<strong>Te</strong> <strong>Puke</strong> East 0-14 Years 840 910 960 1,010 990 97015-39 Years 1,160 1,120 1,160 1,140 1,200 1,22040-64 Years 1,280 1,350 1,390 1,440 1,430 1,48065 Years <strong>and</strong> over 1,020 1,110 1,230 1,380 1,540 1,660Total All Ages 4,290 4,490 4,740 4,960 5,160 5,330Source: Area Unit Population Projections by <strong>Te</strong>rritorial Authorities, Age <strong>and</strong> Sex, 2006(base)-2031 updateRecent Sport <strong>and</strong> <strong>Recreation</strong> New Zeal<strong>and</strong> (SPARC) survey work indicates that the older population isbecoming more active <strong>and</strong> are participating more in both formal <strong>and</strong> informal sport <strong>and</strong> recreation activity.The aging population of <strong>Te</strong> <strong>Puke</strong> <strong>and</strong> surrounding areas presents an opportunity to provide programmes forthe older adults (particularly aquatic programmes).2.7 Population Projections including the Papamoa East Growth AreasThe growth area of Papamoa East, together with its related infrastructure, has the potential to have asignificant impact on <strong>Te</strong> <strong>Puke</strong> facility user numbers. With a potential population of 30,000 within the proposedPapamoa East growth area the potential exists for the proposed <strong>Te</strong> <strong>Puke</strong> facility to double its potentialcatchment size.However, a greater underst<strong>and</strong>ing of the area’s proposed sporting <strong>and</strong> recreational facilities will be essential.As Tauranga City Council (TCC) has only just commenced considering the area’s potential community facilityneeds it remains too early to say what impact the area will have on the proposed <strong>Te</strong> <strong>Puke</strong> facilities. However,potential for joint planning <strong>and</strong> a partnership with TCC (particularly for an aquatic facility) may be a possibilityas the proposed <strong>Te</strong> <strong>Puke</strong> aquatic <strong>and</strong> indoor recreation facility is relatively close to Papamoa East.Table 7: Population Projections including the Papamoa East Growth AreasCensus Stats 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036* 2041* 2046* 2051*Ohauiti-Ngapeke 670 750 830 910 990 1060Upper Papamoa 2070 2280 2420 2560 2690 2810Paengaroa 930 950 1000 1030 1070 1090Rangiuru 2090 2150 2180 2200 2200 2180Pongakawa 3080 3290 3430 3550 3660 3730<strong>Te</strong> <strong>Puke</strong> West 3040 3180 3370 3550 3720 3850<strong>Te</strong> <strong>Puke</strong> East 4290 4490 4740 4960 5160 5330Sub Total 16,170 17,090 17,970 18,760 19,490 20,050* Statistics NZ does not provide a breakdown per census unit past 2031 for population projectionsSmartGrowth Stats 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036* 2041* 2046* 2051*Papamoa East- Wairakei 0 1050 3304 6500 9604 11995 11995 11995 11995 11995Papamoa East- <strong>Te</strong> Tumu 0 0 0 0 714 2355 6260 10167 14487 19068Sub Total 1,050 3,304 6,500 10,318 14,350 18,255 22,162 26,482 31,063Total * 18,140 21,274 25,260 29,808 34,400* Census stats including smart growth statistics for Papamoa EastSource: Area Unit Population Projections by <strong>Te</strong>rritorial Authorities, Age <strong>and</strong> Sex, 2006(base)-2031 updateSource: SmartGrowth Stats12
2.8 Population – Seasonal WorkersWith <strong>Te</strong> <strong>Puke</strong> being located within the main Kiwi fruit producing area consideration of seasonal workers willalso need to be taken into account. It is estimated that of all the seasonal workers that come to the WesternBay of Plenty, approximately three quarters go to <strong>Te</strong> <strong>Puke</strong> <strong>and</strong> its surrounding areas (this is estimated toequate to an additional 6,400 people).This increase comes in the period between February <strong>and</strong> May. These seasonal workers are made up of bothNew Zeal<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> overseas workers.There are plans for the introduction of new varieties / species of fruit. It is anticipated that this will see anincrease in production that in turn will increase the number of seasonal workers coming into the area. Theseason may also be extended as a result of the new crops, meaning workers will likely stay in the area forlonger.Current seasonal workers are reported to be accommodated by pack houses in <strong>and</strong> around <strong>Te</strong> <strong>Puke</strong>. Theseworkers often live at camping grounds, rent or board locally, live at the local hotel, or rent <strong>and</strong> board inPapamoa.The sporting <strong>and</strong> recreational needs of these seasonal workers will need to be taken into consideration.13