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Gilco Lumber, Inc.... - Miller Publishing Corporation

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QUEBEC<br />

The marketplace continues to be slow paced and highly competitive<br />

for North American Hardwoods. Mills are reported to be operating<br />

with adequate log decks to supply the current demand, though<br />

log supplies have been generally lower than normal. At this time,<br />

much of the green lumber production is concentrated on<br />

Whitewoods. Buyers are still using a controlled approach on purchasing.<br />

It is reported there is greater sales competition in kiln<br />

dried lumber markets. Prices are unsettled for most species and<br />

grades due to intense sales competition, along with the economic<br />

turmoil and overall market weakness.<br />

Contacts report that market activity is better for Hard Maple than<br />

for most other species; although at this time business for Hard<br />

Maple is not that great. Demand is down and buyers are controlling<br />

purchases to specific requirements. Winter cut production in March<br />

was in full swing, with log availability at sawmills having sufficient<br />

supply. The volume of green Hard Maple entering the marketplace<br />

is more than ample to fulfill buyers’ needs, which is causing<br />

price pressure.<br />

The sagging demand for Soft Maple is keeping the “supply component<br />

of the inventory-to-sales ratio” high for this species.<br />

Overall pricing for Soft Maple is trending lower. Birch’s slow market<br />

activity has been caused by the economic turmoil and the downturn<br />

in U.S. housing markets, just as they have for other species.<br />

Birch has been competing with other North American species,<br />

including Hard Maple, as well as imported species. Prices have<br />

gone down. Prices for various grades of kiln dried Birch have also<br />

dropped.<br />

Sales for Basswood continue to be based on established customer/supplier<br />

relationships, even though it is demand driven.<br />

Purchases are for items and quantities for specific purposes. With<br />

the winter cut production providing enhanced color characteristics<br />

for this and other whitewoods, there is virtually no speculative buying<br />

in anticipation of future demand.<br />

Orders and shipments for Beech are slow. Prices moved down<br />

during the past couple of months due to the overall business contraction<br />

and competition from other species. Contacts report there<br />

is limited market interest in Ash, but indicate supplies are not<br />

excessive or problematic for sellers, with prices being stable.<br />

News from suppliers about prices,<br />

trends, sales and inventories.<br />

ONTARIO<br />

Ontario posted weight restrictions earlier this spring, and Quebec<br />

followed suit. Several companies were reported having switched<br />

business, going into manufacturing railroad ties instead as their<br />

business was no longer viable.<br />

Alder is holding its market share even though volumes have fallen<br />

dramatically. Ash demand remains stable despite the very<br />

volatile markets for most other species. Basswood sales to Asia<br />

were reported as good. Although Yellow Birch sales were strong,<br />

prices were reported to be slipping. One manufacturer stated that<br />

widths and lengths for Yellow Birch were the selling factors with<br />

dramatic price effects received. Another contact stated that White<br />

Birch was the strong species showing no weakness in price and<br />

demand.<br />

According to the Royal Bank of Canada’s (RBC) annual homeownership<br />

survey of 2,026 Canadians conducted recently by Ipsos<br />

Reid, confidence appears to be seeping back into the housing market,<br />

with young Canadians the most optimistic that now is a good<br />

time to buy. Sixty-five percent of respondents believe it is a buyers’<br />

market now. Of those surveyed, 9 percent said it is “very likely”<br />

they will purchase a home or condominium in 2009 or 2010,<br />

and another 18 percent rated the prospect of purchasing a new<br />

home as “somewhat” likely. Additionally, almost half indicate it<br />

makes sense to buy a home now versus waiting until next year.<br />

Young adults and renters are most likely to spark an upsurge in<br />

home sales, stated RBC in its survey results. Forty-eight percent of<br />

the under-35 group said they plan to buy and 38 percent of renters<br />

plan to become homeowners in the next two years. Although this<br />

optimism is not reflected in the most recent sales statistics – the<br />

volume of sales in the Toronto area, for example, was down 47 percent<br />

year-over-year in January – RBC predicts that lower prices<br />

will lure a growing percentage of Canadians back into the housing<br />

market in the next two years.<br />

A Toronto real estate agent notes that consumers do not always<br />

follow through on their intentions – although it is encouraging that<br />

more Canadians appear to be thinking about buying homes. RBC’s<br />

head of home equity financing, said low mortgage rates “and favorable<br />

housing prices are influencing home purchase intentions this<br />

year and may be the reason why more Canadians are poised to pur-<br />

Please turn to page 61 Please turn to page 61<br />

8 Hardwoods Have Workability

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