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Competition and Regulation in the Telecommunications Industry in ...

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<strong>Competition</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Regulation</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Telecommunications</strong>4.4 Mobile4.4.1 Relevant MarketThe discussion of <strong>the</strong> relevant market <strong>in</strong> fixed local access determ<strong>in</strong>ed thatmobile access was not a substitute for fixed local access, though it may beconsidered as such <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> near future. Also on <strong>the</strong> horizon are <strong>the</strong> so-called3 rd generation cellular services (UMTS). These can be separated from <strong>the</strong>current 2 nd generation GSM networks <strong>in</strong> that <strong>the</strong>y have broadb<strong>and</strong> capacity<strong>and</strong> so are able to provide a range of product options that <strong>the</strong> GSM networkscannot. Although <strong>the</strong>se can be seen as two dist<strong>in</strong>ct markets, <strong>the</strong>re areeconomies of scope <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir production. F<strong>in</strong>ally, network provision can beseparated from service provision.4.4.2 Market structureThere are currently two network providers, MTN <strong>and</strong> Vodacom, with a thirdnetwork licence currently be<strong>in</strong>g issued to Cell C (pend<strong>in</strong>g litigation). Themajority shareholder <strong>in</strong> MTN is M-Cell <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> Vodacom is Vodafone <strong>and</strong>Telkom (50%). The large sharehold<strong>in</strong>g of Telkom is potentially a cause forconcern, especially as mobile is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly becom<strong>in</strong>g a substitute for fixedlocal access. This sharehold<strong>in</strong>g gives Telkom <strong>the</strong> chance to act strategicallyto <strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>the</strong> degree of substitutability <strong>and</strong> transfer price betweencompetitive <strong>and</strong> uncompetitive markets. The market shares have stabilised ataround 61% for Vodacom <strong>and</strong> 39% for MTN (Telkom 2001). Given that <strong>the</strong>market has grown at almost 50% per annum, <strong>the</strong> primary concern of bothnetwork providers is sign<strong>in</strong>g up subscribers, <strong>and</strong> not compet<strong>in</strong>g on price tow<strong>in</strong> subscribers away from <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r network. Recent estimates are that if CellC entered <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry at this po<strong>in</strong>t, <strong>the</strong>y would only secure a 10% share of<strong>the</strong> market by 2003 (Bus<strong>in</strong>ess Report 19 February 2001). The<strong>Telecommunications</strong> Act requires <strong>the</strong> regulator to exam<strong>in</strong>e whe<strong>the</strong>r a fourthlicence is desirable or not.The network operators do not deal directly with <strong>the</strong> public but wholesaleairtime to appo<strong>in</strong>ted service providers who <strong>in</strong> turn retail network access to <strong>the</strong>public or corporations us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>ir own tariff structures. The service providerscurrently appo<strong>in</strong>ted to each network are:• MTN network – Autopage Cellular, M-Tel, Nashua, Nedtel, PlesseyCellular, Radiospoor Cellular, Sebcom, Supercall, Transtel <strong>and</strong> TTC.• Vodacom network – Afritel, Autopage Cellular, Cellphones Direct, GSMCellular, Nashua, Nedtel, Plessey Cellular, Radiospoor Cellular, Supercall,Teljoy <strong>and</strong> Vodac4.4.3 ContestabilityThe primary barrier to entry for network provision is regulation – <strong>the</strong> need for alicence (currently restricted to three). In service provision <strong>the</strong>re is lessregulatory <strong>in</strong>tervention but service providers need to be approved by <strong>the</strong>network providers for reasons of protect<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>ir reputation <strong>and</strong> customerservice levels.45

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