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ITACG Intelligence Guide for First Responders 2nd Edition - ISE.gov

ITACG Intelligence Guide for First Responders 2nd Edition - ISE.gov

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In addition to using words within a judgment to convey degrees of likelihood, the IC also ascribes<br />

“high,” “moderate,” or “low” confidence levels according to the scope and quality of in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

supporting its judgments.<br />

• High confidence generally indicates that the IC’s judgments are based on high-quality<br />

in<strong>for</strong>mation and/or that the nature of the issue makes it possible to render a solid judgment.<br />

• Moderate confidence generally means that the in<strong>for</strong>mation is interpreted in various ways,<br />

that the IC has alternative views, or that the in<strong>for</strong>mation is credible and plausible but not<br />

corroborated sufficiently to warrant a higher level of confidence.<br />

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intelligence guide <strong>for</strong> first responders - <strong>2nd</strong> edition | how to<br />

• Low confidence generally means that the in<strong>for</strong>mation is scant, questionable or very<br />

fragmented, and it is difficult to make solid analytic inferences, or that the IC has<br />

significant concerns or problems with the sources.

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