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Down and In 97<br />

Of the last 50,000 years, there has been a written language for only<br />

the past 5,000. We humans have only been meaningfully self-analytical for<br />

the past 3,000. Just a few centuries ago Gutenberg made the first printing<br />

press, and not until the last century could man transmit a message through<br />

electrical means. The 20th century will be remembered for all time for<br />

three of the most remarkable human accomplishments: splitting the atom,<br />

space travel, and the advent of the computer. We are now simultaneously<br />

living in the Atomic Age, the Space Age, the Information Age, and the<br />

Computer Age. All four are, of course, unprecedented in human history.<br />

But more importantly, the time period between doubling the number<br />

of new innovations and major developments has been reduced to just a<br />

few years, and doubling the amount of information available has been<br />

reduced to just a few months. Indeed, the periods for doubling the human<br />

population and the speed of transportation has been reduced to less than a<br />

human generation in my own lifetime.<br />

What is most startling when considering this history is the extraordinary<br />

brevity of the history itself. The acceleration of change and the effect<br />

humans have had on the face of the planet provides common everyday<br />

evidence that human intentionality is a powerful force and that evolution<br />

is alive and well. It is also increasingly under intentional human control. This<br />

evidence begs the immense and inevitable questions: where was intentionality<br />

before the human period, and what lies in the offing for the next<br />

centuries What will our civilization be like in 100 years, in 200 years, 500<br />

years Will humankind recognize the destructive effect it is having on our<br />

planet, and change its thinking and its actions toward a more sustainable<br />

future As H.G. Wells once said, human history appears to be becoming<br />

more and more a race between education and catastrophe. Of course the<br />

clock will one day run out on these threats, either by social catastrophe, or<br />

through disciplined human action, though only the latter should be acceptable.<br />

Ultimately the promise of our technologies lies in our eventual<br />

escape from a dying planet.<br />

Though the suggestion seems amazing even now, it would doubtless<br />

have appeared unfathomable to the Renaissance men of the 15th century<br />

that their progeny would one day surround the planet with a network of<br />

artificial satellites in order to photograph the mother planet, communicate<br />

at the speed of light, and spy on one another. The atom was still<br />

centuries away from being definitively revealed. What we take for granted<br />

in our daily lives would be considered some kind of legerdemain 500 years<br />

ago, punishable by burning at the stake. Had today’s scientists been alive<br />

then, they would have been condemned as sorcerers and magicians by the<br />

Church and its laity—much as were Copernicus, Galileo, and Bruno. Likewise,<br />

what seems implausible now will certainly be routine in the coming centuries.

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