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PRIVATIZATION Privatization in Malaysia, Regulation, rent-seeking and policy failure

PRIVATIZATION Privatization in Malaysia, Regulation, rent-seeking and policy failure

PRIVATIZATION Privatization in Malaysia, Regulation, rent-seeking and policy failure

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Proton 181to go about it’ <strong>and</strong> Proton’s management <strong>in</strong>itially did not underst<strong>and</strong> thebus<strong>in</strong>ess thoroughly (<strong>Malaysia</strong>n Bus<strong>in</strong>ess, 1 July 1994: 14). As a result, progresswas slow <strong>and</strong> Proton essentially rema<strong>in</strong>ed a (Malay) assembler, rely<strong>in</strong>gon Mitsubishi technology <strong>and</strong> essentially rebadg<strong>in</strong>g old Mitsubishi models.In-house eng<strong>in</strong>e assembly only began <strong>in</strong> 1990, six years after commencementof operations, <strong>and</strong> the high cost of us<strong>in</strong>g Mitsubishi’s eng<strong>in</strong>es <strong>and</strong> ongo<strong>in</strong>groyalty payments affected Proton’s competitiveness. 26Proton’s orig<strong>in</strong>al <strong>and</strong> subsequent production targets (after privatization)were substantially below <strong>in</strong>dustry estimates for economies of scale, with thegovernment underestimat<strong>in</strong>g the capital <strong>and</strong> technological requirements, <strong>and</strong>time needed to develop a <strong>Malaysia</strong>n car. While it sought to emulate SouthKorea’s car <strong>in</strong>dustry, the government did not account for global conditions(<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g overcapacity) <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry forecasts made <strong>in</strong> the 1970s, as well asongo<strong>in</strong>g trends towards <strong>in</strong>dustry rationalization. Capacity expansion wasfurther constra<strong>in</strong>ed by domestic market size <strong>and</strong> the lack of <strong>in</strong>ternationalcompetitiveness, particularly <strong>in</strong> the context of global overcapacity.Proton’s orig<strong>in</strong>al <strong>and</strong> subsequent production targets (5,000 units <strong>in</strong> 1985,120,000 by the 1990s, <strong>and</strong> 500,000 by 2000) were well below <strong>in</strong>dustry levelsfor economies of scale. Its planned capacity of 80,000 <strong>in</strong> 1985 was alsouneconomical, while actual capacity <strong>in</strong> 1985 was even lower at 40,000. Thesefigures were significantly below Hyundai’s first production planned for 1976(55,000) <strong>and</strong> 1978–1979 (120,000). By 1987, Hyundai was produc<strong>in</strong>g 670,000cars (Bloomfield 1991). Proton’s planned capacity expansion was ambitious<strong>and</strong> depended on substantial sales growth which only a large export marketcould provide. Hyundai’s breakthrough as a major exporter came when itentered the North American market, sell<strong>in</strong>g 169,000 cars <strong>in</strong> 1986 <strong>and</strong> 263,000<strong>in</strong> 1987, allow<strong>in</strong>g it to <strong>in</strong>crease production capacity from 150,000 (<strong>in</strong> 1984) to700,000 (1988) (Gwynne 1991).In comparison, the <strong>Malaysia</strong>n government did not even have export plansfor Proton to be able to duplicate these economies of scale, <strong>and</strong> the orig<strong>in</strong>alagreement <strong>in</strong> fact <strong>in</strong>corporated a de facto restriction on exports of the Saga(Doner 1991; Tharu 1994). Furthermore, Proton’s Japanese management wasappa<strong>rent</strong>ly not <strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> compet<strong>in</strong>g with Mitsubishi, <strong>and</strong> targeted marketsthat Mitsubishi had no <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> <strong>and</strong> which only required m<strong>in</strong>or modificationsto the car. 27 As a result, early attempts to enter the US market failedpartly due to the need for expensive modifications. Instead, as late as 1995,Proton cont<strong>in</strong>ued to rely on ‘a very strong, very big, domestic base’ for a‘competitive production volume’ of 250,000–300,000 a year <strong>in</strong> 1995 28 whentotal passenger car sales for the entire country that year was only 285,792(<strong>Malaysia</strong>n Motor Traders Association, cited <strong>in</strong> Bus<strong>in</strong>ess Times, 31 January1997).On top of this, privatization did not change Proton’s relationship withits local suppliers, <strong>and</strong> the company cont<strong>in</strong>ued to f<strong>in</strong>d it difficult to reducecomponent costs due to government policies on Malay vendors. Proton hadto support local <strong>in</strong>dustries, meet NEP objectives by promot<strong>in</strong>g Malay

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