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Talking to Groups that Use Terror.pdf - United States Institute of Peace

Talking to Groups that Use Terror.pdf - United States Institute of Peace

Talking to Groups that Use Terror.pdf - United States Institute of Peace

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Step 6Protect the Process from theEffects <strong>of</strong> ViolenceRecognize the Inevitability <strong>of</strong> ViolenceViolence during the negotiations is inevitable. If the media<strong>to</strong>r does a goodjob <strong>of</strong> facilitating the talks and the parties end up discussing a peaceagreement, spoiler groups will use violence in an effort <strong>to</strong> derail themovement <strong>to</strong>ward settlement. If, by contrast, the talks are riddled withangry exchanges and denunciations and lead nowhere, one or moreparties will use violence in the streets <strong>to</strong> express its frustration or seek <strong>to</strong>force concessions from its counterpart at the bargaining table.Not only is violence inevitable, it is also highly likely <strong>that</strong> the level <strong>of</strong>violence will intensify during negotiations. It will grow for numerousreasons: discipline among the ranks <strong>of</strong> fighters on all sides will decay inthe absence <strong>of</strong> “hot” war; former full-time combatants have yet <strong>to</strong> beintegrated in<strong>to</strong> the state’s forces or reintegrated in<strong>to</strong> society and still retaintheir weapons; the security forces may be reducing their presence on thestreet as agreed in the ongoing negotiations; or, paradoxically, members <strong>of</strong>the public feel safe enough <strong>to</strong> return <strong>to</strong> the streets and vent their fears andanimosities, participating in demonstrations <strong>that</strong> may turn in<strong>to</strong> riots.Whatever the source and form <strong>of</strong> the violence, the media<strong>to</strong>r ornegotia<strong>to</strong>r must limit its impact on the peace process if <strong>that</strong> process is <strong>to</strong>continue. Even robust processes can be undone by persistent outbreaks <strong>of</strong>violence, and fragile processes can collapse when buffeted by a singleincident. The most effective <strong>to</strong>ols with which <strong>to</strong> protect the process fromthe effects <strong>of</strong> violence are a sense <strong>of</strong> proportion, a clearly unders<strong>to</strong>odsystem <strong>of</strong> investigating and punishing violations <strong>of</strong> commitments, and the85

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