156 Toll Road Study and Appendices - Transportation Agency for ...

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Tolling Traffic and Revenue Study Highway 156 CorridorTraffic and Revenue AnalysisFigure 2: Highway 156 (without Tolls) Forecasted Two-Way DailyVolumesTravel Time DataTravel time data on each ramp at the interchange was collected to determine the impacts ofexisting and anticipated future queues to the Route 156 West Corridor improvements,including No Build, Phase 1 only and Phase 1 and Phase 2 scenarios. The observed traveltimes were compared to the RTDM’s estimated travel times to yield more travel timeprojections. Table 1, Validation of Observed Travel Times at the Highway 101 andHighway 156 Interchange compares the observed travel times to the RTDM estimatedtravel times. Based upon a comparison between the observed and model travel times,summer peak period travel times were estimated.Table 1: AMBAG RTDM Validation of Observed Travel Times at the Highway101 and Highway 156 InterchangeAM Peak PeriodPM Peak PeriodMovements Observed(1/2013)2013ModelModel/ObsObserved(1/2013)2013ModelModel/ObsHighway 101 SB –SR 156 WB74.2 70.6 95% 67.0 73.2 109%SR 156 EB –Highway 101 NB94.5 81.0 86% 116.0 91.7 79%5
Tolling Traffic and Revenue Study Highway 156 CorridorTraffic and Revenue AnalysisSR 156 Travel Demand MarketSelect link analysis was performed, using the AMBAG RTDM classified travel, according tothe geographic orientation and trip purpose of the Highway 156 travel market. The AMBAGRTDM forecasts annual average weekday travel only and does not support weekend andtourism travel estimation. 3 The AMBAG RTDM estimates travelers from the AMBAG regionincluding, Monterey, Santa Benito, and San Cruz counties and travelers from Santa Clara.For the average weekday analysis, the analysis assumed zero Highway 156 travelers wereexternal to the AMBAG RTDM region.Observed traffic volume data indicates that seasonal travel on Highway 156, during theweekend is pronounced. The magnitude of the weekend travel market in relation to theweekday travel market on Highway 156 was derived based on traffic count data obtainedfrom Caltrans. A significant portion of this demand is due to people from outside the regionvisiting Monterey County; some quantification and characterization of the weekend travelmarket, including travelers from outside the four (4) counties, is necessary to provide anaccurate revenue forecast for a tolled Highway 156. A travel purpose profile wasdeveloped for weekend travel on Highway 156 based on an analysis of 2001 NationalHighway Travel Survey data relating weekend to weekday travel market composition forpeople 16 years and older. 4 Figure 3, Highway 156 Travel Market Composition - Weekdayand Figure 4, Highway 156 Travel Market Composition – Weekend demonstrate theannual average weekday and weekend market composition assumed by this study fortravelers using Highway 156.3 p. 31; “AMBAG Regional Travel Demand Model, Model Development Report, 2005 Base YearModel”; Association of Monterey Area Governments; March 2011.4 “The Journey-to-Work in the Context of Daily Travel”; prepared for the Census Data forTransportation Planning Conference; McGuckin and Srinivasan.6
Page 5: STATE ROUTE 156 Tolling Traffic and
Page 8 and 9: Historic scheduling of these improv
Page 10 and 11: The Route 156 West Corridor Project
Page 12 and 13: e sought to support the constructio
Page 14 and 15: Why can’t we improve the intercha
Page 16 and 17: What amount will an individual be t
Page 18: STATE ROUTE 156 Tolling Traffic and
Page 21 and 22: STATE ROUTE 156 Tolling Traffic and
Page 23 and 24: Updated 10-1-12
Page 25: Updated 10-1-12
Page 28 and 29: APPENDIX BTraffic and Revenue Forec
Page 30 and 31: M E M O R A N D U MDate: May 10, 20
Page 32 and 33: Tolling Traffic and Revenue Study H
Page 48 and 49: Revenue Schedule - Tolling Plan "B"
Page 50 and 51: Revenue Schedule - Tolling Plan "D"
Page 52 and 53: APPENDIX CFinancial Feasibility Ana
Page 54 and 55: 50 California StreetSuite 2300San F
Page 56 and 57: Highway 156 Financial Feasbility An
Page 64 and 65: SR 156Scenario A; April 08, 2013I.
Page 66 and 67: III. Debt Service CoveragePledged C
Page 68 and 69: V. TIFIA LLCR and ReserveSurplusTIF
Page 70 and 71: VII. SpreadsMMD as ofAAA Taxable as
Page 72 and 73: II. Bonds Debt ServiceCIB 1 CIB 1 C
Page 74 and 75: IV. TIFIA Loan ScheduleCurrent Year
Page 76 and 77: VI. Aggregate Flow of FundsResidual
Page 78 and 79: SR 156Scenario C Phase 1; April 08,
Page 80 and 81: III. Debt Service CoveragePledged C
Page 82 and 83: V. TIFIA LLCR and ReserveSurplusTIF
Page 84 and 85:
VII. SpreadsMMD as ofAAA Taxable as
Page 86 and 87:
II. Bonds Debt ServiceCIB 1 CIB 1 C
Page 88 and 89:
IV. TIFIA Loan ScheduleCurrent Year
Page 90 and 91:
VI. Aggregate Flow of FundsResidual
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