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ENFANTS TERRIBLES

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sharp turn and cut its emissions by another 43% 130 in just 10<br />

years.<br />

ALTERNATIVE ENERGY SCENARIOS ARE POSSIBLE<br />

We can also compare the level of the low-carbon ambition<br />

of the National Energy Policy with other energy scenarios.<br />

In 2012, the Wuppertal Institute elaborated a realistic<br />

scenario for the decarbonisation of the economy based on<br />

well-documented estimations of efficiency and renewables<br />

potentials. The resulting study, called Smart Energy,<br />

concludes: in the Smart and Consistent scenario, renewable<br />

energy sources would provide 455 PJ of energy annually<br />

in 2050, covering 68% of final energy consumption. CO 2<br />

emissions would be cut by 80% already in 2040, while in<br />

2050, they would represent only 9% of 1990 emissions. Most<br />

importantly, final energy consumption would decrease in<br />

2020 by 12% from current levels, by 27% in 2030, by 47%<br />

in 2040 and by 71% in 2050. This sharp decrease in energy<br />

consumption is a precondition for the other two, the share of<br />

renewables and greenhouse gases reduction.<br />

FUNDING EMISSIONS AS USUAL:<br />

CLIMATE MAINSTREAMING IN EU FUNDS<br />

IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC<br />

The outline of the energy sector in the previous chapter<br />

highlights an energy-intensive economy with centralised<br />

generating installations, a slow uptake of modern<br />

technologies and a low use of efficiency and renewables<br />

potentials.<br />

Despite the role that EU funds have in the Czech economy,<br />

representing 55% of total public investments, the presumed<br />

focus on the low-carbon economy and even record levels<br />

of funding for energy efficiency, the results of the 2014–<br />

2020 funding period will do little to improve the Czech<br />

energy trajectory. The reason for this stems from a lack<br />

TABLES 8, 9, 10: Comparison of the National Energy Policy scenarios with the Smart Energy scenarios<br />

CO 2<br />

emissions in MtCO 2<br />

Baseline 1990 2020 2030 2040 2050<br />

EU target applied to the CZ baseline 160 128 96 64 32<br />

National Energy Policy 160 108 97 74<br />

Smart Energy (CO 2<br />

emissions only) 76.9 52.5 31.4 14.6<br />

Renewable energy primary production in PJ 2020 2030 2040 2050<br />

National Energy Policy 195.6 247.5 299.8<br />

Smart Energy 256 329 389 455<br />

Final energy consumption in PJ 2020 2030 2040 2050<br />

National Energy Policy 1,043.1 1,050.9 299.8 1,033.3<br />

Smart Energy 1,018.2 904.1 779.8 668.8<br />

130<br />

Value calculated as emissions reduction from 2040 values planned by NEP and 80% reduction from 1990 levels.<br />

82<br />

‘Climate’s enfants terribles: how new Member States’ misguided use of EU funds is holding back Europe’s clean energy transition’

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