructures. Improv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>frastructures is a basic<br />
precondition for fur<strong>the</strong>r growth, as it allows for more attractive, and at a reasonable price,<br />
services, which can attract broader categories <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population and <strong>the</strong> firms. With<strong>in</strong> this<br />
framework, a seem<strong>in</strong>gly more aggressive effort from <strong>the</strong> public policy’s side for broadband<br />
expansion and <strong>in</strong>creased public and private <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructures especially by firms<br />
from <strong>the</strong> telecommunication <strong>sector</strong>, create some positive expectations for <strong>the</strong> future.<br />
Besides, <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>’s growth is benefited by <strong>the</strong> technological convergence between IT and<br />
Telecommunications and <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>novative value added services that are created, based on<br />
advanced <strong>in</strong>frastructures. The triple play services are <strong>the</strong> result <strong>of</strong> this convergence. IPTV<br />
services, video on demand, VoIP (for firms), and <strong>in</strong>tegrated solutions for B2B and B2C are<br />
some <strong>the</strong> new product / services created that may attract broader categories <strong>of</strong> users and<br />
expand <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> use <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> country.<br />
Firms’ beliefs about <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>sector</strong> are also moderate optimistic, s<strong>in</strong>ce field research and<br />
bus<strong>in</strong>ess and consumers’ surveys show an improved economic climate. At <strong>the</strong> same time, <strong>the</strong><br />
poor outcomes <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> past fiscal years seem to be overcome, provid<strong>in</strong>g greater liquidity to <strong>the</strong><br />
various sub<strong>sector</strong>s. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, projections for 2006 and 2007 show an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
turnover, despite <strong>the</strong> small recession <strong>in</strong> 2005. Thus, <strong>the</strong> positive prospects for <strong>the</strong> expansion<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> market can be reflected at <strong>the</strong>ir f<strong>in</strong>ancial data <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> next couple <strong>of</strong> years. Therefore,<br />
employment and <strong>in</strong>vestments at <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> (especially <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> telecommunications) are<br />
estimated to <strong>in</strong>crease at <strong>the</strong> short term basis, while firms report that <strong>the</strong>y <strong>in</strong>tend to <strong>in</strong>tensify<br />
<strong>the</strong>ir efforts for greater differentiation, specialization, and focus on niche markets. Moreover,<br />
some restructur<strong>in</strong>g actions have been taken, <strong>in</strong> order to rationalize <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>’s structure,<br />
while <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong>terest from foreign <strong>in</strong>vestors <strong>in</strong>dicates that <strong>the</strong>re are some good<br />
bus<strong>in</strong>ess opportunities <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> domestic market. At <strong>the</strong> same time, <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> gradually<br />
accumulates know-how and experience, by implement<strong>in</strong>g large scaled and <strong>in</strong>novative <strong>ICT</strong><br />
projects. This is a competitive advantage that should be fur<strong>the</strong>r exploited at <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />
level and especially <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> neighbour<strong>in</strong>g countries.<br />
In <strong>the</strong> same context, apart from know-how and experience assets, human capital constitutes<br />
ano<strong>the</strong>r significant advantage <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>’s effort for growth. There are good and welleducated<br />
scientists, eng<strong>in</strong>eers and managers <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> and <strong>the</strong> relevant labour market,<br />
while also <strong>the</strong> new graduates are adequately prepared. However, <strong>the</strong>re is a miss<strong>in</strong>g l<strong>in</strong>k<br />
between firms and universities concern<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>ir familiarization with market conditions and its<br />
requirements. The re<strong>in</strong>forcement and <strong>the</strong> extension <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir collaboration <strong>in</strong> more areas seem<br />
necessary and is gradually cultivated.<br />
To sum up, <strong>the</strong> preconditions for <strong>the</strong> verification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> positive expectations are:<br />
The <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> public and private <strong>in</strong>vestments on broadband <strong>in</strong>frastructures. This will<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong> competition <strong>in</strong> telecommunications and consequently <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> IT market<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 6
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
with new value-added products/ services. This will contribute to <strong>the</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r diffusion<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Internet.<br />
The development <strong>of</strong> some Greek digital context by <strong>ICT</strong> firms, which will lead to: a) a<br />
more <strong>in</strong>tense diffusion <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Internet to eager potential users and some dynamic<br />
firms that are will<strong>in</strong>g to participate <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Information Society, <strong>in</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>ation with<br />
fur<strong>the</strong>r tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g, b) <strong>the</strong> diffusion <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>in</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>sector</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek economy<br />
The re<strong>in</strong>forcement <strong>of</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g/ advisory/ educational actions ma<strong>in</strong>ly by <strong>the</strong> State, but<br />
also by a more consumer-oriented strategy by firms.<br />
The rapid functional <strong>in</strong>tegration <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>in</strong> Public Adm<strong>in</strong>istration, so as to <strong>of</strong>fer real e-<br />
services, and not just reproduc<strong>in</strong>g some electronic bureaucracy. Additionally, <strong>the</strong> role<br />
<strong>of</strong> Public as a service provider that facilitates <strong>the</strong> citizens and firms’ activities should<br />
be fur<strong>the</strong>r upgraded.<br />
Extroversion efforts from those who are capable for such actions, clear<strong>in</strong>g up <strong>the</strong> field<br />
from problematic cases from <strong>the</strong> past, and speed<strong>in</strong>g up <strong>the</strong> necessary mergers &<br />
acquisitions, ownership transitions, etc.<br />
The re<strong>in</strong>forcement <strong>of</strong> a more pr<strong>of</strong>ound and <strong>in</strong>tense collaboration between universities<br />
and firms, so as to ensure a better fit <strong>of</strong> market needs and human capital<br />
preparation, while improv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> R&D collaboration as well.<br />
Concern<strong>in</strong>g some policy proposals that can support <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>’s growth, <strong>the</strong>y can be<br />
dist<strong>in</strong>guished at three levels: a) <strong>ICT</strong>s firm level, b) public policy for <strong>the</strong> Information Society,<br />
and c) broader policies that have an impact on <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>. More specifically:<br />
At <strong>the</strong> firm level <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s’ <strong>sector</strong><br />
<br />
Restructur<strong>in</strong>g actions, M&A, and strategic alliances should be fastened with <strong>the</strong> aim<br />
<strong>of</strong> rationaliz<strong>in</strong>g and improv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> efficiency <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s’ structure.<br />
<br />
…with efforts <strong>of</strong> specialization, market segmentation and focus on niche<br />
markets –especially ma<strong>in</strong>ly by small firms<br />
…but also <strong>in</strong>novation and differentiation through more <strong>in</strong>tensive R&D, <strong>in</strong><br />
collaboration with universities and research centres<br />
Consumer-oriented strategies with <strong>the</strong> emphasis placed upon a) <strong>the</strong> cost for <strong>ICT</strong><br />
users and b) <strong>the</strong> promotion <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> benefits that <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s can entail to those<br />
that are will<strong>in</strong>g but also to <strong>the</strong> more cautious potential users<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 7
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
Investments on <strong>in</strong>frastructure that allow <strong>in</strong>tegrated high value - added<br />
services but also fur<strong>the</strong>r collaboration, <strong>in</strong> order to develop a Greek and<br />
<strong>sector</strong>-based digital content.<br />
Extroversion efforts by those that are capable, <strong>in</strong> order to exploit<br />
bus<strong>in</strong>ess opportunities that still exist <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> neighbour<strong>in</strong>g countries.<br />
At <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> public policy for <strong>the</strong> Information Society<br />
Improvement <strong>of</strong> broadband <strong>in</strong>frastructure, development <strong>of</strong> additional digital content<br />
and new e-government higher value -added services<br />
Emphasis on organizational change if <strong>the</strong> Public <strong>sector</strong>, so as to improve efficiency <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>tegrat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>ICT</strong>s that lead to a transformation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> actual e-service<br />
Expansion <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s use <strong>in</strong> Public Adm<strong>in</strong>istration, <strong>in</strong> order to improve its functions,<br />
operation and efficiency<br />
Integration f <strong>the</strong> regulatory framework for telecommunications, but also…<br />
F<strong>in</strong>al decisions for <strong>in</strong>stitutional issues <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> digital economy that are still<br />
unresolved (security <strong>of</strong> transactions, electronic signature, etc.)<br />
Empowerment <strong>of</strong> EETT (National Regulatory Service for<br />
telecommunications) while allow<strong>in</strong>g for a greater <strong>in</strong>dependence and<br />
cont<strong>in</strong>uation <strong>of</strong> its management<br />
Boost<strong>in</strong>g tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g concern<strong>in</strong>g <strong>ICT</strong>s, <strong>in</strong> order to bridge <strong>the</strong> digital gap<br />
…with additional motives not only for <strong>the</strong> adoption <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s by citizens<br />
and firms, but also for a more <strong>in</strong>tensive use<br />
…and motives for firms for fur<strong>the</strong>r education and tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
employees that lack those capabilities<br />
Use <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> teach<strong>in</strong>g processes and re<strong>in</strong>forcement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> teach<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s at<br />
all levels <strong>of</strong> education, so as all graduates will have developed some <strong>ICT</strong> skills<br />
Simplification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> procedures for <strong>the</strong> public <strong>of</strong>fer<strong>in</strong>gs and tenders which will allow<br />
for a tighter project implementation cycle<br />
Introduction <strong>of</strong> a Strategy Unit, assist<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> prime m<strong>in</strong>ister <strong>in</strong> relation to <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong><br />
<strong>sector</strong>, which will have an advisory role and will facilitate <strong>the</strong> coord<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
policies for <strong>the</strong> Information Society<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 8
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
At <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> broader public policies and State’s function<strong>in</strong>g that could have an<br />
impact on <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong><br />
Boost<strong>in</strong>g entrepreneurship and create f<strong>in</strong>ancial mechanisms for <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>itiation <strong>of</strong><br />
entrepreneurial activity<br />
Simplification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>stitutional and regulatory framework <strong>of</strong> Public Adm<strong>in</strong>istration’s<br />
function<strong>in</strong>g so as to improve <strong>the</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess environment<br />
Increase <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> total expenditures on R&D, provid<strong>in</strong>g motives (e.g. tax) to <strong>the</strong> firms<br />
for research collaborations with universities<br />
Greater effort for align<strong>in</strong>g market needs with academia, so as <strong>the</strong> graduates fit<br />
market’s requirements best.<br />
Effective allocation and management <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> resources under <strong>the</strong> 4th programm<strong>in</strong>g<br />
period, by utiliz<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> experience and successful mechanisms from <strong>the</strong> previous CFS<br />
A more stable and simpler tax environment that will facilitate <strong>the</strong> strategic plann<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> firms<br />
Removal <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> barriers for foreign direct <strong>in</strong>vestments on <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong><br />
2. Introduction<br />
This report constitutes Deliverable 14 <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> context <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> “Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>s <strong>of</strong><br />
Information Technology and Telecommunications <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and <strong>Prospects</strong>”<br />
and concerns <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>al report <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>’s prospects <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>. Draw<strong>in</strong>g from <strong>the</strong> empirical<br />
data and material that was ga<strong>the</strong>red dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> previous stages <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> project, <strong>the</strong> basic<br />
f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs are p<strong>in</strong>po<strong>in</strong>ted. These po<strong>in</strong>ts concern <strong>the</strong> current developments and <strong>the</strong> prospects <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>. On <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs, both <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>’s prospects and <strong>the</strong> policies<br />
that could support <strong>the</strong>m are illustrated.<br />
The deliverable is constituted by three ma<strong>in</strong> sections. In <strong>the</strong> first section, <strong>the</strong> general<br />
economic environment is presented at both an <strong>in</strong>ternational and Greek level. Its objective is<br />
to present <strong>the</strong> current macroeconomic conditions <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> European and Greek economies, to<br />
analyse <strong>the</strong> basic characteristics <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economic policy, <strong>the</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess climate, and <strong>the</strong><br />
estimated changes <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economic figures. The second section primarily refers to <strong>the</strong> basic<br />
f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs for <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s market’s structure and <strong>the</strong> changes that take place, and secondarily to<br />
<strong>the</strong> basic characteristics <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> firms that def<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong>ir future potential (sources/ obstacles<br />
<strong>of</strong> growth). These f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs fur<strong>the</strong>r document <strong>the</strong> estimations for <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> and<br />
<strong>the</strong> preconditions for its fur<strong>the</strong>r growth.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 9
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
In <strong>the</strong> last section a grid <strong>of</strong> proposed directions and proposals is presented. These proposals<br />
concern: a) <strong>the</strong> actions <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>’s firms and b) proposals at <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> public policy.<br />
Policies affect <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> is two ways: first, affect<strong>in</strong>g ei<strong>the</strong>r directly or <strong>in</strong>directly <strong>the</strong><br />
demand for <strong>ICT</strong>s products/ services, and second, determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> general characteristics <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> firms’ bus<strong>in</strong>ess environment. These proposals touch upon both <strong>the</strong> specialized public<br />
policies for <strong>the</strong> Information Society (IS) and broader actions that are related ra<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>directly<br />
to <strong>ICT</strong> firms but affect <strong>the</strong> domestic environment. The deliverable is also <strong>in</strong>cludes three<br />
appendices, which <strong>in</strong>corporate several observations <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> previous publications.<br />
3. The broad economic environment<br />
The follow<strong>in</strong>g section presents <strong>the</strong> current macroeconomic conditions <strong>of</strong> global and Greek<br />
economies, <strong>in</strong> order to exam<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> framework with<strong>in</strong> which <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> is<br />
developed. The short-term economic conditions are one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> basic factors that will have an<br />
impact on <strong>the</strong> activity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>s be<strong>in</strong>g studied. If <strong>the</strong> economic developments are<br />
positive, it should be expected that <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> will grow, under <strong>the</strong> condition that firms<br />
will be <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> position to exploit <strong>the</strong> opportunities. Thus, <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>’s prospects are dependent<br />
on <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational and domestic environment with<strong>in</strong> which <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s firms operate, but also<br />
on <strong>the</strong>ir specific characteristics and strategies that will def<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong>ir capability to respond to<br />
<strong>the</strong>se changes and new conditions.<br />
3.1. Global and European Economy<br />
3.1.1. The Global Economy<br />
In recent years <strong>the</strong> global economy is undergo<strong>in</strong>g rapid growth. However, <strong>the</strong> growth rates <strong>of</strong><br />
developed and develop<strong>in</strong>g economies considerably differentiate, as <strong>the</strong> later’s rates are more<br />
than double than <strong>the</strong> former (Table 1). It should be noted that Ch<strong>in</strong>a grown dur<strong>in</strong>g 2005 at a<br />
rate <strong>of</strong> more than 10% <strong>in</strong> comparison to <strong>the</strong> 3.2 % <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> USA. This drift gradually changes<br />
<strong>the</strong> importance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> relevant markets, as <strong>the</strong> commercial flows from and to <strong>the</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />
countries are <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g (faster rates <strong>of</strong> imports and exports). This implies <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased<br />
importance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g economies for <strong>the</strong> global demand, and <strong>the</strong> global<br />
economy.<br />
In 2007, <strong>the</strong> global economy is predicted to keep on grow<strong>in</strong>g at a high rate, although at a<br />
slower rate than <strong>in</strong> 2006. The rise <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> world trade also presents a proportional<br />
deceleration. Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong>se optimistic estimations are dependent on a number <strong>of</strong><br />
economic and political perplexities that may <strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>the</strong> global economy. The possible<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> rate <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>terests, oil price, and <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>flation are <strong>in</strong>dicative <strong>of</strong> an economic<br />
<strong>in</strong>security. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g war operations at <strong>the</strong> broader area <strong>of</strong> Iraq and <strong>the</strong><br />
development <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational terrorism are fundamental factors <strong>of</strong> political perplexities.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 10
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
3.1.2. The European Economy<br />
In EU- 25 and Euro zone, growth slowed down <strong>in</strong> 2005, because <strong>of</strong> a large decrease <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
net exports. Consequently, it was shaped to 1.6% and 1.3% respectively (from 2.4% and<br />
2.0% <strong>in</strong> 2004). This fact is attributable to a slow<strong>in</strong>g down <strong>of</strong> global trade, which <strong>in</strong>fluenced<br />
demand. It is also due to <strong>the</strong> euro revaluation, which worsened Euro zone’s competitiveness<br />
and led to a substantial slow-down <strong>in</strong> exports. At <strong>the</strong> same time, oil price <strong>in</strong>creases<br />
contributed to <strong>the</strong> retention <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>flation at a rate more than 2%.<br />
Table 1:International Environment – IMF (real annual % change)<br />
2004 2005 2006 2007<br />
GDP<br />
World 5.3 4.9 5.1 4.9<br />
Advanced Economies 3.2 2.6 3.1 2.7<br />
USA 3.9 3.2 3.4 2.9<br />
Eurozone 2.1 1.3 2.4 2.0<br />
European Union 2.4 1.8 2.8 2.4<br />
Japan 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.1<br />
Canada 3.3 2.9 3.1 3.0<br />
O<strong>the</strong>r emerg<strong>in</strong>g market and develop<strong>in</strong>g countries 7.7 7.4 7.3 7.2<br />
Africa 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.9<br />
Sub – Sahara 5.6 5.8 5.2 6.3<br />
Central and eastern Europe 6.5 5.4 5.3 5.0<br />
Commonwealth <strong>of</strong> Independent States (CIS) 8.4 6.5 6.8 6.5<br />
Russia 7.2 6.4 6.5 6.5<br />
Develop<strong>in</strong>g Asia 8.8 9.0 8.7 8.6<br />
Ch<strong>in</strong>a 10.1 10.2 10.0 10.0<br />
India 8.0 8.5 8.3 7.3<br />
ASEAN4 5.8 5.1 5.0 5.6<br />
Middle East 5.5 5.7 5.8 5.4<br />
World Trade<br />
Imports<br />
Advanced Economies 9.1 6.0 7.5 6.0<br />
O<strong>the</strong>r emerg<strong>in</strong>g market and develop<strong>in</strong>g countries 16.4 11.9 13.0 12.1<br />
Exports<br />
Advanced Economies 8.8 5.5 8.0 6.0<br />
O<strong>the</strong>r emerg<strong>in</strong>g market and develop<strong>in</strong>g countries 14.6 11.8 10.7 10.6<br />
ASEAN4: Indonesia, Malaysia, Philipp<strong>in</strong>es Thailand<br />
ΜΕΝΑ (Middle East & North Africa): Algeria, Bahra<strong>in</strong>, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon,<br />
Libya, Morocco, Omar, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Tunisia, United Arab Emirates and Yemen.<br />
Asia: All countries except Japan and <strong>the</strong> Asia MENA countries<br />
Sub-Saharian Africa: All countries except <strong>the</strong> African MENA countries<br />
Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, September 2006<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 11
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
Table 2: Ma<strong>in</strong> Economic Indicators (ΕΕ-25, ΕΕ-12, <strong>Greece</strong>)<br />
ΕΕ-25 ΕΕ-12 Ελλάδα<br />
2004 2005 2006 2007 2004 2005 2006 2007 2004 2005 2006 2007<br />
GDP 2,4 1,7 2,8 2,4 2,0 1,4 2,6 2,1 4,7 3,7 3,8 3,7<br />
Consumption 2,0 1,5 2,2 1,9 1,5 1,4 2,0 1,6 4,7 3,7 3,4 3,2<br />
Total Investment 3,1 3,0 4,9 3,6 2,3 2,5 4,3 3,0 5,7 -1,4 6,3 6,2<br />
Employment 0,7 0,9 1,4 1,1 0,7 0,7 1,4 1,2 2,9 1,3 1,4 1,3<br />
Unemployment rate<br />
(% labour force)<br />
9,1 8,8 8,0 7,6 8,9 8,6 8,0 7,7 10,5 9,8 9,3 8,9<br />
Inflation 2,1 2,2 2,3 2,3 2,1 2,2 2,2 2,1 3,0 3,5 3,3 3,3<br />
Government<br />
Balance (% GDP)<br />
-2,7 -2,3 -2,0 -1,6 -2,8 -2,4 -2,0 -1,5 -7,8 -5,2 -2,6 -2,6<br />
Government Dept<br />
(% GDP)<br />
62,4 63,3 62,5 61,4 69,7 70,6 69,4 68,0 108,5 107,5 104,8 101,0<br />
Current account<br />
Balance (% ΑΕΠ)<br />
0,3 -0,4 -0,5 -0,4 0,8 0,0 -0,1 0,1 -9,5 -9,2 -8,5 -8,0<br />
Πηγή: European Commission, Economic Forecasts, Autumn 2006.<br />
The European Commission estimates an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economic activity for 2006 and 2007<br />
at a rate <strong>of</strong> more than 2%. These forecasts are based on <strong>the</strong> estimations for an even higher<br />
domestic demand and on expectations for a positive impact <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> external <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
European economy. The satisfactory f<strong>in</strong>ancial situation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> firms and <strong>the</strong> optimistic<br />
bus<strong>in</strong>ess climate that is be<strong>in</strong>g developed s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> 2006, is expected to boost<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestments, while <strong>the</strong> consumption is expected to <strong>in</strong>crease marg<strong>in</strong>ally. Labour market is<br />
ra<strong>the</strong>r resistant to economic crises, as employment at Euro zone has been <strong>in</strong>creased by 1.4%<br />
<strong>in</strong> 2006 (1.2% <strong>in</strong> 2007). Correspond<strong>in</strong>gly, unemployment will gradually decrease to 8.0% <strong>in</strong><br />
2006 and to 7.7% <strong>in</strong> 2007, vary<strong>in</strong>g though substantially among <strong>the</strong> country-states 1 .<br />
3.2. The Greek Economy<br />
The Greek Economy has been grow<strong>in</strong>g with high rates s<strong>in</strong>ce 2000. This performance ranks it<br />
at <strong>the</strong> higher levels <strong>of</strong> Euro zone. To a certa<strong>in</strong> extent, this growth was due to <strong>the</strong> Olympic<br />
Games <strong>in</strong>vestments. However, ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g such growth rates till today is an <strong>in</strong>dication <strong>of</strong><br />
some stable dynamic elements <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek economy.<br />
<strong>Greece</strong> achieved <strong>the</strong> highest GDP growth <strong>in</strong> 2001 (rate <strong>of</strong> 5.1%). The slow-down <strong>in</strong> 2002<br />
(3.8%) was <strong>in</strong>cidental and was due to <strong>the</strong> limited <strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> foreign <strong>sector</strong> on <strong>the</strong><br />
economy. Dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g year, GDP <strong>in</strong>creased substantially, because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestments for <strong>the</strong> Olympic Games. 2003-2004 is, thus, a period <strong>of</strong> strong economic growth,<br />
while <strong>in</strong>vestments constituted 27% <strong>of</strong> GDP (23-24% dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> previous years). The slowdown<br />
<strong>in</strong> 2005 was expected and come naturally, as <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial framework was rigorous and<br />
1 Besides, <strong>the</strong>se conditions seem to re<strong>in</strong>force IDC‘s predictions for some 1.5 million jobs <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong><br />
<strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> next 4 years.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 12
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
was characterized by limited public <strong>in</strong>vestments. However, <strong>the</strong> growth rate was still higher<br />
than <strong>the</strong> mean rate <strong>of</strong> Euro zone (approximately 2.6%).<br />
Structurally, domestic demand and more specifically private consumption is <strong>the</strong> driv<strong>in</strong>g force<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek economy. Despite <strong>the</strong> slow-down <strong>in</strong> 2005, <strong>Greece</strong> ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>s high growth rates<br />
due to <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> disposable <strong>in</strong>come and because <strong>of</strong> easier access to credit <strong>in</strong> an<br />
environment <strong>of</strong> low <strong>in</strong>terest rates. Tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to consideration <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> latest data available, <strong>the</strong><br />
services’ <strong>sector</strong> has a higher growth rate than <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>sector</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek economy, s<strong>in</strong>ce<br />
services constitute approximately <strong>the</strong> 70% <strong>of</strong> GDP and employ 65% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> whole employees.<br />
In contrast, primary <strong>sector</strong>’s and manufactur<strong>in</strong>g’s contribution is decreas<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
Table 3: Ma<strong>in</strong> Economic Indicators –Quarterly National Accounts<br />
(provisional data, Constant prices 1995)<br />
Quarter GDP F<strong>in</strong>al Consumption Investment Exports Imports<br />
mil. €<br />
Quarter %<br />
change<br />
mil. €<br />
Quarter %<br />
change<br />
mil. €<br />
Quarter %<br />
change<br />
mil. €<br />
Quarter %<br />
change<br />
mil. €<br />
Quarter %<br />
change<br />
2000 94695 4,5% 81727 4,3% 23175 10,0% 24828 14,1% 35215 15,1%<br />
2001 99510 5,1% 83904 2,7% 24318 4,9% 24568 -1,0% 33390 -5,2%<br />
2002 103320 3,8% 87571 4,4% 25781 6,0% 22675 -7,7% 32934 -1,4%<br />
2003 108861 4,8% 90301 3,1% 29310 13,7% 22901 1,0% 34417 4,5%<br />
2004 113293 4,7% 94240 4,4% 30975 5,7% 25576 11,7% 37630 9,3%<br />
2005 117437 3,7% 97621 3,6% 30593 -1,2% 26320 2,9% 37173 -1,2%<br />
a' 2005 29183 3,4% 24285 3,9% 7964 -0,7% 6086 6,4% 9167 2,3%<br />
b' 2005 29088 3,7% 23981 3,6% 7116 -4,2% 6552 2,2% 8587 -5,8%<br />
c' 2005 29616 3,8% 24622 3,4% 7584 -0,7% 6910 1,4% 9519 -2,2%<br />
d' 2005 29550 3,7% 24733 3,5% 7929 0,4% 6772 2,1% 9900 0,7%<br />
2006<br />
a' 2006 30383 4,1% 25111 3,4% 8515 6,9% 6193 1,8% 9436 2,9%<br />
b' 2006 30270 4,1% 24909 3,9% 8105 13,9% 6718 2,5% 9462 10,2%<br />
Source: National Statistical Service <strong>of</strong> <strong>Greece</strong><br />
Table 4: Ma<strong>in</strong> Economic Indicators (constant prices 1995, annual % change)<br />
2005 2006 2007<br />
GDP 3,7 3,8 3,8<br />
Private consumption 3,7 3,8 3,8<br />
Public consumption 3,1 2,0 1,1<br />
Investmentσ -1,4 8,8 7,4<br />
Exports (goods and services) 3,0 5,3 6,5<br />
Imports (goods and services) -1,2 6,6 7,0<br />
Source: Budget 2007 draft, M<strong>in</strong>istry <strong>of</strong> Economy and F<strong>in</strong>ance.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 13
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Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
On <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> latest predictions and recent estimations made by <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />
organizations and <strong>the</strong> M<strong>in</strong>istry <strong>of</strong> F<strong>in</strong>ance, <strong>the</strong> Greek Economy will keep on grow<strong>in</strong>g at rapid<br />
rates (3.8% or even more) dur<strong>in</strong>g 2006 and 2007. This result is due to <strong>the</strong> strong domestic<br />
demand, a strong <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestments and <strong>the</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>able high rates <strong>of</strong> private<br />
consumption. Concern<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> foreign <strong>sector</strong>, exports are <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at a higher rate <strong>in</strong><br />
comparison to 2005, whereas imports upturn significantly after <strong>the</strong>ir decrease <strong>in</strong> 2005. This<br />
drift creates an environment <strong>of</strong> broad domestic demand for <strong>the</strong> whole range <strong>of</strong> products,<br />
<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s products.<br />
3.2.1. The economic climate<br />
These favourable conditions converge with <strong>the</strong> improvement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economic climate <strong>of</strong> 2006,<br />
which results on <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Bus<strong>in</strong>ess & Consumer Surveys <strong>of</strong> IOBE (Foundation for<br />
Economic and Industrial Research). In general, <strong>the</strong> behaviour <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Bus<strong>in</strong>ess Climate Index<br />
(especially <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>) follows <strong>the</strong> electoral cycle. Therefore, as long as <strong>the</strong> elections <strong>of</strong> 2004<br />
were approach<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> significant improvement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> expectations pushed <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dex high. At<br />
<strong>the</strong> same time, conduct<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> Olympic Games was a unique and huge event that<br />
characterized <strong>in</strong>tensively <strong>the</strong> previous months. However, immediately after <strong>the</strong> Olympic<br />
Games and despite <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong> Greek Economy susta<strong>in</strong>ed its high growth rates, a<br />
climate <strong>of</strong> reduced expectations prevailed. The deterioration <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> climate could be<br />
<strong>in</strong>terpreted as an expected turn <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Pre-Olympic euphoria, which had fed high<br />
expectations, that could not be satisfied <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> short term. The fiscal adjustments that were<br />
implemented, which showed that problems were more acute and required urgent changes,<br />
contributed to this turn.<br />
Thus, <strong>the</strong> Economic Climate Index <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> was at a cont<strong>in</strong>uous drop s<strong>in</strong>ce mid 2004, which<br />
was <strong>in</strong>tensified <strong>in</strong> 2005. However, <strong>the</strong> climate started to ameliorate at <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> 2005. These<br />
trends were empowered dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> first months <strong>of</strong> 2006, while <strong>the</strong>y were fur<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>tensified<br />
dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> months that followed. Thus, <strong>the</strong> Index presents henceforth an ascendant course<br />
and reached its highest level dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> last couple <strong>of</strong> years <strong>in</strong> September. The improvement<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economic climate is ma<strong>in</strong>ly attributed to <strong>the</strong> optimistic bus<strong>in</strong>ess expectations. On <strong>the</strong><br />
contrary, consumers are not optimistic, as <strong>the</strong>ir estimations rema<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>tensely negative.<br />
The improvement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> climate <strong>in</strong>volves all <strong>sector</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy. In Industry, <strong>the</strong><br />
improvement stems from <strong>the</strong> estimated <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> demand, while <strong>the</strong> predictions for <strong>the</strong><br />
follow<strong>in</strong>g months are also optimistic. In Manufactur<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>the</strong> climate is at <strong>the</strong> same pre-<br />
Olympic levels <strong>of</strong> euphoria and it is impressively improved. This improvement is <strong>in</strong>tense <strong>in</strong><br />
Retail as well, as <strong>the</strong> predictions for <strong>the</strong> firm sales are optimistic. Services show a<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 14
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Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
proportional- although slighter- improvement, s<strong>in</strong>ce a great proportion <strong>of</strong> firms has an<br />
<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess activity 2 .<br />
Consequently, <strong>the</strong> improved economic climate <strong>in</strong> 2006 affirms for <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong>tenance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
economic activity <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> majority <strong>of</strong> economic <strong>sector</strong>s. This implies that firms move on <strong>the</strong><br />
right track and this facilitates <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment decision mak<strong>in</strong>g. The fact that <strong>the</strong>se<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong>volve at a greater extent <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> new technologies/ procedures <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> entrepreneurial operations (<strong>in</strong>vestment surveys <strong>of</strong> IOBE) favours <strong>the</strong> firms <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong><br />
and <strong>the</strong> mid-term bus<strong>in</strong>ess environment.<br />
Figure 1: Economic Sentiment Indicator<br />
120<br />
115<br />
110<br />
105<br />
100<br />
95<br />
90<br />
85<br />
80<br />
Ιαν-02<br />
Μαϊ-02<br />
Σεπ-02<br />
Ιαν-03<br />
Μαϊ-03<br />
Σεπ-03<br />
Ιαν-04<br />
Μαϊ-04<br />
Σεπ-04<br />
Ιαν-05<br />
Μαϊ-05<br />
Σεπ-05<br />
Ιαν-06<br />
Μαϊ-06<br />
Σεπ-06<br />
EE-25 Ελλάδα Μέσος όρος ΕΕ (1999-2005)<br />
Source: DG ECFIN<br />
3.3. The economic policy<br />
3.3.1. Directions and Changes<br />
Dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> last years, <strong>the</strong> basic directions <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economic policy concern: a) <strong>the</strong> effort for<br />
fiscal conformation <strong>in</strong> order to reduce <strong>the</strong> budget deficits and <strong>the</strong> public debt, b) <strong>the</strong><br />
promotion <strong>of</strong> structural changes <strong>in</strong> crucial <strong>sector</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy, where accumulated<br />
problems h<strong>in</strong>der <strong>the</strong> entrepreneurial activity. Economic policy will move towards <strong>the</strong> same<br />
direction <strong>the</strong> next two years 3 .<br />
2 In contrast to <strong>the</strong> improvement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess climate, consumers are pessimistic. Although <strong>the</strong> last<br />
few months <strong>the</strong>ir beliefs about <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> unemployment and sav<strong>in</strong>gs are ameliorated, <strong>the</strong> consumers’<br />
predictions for <strong>the</strong>ir economic conditions and <strong>the</strong> country’s economic state rema<strong>in</strong> pessimistic.<br />
3 National Reform Programme, State Budget for 2007<br />
October 2006<br />
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Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
The fiscal policy will be sober, whereas it may be expansionary <strong>in</strong> certa<strong>in</strong> <strong>sector</strong>s such as<br />
Health, Education, and Social Insurance. Concern<strong>in</strong>g tax policy, <strong>the</strong> gradual reduction <strong>of</strong><br />
bus<strong>in</strong>ess and <strong>in</strong>dividual tax rate may boost <strong>the</strong> total demand (consumption and <strong>in</strong>vestments)<br />
and thus <strong>the</strong> fiscal policy will have overall a growth impact, despite its restrictive character.<br />
Concern<strong>in</strong>g structural changes, <strong>the</strong> reforms that are planned by <strong>the</strong> government and are<br />
gradually implemented (National Reform Programme), <strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>the</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess environment<br />
and contribute to <strong>the</strong> improvement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> aforementioned climate. Although reforms’ results<br />
have not yet been quantified, this mobility creates optimistic expectations. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to a first<br />
survey evaluat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> reforms, firms are moderate optimistic 4 .<br />
However, <strong>the</strong> complete enforcement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se reforms is a crucial stage that will determ<strong>in</strong>e<br />
<strong>the</strong> extent to which <strong>the</strong> firms can assimilate <strong>the</strong>se changes, <strong>the</strong>ir effectiveness and practical<br />
quantitative implications. Thus, a precondition for <strong>the</strong> success <strong>of</strong> changes is <strong>the</strong>ir consistent<br />
implementation, without substantial changes and delays. Never<strong>the</strong>less, this procedure seems<br />
to have been already delayed.<br />
3.3.2. Delays-Problems<br />
Delays are more prom<strong>in</strong>ent <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> areas that are associated with Public Adm<strong>in</strong>istration’s<br />
functions. These problems <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong> operat<strong>in</strong>g cost <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> firms, discourage new<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestments and reduce national competitiveness. More specifically:<br />
Despite <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructures, <strong>the</strong> deregulation and <strong>the</strong> privatizations, <strong>the</strong><br />
deficiency <strong>of</strong> entrepreneurial competitiveness is big. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>Greece</strong> rema<strong>in</strong>s an<br />
expensive and bureaucratic country that h<strong>in</strong>ders new entrepreneurial actions. At <strong>the</strong> same<br />
time, although <strong>the</strong> decrease <strong>of</strong> tax rates drives <strong>Greece</strong> to converge with <strong>the</strong> rest <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
Europe, <strong>the</strong> broader tax framework rema<strong>in</strong>s non competitive. This is more evident <strong>in</strong><br />
comparison with <strong>the</strong> new member-states <strong>of</strong> EU-25, which use low taxation as one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
basic motives for <strong>in</strong>vestments. The lack <strong>of</strong> changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> objectivity, stability, and<br />
transparency <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> tax framework create uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty for <strong>the</strong> firms and discourage<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestments.<br />
Although some good policy measures have been taken <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> labour market (e.g. flexible<br />
work<strong>in</strong>g arrangements), <strong>Greece</strong> ranks among <strong>the</strong> last <strong>in</strong> EU-25 concern<strong>in</strong>g young and long<br />
term unemployment. Besides, <strong>the</strong>re are many issues regard<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> quality <strong>of</strong> education and<br />
4 Study by FGI (Federation <strong>of</strong> Greek Industries) and ICAP: “Evaluation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> National<br />
Reform Programme with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> framework <strong>of</strong> Lisbon’s Strategy”, September, 2006<br />
October 2006<br />
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Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
<strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> skills <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> human capital that have longer-term impact on <strong>the</strong><br />
competitiveness <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> country 5 .<br />
Obviously <strong>the</strong>se issues are related with fundamental strategic changes <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> State’s own<br />
structure. However, despite some improvements, changes come with delays. Public<br />
Adm<strong>in</strong>istration is <strong>in</strong>effective, limits growth, and impedes <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> governmental<br />
policy directions. As a result, it h<strong>in</strong>ders growth and welfare. Education cannot be <strong>in</strong>dependent<br />
and keep pace with <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational developments. Justice is still subject to bureaucracy,<br />
lags beh<strong>in</strong>d, and along with bureaucracy constitutes a basic dis<strong>in</strong>centive <strong>of</strong> foreign<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>. The Social State, despite its high cost <strong>of</strong> operation, does not ensure<br />
for services as good and targeted as those <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r European countries 6 .<br />
Consequently, despite <strong>the</strong> favourable climate and <strong>the</strong> positive economic developments <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>Greece</strong>, <strong>the</strong>re are still many problems and delays <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> structural<br />
changes that <strong>the</strong> Greek economy needs, <strong>in</strong> order to improve <strong>the</strong> entrepreneurial and national<br />
competitiveness. These problems touch upon <strong>the</strong> entire bus<strong>in</strong>ess and socio-economic<br />
environment, and consequently impede <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s firms, which operate <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> domestic<br />
environment.<br />
3.4. Public Policies for <strong>the</strong> Information Society 7<br />
3.4.1. The current state<br />
The public policies that are applied to promote <strong>the</strong> entry <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> country <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> Information<br />
Society (IS) draw resources from <strong>the</strong> European Union and <strong>the</strong> 3rd CFS. The ma<strong>in</strong> guidel<strong>in</strong>es<br />
are developed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Operational Programme for <strong>the</strong> IS. It is one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> biggest relevant<br />
Programmes <strong>in</strong> Europe, not only <strong>in</strong> economic terms, but also <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> content, actions and<br />
policy measures it <strong>in</strong>cludes. It constitute so far <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> tool for <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
national strategy for <strong>the</strong> IS build<strong>in</strong>g on actions that support a more rapid diffusion <strong>of</strong> new<br />
technologies <strong>in</strong> socio-economic activities <strong>of</strong> country and forc<strong>in</strong>g citizens and enterprises <strong>in</strong>to<br />
<strong>the</strong> digital economy. Its objective was to create a critical mass <strong>of</strong> users, <strong>in</strong>frastructures (<strong>in</strong> all<br />
<strong>sector</strong>s and particularly <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Public Sector), electronic services and mechanisms that support<br />
<strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> IS <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>. These cores could contribute to <strong>the</strong> effort <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s diffusion <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>Greece</strong> and to <strong>the</strong>ir better economic exploitation, <strong>in</strong> order to improve <strong>the</strong> productivity and<br />
competitiveness <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek economy. As a result, <strong>the</strong> effectiveness <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> disposable<br />
5 The competitiveness <strong>of</strong> Greek firms, FGI-BCG, 2006<br />
6 IOBE’s policy position paper about a more Effective State, July 2006<br />
7 More analytic and extensive description <strong>of</strong> policies for <strong>the</strong> Information Society is <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> a previous<br />
deliverable (5b)<br />
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resources is maximized, while new growth possibilities arise, improv<strong>in</strong>g gradually <strong>the</strong> quality<br />
<strong>of</strong> life <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> citizens.<br />
However, <strong>the</strong> exceptionally <strong>in</strong>novative, complex and <strong>in</strong>ter-<strong>sector</strong>al character <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
Programme created <strong>in</strong>creased obligations throughout its implementation. Its successful<br />
implementation required <strong>the</strong> participation not only <strong>of</strong> many public and private <strong>in</strong>stitutions, but<br />
also <strong>the</strong> research society and academia. Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong> structural weaknesses <strong>of</strong><br />
government mechanisms and public services to implement <strong>the</strong> political directions, <strong>the</strong><br />
legislative difficulties, and bureaucracy had as a result a low use <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Operational<br />
Programmes f<strong>in</strong>ancial resources. Although, low performance on absorb<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> community<br />
f<strong>in</strong>ancial aid is not an exclusively Greek phenomenon, nei<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>tensity and extent nor <strong>the</strong><br />
time <strong>of</strong> occurrence and persistence <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se difficulties were as significant as <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>.<br />
However, apart <strong>the</strong> aforementioned weaknesses, <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Programme has<br />
yielded certa<strong>in</strong> tangible results so far. The progress <strong>in</strong> Education, is significant while<br />
important tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g courses and policy measure were implemented at all levels. In <strong>the</strong> field <strong>of</strong><br />
reform<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> Public Sector, some significant actions have taken place, such as <strong>the</strong> creation<br />
<strong>of</strong> Citizen Service Centres (KEP) and <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> taxisnet. These actions contributed<br />
to an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> electronic services provided to citizens and firms, lead<strong>in</strong>g to an<br />
improvement <strong>of</strong> citizens’ everyday life.<br />
Regard<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> diffusion <strong>of</strong> new technologies to firms, subsidiz<strong>in</strong>g equipment had some<br />
positive results <strong>in</strong> encourag<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> adoption <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s- especially by SMEs- at various levels:<br />
first, at <strong>the</strong> stage <strong>of</strong> connectivity (connection and familiarization with <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternet as a<br />
bus<strong>in</strong>ess tool), and second <strong>in</strong> various stages <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> process <strong>of</strong> e-bus<strong>in</strong>ess (e-commerce,<br />
adoption <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>in</strong>formation systems manag<strong>in</strong>g operational resources, <strong>in</strong>ternal<br />
management and bus<strong>in</strong>ess adm<strong>in</strong>istration, etc.). An adequate number <strong>of</strong> firms were benefited<br />
by <strong>the</strong>se subsidies, as it is mirrored on <strong>the</strong> improvement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> relative <strong>in</strong>dexes <strong>of</strong> e-bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />
watch. Apart from actions that <strong>in</strong>volve a direct aid to <strong>the</strong> SMEs, <strong>the</strong> Programme <strong>in</strong>cludes<br />
o<strong>the</strong>r actions as well, that <strong>in</strong>directly contribute to this goal. Promotion <strong>of</strong> electronic commerce<br />
projects <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> local societies mediated by chambers, e-procurement, and <strong>the</strong> promotion <strong>of</strong><br />
entrepreneurship <strong>in</strong> new economy <strong>sector</strong>s (TANEO) are some <strong>in</strong>itiatives that facilitate this<br />
process and contribute to <strong>the</strong> familiarization <strong>of</strong> entrepreneurs with <strong>ICT</strong>s 8 .<br />
8 Apart from <strong>the</strong> OPIS, o<strong>the</strong>r programs also <strong>in</strong>fluence supply and demand <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s, as synergies between<br />
<strong>the</strong>m are evident. Indicatively, EPAN has f<strong>in</strong>anced actions aim<strong>in</strong>g at <strong>the</strong> re<strong>in</strong>forcement <strong>of</strong> firms’<br />
competitiveness, subsidiz<strong>in</strong>g both tangible (e.g. <strong>in</strong>tegrated systems <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation technology,<br />
development <strong>of</strong> B2B or B2C, ERP, etc.) and <strong>in</strong>tangible <strong>in</strong>vestments (e.g. electronic network<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong><br />
October 2006<br />
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Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
Significant delays occurred <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> area <strong>of</strong> broadband <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure.<br />
Broadband constitutes a basic precondition for <strong>the</strong> convergence <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek economy to <strong>the</strong><br />
respective European ones. This is because large-scale projects, such as Sizefxis, that support<br />
<strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> back <strong>of</strong>fice <strong>in</strong>frastructures <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Public Adm<strong>in</strong>istration, <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>terconnection <strong>of</strong> its services, and <strong>the</strong> availability <strong>of</strong> broadband services at a reasonable<br />
price constitute strategic directions <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Community’s policies (e-Europe 2005, i-2010).<br />
In <strong>the</strong> context <strong>of</strong> promot<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> relevant projects and a more aggressive promotion <strong>of</strong><br />
broadband, <strong>the</strong> actions <strong>of</strong> new “Plan for <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> broadband” are <strong>in</strong>corporated. These<br />
actions aim at <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructures, services, and boost<strong>in</strong>g demand for such<br />
services. It is a very ambitious strategic plan, whose implementation will have positive<br />
impacts <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>.<br />
We could identify <strong>the</strong> actual contribution <strong>of</strong> OPIS <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>ICT</strong> at three<br />
dimensions:<br />
First, <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> large-scale <strong>in</strong>frastructure projects and subsidy <strong>of</strong> private<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestments on <strong>ICT</strong>s form a direct support <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> primary demand. However, this<br />
dimension is ra<strong>the</strong>r myopic, although this does not mean, that all available funds<br />
should not be used. Indeed, <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial contribution to <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s’ turnover is<br />
negligible, consider<strong>in</strong>g an extended period <strong>of</strong> implementation (2000-2008).<br />
On <strong>the</strong> contrary, <strong>the</strong> multiplicative benefits for <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong> via tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g/ advis<strong>in</strong>g<br />
that support <strong>the</strong> familiarization <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> citizens with new technologies constitute a<br />
much more significant dimension. In this way, potential new clients <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s are<br />
created, <strong>of</strong>fer<strong>in</strong>g longer-term benefits to <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> and re<strong>in</strong>forc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> secondary<br />
demand, which is <strong>the</strong> most significant.<br />
On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand <strong>the</strong> Programme facilitated <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong>,<br />
as <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> complex <strong>ICT</strong> projects provided know-how and experience<br />
ga<strong>in</strong>s. These projects constitute area <strong>of</strong> expertise and specialization for domestic<br />
firms and <strong>in</strong>novative know-how, which can constitute a strategic competitive<br />
advantage for <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>sector</strong>.<br />
enterprises, participation to e-marketplaces) <strong>of</strong> technological and organizational modernization <strong>of</strong><br />
enterprises.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 19
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3.4.2. The next step<br />
The new <strong>in</strong>terventions and policies with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> framework <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 4th Programm<strong>in</strong>g Period are<br />
placed upon <strong>the</strong> Programme <strong>of</strong> “Digital Convergence”. The primary objective <strong>of</strong> this<br />
Programme is to contribute to <strong>the</strong> realization <strong>of</strong> a “Digital leap” to <strong>the</strong> productivity and quality<br />
<strong>of</strong> life, utiliz<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s and Internet. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, it has a strong peripheral dimension, as it<br />
aims to address <strong>the</strong> digital gap with <strong>the</strong>se areas.<br />
The actions, which are <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> this Programme, <strong>in</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>ation with <strong>the</strong> actions that are<br />
already f<strong>in</strong>anced by <strong>the</strong> 3rd CFS, <strong>the</strong> digital services that can be implemented through Public<br />
Private Partnerships and motives for <strong>in</strong>vestments on new technologies via <strong>the</strong> new law on<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestments, form <strong>the</strong> set <strong>of</strong> actions that characterize <strong>the</strong> course <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> country to <strong>the</strong> digital<br />
era. Two basic priorities are identified: a) improvement <strong>of</strong> productivity and b) improvement <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> quality <strong>of</strong> life through <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation technologies and faster <strong>in</strong>ternet. The six <strong>in</strong>dividual<br />
objectives concern <strong>the</strong> promotion <strong>of</strong>: a) <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s by firms, b) <strong>the</strong> public digital services<br />
to <strong>the</strong> enterprises via <strong>the</strong> restructur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> pubic <strong>sector</strong>, c) <strong>the</strong> entrepreneurship <strong>in</strong> <strong>sector</strong>s<br />
that <strong>in</strong>corporate new technologies, d) <strong>the</strong> support <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>, e) improv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />
everyday quality <strong>of</strong> life <strong>of</strong> citizens via new technologies and f) digital services that facilitate<br />
<strong>the</strong> citizens and have cost sav<strong>in</strong>g benefits.<br />
Advanced broadband <strong>in</strong>frastructures are <strong>the</strong> basic precondition for <strong>the</strong> success <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
aforementioned objectives. Some critical actions that have been set as top priority issues for<br />
<strong>the</strong> period up to 2008, refer to <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> broadband penetration <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> country,<br />
launch<strong>in</strong>g a promot<strong>in</strong>g campaign familiariz<strong>in</strong>g citizens with <strong>the</strong> new technologies, <strong>the</strong><br />
restructur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> government processes, promotion <strong>of</strong> e-procurement, automated<br />
processes for <strong>the</strong> most commonly used support<strong>in</strong>g documents and certificates, as well as a<br />
one stop electronic services for firms. All <strong>the</strong>se policy measures could arguably lead to a<br />
removal <strong>of</strong> some obstacles that h<strong>in</strong>der a leap <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> IS 9 .<br />
Regard<strong>in</strong>g additional actions that contribute directly to <strong>the</strong> development and distribution <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> and are described with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> framework <strong>of</strong> National Reform Programme, it can<br />
be reported that:<br />
9 In sum, four o<strong>the</strong>r ma<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>itiatives were implemented dur<strong>in</strong>g 2006, besides <strong>the</strong> plan for <strong>the</strong><br />
development <strong>of</strong> broadband. These are as follows: a) The <strong>in</strong>tervention (210million €) for <strong>the</strong> more rapid<br />
distribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternet, especially at a regional level b) <strong>the</strong> foundation <strong>of</strong> Digital Leap fund <strong>of</strong> funds, c)<br />
promotional campaign for Digital <strong>Greece</strong> with <strong>the</strong> aim <strong>of</strong> familiariz<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> citizens with <strong>the</strong> benefits and<br />
<strong>the</strong> potential that <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>of</strong>fer, d) <strong>the</strong> action “Digital regional Government” to which regional agents <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
country can participate, <strong>in</strong> order to develop <strong>the</strong>ir digital services.<br />
October 2006<br />
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In Manufactur<strong>in</strong>g, emphasis is given to <strong>the</strong> promotion <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>novation and <strong>the</strong> technological<br />
modernization <strong>of</strong> firms under <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment law, which <strong>of</strong>fers <strong>in</strong>centives for attract<strong>in</strong>g<br />
private capital <strong>in</strong> high technology products/ services. Stronger collaboration <strong>of</strong> firms is<br />
promoted, while TANEO’s role is streng<strong>the</strong>ned and <strong>the</strong> possibilities for <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s<br />
are broadened. In <strong>the</strong> Shipp<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>in</strong>formation technology<br />
systems is promoted <strong>in</strong> order to upgrade <strong>the</strong> harbour services, whereas tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and<br />
education actions <strong>of</strong> personnel <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se new technologies are also <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
planned actions.<br />
In Trade, <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> an <strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>in</strong>formation system is be<strong>in</strong>g designed, allow<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>the</strong> mapp<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> certa<strong>in</strong> markets and help<strong>in</strong>g antitrust policy measures. At <strong>the</strong> same time, a<br />
National Council <strong>of</strong> Electronic Bus<strong>in</strong>ess was founded aim<strong>in</strong>g at design<strong>in</strong>g a national strategy<br />
for e-commerce. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, a portal named as Forum <strong>of</strong> Consumer will be soon launched,<br />
a portal which will address <strong>the</strong> need <strong>of</strong> consumers for <strong>in</strong>formation. It is an action that<br />
familiarizes citizens with services that can improve <strong>the</strong>ir everyday rout<strong>in</strong>e, someth<strong>in</strong>g that<br />
could have multiply<strong>in</strong>g benefits for <strong>the</strong> population.<br />
In terms <strong>of</strong> privatisations, <strong>the</strong> primary structural <strong>in</strong>tervention affect<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>ICT</strong><br />
market is <strong>the</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r privatisation <strong>of</strong> National Telecommunication Company (OTE) till it<br />
becomes completely private. This development changes <strong>the</strong> landscape <strong>of</strong> telecommunications<br />
market, as <strong>the</strong> decision mak<strong>in</strong>g process will ultimately change, allow<strong>in</strong>g no political<br />
<strong>in</strong>terventions.<br />
In Education, five platforms <strong>of</strong> distance learn<strong>in</strong>g have been designed, <strong>in</strong> order to facilitate <strong>the</strong><br />
educational activities at all levels <strong>of</strong> education. In Health, an <strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>in</strong>formation system<br />
(IASYS), which <strong>in</strong>cludes applications support<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> hospitals’ management and operations, is<br />
go<strong>in</strong>g to be developed. Cost benefits from <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> that system is significant <strong>of</strong><br />
course. However, <strong>the</strong> basic impact will be <strong>the</strong> improvement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> services to <strong>the</strong> patients,<br />
allow<strong>in</strong>g citizens to actually conceive some tangible benefits from <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s. At<br />
<strong>the</strong> same time, health constitutes a possible field <strong>of</strong> specialization for <strong>ICT</strong> firms and a<br />
significant niche market, s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong>re is a large number <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>stitutions and agents that operate<br />
<strong>in</strong> Health.<br />
With<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> framework <strong>of</strong> e-government, numerous projects are implemented. However, <strong>the</strong><br />
grid <strong>of</strong> actions under “SIZEFXIS” probably constitutes <strong>the</strong> most significant large scaled project<br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s that is currently implemented <strong>in</strong> Public Adm<strong>in</strong>istration. This is expected to radically<br />
improve <strong>the</strong> effectiveness and services <strong>of</strong> Public Adm<strong>in</strong>istration lead<strong>in</strong>g to significant benefits<br />
<strong>in</strong> every day’s rout<strong>in</strong>e <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> citizens. Upgrad<strong>in</strong>g Taxisnet and <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>troduc<strong>in</strong>g new services<br />
October 2006<br />
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are exceptionally important, because <strong>the</strong>y refer to a platform already known and widely used.<br />
In <strong>the</strong> area <strong>of</strong> procurements, a new National System for E-procurement will be soon<br />
completed. It refers to <strong>the</strong> modernization <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> framework around public procurements by<br />
<strong>in</strong>stitut<strong>in</strong>g electronic methods for public <strong>of</strong>fer<strong>in</strong>gs, thus effectiveness and transparency <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
processes.<br />
F<strong>in</strong>ally, <strong>the</strong>re are some delays <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> harmonization <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> national legislation with <strong>the</strong><br />
European that result to cont<strong>in</strong>uous cautions by <strong>the</strong> responsible Commissioner. EETT is<br />
streng<strong>the</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g and becomes more <strong>in</strong>dependent. Additionally, <strong>the</strong> law <strong>of</strong> electronic<br />
communications is planned, while <strong>the</strong> new National Regulation <strong>of</strong> Distribution <strong>of</strong> Areas <strong>of</strong><br />
Frequencies and <strong>the</strong> National System <strong>of</strong> Management and Monitor<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> Spectrum were<br />
published.<br />
3.5. Conclusion<br />
By summ<strong>in</strong>g up, <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong> is grow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> an environment characterized by high<br />
growth rates and improved economic climate. Despite <strong>the</strong> small deceleration dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> last<br />
two years, <strong>the</strong> macroeconomic environment for <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong> rema<strong>in</strong>s favourable. Private<br />
consumption and <strong>in</strong>vestments (private and public) can contribute to <strong>the</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>, despite <strong>the</strong> upward trend <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest rates. It should be noted however, that an<br />
environment <strong>of</strong> a strong domestic demand and high growth has been shaped s<strong>in</strong>ce 2000, but<br />
this did not deter <strong>the</strong> recession <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational and domestic demand for <strong>ICT</strong>s. This<br />
means that <strong>the</strong> favourable macroeconomic environment is not a necessary and mandatory<br />
condition for <strong>the</strong> development and <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> demand for <strong>ICT</strong>s products and services.<br />
At <strong>the</strong> same time, <strong>the</strong> long established structural problems <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek economy and <strong>the</strong><br />
delays <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> planned reforms create a competitiveness deficit and<br />
create difficulties that touch upon <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong> as well. Besides, most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> problems, <strong>the</strong><br />
later face, do not differentiate from <strong>the</strong> usual problems that Greek firms <strong>in</strong> general face.<br />
Consequently, <strong>the</strong> effectiveness <strong>of</strong> policies that concern <strong>the</strong> IS is maximized to <strong>the</strong> degree<br />
that <strong>the</strong> long last<strong>in</strong>g problems <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek economy are improved. These policies not only<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease, as it was stated earlier, but <strong>the</strong>y are also <strong>in</strong>cluded as an additional dimension <strong>in</strong><br />
o<strong>the</strong>r policy areas as well (employment, <strong>in</strong>vestment, <strong>in</strong>frastructures, etc.), while <strong>the</strong>y are<br />
extended to <strong>the</strong> entire spectrum <strong>of</strong> socio-economic activity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> country.<br />
4. Ma<strong>in</strong> F<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs - <strong>ICT</strong>s’ future prospects<br />
October 2006<br />
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In <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g section, some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> basic f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> study are presented, <strong>in</strong> order to<br />
map <strong>the</strong> basic characteristics <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>sector</strong> and <strong>the</strong> factors that support our view<br />
about its prospects. This section consists by two parts. At <strong>the</strong> first one, <strong>the</strong> growth sources<br />
and <strong>the</strong> barriers for <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> are explored, while at <strong>the</strong> second one, <strong>the</strong>se are <strong>in</strong>dexed<br />
and summarized.<br />
4.1. Basic f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs: Sources and Barriers / for growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek <strong>ICT</strong><br />
<strong>sector</strong><br />
The domestic demand for <strong>ICT</strong> products / services is problematic<br />
The basic characteristic <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> domestic demand for <strong>ICT</strong>s products/ services is its small<br />
magnitude, which <strong>in</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>ation with <strong>the</strong> limited exports so far lead to a problematic and<br />
scattered total demand for <strong>ICT</strong>s. Three are <strong>the</strong> key client categories that form domestic<br />
demand: a) Retail which is supported by wholesal<strong>in</strong>g distribution, b) firms (large and SMEs)<br />
and c) <strong>the</strong> Public. More specifically:<br />
The primary demand created by <strong>the</strong> Public <strong>sector</strong> is <strong>of</strong> small magnitude: <strong>the</strong><br />
formation <strong>of</strong> a secondary demand by more familiarized citizens and firms is more<br />
crucial and substantial<br />
Demand from <strong>the</strong> public <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> quantitative terms is not that important and does not<br />
create <strong>the</strong> conditions <strong>of</strong> a steady and powerful correspond<strong>in</strong>g demand. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong>se<br />
limited resources are not used sufficiently and efficiently conveyed to <strong>the</strong> market. Despite <strong>the</strong><br />
precise and correct design, <strong>the</strong> Public Adm<strong>in</strong>istration’s problems and <strong>the</strong> legislative<br />
difficulties, h<strong>in</strong>der <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> projects. In parallel, it seems that <strong>the</strong> emphasis<br />
is not placed on <strong>the</strong> actual service to be provided, but ra<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong>re is a simple transition <strong>of</strong><br />
paperwork to an electronic environment (electronic bureaucracy). A simple implant <strong>of</strong> a<br />
system <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Public <strong>sector</strong> may lead to an unused and ultimately dead box, if <strong>the</strong> services<br />
that it is planned to provide have not undergone any organizational changes 10 .<br />
The small magnitude <strong>of</strong> that side <strong>of</strong> demand provides a good rationale for <strong>the</strong> limited number<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> firms, which depend <strong>the</strong>ir survival on <strong>the</strong> public <strong>sector</strong>. Indeed as field research<br />
shows, <strong>the</strong> public <strong>sector</strong> constitutes <strong>the</strong> basic market only for <strong>the</strong> 10% <strong>of</strong> firms, although<br />
<strong>the</strong>ir majority (more that 60%) sells at least 1% <strong>of</strong> its turnover to <strong>the</strong> State 11 . Despite <strong>the</strong><br />
op<strong>in</strong>ions for under-priced projects, <strong>the</strong> large enterprises <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> participate to <strong>the</strong><br />
10 Field research on <strong>ICT</strong> firms, 2006 (deliverable 5b), Round table Discussion (6/7/2006), Observatory<br />
for <strong>the</strong> IS.<br />
11 Field research <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> firms, 2006 (deliverable 5b)<br />
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implementation <strong>of</strong> important <strong>in</strong>frastructure projects, as <strong>the</strong>y seem to have <strong>the</strong> suitable<br />
portfolio <strong>of</strong> resources and capabilities, human capital, and know-how to do so. An adequate<br />
number <strong>of</strong> small firms participate as subcontractors, while <strong>the</strong>ir operation is possibly<br />
dependant on <strong>the</strong>se subcontracts. However, some small enterprises do not participate <strong>in</strong><br />
such public <strong>of</strong>fer<strong>in</strong>gs and focus on specific niche markets, so as to obta<strong>in</strong> an important<br />
position<strong>in</strong>g. Thus, <strong>the</strong>y give more emphasis on <strong>the</strong>ir keep<strong>in</strong>g up with <strong>the</strong>se markets ra<strong>the</strong>r<br />
than enter<strong>in</strong>g on such projects that may require a different approach and <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong><br />
human capital .<br />
Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong> primary enhancement <strong>of</strong> demand by <strong>the</strong> Public is limited and<br />
problematic should not ignore <strong>the</strong> multiply<strong>in</strong>g benefits that <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
largest Programmes for <strong>the</strong> IS <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> period 2000-2006 entails. The implementation <strong>of</strong> this<br />
Programme triggered <strong>in</strong>tense mobility <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>. This is why <strong>ICT</strong>s firms po<strong>in</strong>t out that it<br />
constitutes <strong>the</strong> primary source for <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>’s growth. Besides, <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> goal <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
Programme for <strong>the</strong> creation <strong>of</strong> critical mass <strong>of</strong> users, <strong>in</strong>frastructures (<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Public and Private<br />
<strong>sector</strong>s) for electronic services and mechanisms that contribute to <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> IS <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>Greece</strong>, can constitute a pillar for susta<strong>in</strong>able growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> long term.<br />
Demand from firms is larger <strong>in</strong> magnitude, but also problematic<br />
The firms primarily and <strong>the</strong> consumers secondary constitute a more substantial market for<br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong> 12 . However, both <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se markets suffer from some common characteristics<br />
that keep <strong>the</strong> specific demand low and also problematic. Despite <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong> cost <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>ICT</strong>s use and especially <strong>the</strong> cost <strong>of</strong> Internet does <strong>in</strong>deed <strong>in</strong>hibit <strong>the</strong> diffusion <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s, studies<br />
have proved that it is <strong>the</strong> low electronic culture <strong>of</strong> potential clients <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> firms and <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
limited <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s products / services that are more significant <strong>in</strong>hibitory factors.<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, nei<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> attitude <strong>of</strong> consumers towards <strong>ICT</strong>s nor <strong>the</strong> degree <strong>of</strong> management<br />
<strong>of</strong> firms and <strong>the</strong> possibilities for organizational changes are satisfactory. These phenomena<br />
have been responsible for <strong>the</strong> slow progress <strong>in</strong> mov<strong>in</strong>g towards <strong>the</strong> IS.<br />
Two are <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> barriers identified: First, <strong>the</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> conjunction to low IT skills<br />
that result to customers <strong>of</strong> low maturity. Second, <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong>se agents are not conv<strong>in</strong>ced<br />
bout <strong>the</strong> true benefits <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s to a degree that justifies such an <strong>in</strong>vestment. The potential<br />
users <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s do not easily pay for <strong>in</strong>tangible assets, while <strong>the</strong>y focus on <strong>the</strong> system and not<br />
on <strong>the</strong> services and <strong>the</strong>ir possible benefits. Thus, <strong>in</strong>vestments on <strong>ICT</strong>s rema<strong>in</strong> at a low<br />
12 Basic customers come from Trade and Industry, while Tourism, Shipp<strong>in</strong>g, and at a very small extent<br />
Health constitute small niche markets. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand, Banks are a very dynamic section <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
market, as <strong>the</strong>y have supported <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> recession period.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 24
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
priority <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>vestment plann<strong>in</strong>g. But <strong>ICT</strong> firms are also responsible for that, at least to a<br />
certa<strong>in</strong> degree. The “easy” sales <strong>of</strong> equipment <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> past and <strong>the</strong> standard products/services<br />
<strong>the</strong>y used to <strong>of</strong>fer might have been disproportionate <strong>in</strong> relation to <strong>the</strong> size <strong>of</strong> Greek firms and<br />
<strong>the</strong> needs <strong>of</strong> Greek users. Thus, <strong>the</strong>y may have created some sort <strong>of</strong> mistrust 13 .<br />
As a result, <strong>ICT</strong> use <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek population has been settled, while firms <strong>in</strong>crease slowly<br />
<strong>the</strong>ir <strong>ICT</strong> use. Even if an important portion <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population and firms use and apply <strong>ICT</strong>s to<br />
a degree comparable with o<strong>the</strong>r developed countries, a digital gap has emerged. Significant<br />
categories <strong>of</strong> people and firms do not follow <strong>the</strong>se trends. At <strong>the</strong> same time, <strong>the</strong>re are some<br />
“rock-steady” parts”, that is large categories <strong>of</strong> population and entrepreneurs that do not<br />
accept <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s because <strong>of</strong> technophobia. They claim that <strong>the</strong>re is no reason or any <strong>in</strong>terest<br />
or any policy measure that would change <strong>the</strong>ir view about <strong>the</strong> necessity <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s.<br />
Thus, although reasonable prices and availability <strong>of</strong> services may amplify a weak demand,<br />
tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g potential customers and awareness <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> practical benefits from <strong>ICT</strong>s are far more<br />
important and <strong>of</strong>fer longer-term benefits. The first step seems to be <strong>the</strong> broader diffusion <strong>of</strong><br />
Internet use that will permit for <strong>the</strong> acknowledgment <strong>of</strong> more services that could attract<br />
greater parts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population and firms.<br />
…such as external demand, mostly because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> extroversion<br />
Although more <strong>in</strong>tensive export activity usually constitutes a solution for small – sized<br />
domestic market, export activity <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> firms is <strong>of</strong> small scale: almost 60% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong><br />
operates exclusively <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> domestic market. Thus, external trade <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s goods rema<strong>in</strong>s<br />
limited and is less than <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> trade <strong>of</strong> 2000. Exports comprise just 14% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> total trade<br />
flows, while <strong>in</strong> 2005 <strong>ICT</strong>s goods comprise <strong>the</strong> 5.2% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> total external trade <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>Greece</strong> (7.3% <strong>in</strong> 2000). European Union is firmly <strong>the</strong> primary supplier <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s products,<br />
whereas <strong>in</strong> 2005, it becomes <strong>the</strong> basic recipient <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek exports. This reflects an effort<br />
for an empowerment <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> export activity to more developed countries.<br />
Therefore, small size <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> domestic market does not seem to prompt towards a strategy <strong>of</strong><br />
enter<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to new geographical areas14. Firms are reluctant and have limited <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>vestments on export activities, while size affects significantly such behaviour15. Thus, any<br />
13 In EITO 2005, it is po<strong>in</strong>ted out that this misfit <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> products / services and real users’<br />
needs is at least a european problem. In fact it has led <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> past many European firms to<br />
postpon<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>vestments on <strong>ICT</strong>s.<br />
14 Field research on <strong>ICT</strong> firms, 2006 (Deliverable 5b)<br />
15 Accord<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> Pan-Hellenic Association <strong>of</strong> Exporters, <strong>the</strong> basic problems <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek firms to<br />
demonstrate a more <strong>in</strong>tense export activity are related with <strong>the</strong>ir weakness <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g access to f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />
mechanisms, lack <strong>of</strong> tax <strong>in</strong>centives, domestic bureaucracy, <strong>the</strong> high premiums <strong>of</strong> export credits, etc.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 25
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
<strong>in</strong>cl<strong>in</strong>ation to extroversion is expressed only by some large firms from some large<br />
manufacturers <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s equipment (besides, <strong>the</strong> telecommunication equipment dom<strong>in</strong>ates <strong>the</strong><br />
exports), or some <strong>in</strong>tensive export-oriented agents for IT services that seem to have ga<strong>in</strong>ed<br />
access to foreign markets, ma<strong>in</strong>ly <strong>the</strong> Balkans ones.<br />
The supply side is fragmented, numerous, and small <strong>in</strong> size: Many firms for few<br />
clients and all for every product / service<br />
The domestic <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> is constituted by a large number <strong>of</strong> firms that deal with <strong>ICT</strong>s<br />
products/ services ei<strong>the</strong>r as a primary or as a secondary activity16. Even though almost 40%<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>m belong to Information Technologies and 37% belong to <strong>the</strong> relevant wholesale<br />
Trade, <strong>the</strong> small percent <strong>of</strong> 8% operat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Telecommunications represents (2004)<br />
approximately <strong>the</strong> 55% and 67% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> total turnover and net pr<strong>of</strong>its respectively.<br />
The viability <strong>of</strong> that large number <strong>of</strong> firms, especially <strong>in</strong> IT services could be considered as<br />
precarious, as <strong>the</strong> demand is low. The supply side is scattered, with a large number <strong>of</strong> firms<br />
try<strong>in</strong>g to survive <strong>in</strong> a small sized market. This reflects <strong>the</strong> need for a restructur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>sector</strong>, mergers & acquisitions, and <strong>in</strong>evitably <strong>the</strong> closure <strong>of</strong> some already bankrupted firms.<br />
At <strong>the</strong> same time, it is a “new” <strong>sector</strong> that has been grown (by 80%) dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> last 15 years.<br />
This may account for <strong>the</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> a better established entrepreneurial behaviour <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>.<br />
The 2 nd generation <strong>of</strong> entrepreneurs could provide an answer to this problem, if <strong>the</strong>y could<br />
<strong>in</strong>corporate <strong>the</strong> past knowledge and experience <strong>in</strong> today’s adopted practices 17 . Thus, issues<br />
<strong>of</strong> culture and lack <strong>of</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>essionalism, along with <strong>the</strong> fragmented structure <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>, limit<br />
<strong>the</strong> possibility <strong>of</strong> strong growth for <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> total. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, radical technological<br />
developments that take place and characterize <strong>ICT</strong> products and services, <strong>the</strong> convergence <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>formation technologies and telecommunications and <strong>the</strong> rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g open issues concern<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>the</strong> regulatory framework, may not permit more <strong>in</strong>tegrated and long-term bus<strong>in</strong>ess plans. At<br />
<strong>the</strong> same time, <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> is reluctant to enter more dynamically <strong>in</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r promis<strong>in</strong>g <strong>sector</strong>s,<br />
such as Tourism, i.e. to address <strong>the</strong> demand by segments and to create stronger niche<br />
markets.<br />
In <strong>the</strong> same l<strong>in</strong>e <strong>of</strong> argument, <strong>the</strong> average <strong>ICT</strong> firm rema<strong>in</strong>s a small firm. This results to <strong>the</strong><br />
usual functional and competitiveness problems that <strong>the</strong> average Greek SME faces. It is firms<br />
<strong>of</strong> considerable size that have usually greater possibilities for growth, extravert behaviour and<br />
16 More than 1800 firms found <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess registry <strong>of</strong> Hellastat (accord<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> def<strong>in</strong>ition <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong> with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> framework <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> present project).<br />
17 Round Table Discussion (6/7/2006), Observatory for IS.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 26
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
are able to be competitive even at an <strong>in</strong>ternational level. On <strong>the</strong> contrary, small firms, <strong>in</strong><br />
order to survive, should adopt more targeted strategies that focus on niche markets or<br />
operate complementary to large firms-clients.<br />
Therefore, a major problem for <strong>ICT</strong>s firms is <strong>the</strong>ir “shallowness”, as <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> does not<br />
“learn”, rema<strong>in</strong>s small <strong>in</strong> size, scattered, and without specialization (“everyone sells<br />
everyth<strong>in</strong>g”). The excessive focus on box-mov<strong>in</strong>g that characterized past years’ growth has<br />
been myopic so far, as it led to “easy” sales, but with no longer term prospects. But<br />
nowadays, <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>it marg<strong>in</strong>s for <strong>the</strong>se activities are very limited, as <strong>the</strong> prices have been<br />
reduced to very low levels. Hence, emphasis should be placed, not on sell<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong><br />
equipment, but on sell<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> service and <strong>the</strong> actual benefits that <strong>the</strong> users can acquire.<br />
Employment <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>: Slight <strong>in</strong>crease but under precarious conditions<br />
Employment <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> next couple <strong>of</strong> years will probably <strong>in</strong>crease, as several<br />
positive signs have been reported 18 . It seems that <strong>the</strong> imbalances <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> previous years have<br />
been smoo<strong>the</strong>d. The expected <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> demand, <strong>the</strong> need for new value – added products<br />
/ services and <strong>the</strong> expansion <strong>of</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess activities <strong>in</strong> new technological areas, <strong>in</strong> conjunction<br />
with <strong>the</strong> healthy economic conditions support <strong>the</strong>se positive trends. The empowerment <strong>of</strong><br />
employment <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> is crucial, as it <strong>in</strong>volves well tra<strong>in</strong>ed, highly specialized parts <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> national workforce.<br />
However, <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dividual <strong>sector</strong>-based particularities should not be ignored. In this framework,<br />
new vacancies are located ma<strong>in</strong>ly <strong>in</strong> Trade and secondarily <strong>in</strong> Services. On <strong>the</strong> contrary, <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> manufactur<strong>in</strong>g part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> (manufacture <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s equipment), <strong>the</strong> trends are not<br />
positive. Firms from this sub<strong>sector</strong> have to face <strong>the</strong> competitive pressure from lower cost<br />
countries. Their products that are imported <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> have a low price and a relatively good<br />
quality.<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, some exogenous factors stemm<strong>in</strong>g from <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational environment, (i.e as<br />
mergers & acquisitions <strong>of</strong> some important mult<strong>in</strong>ationals), should not be ignored. As <strong>the</strong>se<br />
events are proliferat<strong>in</strong>g at <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational level, <strong>the</strong>y may affect <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternal environment as<br />
well, lead<strong>in</strong>g to possible personnel reductions. Moreover, and <strong>in</strong> a more longer-term<br />
perspective, <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> relevant <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>s <strong>in</strong> neighbour<strong>in</strong>g countries and <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
18 National Statistical Office’s survey on Human Capital, Field Research on <strong>ICT</strong> firms, Kantor studies,<br />
Boyden A<strong>the</strong>ns studies and BCS from IOBE.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 27
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
upgrade <strong>in</strong> know-how <strong>in</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>ation with lower wages may lead to a withdrawal <strong>of</strong> foreign<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestors from <strong>Greece</strong> 19.<br />
On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand, recent studies <strong>of</strong> human capital trends report an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> demand<br />
for executives <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>, converg<strong>in</strong>g, thus, with <strong>the</strong> estimation for an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> total<br />
employment <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>. However, <strong>the</strong> supply is also cont<strong>in</strong>uously grow<strong>in</strong>g and it can lead<br />
to an imbalance between demand and supply <strong>of</strong> relevant labour <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>. University<br />
graduates <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> sciences <strong>in</strong>crease to a greater extent than <strong>the</strong> domestic labour demand.<br />
Hence, <strong>the</strong>re is adequacy <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> executives, while o<strong>the</strong>r types <strong>of</strong> employment are<br />
also expanded (external advisors, part-time and non-permanent employment). On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
hand this should lead to a re<strong>in</strong>forcement <strong>of</strong> entrepreneurship <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>. Such a trend is<br />
<strong>in</strong>deed evident, as <strong>the</strong>re is an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> birth <strong>of</strong> start ups <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> last<br />
years. Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong> degree and <strong>the</strong> quality characteristics <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se new ventures are not<br />
adequate <strong>in</strong> order to absorb all graduates from <strong>the</strong> correspond<strong>in</strong>g faculties. As<br />
entrepreneurship studies reveal, <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> only 10% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> new ventures can be classified<br />
among <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>, be<strong>in</strong>g ma<strong>in</strong>ly a retail firm 20.<br />
Bu summ<strong>in</strong>g up, <strong>the</strong> trends for total employment <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> may be considered positive <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> short term and are certa<strong>in</strong>ly better than <strong>the</strong> situation three years ago. However, <strong>the</strong>se<br />
positive trends have a <strong>sector</strong>-based orientation and probably a specific skills orientation.<br />
Additionally, <strong>the</strong>re is a degree <strong>of</strong> uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty regard<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> success <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> firms’ growth<br />
strategies, while external factors may place <strong>in</strong> danger some job positions <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> domestic<br />
<strong>sector</strong>. Simultaneously, labour supply <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> may not balance with <strong>the</strong> relevant<br />
demand.<br />
The human capital is one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> strengths <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>, but Universities should be<br />
more aligned with <strong>the</strong> needs <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> firms<br />
Field research on <strong>ICT</strong> firms showed that <strong>the</strong> human capital <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> is considered as its<br />
strong advantage. However, <strong>the</strong>re is still some space for improvements. The level <strong>of</strong> tertiary /<br />
technical education and tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g with regard to <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s is significant, <strong>the</strong> syllabuses are<br />
adequate and complete <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> context, while <strong>the</strong> specialized personnel <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> labour<br />
market is also sufficient. Firms are satisfied with <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> human capital <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> domestic<br />
labour market, as <strong>the</strong>re are good and well skilled eng<strong>in</strong>eers and executives, allow<strong>in</strong>g a growth<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>. However, a significant part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>sector</strong> is not fully satisfied, as it<br />
19 However for <strong>the</strong> time be<strong>in</strong>g, an <strong>in</strong>creased foreign <strong>in</strong>vestors’ <strong>in</strong>terest is recorded (especially <strong>in</strong> Trade<br />
and Telecommunications). This implies <strong>the</strong> existence <strong>of</strong> opportunities <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek market.<br />
20 Data <strong>of</strong> Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM), a research consortium to which <strong>Greece</strong> is<br />
represented by IOBE<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 28
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
p<strong>in</strong>po<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>the</strong> need for an even more targeted tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g, better quality and a more efficient fit<br />
with <strong>the</strong> market’s needs.<br />
Indeed, market needs are not well aligned with <strong>the</strong> Greek educational system a fact that<br />
creates difficulties <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> improvement not only <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>, but several o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>sector</strong>s as<br />
well21. The need for streng<strong>the</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g cooperation between firms and universities and an<br />
improved preparation <strong>of</strong> graduates rema<strong>in</strong>s high. Firms ask for a greater familiarization <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
graduates with market terms and functions. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, o<strong>the</strong>r types <strong>of</strong> cooperation such as<br />
fieldwork, sem<strong>in</strong>ars by executives, and a more <strong>in</strong>tense collaboration <strong>in</strong> R&D could lead to a<br />
more effective l<strong>in</strong>kage between education and “production process”.<br />
Intense competition <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> pric<strong>in</strong>g and not <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> technology: Well targeted<br />
strategies, but difficulties <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir implementation<br />
Prices are <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> element <strong>of</strong> competition <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> (field research data), while<br />
competition <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> market<strong>in</strong>g and advertis<strong>in</strong>g follow next. On <strong>the</strong> contrary, <strong>the</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />
environment cannot be characterised as particularly competitive <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> differentiated<br />
technological products/ services or <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> quality and value –added products/ services,<br />
although demand and competitors’ moves are not easily predicted. Therefore, all firms seem<br />
to sell similar products, which differ only <strong>in</strong> price and <strong>the</strong> means for promotion. This leads on<br />
one hand to an <strong>in</strong>tense competitive pressure that limits pr<strong>of</strong>it marg<strong>in</strong>s, but on <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand<br />
also creates an opportunity for <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>novators, those that try for differentiation and market<br />
specialization.<br />
With<strong>in</strong> this framework, <strong>ICT</strong> firms’ strategic objectives for <strong>the</strong> next couple <strong>of</strong> years is tw<strong>of</strong>old:<br />
First, to achieve a better market share for <strong>the</strong>ir exist<strong>in</strong>g products <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> market <strong>in</strong> which <strong>the</strong>y<br />
are already active, a fact that affirms <strong>the</strong> room for competitive pressure by attract<strong>in</strong>g<br />
customers from <strong>the</strong> weakest opponents. Second, to <strong>in</strong>novate by <strong>in</strong>troduc<strong>in</strong>g new<br />
products/services, aim<strong>in</strong>g not only to attract customers <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> given market (<strong>ICT</strong>s users), but<br />
also to attract new customers (<strong>ICT</strong>s non-users).<br />
Their pr<strong>of</strong>ile <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> strategic actions <strong>the</strong>y follow <strong>in</strong> order to achieve <strong>the</strong>ir objectives, is<br />
concentrated <strong>in</strong> four ma<strong>in</strong> areas: a) emphasis on <strong>the</strong> value-added products/ services <strong>of</strong>fered,<br />
despite <strong>the</strong> fact that competition <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> has ma<strong>in</strong>ly price and market<strong>in</strong>g characteristics,<br />
21 There is also <strong>the</strong> view that capable executives <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> have not yet completely exploited <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
skills <strong>in</strong> large scaled projects- this is also attributable to delays <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> public funded<br />
projects- which results to underemployment or employment <strong>in</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r fields which do not capture <strong>the</strong><br />
personnel’s skills.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 29
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
b) differentiation strategies that place emphasis on similar products/services, c) focus on<br />
niche markets and d) emphasis on <strong>the</strong>ir organizational flexibility. The later strategy supports<br />
<strong>the</strong> rest, s<strong>in</strong>ce it permits to a firm to adjust more easily to changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />
environment.<br />
Ano<strong>the</strong>r bundle <strong>of</strong> strategies <strong>in</strong>volves actions that concern both <strong>the</strong> external and <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternal<br />
environment <strong>of</strong> firms: a) emphasis on <strong>the</strong> human capital, by creat<strong>in</strong>g an attractive work<strong>in</strong>g<br />
environment that keeps, promotes, and attracts well tra<strong>in</strong>ed workforce, b) differentiation <strong>in</strong><br />
new products/ services, c) effectiveness <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternal operations and improvement <strong>in</strong><br />
productivity (it refers to actions that a firm can take <strong>in</strong> order to improve its <strong>in</strong>ternal<br />
operations, to identify its weaknesses and strengths, and thus, to become more competitive),<br />
d) creat<strong>in</strong>g strategic alliances with o<strong>the</strong>r firms, as an alternative for <strong>the</strong> limited <strong>in</strong>cl<strong>in</strong>ation to<br />
M&A.<br />
By summ<strong>in</strong>g up, <strong>ICT</strong> firms seem to be aware <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> po<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>the</strong>y should focus on: <strong>in</strong>novation,<br />
value added, human capital, and flexibility. However, an issue that arises is whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong>y can<br />
apply successfully <strong>the</strong>se strategies. Not all firms have <strong>the</strong> resources and capabilities or have<br />
<strong>the</strong> will to commit to a strategic plan with <strong>the</strong> aforementioned characteristics. There are,<br />
though, some good examples show<strong>in</strong>g that some firms can succeed towards that direction<br />
and become competitive at an <strong>in</strong>ternational level, <strong>in</strong>fluenc<strong>in</strong>g positively <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> as a whole.<br />
Bus<strong>in</strong>ess R&D is limited, but <strong>the</strong>re are some research agents that collaborate with<br />
academia<br />
Although several firms <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> state that <strong>the</strong>y carry out R&D, <strong>the</strong>re is ra<strong>the</strong>r a limited<br />
<strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>-house R&D. However, R&D constitutes an important dimension <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>novation, as<br />
it contributes to new knowledge creation, while it supports <strong>the</strong> transformation <strong>of</strong><br />
technological advancements <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>novative products and services. Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong> def<strong>in</strong>ition<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>novation is quite broad, as it refers to any improved product /service that is launched <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> market, or an improvement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternal processes (not strictly technological ones).<br />
With<strong>in</strong> this framework, worldwide technological developments support domestic firms.<br />
Consequently, <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> is one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> most <strong>in</strong>novative <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> country, as it is argued by<br />
<strong>in</strong>novation surveys carried out by <strong>the</strong> EU (CIS, SIS22).<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, research activity <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> most important Greek Universities and research centres<br />
show that <strong>the</strong>re is a core <strong>of</strong> firms, which collaborate with <strong>the</strong> academia, ei<strong>the</strong>r via<br />
22 The Greek enterprises <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation technology are first <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> rank <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Sector-based Table <strong>of</strong><br />
Innovation (Sectoral Innovation Scorecard-SIS) <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> European Committee (2004)<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 30
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
collaborations subsidised by Community and national resources or even with private fund<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
These collaborations <strong>of</strong>fered a significant route aga<strong>in</strong>st <strong>the</strong> limited R&D environment <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>Greece</strong>, as it is reflected <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased participation to Framework Programmes s<strong>in</strong>ce 1984.<br />
For example, 234 Greek firms participated <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> IST Program (5th Framework Programme)<br />
that <strong>in</strong>cluded 2203 research projects. This performance ranks <strong>Greece</strong> 6th <strong>in</strong> Europe. This<br />
<strong>in</strong>dicates that Greek <strong>ICT</strong> firms are substantially represented, <strong>in</strong> comparison to o<strong>the</strong>r countries,<br />
even those be<strong>in</strong>g more technologically advanced than <strong>Greece</strong>. Is should also be mentioned<br />
that two important <strong>ICT</strong> research centres operate <strong>in</strong> peripheral areas <strong>of</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> (Crete and<br />
Patras) which could support <strong>the</strong> birth and growth <strong>of</strong> some sp<strong>in</strong>-<strong>of</strong>fs firms, build<strong>in</strong>g on high<br />
quality resources and capabilities from <strong>the</strong> nearby universities.<br />
These facts <strong>in</strong>dicate that <strong>the</strong>re are cores <strong>of</strong> research activity that <strong>in</strong> collaboration with<br />
Research Centres and Universities can promote <strong>in</strong>novative products/ services for <strong>the</strong> Greek<br />
market and give solutions for applications <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> new technology, developed abroad.<br />
Direction for this research activity could <strong>in</strong>volve: adaptation and <strong>in</strong>tegration <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> exist<strong>in</strong>g<br />
technology <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek environment, s<strong>of</strong>tware adjusted to <strong>the</strong> Greek firms’ needs, digital<br />
content, e-government applications, e-learn<strong>in</strong>g and e-health, telecommunication networks,<br />
etc. These activities can add value to <strong>the</strong> exist<strong>in</strong>g products/ services. Thus, <strong>the</strong>y can become<br />
more attractive for users or give solutions to technical cost issues <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> firms, releas<strong>in</strong>g<br />
resources for o<strong>the</strong>r activities. Moreover, <strong>the</strong>y can utilize <strong>the</strong> advanced capabilities <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
workforce <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>, as <strong>the</strong>se capabilities are not yet fully explored.<br />
F<strong>in</strong>ancial recovery after 2002 and possible growth possibilities: turnover <strong>in</strong>crease for<br />
2006 and 2007<br />
Although <strong>the</strong> results <strong>of</strong> recession <strong>in</strong> demand dur<strong>in</strong>g 2000-2002 <strong>in</strong>ternationally and <strong>the</strong><br />
misjudgements <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment choices <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternal f<strong>in</strong>ancial market have not yet surpassed,<br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> seems to have recovered f<strong>in</strong>ancially and follows a course <strong>of</strong> upturn dur<strong>in</strong>g 2002-<br />
2004. The general conditions are <strong>in</strong>fluenced by <strong>the</strong> behaviour <strong>of</strong> OTE (high losses <strong>in</strong> 2004),<br />
while a positive picture is noted <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> mobile carriers. The rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g firms show some<br />
satisfactory results <strong>in</strong> 2004, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> turnover and <strong>the</strong>ir net pr<strong>of</strong>its.<br />
Small enterprises <strong>of</strong> 11-49 employees are relatively dynamic, as several <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>m are <strong>the</strong> ones<br />
that contribute to <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> whole <strong>sector</strong>. On <strong>the</strong> contrary, medium-sized firms (50-<br />
249 employees) were weak to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> important rise <strong>of</strong> turnover and net pr<strong>of</strong>its <strong>in</strong> 2003,<br />
which resulted to a deceleration <strong>in</strong> 2004. Large firms also show some satisfactory results,<br />
while bad results <strong>of</strong> specific firms are counterbalanced by good performance <strong>of</strong> some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 31
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
important firms <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>. Besides, large firms have greater pr<strong>of</strong>it marg<strong>in</strong>s than <strong>the</strong><br />
smaller ones.<br />
Firms from <strong>the</strong> IT <strong>sector</strong> show some good records (especially those employ<strong>in</strong>g 11-49<br />
persons) by <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>ir turnover. Some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> most pr<strong>of</strong>itable ones fur<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
pr<strong>of</strong>its, while losses are reduced considerably <strong>in</strong> 2004. Besides, <strong>the</strong>ir gross pr<strong>of</strong>it marg<strong>in</strong> is<br />
decreas<strong>in</strong>g at lower levels than Telcos. In <strong>the</strong> later, <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased competition, <strong>the</strong> maturation<br />
<strong>of</strong> growth rates <strong>in</strong> mobile carriers, <strong>the</strong> mobility <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> fixed telephony (“alternative carriers)<br />
market and <strong>the</strong> substantial decrease <strong>of</strong> OTE’s figures characterize <strong>the</strong> relevant f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />
environment (deceleration <strong>of</strong> revenues, pr<strong>of</strong>its), The three basic mobile carrier companies<br />
represent henceforth <strong>the</strong> 19% <strong>of</strong> total turnover <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>.<br />
In <strong>the</strong> relevant sub-<strong>sector</strong>s, telecommunication services rema<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> most dynamic part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>ICT</strong> market, while IT Services hold also <strong>the</strong>ir good position. On <strong>the</strong> contrary, manufactur<strong>in</strong>g<br />
and s<strong>of</strong>tware show some disappo<strong>in</strong>t<strong>in</strong>g results, while pr<strong>of</strong>its <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> - heterogeneous and<br />
volatile to a certa<strong>in</strong> degree – sub <strong>sector</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> Trade are slightly <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
However, this upturn trend seems to cease <strong>in</strong> 2005 with some low results <strong>in</strong> sales, revenues,<br />
and pr<strong>of</strong>its. In IT, sales <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> large firms hold <strong>the</strong>ir last year’s levels while pr<strong>of</strong>its decrease.<br />
In Telecommunications, OTE’s losses keep on hav<strong>in</strong>g a negative impact on <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>. In any<br />
case, <strong>the</strong> restructur<strong>in</strong>g actions <strong>in</strong> that market (exits/ acquisitions) and <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestments on<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure will <strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>the</strong> next fiscal years. Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong> telecommunication market<br />
is grow<strong>in</strong>g, attract<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>of</strong> foreign <strong>in</strong>vestors as well 23 . However, results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
A<strong>the</strong>ns stock exchange listed firms for 2006 and forecasts for <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> (cf. Appendix 3)<br />
show an <strong>in</strong>crease 3.4% and an even more <strong>in</strong>tense <strong>in</strong>crease (by 6-7%) respectively <strong>in</strong> 2007<br />
and 2008.<br />
Therefore, poor results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> past and <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> impacts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> stock exchange crisis <strong>in</strong> 2000-<br />
2002 seem to be overcome, despite <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong>re are some pend<strong>in</strong>g issues and fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
bus<strong>in</strong>ess actions that need to be completed. Although results for 2005 are not encourag<strong>in</strong>g,<br />
<strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial environment is not as unstable and problematic as it was <strong>in</strong> 2002. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore,<br />
<strong>in</strong>creased liquidity seem to support <strong>in</strong>vestments, especially <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> telecommunications’ <strong>sector</strong>.<br />
Basic barrier for <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>: <strong>the</strong> limited broadband diffusion<br />
23 More recent forecasts show that <strong>the</strong> turnover <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> will be reduced by 3.1% <strong>in</strong> 2006 (or<br />
2.1%, if retail trade is excluded). This recession <strong>of</strong> turnover is more <strong>in</strong>tense <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> wholesal<strong>in</strong>g trade (-<br />
3.8%) and <strong>the</strong> equipment manufacture. On <strong>the</strong> contrary, IT services <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong>ir turnover by 4.2%. A<br />
marg<strong>in</strong>al recession smaller than 1% is recorded <strong>in</strong> telecommunication services (Cf. Appendix)<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 32
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
The quality <strong>of</strong> Telecommunication <strong>in</strong>frastructures is considered by most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> firms poor<br />
compared to European averages, limit<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> new services <strong>of</strong> high added<br />
value. Thus, a basic barrier for <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> is <strong>the</strong> limited diffusion<br />
<strong>of</strong> broadband. The new improved <strong>in</strong>frastructures are <strong>the</strong> precondition for growth, as <strong>the</strong>y will<br />
allow <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> additional services <strong>of</strong> higher value - added. This entails benefits not<br />
only <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> an extended use by <strong>the</strong> current users, but also <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> attract<strong>in</strong>g nonusers,<br />
as <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> products/ services become more attractive. The rapid development <strong>of</strong><br />
broadband connections with<strong>in</strong> 2006 is a positive change, but at <strong>the</strong> moment it reflects a<br />
technological upgrade (dial-up connections’ upgrade) that reflects <strong>the</strong> needs <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> current<br />
users. The content and <strong>the</strong> services (e.g. triple play) that could be developed on upgraded<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure will broaden <strong>the</strong> current <strong>ICT</strong> market as <strong>the</strong>y will attract non-users. Although it<br />
is <strong>the</strong> telecommunication market that will be first positively affected, due to <strong>the</strong> technological<br />
convergence, IT will also have significant positive spillovers, allow<strong>in</strong>g for a growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong><br />
<strong>sector</strong> as a whole.<br />
4.2. Conclusions for <strong>the</strong> prospects <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: growth<br />
under certa<strong>in</strong> preconditions<br />
On <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> aforementioned f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs that demonstrate <strong>the</strong> basic characteristics and<br />
<strong>the</strong> operation framework <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>, along with an analysis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> data that<br />
were ga<strong>the</strong>red and <strong>the</strong> trends that were valuated under <strong>the</strong> present study, what can be<br />
argued is that <strong>the</strong> growth prospects <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong> dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> next two years are<br />
moderate optimistic.<br />
This belief is based upon <strong>the</strong> restriction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> effect <strong>of</strong> demand / supply barriers that still<br />
exist <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> and on <strong>the</strong> re<strong>in</strong>forcement <strong>of</strong> some positive parameters that<br />
characterize <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>. Firms are moderate optimistic, although <strong>the</strong>y recognize that <strong>the</strong><br />
market rema<strong>in</strong>s difficult and has still more barriers than growth resources. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore,<br />
although <strong>the</strong>y are more reluctant for <strong>the</strong> prospects <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> whole <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>, <strong>the</strong>y are<br />
significantly more optimistic for <strong>the</strong>ir own status. They seem to recognize to <strong>the</strong>mselves<br />
certa<strong>in</strong> competitive advantages and <strong>the</strong>ir capability to survive <strong>in</strong> an even unfavourable<br />
environment. This on <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand means that weak players are still present on <strong>the</strong><br />
market, while <strong>the</strong>re are competitive firms that can lead <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry to growth. The<br />
verification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se expectations depend however on <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>tensity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> positive trends <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> elements <strong>of</strong> growth and also <strong>the</strong> restriction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> effect <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> relevant barriers.<br />
The macroeconomic environment is still favourable<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 33
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
The Greek economy is rapidly and steadily grow<strong>in</strong>g. Thus, a favourable macroeconomic<br />
environment is developed for <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>. Private consumption and <strong>in</strong>vestments<br />
rema<strong>in</strong> at high levels, while <strong>the</strong> progressive fiscal re<strong>in</strong>statement allows an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> public<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestments. These trends can benefit <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>. The dynamic elements <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
economy, <strong>the</strong> improved bus<strong>in</strong>ess climate, and <strong>the</strong> government <strong>in</strong>cl<strong>in</strong>ation towards<br />
reformatory <strong>in</strong>itiatives and structural changes imply that <strong>the</strong> economic conditions do not<br />
h<strong>in</strong>der <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>sector</strong>. However, <strong>the</strong> favourable macroeconomic<br />
environment does not constitute a necessary and mandatory condition for <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>’s<br />
growth. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> long established structural problems <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek economy and <strong>the</strong><br />
delays <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> planned reform actions create a competitiveness deficit<br />
and difficulties, which have an impact on all firms. Therefore, to <strong>the</strong> extent that solutions to<br />
<strong>the</strong>se long established problems <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek economy are progress<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>the</strong> effectiveness <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> IS policies could also be improves and maximized.<br />
Evidence for <strong>the</strong> re<strong>in</strong>forcement <strong>of</strong> demand is streng<strong>the</strong>ned<br />
Although <strong>the</strong> problematic characteristics <strong>of</strong> demand require additional time to smooth out,<br />
<strong>the</strong>re are clues for its re<strong>in</strong>forcement. The diffusion <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g <strong>sector</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
economy (such as Tourism, Manufactur<strong>in</strong>g) is considered as a decisive factor <strong>of</strong> demand that<br />
can create broader dynamics for <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>. Entrepreneurs’ understand<strong>in</strong>g that<br />
<strong>the</strong>y can improve <strong>the</strong>ir productivity and competitiveness through <strong>ICT</strong>s is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g. There are<br />
strong <strong>in</strong>dications that <strong>the</strong> medium-sized and <strong>the</strong> larger firms <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> country have moved<br />
from <strong>the</strong> stage <strong>of</strong> connectivity to <strong>the</strong> stage <strong>of</strong> adoption <strong>of</strong> some e-bus<strong>in</strong>ess practises.<br />
Although <strong>the</strong>se firms constitute only a m<strong>in</strong>ority <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> entrepreneurial activity, <strong>the</strong>y relate to a<br />
big portion <strong>of</strong> employment.<br />
Simultaneously, a large number <strong>of</strong> smaller firms operate closely to <strong>the</strong>m and with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
borders <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir productive cha<strong>in</strong> (suppliers/ customers). The smaller firms are already forced<br />
to keep pace with <strong>the</strong>ir large customers and <strong>the</strong>y are expected to be more positive towards<br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestments on <strong>ICT</strong>s. This is probably not attributed to <strong>the</strong>ir beliefs about <strong>ICT</strong>s benefits,<br />
but to <strong>the</strong>ir need to preserve <strong>the</strong>ir position <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. Besides it is predicted that <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong><br />
expenditures will <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> next 2-3 years, ma<strong>in</strong>ly <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> direction <strong>of</strong> IT services and less<br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> hardware 24 . Additionally, as <strong>the</strong> e-bus<strong>in</strong>ess watch survey <strong>in</strong>dicates, a 40% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> firms<br />
from 10 important <strong>sector</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy will <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>vestments on <strong>ICT</strong>s dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />
next year, whereas only 4% will reduce <strong>the</strong>m.<br />
24 Round Table Discussion (6/7/2006), Observatory for IS<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 34
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
In consumers’ market, younger clients have strong dynamics and are expected to stimulate<br />
<strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> socio-economic activity <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> country, as <strong>the</strong>y participate more to <strong>the</strong><br />
economic activity, but also as sources <strong>of</strong> knowledge for <strong>the</strong>ir close environment. Besides,<br />
monthly expenditures <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> households for <strong>ICT</strong> products/ services have <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong><br />
comparison to 1999 (5% opposite to 4%), although <strong>the</strong>y ma<strong>in</strong>ly refer to telecommunication<br />
services. They are estimated to exceed <strong>the</strong> amount <strong>of</strong> 4.3 billion € 25 . Telecommunications<br />
dom<strong>in</strong>ate <strong>the</strong> market, but create also some positive spillovers to <strong>the</strong> IT market.<br />
Consequently, <strong>the</strong> new products/ services that stem from <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g technological<br />
convergence <strong>of</strong> IT and Telcos will have a positive impact on <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s as a whole.<br />
At <strong>the</strong> same time, <strong>the</strong> role <strong>of</strong> State seems to be empowered, not only at <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> motives<br />
and subsidies provider for <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>, but also <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> e- services that facilitate <strong>the</strong><br />
bus<strong>in</strong>ess operations. These services lead to tangible reductions <strong>of</strong> transaction costs and<br />
improve <strong>the</strong> citizens daily life. However, more advanced and efficient services have as a<br />
precondition <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> broadband <strong>in</strong>frastructures that will allow for more services<br />
and will support <strong>the</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g actions that form a priority <strong>of</strong> government policies 26 . The degree<br />
<strong>of</strong> success <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se actions is, thus, one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> factors that will determ<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>tensity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
support <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> secondary demand, which is <strong>the</strong> most significant for <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore,<br />
most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> projects that are implemented <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> country are go<strong>in</strong>g to yield results <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
forthcom<strong>in</strong>g period. This is expected to stimulate <strong>the</strong> diffusion <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s and <strong>the</strong> penetration <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> IS <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> country.<br />
Concern<strong>in</strong>g foreign demand, <strong>in</strong>ternational studies expect a rapid <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong><br />
expenditures <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Balkans, East Countries, former members <strong>of</strong> USSR, and Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Africa 27 .<br />
These countries constitute potential opportunities (especially Bulgaria and Rumania due to<br />
<strong>the</strong>ir imm<strong>in</strong>ent participation <strong>in</strong> EU). Greek firms from various <strong>sector</strong>s have already expanded<br />
to <strong>the</strong>se countries, while large firms <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> have also <strong>in</strong>vested on <strong>the</strong>se<br />
networks. This is a fact that can support, <strong>the</strong> efforts <strong>of</strong> smaller firms, as <strong>the</strong>y usually operate<br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir close environment. Particularly, <strong>the</strong> IT <strong>sector</strong> can be aided by <strong>the</strong> expansion <strong>of</strong><br />
manufactur<strong>in</strong>g firms and Banks <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Balkans and be benefited by <strong>the</strong>ir practises.<br />
Besides, examples <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>tensely extrovert firms are evident, while some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>m have already<br />
entered <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> most developed and demand<strong>in</strong>g markets. There are <strong>the</strong>refore export<br />
<strong>in</strong>tensive cores <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> IT Services sub<strong>sector</strong> that have entered <strong>in</strong>to foreign markets (as<br />
25 National Statistical Service <strong>of</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> (ESYE), Households Expenditures studies<br />
26 Digital Strategy 2006-2013, OP Digital Convergence, Broadband strategic plan<br />
27 IT outlook 2006, OECD<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 35
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
<strong>in</strong>dependent units and not via mult<strong>in</strong>ationals) <strong>of</strong>fer<strong>in</strong>g higher value-added products/services<br />
that relate to <strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>in</strong>formation technology services. These markets and <strong>the</strong><br />
“assum<strong>in</strong>gly” more demand<strong>in</strong>g customers have greater marg<strong>in</strong>s <strong>of</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>ed growth for <strong>the</strong><br />
future. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong>y can form a stable clientele for higher value-added products,<br />
opposite to box mov<strong>in</strong>g that may lead to easier sales, but is more vulnerable to <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>ternational competitive pressure and has lower pr<strong>of</strong>it marg<strong>in</strong>s than those activities.<br />
These prospects for greater extrovert behaviour <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> firms are also reported <strong>in</strong> various<br />
sources, such as <strong>the</strong> estimated <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> participation <strong>of</strong> high-tech and <strong>in</strong>formation<br />
technology firms <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> country’s exports (Press Bullet<strong>in</strong> by M<strong>in</strong>ister <strong>of</strong> Economics, 6/9/2006).<br />
Besides, recent studies (e.g. Kantor) report that <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>s present high levels <strong>of</strong><br />
competitiveness at <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational level. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore (STATBANK, Export Leaders), 21<br />
enterprises <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> top100 - <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> turnover- Greek trade export firms belong to <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong><br />
<strong>sector</strong>, represent<strong>in</strong>g 19% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> turnover actually exported. Although, <strong>the</strong> volume <strong>of</strong> turnover<br />
is still limited (less than 400 million € <strong>in</strong> 2004, with as mean share <strong>of</strong> exported turnover<br />
around 25%), <strong>the</strong>se trends and <strong>the</strong> relevant dynamics <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> field can lead <strong>the</strong> way and help<br />
o<strong>the</strong>r firms <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> to move towards <strong>the</strong> same direction.<br />
These trends, which are more <strong>in</strong>tense <strong>in</strong> Trade and manufactur<strong>in</strong>g and less <strong>in</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> Services,<br />
converge with <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess & consumers surveys <strong>of</strong> IOBE. Foreign orders are<br />
improved, while <strong>the</strong> Bus<strong>in</strong>ess Climate Index <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> manufactur<strong>in</strong>g sub<strong>sector</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s has be<strong>in</strong>g<br />
improved s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> 2006 and henceforth. This is based on more positive<br />
estimations for <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> demand, while abroad orders have also improved. In <strong>ICT</strong><br />
Services, <strong>the</strong> Index seems to improve marg<strong>in</strong>ally <strong>in</strong> 2006, despite <strong>in</strong>tensive ups and downs.<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> climate Index <strong>in</strong> Retail Trade for <strong>ICT</strong>s also improves. The forecasts for <strong>the</strong><br />
short-term sales are favourable, while <strong>the</strong> upturn and re<strong>in</strong>forcement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> commercial<br />
activity is captured by expected <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> employment.<br />
Thus, <strong>the</strong> preconditions for <strong>the</strong> re<strong>in</strong>forcement <strong>of</strong> demand for <strong>ICT</strong>s are evident not only <strong>in</strong><br />
respect to <strong>the</strong> Public demand, but primarily on behalf <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> firms and secondarily on behalf<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> consumers. The mobile phones penetration facilitates <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r valueadded<br />
services, while <strong>the</strong> IPTV is expected to be <strong>the</strong> next “vehicle” <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s growth. In<br />
general, <strong>the</strong> technological convergence <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> IT and <strong>the</strong> (Communications) entails certa<strong>in</strong><br />
benefits that can contribute to <strong>the</strong> more rapid expansion <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Information Society (IS). Of<br />
course, such a forecast comes with uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties depend<strong>in</strong>g on <strong>the</strong> speed <strong>of</strong> this process.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 36
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
Telecommunications and consolidated services are a driv<strong>in</strong>g force for <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>:<br />
Benefits from <strong>the</strong> technological convergence <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation technology and<br />
communications<br />
As previously mentioned, <strong>the</strong> developments <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> telecommunications market lead to more<br />
positive estimations and prospects for <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> as a whole. Products and services <strong>of</strong><br />
both <strong>sector</strong>s will be fur<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>tegrated and consolidated, thus creat<strong>in</strong>g higher added value at<br />
a relatively affordable price (access and use). Triple play services reflect this convergence and<br />
<strong>the</strong> new advanced possibilities. They are expected to develop <strong>in</strong> parallel with <strong>the</strong><br />
improvement <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructures and <strong>the</strong> cost reduction will make <strong>the</strong>m more affordable.<br />
Simultaneously, <strong>the</strong> Internet itself can be far more attractive (richer content and multimedia)<br />
for <strong>the</strong> potential user. Services such as digital television, video on demand, VoIP (for<br />
enterprises), and <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>tegrated solutions for B2B and B2C (for SMEs) are<br />
some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se services that can attract new categories <strong>of</strong> potential users. However, a<br />
precondition for that is <strong>the</strong> broader diffusion <strong>of</strong> broadband, which will significantly contribute<br />
to <strong>the</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r development <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>.<br />
There are opportunities and activities/ products/ services with wider growth marg<strong>in</strong>s<br />
The fact that <strong>the</strong>re is an <strong>in</strong>creased foreign <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong>terest and many agents are seek<strong>in</strong>g<br />
for additional collaborations <strong>in</strong> order and make some specific <strong>in</strong>vestment choices <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong><br />
reveals that <strong>the</strong> domestic market- besides its problems - <strong>of</strong>fers some opportunities that <strong>the</strong>y<br />
rush to exploit. This trend support higher expectations for domestic demand. The<br />
development <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>fota<strong>in</strong>ment is dynamic, while broadband Internet will allow for <strong>the</strong><br />
development <strong>of</strong> new attractive services (triple play). The pr<strong>of</strong>it marg<strong>in</strong>s <strong>of</strong> box-mov<strong>in</strong>g are<br />
limited, while s<strong>of</strong>tware is not a pr<strong>of</strong>itable activity for <strong>in</strong>dependent domestic firms.<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong>ir activities are <strong>in</strong> danger <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir current form, s<strong>in</strong>ce large mult<strong>in</strong>ationals,<br />
which <strong>of</strong>fer similar services, will dom<strong>in</strong>ate <strong>the</strong> market. There are, though, some opportunities<br />
for parameterisation for <strong>the</strong> domestic firms, which should adopt <strong>the</strong> SaaS model (S<strong>of</strong>tware as<br />
a Service) and turn to more <strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>in</strong>formation technology services. The environment is<br />
difficult for <strong>the</strong> manufactur<strong>in</strong>g sub<strong>sector</strong> as well, because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational competition’s<br />
pressures. There is also a prosperous future for Trade, if <strong>the</strong>y manage to broaden <strong>the</strong><br />
portfolio <strong>of</strong> products and work as supporter <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Services <strong>sector</strong> 28 . A SWOT analysis for <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> and its sub-<strong>sector</strong>s can be found <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Appendices 1 and 2.<br />
28 Indeed after some recent closures, a gap has been created <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> retail market. The exist<strong>in</strong>g<br />
distribution channels rush to exploit this gap by streng<strong>the</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>ir network, while <strong>the</strong>re could be room<br />
for a new <strong>in</strong>dependent network.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 37
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
However, <strong>the</strong>re are certa<strong>in</strong> preconditions for <strong>the</strong> verification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se positive expectations.<br />
Need for structural changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> supply side<br />
The fact that <strong>the</strong> supply side outbalances <strong>the</strong> relevant demand <strong>in</strong> a small domestic market<br />
could be helped <strong>of</strong> course by <strong>the</strong> expansion <strong>of</strong> demand. However, <strong>the</strong> scattered supply side<br />
has <strong>in</strong>deed h<strong>in</strong>dered a more rapid growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>. The excessive number <strong>of</strong> small <strong>ICT</strong><br />
firms leads to an <strong>in</strong>tense price competition that narrows pr<strong>of</strong>it marg<strong>in</strong>s, especially when <strong>the</strong>re<br />
is lack <strong>of</strong> differentiated services and specialization, and everybody is try<strong>in</strong>g to sell anyth<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
Firms seem to recognize to a greater extent than three years ago that <strong>the</strong>ir “shallowness”<br />
and <strong>the</strong> limited efforts for learn<strong>in</strong>g should be reduced.<br />
The second generation <strong>of</strong> entrepreneurs that gradually are enter<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> market and <strong>the</strong><br />
consolidation <strong>of</strong> more concrete bus<strong>in</strong>ess practises, <strong>in</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>ation with <strong>the</strong> flow <strong>of</strong> mergers &<br />
acquisitions and <strong>the</strong> irrevocable closure <strong>of</strong> firms that had bankrupted, will contribute to <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>sector</strong>’s reform. Besides, at <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial level, upturn <strong>of</strong> economic figures and a satisfactory<br />
liquidity, which releases resources and permits fur<strong>the</strong>r actions, are supported by additional<br />
tools, such as <strong>the</strong> new law for <strong>in</strong>vestments and growth.<br />
The positive prospects also depend on <strong>the</strong> degree to which <strong>the</strong> firms will implement <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
proclaimed strategies and succeed at <strong>the</strong>ir goals: more <strong>in</strong>novation and differentiation,<br />
emphasis on <strong>the</strong> added value <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir products/ services, utilization <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir human capital,<br />
but ma<strong>in</strong>ly an <strong>in</strong>creased effort for specialization and focus on niche markets. These niche<br />
markets already exist and are fur<strong>the</strong>r explored <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> banks <strong>sector</strong>, while it is expected to be<br />
<strong>in</strong>tensified <strong>in</strong> Tourism and Shipp<strong>in</strong>g. They should also touch upon <strong>the</strong> Health <strong>sector</strong>, as up to<br />
now this market is underdeveloped.<br />
To <strong>the</strong> extent that <strong>the</strong>se reforms and actions will show a significant progress, economies <strong>of</strong><br />
scale are created and strategies for vertical collaboration (services, commerce) become more<br />
effective, <strong>the</strong> supply side could be more rationalized.<br />
Basic precondition for growth: Investments <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructures, <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> broadband<br />
and development <strong>of</strong> services and digital content<br />
Given <strong>the</strong> importance <strong>of</strong> telecommunication services for <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>sector</strong>, <strong>the</strong><br />
development <strong>of</strong> broadband <strong>in</strong>frastructures and <strong>the</strong> improvement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Internet penetration<br />
are <strong>the</strong> most significant determ<strong>in</strong>ative factors for its growth. The substantial decrease <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
cost (access and use) has created a positive climate <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> market. However, a susta<strong>in</strong>able<br />
growth can be achieved only via rich digital content and many electronic services. These<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 38
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
advanced and <strong>in</strong>novative services could support a broader demand for <strong>ICT</strong>s at two levels:<br />
first, a fur<strong>the</strong>r expansion <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> current users (<strong>the</strong>y are more sensitive to cost),<br />
and second, <strong>the</strong> attraction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> non-users. The improvement <strong>of</strong> Internet connectivity can<br />
prompt firms to develop more Greek digital content, a factor which could contribute to both<br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> usefulness and attractiveness <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Internet.<br />
The role <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> public is important at <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> services <strong>in</strong>frastructures, digital<br />
content, and tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g…<br />
The actions that are planed at <strong>the</strong> public policy level towards <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructures<br />
(i.e Broadband strategic Plan) create some optimism for <strong>the</strong> future. At <strong>the</strong> same time, actions<br />
<strong>of</strong> advis<strong>in</strong>g/ tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g are drawn, <strong>in</strong> order to familiarize citizens with <strong>ICT</strong>s. Never<strong>the</strong>less, efforts<br />
for some additional digital content and new electronic services, which improve bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />
transactions, should <strong>in</strong>tensify.<br />
…as <strong>the</strong> private <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> broadband<br />
The ma<strong>in</strong> body <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> stems from telecommunications. However,<br />
private <strong>in</strong>vestments have been limited so far, especially <strong>in</strong> broadband <strong>in</strong>frastructures. Dur<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>the</strong> last couple <strong>of</strong> years, only OTE proceeded with some <strong>in</strong>vestments, <strong>in</strong> accordance with <strong>the</strong><br />
needs <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Olympic Games. The “alternative” fixed telephony suppliers had not really<br />
<strong>in</strong>vested <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructures, as <strong>the</strong> imposed regulatory actions to OTE allowed <strong>the</strong>m to enjoy<br />
low prices <strong>in</strong> wholesal<strong>in</strong>g, and thus “easy” pr<strong>of</strong>its <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir retail sales.<br />
The adoption by EETT <strong>of</strong> certa<strong>in</strong> motives for attract<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>vestments shows already some<br />
positive results. The new Law for Electronic Communications, <strong>the</strong> enforcement <strong>of</strong> regulative<br />
obligations to <strong>the</strong> dom<strong>in</strong>ant OTE, and <strong>the</strong> cost audit, which led to a decrease by 50% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
monthly costs <strong>in</strong> shared access, constitute motives for <strong>the</strong> attraction <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestments by <strong>the</strong><br />
“alternatives” <strong>in</strong> fixed telephony. These actions, <strong>in</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>ation with <strong>the</strong> greater clarification/<br />
<strong>in</strong>tegration <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> regulatory framework have led some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> most important firms <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>sector</strong> to have already implemented <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructures for <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong>ir own core network. Thus, <strong>the</strong>y will be able to provide services <strong>of</strong> added value <strong>in</strong> a more<br />
liberalized telecommunications market. The <strong>in</strong>vestments dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> next couple <strong>of</strong> years are<br />
estimated to reach <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> 2 billions, while <strong>the</strong>re is room for fur<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>crease, as <strong>the</strong><br />
regulatory framework is f<strong>in</strong>alised and reconciled with <strong>the</strong> EU’s legislation. Besides, <strong>the</strong><br />
privately-owned core network provides more opportunities for supply<strong>in</strong>g differentiated<br />
services to <strong>the</strong>ir subscribers and allows greater <strong>in</strong>dependence flexibility on behalf <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> firms.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 39
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
To summarize, <strong>the</strong> growth prospects <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation technology and communications <strong>sector</strong>s<br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> are moderate optimistic, while <strong>the</strong>y are dependent on <strong>the</strong> eas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong>f <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
restrictive factors <strong>of</strong> supply and demand, especially <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> telecommunication market: <strong>the</strong><br />
favourable macroeconomic environment that susta<strong>in</strong>s private consumption and <strong>in</strong>vestments<br />
at high levels; but also on <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>evitable transition <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> State to <strong>the</strong> supply <strong>of</strong> advanced<br />
services that facilitate both <strong>the</strong> citizens and firms. The preconditions for <strong>the</strong> verification <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong>se positive expectations are as follows:<br />
The <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> broadband <strong>in</strong>frastructures. These will contribute to <strong>the</strong><br />
fur<strong>the</strong>r diffusion <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Internet, while <strong>the</strong>y will <strong>in</strong>tensify <strong>the</strong> competition <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
telecommunications and consequently <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation technology market with new<br />
value-added products/ services<br />
The development <strong>of</strong> Greek digital content by <strong>ICT</strong> firms that will lead to:<br />
A more <strong>in</strong>tense diffusion <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Internet to non-users and dynamic firms<br />
that are <strong>in</strong>cl<strong>in</strong>ed to participate to <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation society, under <strong>the</strong><br />
suitable tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and awareness actions.<br />
<strong>the</strong> diffusion <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>in</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>sector</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy<br />
The re<strong>in</strong>forcement <strong>of</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g/ advisory/ educational actions ma<strong>in</strong>ly by <strong>the</strong> State, but<br />
also by consumer-oriented strategies by firms.<br />
The rapid operational <strong>in</strong>tegration <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> systems <strong>in</strong> Public Adm<strong>in</strong>istration, so as to<br />
<strong>of</strong>fer substantial electronic services, and not add to some electronic bureaucracy.<br />
Additionally, <strong>the</strong> role <strong>of</strong> Public as a service provider, who facilitates <strong>the</strong> citizens and<br />
<strong>the</strong> firms, should be upgraded.<br />
More <strong>in</strong>tensive efforts for exports, speed<strong>in</strong>g up <strong>the</strong> necessary restructur<strong>in</strong>g action <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> market, ownership transitions, etc.<br />
Efforts for a more mature bus<strong>in</strong>ess behaviour, <strong>in</strong> parallel to specialization and<br />
segmentation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market (niche markets)<br />
The re<strong>in</strong>forcement <strong>of</strong> collaboration between universities and firms, so as to ensure a<br />
better preparation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> human capital and improve <strong>the</strong> R&D performance.<br />
5. Policy propositions for support<strong>in</strong>g growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong><br />
At <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> firms<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 40
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
In <strong>the</strong> previous sections, <strong>the</strong> basic f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs for <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong>s <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> were presented.<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> parameters that function or could function positively for <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>’s growth,<br />
but also <strong>the</strong> threats and <strong>the</strong> barriers that <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> face and should cope with were<br />
presented. The follow<strong>in</strong>g propositions summarize <strong>the</strong> actions or <strong>the</strong> directions that <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>sector</strong>’s firms should take, <strong>in</strong> order to support a longer-term and susta<strong>in</strong>able growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
activities. We should also note our belief that <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>sector</strong>, <strong>the</strong>re are certa<strong>in</strong> firms<br />
and entrepreneurs / managers, who can - through <strong>the</strong>ir successive strategies - lead <strong>the</strong><br />
whole <strong>sector</strong> to growth.<br />
Some signs <strong>of</strong> reform<strong>in</strong>g towards a more efficient structure <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong><br />
The current <strong>sector</strong>’s structure and its characteristics constra<strong>in</strong> its faster growth. Thus,<br />
reform<strong>in</strong>g actions should be <strong>in</strong>tensified (mergers/ acquisitions) and more collaborative actions<br />
(such as strategic alliances) should proliferate under a consolidation process. Strategic<br />
alliances for <strong>in</strong>tegrated services and collaboration with distributors and content developers<br />
can conglomerate resources and capabilities that are <strong>in</strong>terspersed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> field and create,<br />
more efficient vehicles <strong>of</strong> growth. It is also imperative for all <strong>in</strong>terested parties to understand<br />
that <strong>the</strong>y should expand or limit <strong>the</strong>ir activities to <strong>the</strong> area where <strong>the</strong>y possess a competitive<br />
advantage. Identify<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>se complementarities through collaborations and alliances<br />
represents a significant strategic action that should attract greater <strong>in</strong>terest from <strong>ICT</strong> firms.<br />
With some efforts for specialization and strategies that focus on niche<br />
markets…<br />
The efforts for specialization and focus on target groups should be more <strong>in</strong>tensified. Firms are<br />
aware <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir advantages and <strong>the</strong>y should try to focus on <strong>the</strong>m. Despite <strong>the</strong> limited degree<br />
<strong>of</strong> market’s segmentation, <strong>the</strong>re are niche areas that could constitute centers <strong>of</strong> growth. Their<br />
identify<strong>in</strong>g and effort for satisfy<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>ir special needs with customized products / services,<br />
can constitute a solution especially for firms <strong>of</strong> smaller size, which have difficulties <strong>in</strong> adopt<strong>in</strong>g<br />
strategies that require a larger size. Given <strong>the</strong> mild positive prospects that were expressed for<br />
demand, a strategic position<strong>in</strong>g on a niche market segment at this moment ensures for<br />
competitive advantages for <strong>the</strong> future.<br />
…with more <strong>in</strong>novation and differentiation via R&D<br />
A stronger effort for <strong>in</strong>novation and differentiation is required. The diffusion <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>in</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
<strong>sector</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy requires that <strong>ICT</strong> firms are <strong>in</strong> a position to <strong>of</strong>fer value added solutions<br />
for <strong>the</strong> specific <strong>sector</strong>s. Conduct<strong>in</strong>g more R&D, <strong>in</strong> collaboration with academia, can contribute<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 41
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
to a more efficient acquisition <strong>of</strong> know-how and technology developed abroad, lead<strong>in</strong>g to<br />
<strong>in</strong>novative products / services that fulfill <strong>the</strong> needs <strong>of</strong> Greek firms.<br />
Focus<strong>in</strong>g on <strong>the</strong> will<strong>in</strong>g, but cautious potential <strong>ICT</strong> users: Targeted useroriented<br />
strategies<br />
Although consolidation has been limited until today, <strong>the</strong> technological convergence <strong>of</strong> IT–<br />
Telcos leads to more <strong>in</strong>tegrated services <strong>of</strong> higher added -value. These services work<br />
beneficially for <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> two ways: on one hand lead<strong>in</strong>g to more extensive use <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
exist<strong>in</strong>g <strong>ICT</strong> users, as <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g and more complex needs are be<strong>in</strong>g satisfied, while on<br />
<strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand by attract<strong>in</strong>g new users. These two target groups require different<br />
approaches: those that are already members <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Information Society (e.g. Internet users)<br />
seem ra<strong>the</strong>r sensitive on issues <strong>of</strong> cost. Hence, reduction <strong>of</strong> cost and improvement <strong>of</strong><br />
provided services and content can enhance <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s. As for <strong>the</strong> potential users, given<br />
<strong>the</strong> technophobia and <strong>the</strong> “denial” regard<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s for certa<strong>in</strong> categories <strong>of</strong> firms<br />
and population, <strong>the</strong> efforts should probably focus on <strong>the</strong> so-called ‘will<strong>in</strong>g’ potential users,<br />
those that are still hesitant. Attract<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>m is important for <strong>the</strong> enlargement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>,<br />
s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong>y will contribute to achiev<strong>in</strong>g an important critical mass <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> users, which <strong>in</strong> turn<br />
could improve <strong>the</strong> overall level <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s use <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> socio-economic activities <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> country.<br />
In any case, <strong>ICT</strong> firms should henceforth approach those potential clients by means <strong>of</strong> sell<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>the</strong> services <strong>of</strong>fered and not <strong>the</strong> system itself. In <strong>the</strong> past, <strong>the</strong> emphasis on <strong>the</strong> system and<br />
on its technological <strong>in</strong>tegrity might have worked positively towards achiev<strong>in</strong>g high sales’<br />
volume. At this po<strong>in</strong>t what should be advertised today are <strong>the</strong> tangible benefits that <strong>the</strong><br />
adoption <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> system will br<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> life <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> citizen or <strong>the</strong> firm. The return on<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestment must be justified <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> cost, productivity, as well as <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> convenience<br />
for <strong>the</strong> citizen’s everyday activities or even <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir enterta<strong>in</strong>ment, a field that seems to<br />
represent a possible growth area for <strong>the</strong> future.<br />
Investments <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructures: consolidated services, high value added<br />
and digital content<br />
Firms from <strong>the</strong> telecommunication <strong>sector</strong> should <strong>in</strong>tensify <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> broadband<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructures, <strong>in</strong> order to acquire <strong>the</strong>ir own core network. This will allow <strong>the</strong>m for more<br />
flexibility and <strong>the</strong>y will be able to provide a bundle <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>tegrated services. An important factor<br />
for <strong>the</strong> slow penetration <strong>of</strong> Internet <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> is <strong>the</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> Greek digital content. <strong>ICT</strong> firms<br />
should turn towards that direction ei<strong>the</strong>r by develop<strong>in</strong>g digital content and relevant s<strong>of</strong>tware<br />
or <strong>in</strong> collaboration with content providers (publications, radio-television firms etc). These<br />
actions lead to products / services that could attract new categories <strong>of</strong> users and maximize<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 42
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
<strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>its from <strong>the</strong> acquisition <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> equipment. The field <strong>of</strong> enterta<strong>in</strong>ment / recreation is<br />
considered a preferential field <strong>of</strong> growth, with potentially more <strong>in</strong>tense positive effects <strong>in</strong><br />
larger parts <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population. However, <strong>sector</strong>-based content that may attract <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>of</strong><br />
large groups <strong>of</strong> firms as potential users should also be a field for fur<strong>the</strong>r exploration.<br />
Extroversion efforts<br />
Extroversion is usually <strong>the</strong> answer to a small sized domestic market, but it is not an easy<br />
strategy for all. Firms that meet <strong>the</strong> necessary characteristics <strong>of</strong> size and capabilities can at<br />
first turn towards <strong>the</strong> neighbor<strong>in</strong>g countries. Thus, <strong>the</strong>y could benefit from <strong>the</strong> total<br />
entrepreneurial activity that is be<strong>in</strong>g developed <strong>the</strong>re dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> last decade by important<br />
Greek firms. Till today, this extrovert behavior has <strong>in</strong>volved only <strong>the</strong> box-mov<strong>in</strong>g. However,<br />
this trend slows down <strong>in</strong> favor <strong>of</strong> some <strong>in</strong>tegrated IT services. The first area can stimulate<br />
pr<strong>of</strong>itability with ‘easier’ sales, but cannot be applied for a long period <strong>of</strong> time, s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong><br />
pressure from <strong>the</strong> local and <strong>in</strong>ternational competition <strong>in</strong>creases. Emphasis on services <strong>of</strong> high<br />
value added could be more endur<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>the</strong>refore yield more benefits for <strong>ICT</strong> firms <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
long-term.<br />
Firms that are start<strong>in</strong>g to show some extroversion are grow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> number, <strong>in</strong>dicat<strong>in</strong>g some<br />
signs <strong>of</strong> a know-how that can be exported, at least by <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>novators. Besides, <strong>the</strong><br />
implementation <strong>of</strong> important large scaled IT projects <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> has <strong>of</strong>fered some additional<br />
experience and has upgraded <strong>the</strong> local capabilities. In any case, such extrovert <strong>in</strong>itiatives<br />
should <strong>in</strong>tensify, as time is not an ally. Opportunities may still exist, but <strong>the</strong> correspond<strong>in</strong>g<br />
local <strong>sector</strong>s <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> neighbor<strong>in</strong>g countries develop rapidly and could soon substitute <strong>the</strong> role<br />
<strong>of</strong> Greek <strong>ICT</strong> firms <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>se markets. Thus, <strong>the</strong>y may even represent a threat for <strong>the</strong> Greek<br />
<strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> long-term. At <strong>the</strong> same time, <strong>the</strong>ir enforcement may render that<br />
environment more favorable for <strong>in</strong>vestors, this lead<strong>in</strong>g to a possible withdrawal <strong>of</strong> foreign<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestors’ from <strong>Greece</strong>. Consequently, a rapid undertak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>itiatives towards that direction<br />
is required, at least from those firms that seem to have this capability.<br />
At <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> Public policies for <strong>the</strong> Information Society<br />
Public policies for <strong>the</strong> Information Society <strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>the</strong> demand directly or <strong>in</strong>directly, but at<br />
<strong>the</strong> same time <strong>the</strong>y shape <strong>the</strong> environment <strong>in</strong> which firms <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> operate. We have<br />
already mentioned <strong>the</strong> actions and <strong>the</strong> objectives <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> policies that are implemented or<br />
planned for <strong>the</strong> future. These policies are well targeted, while <strong>the</strong>ir success can <strong>in</strong> fact speed<br />
up <strong>the</strong> diffusion <strong>of</strong> Information Society <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>. In <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g section, we shall attempt<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 43
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
to dist<strong>in</strong>guish <strong>the</strong> priorities that can fur<strong>the</strong>r support <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> domestic <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> from<br />
that aspect.<br />
Improvement <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructures, content and services<br />
The fundamental priority is <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> broadband <strong>in</strong>frastructures, digital content and<br />
services based on <strong>the</strong> advanced <strong>in</strong>frastructures. Public <strong>in</strong>vestments seem henceforth to be<br />
enforced, with more aggressive action towards <strong>the</strong>ir implementation. Moreover, <strong>the</strong><br />
peripheral character <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se actions aims to bridge <strong>the</strong> digital gap between A<strong>the</strong>ns and <strong>the</strong><br />
regions and acts supplementary to private <strong>in</strong>vestments, which are materialized ma<strong>in</strong>ly <strong>in</strong><br />
A<strong>the</strong>ns and Thessalonica. The consistent implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Strategic Broadband Plan is<br />
<strong>of</strong> great importance and should have <strong>the</strong> commitment <strong>of</strong> all <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong>stitutions and <strong>the</strong><br />
broad political consensus for its rapid and effective implementation.<br />
Emphasis on <strong>the</strong> organizational change <strong>of</strong> firms and <strong>the</strong> Public Sector<br />
Infrastructures and content are basic elements <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Information Society, but <strong>the</strong> diffusion<br />
<strong>of</strong> new technologies <strong>in</strong> firms and <strong>the</strong> Public Sector is nei<strong>the</strong>r automatic, nor simple. It<br />
requires a change <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> traditional structures and operation <strong>of</strong> firms, s<strong>in</strong>ce it changes <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
way <strong>of</strong> th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>the</strong> way <strong>of</strong> organiz<strong>in</strong>g resources, bus<strong>in</strong>ess and management techniques, as<br />
well as human resource management methods. By just implant<strong>in</strong>g systems and s<strong>of</strong>tware <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> Public Sector and <strong>in</strong> firms, without <strong>the</strong> correspond<strong>in</strong>g organizational changes, <strong>the</strong> concept<br />
<strong>of</strong> Information Society is not be<strong>in</strong>g promoted. In view <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 4 th CFS<br />
projects, this aspect should be <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> every action or <strong>in</strong>tervention, <strong>in</strong> order to emphasize<br />
not only on <strong>the</strong> improvement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> system, but also on <strong>the</strong> transformation <strong>of</strong> services and<br />
operations that <strong>the</strong> system supports.<br />
Expand<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Public Adm<strong>in</strong>istration<br />
The use <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Public Adm<strong>in</strong>istration can improve its efficiency, and also limit<br />
corruption and bureaucracy. A vertical electronic l<strong>in</strong>kage <strong>of</strong> a m<strong>in</strong>ister’s various agencies, <strong>the</strong><br />
horizontal l<strong>in</strong>kage <strong>of</strong> m<strong>in</strong>istries, <strong>the</strong> e-procurement, and <strong>the</strong> electronic signature, represent<br />
some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> actions that can alter <strong>the</strong> current operation <strong>of</strong> Public Adm<strong>in</strong>istration. After all, an<br />
advanced e-government may function as a motivation for citizens and firms to adopt <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>in</strong><br />
order to deal with <strong>the</strong> Public Sector.<br />
Integration and consistency <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> regulatory framework for<br />
telecommunications<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 44
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Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
Empower<strong>in</strong>g EETT (Hellenic Telecommunications & Post<br />
Commission)<br />
The <strong>in</strong>creased regulatory responsibilities created <strong>in</strong> former monopolistic markets when it is<br />
privatized, calls for longer-last<strong>in</strong>g plann<strong>in</strong>g and effective regulation imperative. The vague<br />
regulatory framework <strong>in</strong> telecommunications discourages private <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructures despite <strong>the</strong> so called open market (s<strong>in</strong>ce 2001). Given, though, that <strong>the</strong><br />
process <strong>of</strong> liberalization is determ<strong>in</strong>ed to a great extent by <strong>the</strong> European Union, <strong>the</strong> quality <strong>of</strong><br />
regulation is f<strong>in</strong>ally dependent on <strong>the</strong> adequacy <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> correspond<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>stitution. Hence, a<br />
powerful and <strong>in</strong>dependent EETT, which will not be <strong>in</strong>fluenced by any f<strong>in</strong>ancial ups and downs<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> relevant firms or any political <strong>in</strong>terventions, is more than necessary. Its <strong>in</strong>dependence<br />
can be ensured by stability <strong>in</strong> management, long-term f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g, and recruitment <strong>of</strong> highly<br />
specialized personnel.<br />
F<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> balance between competition and growth is not an easy exercise. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore,<br />
<strong>in</strong>stitutional issues are still open (LLU, security issues, electronic communications regulation,<br />
spectrum management issues, etc). Besides, <strong>the</strong> European Commissioner is constantly<br />
referr<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> essential competition <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> telecommunication market, due to delays<br />
regard<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> reconcilement with <strong>the</strong> Community Regulations. Independency will allow EETT<br />
to optimize its regulat<strong>in</strong>g role and smoo<strong>the</strong>n out <strong>the</strong> exist<strong>in</strong>g irregularities.<br />
F<strong>in</strong>al decisions on several <strong>in</strong>stitutional issues <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> digital<br />
economy<br />
Several <strong>in</strong>stitutional issues rema<strong>in</strong> open. Issues <strong>of</strong> e-security, e-signature, tele-work<strong>in</strong>g, illegal<br />
Internet content, etc require a solid <strong>in</strong>stitutional framework. Their resolution can promote<br />
<strong>ICT</strong>s diffusion <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> socio-economic activities <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> country, as it will <strong>in</strong>crease confidence<br />
<strong>of</strong> potential users and constra<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> technophobic attitude that citizens and firms hold<br />
towards new technologies.<br />
Enforcement <strong>of</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g activities and skills development regard<strong>in</strong>g <strong>ICT</strong>s<br />
for everyone…<br />
The digital gap between <strong>the</strong> small part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population and bus<strong>in</strong>esses that adopt rapidly<br />
new technologies and <strong>the</strong> larger part that still holds back must be bridged. This constitutes a<br />
crucial priority and challenge for all current policies at a European level and represents <strong>the</strong><br />
third axis <strong>of</strong> i-2001 policies. The ma<strong>in</strong> reason seems to be <strong>the</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> advis<strong>in</strong>g / tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and<br />
at a smaller degree <strong>the</strong> cost.<br />
Therefore, emphasis should be given on <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> skills. Everyone must have equal<br />
chances <strong>of</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> necessary abilities and knowledge <strong>in</strong> order to actively participate<br />
and fully benefit from <strong>the</strong> Internet and <strong>the</strong> Knowledge Economy. Additional efforts for<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 45
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
education and tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> population and <strong>the</strong> entrepreneurs are required. O<strong>the</strong>rwise, <strong>Greece</strong><br />
could be <strong>in</strong> danger <strong>of</strong> stay<strong>in</strong>g beh<strong>in</strong>d on developments regard<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> Information Society,<br />
which could hamper its competitiveness. Public policies aim<strong>in</strong>g at narrow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> digital gap<br />
and promote <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> new technologies must, <strong>the</strong>refore, focus on social groups <strong>of</strong> lower<br />
educational level and <strong>in</strong>come and older age, <strong>in</strong> order to <strong>in</strong>form, tra<strong>in</strong> and familiarize <strong>the</strong>m<br />
with <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s. By us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> computer labs that have been created <strong>in</strong> schools for fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
educat<strong>in</strong>g older people on <strong>ICT</strong>s is such an activity. Moreover, motivat<strong>in</strong>g groups <strong>of</strong> citizens<br />
and volunteers that can support this activity could also be effective.<br />
…with more motives for citizens and bus<strong>in</strong>esses to adopt <strong>ICT</strong>s…<br />
The support <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s use by firms is a fundamental priority <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> new ‘Digital<br />
Convergence’ Operational Programme. Subsidies <strong>in</strong>volv<strong>in</strong>g equipment and connection to <strong>the</strong><br />
Internet have been and will still be used as a motive, <strong>in</strong> order to achieve <strong>the</strong> first step<br />
towards digital economy. Never<strong>the</strong>less, cost does not horizontally affect every group <strong>of</strong><br />
people / firms at <strong>the</strong> same extent. That means that cost is not <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> deterrent factor for<br />
<strong>the</strong> limited use <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> country. Consequently, apart from <strong>the</strong>se motives, efforts to<br />
stress <strong>the</strong> benefits from <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s must be <strong>in</strong>tensified. Discounts for electronic<br />
transactions with <strong>the</strong> Public– s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> <strong>of</strong>fered services have been upgraded and expanded<br />
(e.g. taxisnet) – better e-services through <strong>the</strong> one-stop shops, but also real benefits <strong>of</strong> cost<br />
reductions, could affect <strong>the</strong> adoption <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s ra<strong>the</strong>r than just subsidiz<strong>in</strong>g equipment. Hence,<br />
motives should <strong>in</strong>volve this new dimension: promote <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s and not just a purchase<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> relevant equipment. The ‘Digital Convergence’ Programme supports actions for more<br />
digital content and more effective services from <strong>the</strong> public’s side. These actions <strong>in</strong><br />
conjunction with <strong>the</strong> provision <strong>of</strong> specific, for each case, motives for <strong>the</strong>ir use (contrary to <strong>the</strong><br />
old procedure), could substantially improve <strong>the</strong> will<strong>in</strong>gness <strong>of</strong> citizens and enterprises to enter<br />
<strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> digital economy.<br />
...as well as motives for firms regard<strong>in</strong>g tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and fur<strong>the</strong>r education <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong>ir employees on new technologies<br />
Given that one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> deterrent parameters regard<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> slow <strong>ICT</strong>s adoption from firms<br />
is <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong> majority <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> employees – especially <strong>the</strong> older ones– do not master <strong>ICT</strong>s<br />
skills, <strong>the</strong> need for <strong>the</strong>ir fur<strong>the</strong>r education is evident. However, <strong>the</strong> actions towards that<br />
direction that firms undertake by <strong>the</strong>mselves <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and fur<strong>the</strong>r education are<br />
limited and lie on <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>itiatives <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> owner / entrepreneur. A more active promotion <strong>of</strong> such<br />
tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g activities (subsided sem<strong>in</strong>ars, etc) is required, <strong>in</strong> order for <strong>the</strong> employees to develop<br />
an adequate level <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s skills, which will help <strong>the</strong>se firms enter <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> digital economy.<br />
Support <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s teach<strong>in</strong>g at all levels <strong>of</strong> education<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 46
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
The need to enforce <strong>ICT</strong> courses at all levels <strong>of</strong> education is necessary for <strong>the</strong> better<br />
preparation <strong>of</strong> graduates, so that <strong>the</strong>y would possess <strong>the</strong> required <strong>ICT</strong>s skills <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir search<br />
for a career. These skills will help <strong>the</strong>m claim a well paid job, as well as contribute to <strong>the</strong><br />
technological improvement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> medium-sized Greek enterprise. The <strong>in</strong>duction <strong>of</strong> computer<br />
science as a school course, which is already tak<strong>in</strong>g place, is not however adequate; <strong>the</strong><br />
partial transformation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> educational procedure is also required. This means that <strong>the</strong><br />
teachers should adopt <strong>the</strong> practical use <strong>of</strong> computer science <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir courses and support <strong>the</strong><br />
educational procedure by exploit<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> exist<strong>in</strong>g tools. Therefore, <strong>the</strong>y need for more digital<br />
(e.g. educational s<strong>of</strong>tware) and <strong>of</strong> course more tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and advis<strong>in</strong>g about <strong>the</strong> new<br />
possibilities.<br />
Simplification <strong>of</strong> processes <strong>of</strong> public <strong>of</strong>fer<strong>in</strong>gs, acceleration <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> cycle <strong>of</strong><br />
implementation<br />
The implementation <strong>of</strong> Information Society projects face difficulties for <strong>the</strong> reasons that have<br />
been already expla<strong>in</strong>ed. This delay may cause problems <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>, but it also functions<br />
negatively <strong>in</strong> relevance to <strong>Greece</strong>’s course towards <strong>the</strong> Information Society. It is a fact that<br />
<strong>the</strong>re is room for improvements <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> cycle <strong>of</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se projects. These<br />
should be spotted, while <strong>the</strong> cause <strong>of</strong> delays should be p<strong>in</strong>po<strong>in</strong>ted, <strong>in</strong> order to improve<br />
effectiveness.<br />
Creation <strong>of</strong> a Strategy unit next to <strong>the</strong> Prime M<strong>in</strong>ister regard<strong>in</strong>g <strong>ICT</strong>s<br />
The problems <strong>of</strong> Public Adm<strong>in</strong>istration and its <strong>in</strong>flexibilities and technological impotence <strong>in</strong><br />
materializ<strong>in</strong>g large-scale <strong>ICT</strong> projects <strong>in</strong>dicate <strong>the</strong> need for a more flexible mechanism which<br />
will more effectively implement government’s decisions. The establishment <strong>of</strong> a Strategy unit,<br />
which will provide <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dependent exist<strong>in</strong>g knowledge and experience to <strong>the</strong> government,<br />
will promote government’s objectives and communicate <strong>the</strong>ir directions to all <strong>in</strong>volved agents.<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, it could convert <strong>the</strong> political commitments and strategies <strong>in</strong>to practice <strong>in</strong> a more<br />
effective way. It is noted that <strong>in</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>the</strong> coord<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Information Society’s<br />
policies is supervised by an <strong>in</strong>stitution report<strong>in</strong>g directly to <strong>the</strong> prime m<strong>in</strong>ister. Under certa<strong>in</strong><br />
conditions (changes <strong>of</strong> responsibilities) this Strategy unit could ei<strong>the</strong>r be <strong>the</strong> Information<br />
Society S.A., or <strong>the</strong> Observatory <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Information Society or some o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>stitution that<br />
could supplement <strong>the</strong>ir work. Long-term evaluation – with both qualitative and quantitative<br />
objectives – <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> effectiveness <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> expenditures could be a responsibility <strong>of</strong> such an<br />
<strong>in</strong>stitution, <strong>in</strong> order to po<strong>in</strong>t out <strong>the</strong> positive / negative po<strong>in</strong>ts and improve <strong>the</strong> country’s entry<br />
<strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> Information Society.<br />
At <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> broader public policies that also touch also upon <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong><br />
This section makes suggestions on general public policies that refer to <strong>the</strong> country’s economic<br />
activity and also on reformative actions that affect more or less <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> question.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 47
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
Promot<strong>in</strong>g entrepreneurship<br />
Recent studies on entrepreneurship <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> 29 demonstrate a contradictory characteristic <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> national environment. On <strong>the</strong> one hand, Greeks feel highly self-confident regard<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
knowledge and skills required <strong>in</strong> start<strong>in</strong>g a firm. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand, <strong>the</strong> fear <strong>of</strong> failure and <strong>the</strong><br />
social stigma it entails is substantial. This discourages capable <strong>in</strong>dividuals from follow<strong>in</strong>g a<br />
bus<strong>in</strong>ess career. The reform <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bankruptcy law, which is under preparation, is a necessary<br />
step that can benefit <strong>in</strong> two ways: firstly, it will facilitate <strong>the</strong> closures <strong>of</strong> those problematic<br />
firms <strong>in</strong> order to elim<strong>in</strong>ate unpleasant situations <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> past. At <strong>the</strong> same time, it will give a<br />
second chance to capable <strong>in</strong>dividuals and groups that had bus<strong>in</strong>ess difficulties <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> past, so<br />
as to utilize this unpleasant experience <strong>in</strong> order to start a new venture with better growth<br />
prospects.<br />
Re<strong>in</strong>forcement <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial mechanisms for <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>itiation <strong>of</strong> new<br />
entrepreneurial activity<br />
The cost <strong>of</strong> capital seems to constra<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> small and micro firms f <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>, which confirms<br />
<strong>the</strong> necessity for new f<strong>in</strong>ancial tools that are be<strong>in</strong>g developed (PPPs, Digital Leap Fund, etc).<br />
These are tools that might provide solutions for <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> and especially for smaller<br />
enterprises, which <strong>in</strong>tend to f<strong>in</strong>ance <strong>in</strong>novative activities. In this way, <strong>the</strong> role <strong>of</strong> family and<br />
personal fund<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> a new venture, as well as <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased risk that generally h<strong>in</strong>ders <strong>the</strong><br />
effort to <strong>in</strong>itiate a new venture <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>, 30 could gradually be reduced.<br />
Simplification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>stitutional and legislative framework <strong>of</strong> Public<br />
Adm<strong>in</strong>istration operations: improvement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> entrepreneurial<br />
environment<br />
The dense network <strong>of</strong> laws, provisions, and processes that characterize <strong>the</strong> operation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
state obstructs <strong>the</strong> relationships among <strong>the</strong> citizens and impedes economic activity,<br />
hamper<strong>in</strong>g competitiveness <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek economy. Estimat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> effects <strong>of</strong> every new<br />
legislative regulation regard<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s competitiveness, and also reform<strong>in</strong>g existent<br />
legislation, is a crucial issue especially <strong>in</strong> a rapidly chang<strong>in</strong>g environment. Therefore, <strong>the</strong>re<br />
should be: a) systematic exam<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> all laws concern<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong><br />
(especially <strong>in</strong> telecommunications) and annulment <strong>of</strong> those which have no fur<strong>the</strong>r practical<br />
application, b) evaluation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> new regulations concern<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> based on <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
effects on competitiveness, c) simplification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> laws, so that no additional <strong>in</strong>terpret<strong>in</strong>g<br />
circulars are required, d) establishment <strong>of</strong> extensive consultation between all parties<br />
<strong>in</strong>terested dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> preparation <strong>of</strong> new legislation via teleconferences or o<strong>the</strong>r means.<br />
29 Entrepreneurship <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> 2005-2006, S. Ioannides, A. Tsakanikas, IOBE November 2006.<br />
30 It should be mentioned, though, that simply implant<strong>in</strong>g a f<strong>in</strong>ancial mechanism, which is successfully<br />
applied abroad, does not automatically ensure its success <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek environment. This means that<br />
locat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> optimum practices and implant<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>m <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> does not automatically solve <strong>the</strong><br />
problems. Adjust<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> philosophy beh<strong>in</strong>d <strong>the</strong> mechanism and <strong>the</strong> correspond<strong>in</strong>g support<strong>in</strong>g structure<br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Greek environment is required, <strong>in</strong>stead <strong>of</strong> copy<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> mechanism per se.<br />
October 2006<br />
Observatory for <strong>the</strong> Greek IS 48
Study <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>: Current Situation and Future Trends<br />
Deliverable 14: <strong>Prospects</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong>-policy implications<br />
Increase <strong>of</strong> R&D fund<strong>in</strong>g<br />
The <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> R&D fund<strong>in</strong>g is a crucial commitment on behalf <strong>of</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> towards <strong>the</strong><br />
implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Lisbon Strategy and a basic axis <strong>of</strong> i-2010 strategy. All relevant<br />
<strong>in</strong>dicators rank <strong>Greece</strong> among <strong>the</strong> lowest <strong>in</strong> EU-25. Therefore, it is necessary: a) to provide<br />
additional motives for R&D <strong>in</strong>vestments, b) to streng<strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> correspond<strong>in</strong>g programs, c) to<br />
create more favorable regulations for those firms that actually conduct research activity and<br />
try to transfer research output <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> market with commercially available products /<br />
services, d) to enhance <strong>the</strong> collaboration with universities, and e) f<strong>in</strong>ally to p<strong>in</strong>po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>the</strong><br />
excellent, so that examples <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>e entrepreneurial behaviour are promoted and thus could<br />
motivate o<strong>the</strong>r firms to move towards <strong>the</strong> same direction.<br />
Market needs aligned with higher education programs<br />
Universities provide an adequate level <strong>of</strong> education <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> content and syllabus.<br />
However, it should be noted that <strong>the</strong>re is still room for graduates to adjust better to <strong>the</strong> what<br />
firms need. New graduates should be more adequately prepared concern<strong>in</strong>g not only <strong>the</strong><br />
technological content <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir specialization, but also <strong>the</strong> additional skills required and also<br />
<strong>the</strong>ir familiarization with market rules. Firms and universities should <strong>in</strong>teract more <strong>in</strong>tensively<br />
not only as far as <strong>the</strong> R&D <strong>sector</strong> is concerned – <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> past, efforts have been made <strong>in</strong> order<br />
to enforce this relation – but also regard<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> enrichment <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> educational process.<br />
Sem<strong>in</strong>ars and lectures held <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> universities by executives <strong>in</strong> order for <strong>the</strong> students to<br />
acquire a broader view <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> market, collaborations <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> form <strong>of</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
enterprises and any k<strong>in</strong>d <strong>of</strong> additional <strong>in</strong>itiatives that extend <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>teraction between firms<br />
and academia must be supported by public policies.<br />
Effective allocation and management <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 4th Programm<strong>in</strong>g period<br />
resources<br />
The experience ga<strong>in</strong>ed by <strong>the</strong> Public Adm<strong>in</strong>istration <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> management <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 3 rd CSF, <strong>the</strong><br />
problems and <strong>the</strong> erroneous practices applied, but also <strong>the</strong> effective mechanisms that<br />
emerged, must be utilized <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> management <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 4 th Programm<strong>in</strong>g period resources. The<br />
powerful regional character <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> planned actions constitutes a powerful political<br />
commitment; however <strong>the</strong> decentralised management might turn out <strong>in</strong>effective. The <strong>in</strong>flow<br />
<strong>of</strong> Community funds <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> will be limited <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> future, which means that <strong>the</strong> resources<br />
should be used more efficiently.<br />
A stable and simpler tax environment.<br />
The non competitive tax framework rema<strong>in</strong>s one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> highest problems that firms <strong>in</strong> <strong>Greece</strong><br />
face. Apart <strong>the</strong> issue <strong>of</strong> decreas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> tax rates, that has been already <strong>in</strong>itiated, <strong>the</strong>re are<br />
still problems regard<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>ir application. The processes <strong>of</strong> controls, <strong>the</strong> constantly repeated<br />
audits and <strong>the</strong> occasionally announced f<strong>in</strong>ancial regulations, create an environment <strong>of</strong><br />
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disbelief about <strong>the</strong> firms’ reliability which discourages <strong>the</strong>ir bus<strong>in</strong>ess plans. The simple, stable<br />
and predeterm<strong>in</strong>ed impr<strong>in</strong>t<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> balance sheets affects positively <strong>the</strong> whole economy, as not<br />
only <strong>the</strong> taxpayers know a priori <strong>the</strong> tax framework, but also <strong>the</strong> State can plan more<br />
effectively its revenues. Such a steady tax environment can also allow lower factors, which<br />
will provide a competitive advantage to <strong>Greece</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> European environment.<br />
Removal <strong>of</strong> barriers <strong>in</strong> order to attract foreign direct <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong><br />
<strong>Greece</strong>’s attractiveness to foreign <strong>in</strong>vestments is low. The prospects seem unfavourable, to<br />
<strong>the</strong> degree that <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>stitutional reforms and <strong>the</strong> policies do not constitute a cohesive grid for<br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy’s effectiveness. The fall back <strong>of</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> rank<strong>in</strong>g<br />
constitutes a danger that affects <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> as well, while <strong>the</strong> countries <strong>of</strong> Central and<br />
Eastern Europe proceed rapidly to reforms that <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>the</strong>ir attractiveness. The removal <strong>of</strong><br />
obstacles responsible for <strong>the</strong> low competitiveness <strong>of</strong> <strong>Greece</strong> <strong>in</strong> attract<strong>in</strong>g Foreign Direct<br />
Investments comprises <strong>the</strong> structural weaknesses <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> product and labour market, <strong>the</strong> high<br />
bureaucratic cost <strong>of</strong> entrepreneurship, <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>sufficiency <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> educational system regard<strong>in</strong>g<br />
its <strong>in</strong>terconnection with <strong>the</strong> labour market, as well as <strong>the</strong> poor <strong>in</strong>frastructures <strong>in</strong> new<br />
technologies. Hence, additional actions are required which will smooth or even elim<strong>in</strong>ate<br />
<strong>the</strong>se obstacles, which will also benefit <strong>the</strong> domestic <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong>.<br />
6. Appendices<br />
Appendix 1: SWOT analysis <strong>of</strong> domestic <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong><br />
In <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g SWOT analysis table, <strong>the</strong> possible characteristics, <strong>the</strong> weaknesses, <strong>the</strong><br />
opportunities and <strong>the</strong> threats that characterize domestic <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong> are summarized.<br />
Strengths<br />
Tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and education <strong>of</strong> human<br />
resources <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong><br />
Experience and know-how from <strong>the</strong><br />
implementation <strong>of</strong> large scaled <strong>ICT</strong>s<br />
projects<br />
Research cores at <strong>the</strong> universities<br />
Weaknesses<br />
Excessive number <strong>of</strong> enterprises,<br />
small <strong>in</strong> size<br />
Lack <strong>of</strong> specialisation and market<br />
segmentation<br />
Limited R&D<br />
Lack <strong>of</strong> private core network<br />
(telecommunications)<br />
Limited Greek digital content<br />
Extroversion <strong>of</strong> a small degree<br />
Non smoo<strong>the</strong>ned course <strong>of</strong> demand<br />
Intense price competition and no<br />
differentiation<br />
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Opportunities<br />
Technological convergence <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation<br />
technology and telecommunications<br />
Increase <strong>of</strong> foreign demand: Balkans,<br />
neighbour<strong>in</strong>g markets<br />
Progressive <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> demand,<br />
especially from <strong>the</strong> enterprises<br />
Public <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> broadband<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructures<br />
New services <strong>of</strong> added value<br />
Diffusion <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>in</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>sector</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
economy<br />
Restructur<strong>in</strong>g actions<br />
Investments <strong>of</strong> large Greek companies<br />
from various <strong>sector</strong>s <strong>in</strong> neighbour<strong>in</strong>g<br />
countries<br />
Operation <strong>of</strong> all <strong>ICT</strong> projects implemented<br />
dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> period 2000-2006<br />
Threats<br />
Intensification <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong>s <strong>in</strong><br />
neighbour<strong>in</strong>g countries<br />
Delay <strong>of</strong> comply<strong>in</strong>g with <strong>the</strong> EU<br />
<strong>in</strong>stitutional framework <strong>in</strong><br />
telecommunications<br />
Lack <strong>of</strong> more efficient mechanisms <strong>in</strong><br />
implement<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> projects by <strong>the</strong><br />
Public<br />
Off <strong>the</strong> shelf solutions from abroad<br />
(threat for small Greek enterprises)<br />
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Appendix 2 : SWOT Analysis per <strong>sector</strong><br />
<strong>ICT</strong>s Sub-<strong>sector</strong>s Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats Future –Trends – prospects<br />
Equipment<br />
manufacture<br />
<strong>ICT</strong>s equipment<br />
Trade<br />
Telecommunicatio<br />
ns, Internet<br />
service providers<br />
Know-how and high<br />
quality <strong>of</strong> products<br />
Good export records<br />
Branded distribution<br />
networks even abroad<br />
Good market<strong>in</strong>g<br />
strategy<br />
Emphasis on market<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Convergence <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>formation technology<br />
and communications<br />
Overwhelm<strong>in</strong>g<br />
possession <strong>of</strong> mobile<br />
phones<br />
Lack <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>novativeness<br />
Orientation to cost<br />
leadership strategies<br />
F<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>in</strong>stability<br />
Limited pr<strong>of</strong>it marg<strong>in</strong>s<br />
Conflicts with OTE,<br />
dissatisfied customers<br />
Excessive number <strong>of</strong><br />
firms<br />
Support <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s<br />
diffusion <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
domestic market<br />
Foreign Investment<br />
<strong>in</strong>terest<br />
Broadband<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructures<br />
New unified services <strong>of</strong><br />
added value (eg IPTV)<br />
<strong>in</strong> an evolv<strong>in</strong>g market<br />
Pressure <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />
competition from low cost<br />
countries<br />
Pressure <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />
competition from low cost<br />
countries<br />
Entry <strong>of</strong> foreign companies<br />
<strong>in</strong> retail<br />
Delays <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> reconcilement<br />
<strong>of</strong> legislation, completion <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>stitutional framework<br />
Subcontract<strong>in</strong>g s<strong>of</strong>tware<br />
services <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />
countries<br />
Need for technological modernisation<br />
Emphasis on <strong>the</strong> markets abroad<br />
Strategic alliances and collaborations with<br />
enterprises from o<strong>the</strong>r sub-<strong>sector</strong>s<br />
Positive prospects with <strong>the</strong> completion <strong>of</strong><br />
reformations<br />
Support <strong>of</strong> distribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Internet <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>Greece</strong> (equipment and content)<br />
Infota<strong>in</strong>ment, consumer electronics, new<br />
media products<br />
Triple play <strong>in</strong> affordable prices<br />
Mergers <strong>of</strong> alternatives and strategic<br />
alliances with producers <strong>of</strong> content: Creation<br />
<strong>of</strong> vertical <strong>in</strong>tegrated enterprises that<br />
possess <strong>in</strong>frastructures, network and<br />
content.<br />
Information<br />
technology<br />
services<br />
S<strong>of</strong>tware<br />
Well skilled human<br />
capital<br />
Cooperation with<br />
Universities<br />
Big mult<strong>in</strong>ationals <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>Greece</strong><br />
Scattered supply, lack<br />
<strong>of</strong> specialisation<br />
Standardised<br />
products<br />
High cost <strong>of</strong><br />
customized solutions<br />
for small Greek<br />
enterprises<br />
Niche markets <strong>in</strong><br />
Tourism, Shipp<strong>in</strong>g,<br />
Health<br />
Broadband<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructures<br />
Growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternet<br />
creates new<br />
requirements <strong>in</strong><br />
s<strong>of</strong>tware skills<br />
Opportunities for<br />
parameterisation<br />
Broadband<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructures<br />
Focused and<br />
differentiation strategies<br />
Streng<strong>the</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong><br />
neighbour<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong>s<br />
Standardised products from<br />
abroad<br />
Need for consolidation<br />
Focus on niche markets<br />
Extroversion<br />
Growth <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>tegrated solutions for B2B, B2C<br />
Dom<strong>in</strong>ance <strong>of</strong> mult<strong>in</strong>ationals<br />
Very small marg<strong>in</strong> for small Greek<br />
enterprises (Provided that <strong>the</strong>y focus on<br />
segments and <strong>of</strong>fer specialised solutions <strong>in</strong><br />
affordable prices)<br />
Need for transitions to <strong>in</strong>tegrated IT<br />
solutions (SaaS)<br />
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Appendix 3 : Forecasts for <strong>the</strong> turnover <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> firms<br />
Fiscal Year <strong>of</strong> 2005<br />
Accord<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> available results for <strong>the</strong> fiscal year 2005, (1120 firms, roughly 92% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
2004 turnover) <strong>the</strong> total <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>ICT</strong> <strong>sector</strong> (as it has been def<strong>in</strong>ed previously) shows a 3.1%<br />
decrease <strong>in</strong> its turnover. If OTE is excluded from <strong>the</strong> analysis, <strong>the</strong> decrease is slightly more<br />
<strong>in</strong>tense and reaches -3.4%. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, if <strong>the</strong> three mobile carriers are also excluded, <strong>the</strong><br />
turnover will decrease by -3.2%. However, it is obvious that important part <strong>of</strong> this decrease is<br />
due to retail trade, s<strong>in</strong>ce remov<strong>in</strong>g it from <strong>the</strong> analysis, narrows <strong>the</strong> decrease at <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> -<br />
2.1%. Out <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 45 companies that belong to this category, <strong>the</strong> four larger ones show an<br />
8% <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> turnover <strong>in</strong> 2005, but <strong>the</strong> rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g ones seem to limit <strong>the</strong>ir turnover by -<br />
30%.<br />
At a <strong>sector</strong>al level, <strong>the</strong> decrease is more <strong>in</strong>tense <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> IT <strong>sector</strong> (-6.5% or -4.5% without<br />
retail) and lighter <strong>in</strong> telecommunications (-2.5%). In terms <strong>of</strong> sub-<strong>sector</strong>s:<br />
In <strong>ICT</strong> Manufactur<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>the</strong> decrease f turnover is 9.9%, ma<strong>in</strong>ly due to <strong>the</strong><br />
restructur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> INTRACOM (-47%), s<strong>in</strong>ce one <strong>of</strong> its important parts (INTRACOM IT)<br />
is now classified <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> sub-<strong>sector</strong> <strong>of</strong> IT services. If it is excluded from <strong>the</strong> analysis,<br />
this sub-<strong>sector</strong> extends its turnover by 11.4%.<br />
In <strong>ICT</strong> Trade <strong>the</strong> decrease is 6.2%, which is ma<strong>in</strong>ly due to <strong>the</strong> big retail networks. If<br />
retail is excluded, <strong>the</strong> decrease is limited to -3.8%.<br />
In telecommunications/<strong>in</strong>ternet service providers, a marg<strong>in</strong>al decrease <strong>of</strong> 0.9% is<br />
reported (0.7% without OTE).<br />
In S<strong>of</strong>tware products, an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> 1.9% is reported.<br />
In IT Services, a 4.2% <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> turnover is reported, while an important part <strong>of</strong><br />
this <strong>in</strong>crease is due to <strong>the</strong> entry <strong>of</strong> INTRACOM IT.<br />
F<strong>in</strong>ally, if we isolate - for 2005 – firms that operate ma<strong>in</strong>ly <strong>in</strong> NACE 72 (Information<br />
technology and relevant activities), <strong>the</strong>se show an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> 4.9% n <strong>the</strong>ir turnover.<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> presence <strong>of</strong> OTE <strong>in</strong>fluences by 1% <strong>the</strong> total turnover <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> subset <strong>of</strong> firms<br />
form <strong>the</strong> NACE 64.2 <strong>sector</strong> (Telecommunications) (– 0.4% to +0.1%, if OTE is excluded or<br />
<strong>in</strong>cluded respectively).<br />
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Fiscal Year <strong>of</strong> 2006: Estimates<br />
For <strong>the</strong> fiscal year <strong>of</strong> 2006, <strong>the</strong> only available at <strong>the</strong> time f<strong>in</strong>ancial figures are <strong>the</strong> ones <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
A<strong>the</strong>ns stock exchange listed companies (results on <strong>the</strong> first semester). First, estimation <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> total turnover <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se companies is made for 2006. Then, <strong>the</strong> estimations for <strong>the</strong> total<br />
figures are based on <strong>the</strong> share <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se firms to <strong>the</strong> total <strong>ICT</strong> turnover (42%-44%), but also<br />
on <strong>the</strong> annual change and <strong>the</strong>ir relation with <strong>the</strong> total change <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>sector</strong>. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong><br />
analysis, <strong>the</strong> total turnover <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s <strong>sector</strong> will <strong>in</strong>crease by 1.5% - 5%, while <strong>the</strong> average will<br />
be approximately 3.2%. If retail trade is excluded, <strong>the</strong> turnover may <strong>in</strong>crease by 4%.<br />
In terms <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> two ma<strong>in</strong> <strong>sector</strong>s (exclud<strong>in</strong>g retail trade), telecommunications seem to have<br />
an advantage, as <strong>the</strong>y will <strong>in</strong>crease approximately at a rate <strong>of</strong> 4.5%, while <strong>the</strong> IT <strong>sector</strong> will<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease by 3.7%. In terms <strong>of</strong> sub-<strong>sector</strong>s, all subcategories seem to recover, except for<br />
manufactur<strong>in</strong>g, which will decrease by 4.2%. IT Services can achieve even a two-digit<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease (more than 12%), while wholesale trade <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICT</strong>s equipment is estimated to <strong>in</strong>crease<br />
by 5.2%. Telecommunications/Internet services providers turnover will exceed 6%, while <strong>the</strong><br />
turnover <strong>of</strong> S<strong>of</strong>tware products will <strong>in</strong>crease by 7.8%, based on <strong>the</strong> customized s<strong>of</strong>tware <strong>of</strong><br />
large mult<strong>in</strong>ational companies.<br />
Fiscal Years 2007-2008: Estimates<br />
The estimates for <strong>the</strong> next two years are calculated based on <strong>the</strong> 2002-2006 trends, but <strong>the</strong>y<br />
also <strong>in</strong>corporate certa<strong>in</strong> basic assumptions, which have been described <strong>in</strong> this deliverable.<br />
Therefore, it is excepted that growth rates can be even higher <strong>in</strong> comparison with <strong>the</strong> ones <strong>of</strong><br />
2006, given that <strong>the</strong> positive growth expectations (and more specifically <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> public<br />
and private <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructures that will lead to <strong>the</strong> improvement <strong>of</strong> broadband<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructures; <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> electronic services provided by <strong>the</strong> state; <strong>the</strong> expected<br />
support on expenses for <strong>ICT</strong>s, especially by firms, etc.) flourish and <strong>the</strong> basic barriers smooth<br />
out (<strong>in</strong>frastructures, content, tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g actions).<br />
In this framework, estimation for <strong>the</strong> top-50 enterprises (without retail) is made. Their<br />
performance is more or less similar with <strong>the</strong> performance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> whole <strong>sector</strong> (although <strong>the</strong><br />
usually perform better). Thus, it is estimated that <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> 2007 and 2008 can exceed<br />
6%. The IT <strong>sector</strong> shows a more positive trend at a rate that can exceed 9%, while <strong>in</strong><br />
telecommunications <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease may be approximately 5%. In any case, it should be noted<br />
that <strong>the</strong> gradual transition <strong>of</strong> all firms to <strong>the</strong> IFSS till 2008 could potentially cause more<br />
<strong>in</strong>tense changes and also decrease <strong>the</strong> aforementioned positive estimations.<br />
October 2006<br />
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Τίτλος Μελέτης