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The Greenland White-fronted Goose Anser albifrons flavirostris

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Spring count<br />

16000<br />

12000<br />

8000<br />

4000<br />

0<br />

Wexford<br />

Islay<br />

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000<br />

Census year<br />

Figure 2.2. Annual spring counts of <strong>Greenland</strong> <strong>White</strong><strong>fronted</strong><br />

Geese at the two most important wintering<br />

sites, Islay in the Inner Hebrides of Scotland and Wexford<br />

Slobs in south-east Ireland. <strong>The</strong> vertical arrow<br />

indicates protection from hunting at both sites.<br />

tinue to decline in number or disappear, a process<br />

which is not matched by colonisation of new<br />

wintering sites, only one of which, in eastern Ireland,<br />

seems to have become regular.<br />

2.6 What of the future for the <strong>Greenland</strong><br />

<strong>White</strong>-<strong>fronted</strong> <strong>Goose</strong>?<br />

<strong>The</strong> conservation of a relatively small population<br />

of one race of an abundant circumpolar species is<br />

not a high priority in its own right. Nevertheless,<br />

the <strong>Greenland</strong> <strong>White</strong>-<strong>fronted</strong> <strong>Goose</strong> became a<br />

“flagship” organism for the conservation of<br />

peatlands on its wintering grounds during the<br />

1980s, representing a top consumer organism of<br />

fragile peatland systems under threat from forestry,<br />

commercial peat exploitation and drainage<br />

at that time. Even in areas where they no longer<br />

feed on peatlands, the geese exploit features of<br />

an extreme oceanic low intensity pastoral system<br />

that supports a rich ecologically diverse community<br />

(Bignal et al. 1988, Bignal & McCracken 1996).<br />

Conservation actions to protect <strong>Greenland</strong> <strong>White</strong>fronts<br />

in winter therefore safeguard a set of unusual<br />

and scarce habitats that also support other<br />

breeding and wintering species. <strong>The</strong> research and<br />

conservation effort invested in the population<br />

over the years now provides a long time series of<br />

annual numbers, distribution and breeding success<br />

amongst a discrete population of migratory<br />

waterbirds. <strong>The</strong> marking programme, started in<br />

<strong>Greenland</strong> in 1979 and continued to the present<br />

(largely in Ireland where birds continue to be collared<br />

on a regular basis), provides a 20 year record<br />

of individual life histories. In the fullness of time<br />

(since these geese are long lived), these records<br />

will provide important additional insights on<br />

changes in such critical parameters such as age<br />

of first breeding, lifetime reproductive success<br />

and mortality. <strong>The</strong> very process of studying this<br />

population has given the <strong>Greenland</strong> <strong>White</strong><strong>fronted</strong><br />

<strong>Goose</strong> scientific interest which may offer<br />

some insights into population processes and conservation<br />

strategies to protect other taxa.<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>Greenland</strong> <strong>White</strong>-<strong>fronted</strong> <strong>Goose</strong> also faces<br />

new and different challenges in the immediate<br />

future. Global climate change has the potential<br />

to modify the meteorological conditions of the<br />

bird throughout its range, and hence the habitats<br />

and phenology of growth of plants which they<br />

exploit. Nowhere is this more of a potential threat<br />

than on the breeding areas, where change is forecast<br />

to be most dramatic. Model predictions agree<br />

that north-west <strong>Greenland</strong> will experience cooler<br />

summers and therefore increasingly delayed<br />

springs (Zöckler & Lysenko 2000) and there are<br />

indications that these patterns are already evident<br />

(Rigor et al. 2000). As is discussed in depth elsewhere<br />

in the thesis, there is mounting evidence<br />

for 'leap-frog' migration and segregation amongst<br />

this goose population (MS2, MS6 and see Chapter<br />

6). Geese breeding in the south of the breeding<br />

range tend to winter furthest north and vice<br />

versa. Hence, cooling in the north of the breeding<br />

range is likely to affect those geese that winter in<br />

Ireland and Wales more than those wintering in<br />

Scotland (MS2, MS27). Breeding success in the<br />

population is linked to June temperatures<br />

(Zöckler & Lysenko 2000). Some climate models<br />

predict that central west <strong>Greenland</strong> (between 67º<br />

and 69ºN) will experience warmer springs which<br />

could improve conditions for geese breeding there<br />

(Rigor et al. 2000, W. Skinner in litt.). This is the<br />

area with the highest densities of summering<br />

<strong>Greenland</strong> <strong>White</strong>-<strong>fronted</strong> Geese, both breeding<br />

and moulting (MS23), and is thought to be the<br />

summering area of birds which winter predominantly<br />

in Scotland (MS2). It is also the area where<br />

breeding and moulting Canada Geese have increased<br />

greatly in recent years (MS13, MS22).<br />

During the moult, <strong>White</strong>-<strong>fronted</strong> and Canada<br />

Geese use the same habitats and areas adjacent<br />

to open water bodies to regrow flight feathers (see<br />

chapter 7). Canada Geese there breed in their third<br />

summer and produce more young per unit area<br />

than <strong>White</strong>fronts using the same habitats. Canada<br />

Geese are also behaviourally dominant over them<br />

there (Jarrett 1999, Kristiansen 2001). Since Canada<br />

Geese show no signs of reducing their rate of<br />

25

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