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SPR-696: Preliminary Study of Climate Adaptation for the Statewide ...

SPR-696: Preliminary Study of Climate Adaptation for the Statewide ...

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Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), 2011.Figure 4. Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa ObservatoryFigure 5 shows that <strong>the</strong> observed global mean temperature over land and ocean also hasincreased over <strong>the</strong> same time period. The year 2010 tied with 2005 as <strong>the</strong> warmest year sincerecordkeeping began in 1880. The annual global combined land and ocean surface temperaturewas 1.12°F above <strong>the</strong> 20th century average. The 2010 combined land and ocean surfacetemperature in <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Hemisphere also was <strong>the</strong> warmest on record, while <strong>the</strong> combinedland and ocean surface temperature in <strong>the</strong> Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Hemisphere was <strong>the</strong> sixth warmest suchperiod on record. Warming trends over <strong>the</strong> 20th century are documented <strong>for</strong> nearly all locationsthat have sufficient data, except <strong>the</strong> North Atlantic Ocean near Greenland and Iceland, and <strong>the</strong>sou<strong>the</strong>astern United States.The magnitude <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> enhanced greenhouse effect is influenced by various complex interactionsin <strong>the</strong> earth-ocean-atmosphere system. Many processes and feedback loops must be accounted<strong>for</strong> in order to realistically project climate changes resulting from particular GHG emissionscenarios. These complications are <strong>the</strong> source <strong>of</strong> much <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> debate that has occurred about <strong>the</strong>likely magnitude and timing <strong>of</strong> climate changes due to <strong>the</strong> enhanced GHG effect. Never<strong>the</strong>less,<strong>the</strong> scientific community has near-consensus that <strong>the</strong>se global trends tend toward more frequentor severe effects in <strong>the</strong> future.11

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