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Competition and Regulation in the Telecommunications Industry in ...

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<strong>Competition</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Regulation</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Telecommunications</strong>Conclud<strong>in</strong>g RemarksThere are many <strong>in</strong>dustry analysts who view <strong>the</strong> past 5 year exclusivity periodof Telkom to be a mistake by cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g to hamper downstream bus<strong>in</strong>esses.These analysts will argue for complete liberalisation. O<strong>the</strong>r groups of societywill view <strong>the</strong> universal service rollout <strong>and</strong> low loss of jobs as success po<strong>in</strong>tsfor <strong>the</strong> policy, <strong>and</strong> will look to cont<strong>in</strong>ue this <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> form of an exclusiveduopoly. The WTO commitment ensures that we need to at least move to alimited entry policy. However, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> end, <strong>the</strong> policy framework forderegulation of <strong>the</strong> telecommunications <strong>in</strong>dustry is go<strong>in</strong>g to be a politicalprocess.Ayogu <strong>and</strong> Hodge (2000) note that <strong>the</strong> distribution of ga<strong>in</strong>s <strong>and</strong> losses <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>full competition model favour <strong>the</strong> wealthy <strong>in</strong> society – <strong>the</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>esses <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>heavy users of telecommunications. The low-<strong>in</strong>come groups are likely to bearall <strong>the</strong> short-term adjustment costs (job losses) for some uncerta<strong>in</strong> futurereward (jobs from downstream users of telecommunications <strong>and</strong> lower priceson future telephone use). Given <strong>the</strong> constituency of <strong>the</strong> government, thissuggests a gradual liberalisation approach may be preferred, where revenuemaximisation occurs <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> ga<strong>in</strong>s can be transferred to <strong>the</strong> losers throughfiscal policy.If <strong>the</strong> full competition model is to be adopted, it needs to be structured toprovide stronger universal service support <strong>and</strong> deliver downstream benefits tolow-<strong>in</strong>come groups rapidly. This suggests maybe rais<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> USF levy <strong>and</strong>pursu<strong>in</strong>g strict competition <strong>and</strong> regulatory enforcement <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> sector to lowerprices <strong>and</strong> benefit downstream job creators.59

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