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SECTION I<br />

FUNDAMENTALS OF THE UBI MARKET<br />

Most Western European markets are ready 652<br />

Russia will emerge before Central & Eastern Europe 657<br />

Central & Eastern European markets are not mature yet! 657<br />

Russia’s competitive market is forcing innovation! 657<br />

North America is becoming the leader of UBI 661<br />

The US appetite for telematics! 661<br />

The rapid rise of UBI in Canada! 665<br />

Asia is now waking up to telematics 669<br />

No rapid change expected in Japan! 669<br />

First positive moves in Australia! 672<br />

New Zealand will slowly follow Australia! 674<br />

When China will wake up...! 675<br />

Thailand’s UBI market is likely to grow fast! 677<br />

Malaysia is also attractive! 678<br />

India will emerge eventually too! 678<br />

UBI has already started in Africa 679<br />

In Latin America, UBI is just starting 682<br />

Insurance telematics is becoming universal 684<br />

The changing face of insurance telematics 685<br />

From trial to mass market! 685<br />

Personal line insurance is still paramount! 687<br />

From PAYD to PHYD! 688<br />

A future for safety & security services! 689<br />

© PTOLEMUS<br />

CONSULTING GROUP<br />

Market forecast - Personal line 690<br />

Current market size estimations 690<br />

Expected growth forecasts 693<br />

Our methodology! 693<br />

Global predictions! 695<br />

Which markets will see significant growth?! 696<br />

Which channel and technology will dominate?! 704<br />

Value added services 712<br />

CANNOT BE<br />

Market forecast - Commercial line 715<br />

A relatively limited uptake so far 715<br />

A slower expansion in the business segment 717<br />

Global growth will leverage existing FMS systems! 717<br />

North America! 719<br />

Europe! 722<br />

DISTRIBUTED WITHOUT<br />

Revenues for insurers 726<br />

Worldwide 726<br />

North America 727<br />

Europe 729<br />

PTOLEMUS’ PRIOR<br />

Revenues for Telematics Service Providers 731<br />

WRITTEN<br />

Revenues for Telematics Technology Providers 734<br />

Revenues for mobile operators 737<br />

A glimpse into the future: 2030 trends 742<br />

The diffusion of ADAS and autonomous functions 743<br />

Impact on motor insurance premiums 747<br />

By 2030, UBI will have become the new norm of insurance 750<br />

<strong>AUTHORISATION</strong><br />

CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 754<br />

© PTOLEMUS - www.ptolemus.com - Global Usage-based Insurance Study - January 2016 - All rights reserved<br />

Strictly reserved for the internal use of the reader - Distribution to third parties is prohibited 26

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