The Greenland White-fronted Goose Anser albifrons flavirostris
The Greenland White-fronted Goose Anser albifrons flavirostris
The Greenland White-fronted Goose Anser albifrons flavirostris
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Spring count<br />
16000<br />
12000<br />
8000<br />
4000<br />
0<br />
Wexford<br />
Islay<br />
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000<br />
Census year<br />
Figure 2.2. Annual spring counts of <strong>Greenland</strong> <strong>White</strong><strong>fronted</strong><br />
Geese at the two most important wintering<br />
sites, Islay in the Inner Hebrides of Scotland and Wexford<br />
Slobs in south-east Ireland. <strong>The</strong> vertical arrow<br />
indicates protection from hunting at both sites.<br />
tinue to decline in number or disappear, a process<br />
which is not matched by colonisation of new<br />
wintering sites, only one of which, in eastern Ireland,<br />
seems to have become regular.<br />
2.6 What of the future for the <strong>Greenland</strong><br />
<strong>White</strong>-<strong>fronted</strong> <strong>Goose</strong>?<br />
<strong>The</strong> conservation of a relatively small population<br />
of one race of an abundant circumpolar species is<br />
not a high priority in its own right. Nevertheless,<br />
the <strong>Greenland</strong> <strong>White</strong>-<strong>fronted</strong> <strong>Goose</strong> became a<br />
“flagship” organism for the conservation of<br />
peatlands on its wintering grounds during the<br />
1980s, representing a top consumer organism of<br />
fragile peatland systems under threat from forestry,<br />
commercial peat exploitation and drainage<br />
at that time. Even in areas where they no longer<br />
feed on peatlands, the geese exploit features of<br />
an extreme oceanic low intensity pastoral system<br />
that supports a rich ecologically diverse community<br />
(Bignal et al. 1988, Bignal & McCracken 1996).<br />
Conservation actions to protect <strong>Greenland</strong> <strong>White</strong>fronts<br />
in winter therefore safeguard a set of unusual<br />
and scarce habitats that also support other<br />
breeding and wintering species. <strong>The</strong> research and<br />
conservation effort invested in the population<br />
over the years now provides a long time series of<br />
annual numbers, distribution and breeding success<br />
amongst a discrete population of migratory<br />
waterbirds. <strong>The</strong> marking programme, started in<br />
<strong>Greenland</strong> in 1979 and continued to the present<br />
(largely in Ireland where birds continue to be collared<br />
on a regular basis), provides a 20 year record<br />
of individual life histories. In the fullness of time<br />
(since these geese are long lived), these records<br />
will provide important additional insights on<br />
changes in such critical parameters such as age<br />
of first breeding, lifetime reproductive success<br />
and mortality. <strong>The</strong> very process of studying this<br />
population has given the <strong>Greenland</strong> <strong>White</strong><strong>fronted</strong><br />
<strong>Goose</strong> scientific interest which may offer<br />
some insights into population processes and conservation<br />
strategies to protect other taxa.<br />
<strong>The</strong> <strong>Greenland</strong> <strong>White</strong>-<strong>fronted</strong> <strong>Goose</strong> also faces<br />
new and different challenges in the immediate<br />
future. Global climate change has the potential<br />
to modify the meteorological conditions of the<br />
bird throughout its range, and hence the habitats<br />
and phenology of growth of plants which they<br />
exploit. Nowhere is this more of a potential threat<br />
than on the breeding areas, where change is forecast<br />
to be most dramatic. Model predictions agree<br />
that north-west <strong>Greenland</strong> will experience cooler<br />
summers and therefore increasingly delayed<br />
springs (Zöckler & Lysenko 2000) and there are<br />
indications that these patterns are already evident<br />
(Rigor et al. 2000). As is discussed in depth elsewhere<br />
in the thesis, there is mounting evidence<br />
for 'leap-frog' migration and segregation amongst<br />
this goose population (MS2, MS6 and see Chapter<br />
6). Geese breeding in the south of the breeding<br />
range tend to winter furthest north and vice<br />
versa. Hence, cooling in the north of the breeding<br />
range is likely to affect those geese that winter in<br />
Ireland and Wales more than those wintering in<br />
Scotland (MS2, MS27). Breeding success in the<br />
population is linked to June temperatures<br />
(Zöckler & Lysenko 2000). Some climate models<br />
predict that central west <strong>Greenland</strong> (between 67º<br />
and 69ºN) will experience warmer springs which<br />
could improve conditions for geese breeding there<br />
(Rigor et al. 2000, W. Skinner in litt.). This is the<br />
area with the highest densities of summering<br />
<strong>Greenland</strong> <strong>White</strong>-<strong>fronted</strong> Geese, both breeding<br />
and moulting (MS23), and is thought to be the<br />
summering area of birds which winter predominantly<br />
in Scotland (MS2). It is also the area where<br />
breeding and moulting Canada Geese have increased<br />
greatly in recent years (MS13, MS22).<br />
During the moult, <strong>White</strong>-<strong>fronted</strong> and Canada<br />
Geese use the same habitats and areas adjacent<br />
to open water bodies to regrow flight feathers (see<br />
chapter 7). Canada Geese there breed in their third<br />
summer and produce more young per unit area<br />
than <strong>White</strong>fronts using the same habitats. Canada<br />
Geese are also behaviourally dominant over them<br />
there (Jarrett 1999, Kristiansen 2001). Since Canada<br />
Geese show no signs of reducing their rate of<br />
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