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With the CEPA in effect, the tariffs on<br />

automobile parts will drop from 12.5<br />

percent to 1-5 percent within eight<br />

years. And over the next decade, tariffs<br />

on 85 percent of the goods will fall, thus<br />

opening up the export market for Korean<br />

companies. With a 1.15 billion population,<br />

India represents the world’s second<br />

largest market for Korea. The nation’s<br />

“economic map” has grown larger.<br />

This agreement, called a virtual FTA,<br />

or Free Trade Agreement, will accelerate<br />

the pace with which Korean companies<br />

have already been entering India. India<br />

is the next giant of the global economy,<br />

hotly pursued by Japan and the<br />

European Union. As of 2008, India had<br />

the world’s second biggest population,<br />

and the 12 th -largest gross domestic product<br />

at US$1.2 trillion. It’s the<br />

fourth-largest consumer market behind<br />

only the United States, China and Japan.<br />

“India is a country with tremendous<br />

growth potential, so much so that it<br />

managed a positive growth despite the<br />

global economic recession,” said a<br />

researcher at the Korea Institute for<br />

International Economic Policy. “Reaching<br />

the CEPA with India is significant<br />

for Korea in that it has given our<br />

exporters the opportunity to secure the<br />

huge emerging market with nearly 1.2<br />

billion people.”<br />

India has reached free trade deals<br />

with only Singapore, Sri Lanka and<br />

Thailand, among others. Most are small<br />

countries and major economic powers<br />

aren’t among them. India is negotiating<br />

with Japan and the EU, but Korea is the<br />

first nation with economic sway to have a<br />

free trade deal with the country.<br />

From this perspective, the signing of<br />

the Korea-India CEPA has laid the foundation<br />

for Korean exporters to beat others<br />

to the massively growing market.<br />

“Korea has signed the CEPA ahead of<br />

other competing powers such as China<br />

and Japan,” said Lee Seong-han, head<br />

of the FTA Promotion and Policy<br />

Adjustment Authority under the Ministry<br />

of Strategy and Finance. “Exports are<br />

expected to grow by four times the<br />

amount of imports.”<br />

The main reason why India is called a<br />

land of opportunity is its seemingly infinite<br />

growth potential. Since 2005, India<br />

has maintained around a 9 percent<br />

annual growth rate. From April 2008 to<br />

March 2009, during the global economic<br />

downturn, India averaged a 6.7-percent<br />

growth per month. Last year, the<br />

Indian economy is estimated to have<br />

grown 6.5 percent and is expected to<br />

grow 8 percent this year.<br />

Its per capita income soared from<br />

around US$400 in 2000 to US$1,000<br />

last year. Its middle class is expanding,<br />

making it an even more attractive emerging<br />

power with a potentially major consumer<br />

market. The middle class consisted<br />

of 50 million (5 percent of the total<br />

population) this year and could rise more<br />

than tenfold to about 583 million (43<br />

percent) by 2025.<br />

India’s economy is driven more by<br />

domestic consumption than by export,<br />

which makes it less sensitive to global<br />

economic shifts. The Indian government<br />

focuses on stimulus measures through<br />

tax breaks and supplying liquidity.<br />

The growing middle class is a huge<br />

strength for India, since consumption<br />

has also increased. Compared with<br />

China, it has just gotten on track for<br />

economic development. With sustainable<br />

growth, foreign investments that<br />

left India previously are returning. The<br />

BSE Sensex index, which nosedived to<br />

8,000 in 2008 because of the exodus<br />

of foreign capital, has climbed back up<br />

to 20,000, the pre-economic downturn<br />

level.<br />

“The biggest appeal about India is<br />

that its economy is growing rapidly,”<br />

said an official at the Korea Institute for<br />

Industrial Economics and Trade. “The<br />

economy is about US$1 trillion today<br />

but it should surpass US$2 trillion by<br />

2020, when India will become the<br />

sixth-largest economy in the world.”<br />

Other experts say India is growing so<br />

fast that in 20 years, it could trail only<br />

the United States, China and Japan.<br />

We have to keep in mind that the<br />

CEPA with India has given Korean companies<br />

an upper hand in the Indian market.<br />

Prices are so important in India that<br />

companies there will choose cheaper<br />

options over its partners for 10 or 20<br />

years. As tariffs on most goods are eliminated<br />

thanks to the CEPA, our products<br />

will have that much of an edge.<br />

Yonhapnews Agency<br />

India is a country with great potential; it is the<br />

fourth largest market in the world, and also<br />

attracts lots of foreign tourists for its beautiful<br />

landscapes and cultural heritage, as shown by<br />

above and opposite images of Taj Mahal.<br />

KOREA<br />

FEBRUARY<br />

2010<br />

41

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