12.07.2015 Views

"Top Incomes in the Long Run of History" with Tony Atkinson and

"Top Incomes in the Long Run of History" with Tony Atkinson and

"Top Incomes in the Long Run of History" with Tony Atkinson and

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Atk<strong>in</strong>son, Piketty, <strong>and</strong> Saez: <strong>Top</strong> <strong>Incomes</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Long</strong> <strong>Run</strong> <strong>of</strong> History554.03.5IndiaS<strong>in</strong>gaporeArgent<strong>in</strong>aCh<strong>in</strong>aPareto-Lorenz coefficient3.02.52.01.51.0192019251930193519401945195019551960196519701975198019851990199520002005Figure 15. Inverted-Pareto β Coefficients, Develop<strong>in</strong>g Countries: 1920–2005Source: Atk<strong>in</strong>son <strong>and</strong> Piketty (2007, 2010).wage earn<strong>in</strong>gs accounted for less than 10 percent<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>come <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> top 0.01 percent butby 2004 this had <strong>in</strong>creased to over 20 percent.In Spa<strong>in</strong>, a similar calculation (from figuresthat omit capital ga<strong>in</strong>s) shows that, <strong>in</strong> 1981,earn<strong>in</strong>gs accounted for less than 20 percent<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>come <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> top 0.01 percent but by2004 this had <strong>in</strong>creased to 40 percent.At <strong>the</strong> same time, <strong>the</strong> picture is not totallyuniform. A major difference between <strong>the</strong>Nordic countries <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> United States is<strong>the</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g importance <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> former<strong>of</strong> capital <strong>in</strong>come. In Sweden, Ro<strong>in</strong>e <strong>and</strong>Waldenström (2008) f<strong>in</strong>d that “between1945 <strong>and</strong> 1978 <strong>the</strong> wage share at all levels<strong>of</strong> top <strong>in</strong>comes became more important. . .. But <strong>in</strong> 2004 <strong>the</strong> pattern is back to that <strong>of</strong>1945 <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> importance <strong>of</strong> capital, <strong>in</strong>particular when we <strong>in</strong>clude realized capitalga<strong>in</strong>s.” The conclusions reached regard<strong>in</strong>gF<strong>in</strong>l<strong>and</strong> stress that “<strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> factor that hasdriven up <strong>the</strong> top 1 percent <strong>in</strong>come share <strong>in</strong>F<strong>in</strong>l<strong>and</strong> after <strong>the</strong> mid 1990s is an unprecedented<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> fraction <strong>of</strong> capital<strong>in</strong>come” (Jantti et al. 2010). This may reflectdifferences <strong>in</strong> report<strong>in</strong>g behavior follow<strong>in</strong>gtax reforms, but it is not totally a differencebetween Nordic countries <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Anglo-Saxons. In Australia, Atk<strong>in</strong>son <strong>and</strong> Leigh(2007a) found that “<strong>the</strong> proportion <strong>of</strong> salary<strong>and</strong> wage <strong>in</strong>come for top <strong>in</strong>come groups <strong>in</strong>2000 was quite similar to <strong>the</strong> proportion <strong>in</strong>1980.” In <strong>the</strong> United K<strong>in</strong>gdom, it is true that<strong>the</strong> major <strong>the</strong>mes have been <strong>the</strong> fall <strong>in</strong> capital<strong>in</strong>comes over <strong>the</strong> first three-quarters <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>twentieth century <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> subsequent rise <strong>in</strong>top earn<strong>in</strong>gs, but m<strong>in</strong>or <strong>the</strong>mes have beenan earlier fall on <strong>the</strong> share <strong>of</strong> top earners <strong>and</strong>

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!