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SECTION I<br />

FUNDAMENTALS OF THE UBI MARKET<br />

3. Changing claims costs<br />

A key feature of the present motor insurance market is the changing outlay on<br />

claims. While the number of accidents is said to decrease as a general long term<br />

trend, the actual expenditure on claims has been evolving differently in each<br />

country.<br />

Licence<br />

According to Insurance Europe, total claims have grown almost 20% in the period<br />

between 2002 - 2010 across Europe. After 2010, the trend has gone the other way<br />

due to the fall in road accidents. Only in 2015 are we seeing in countries like the<br />

UK and Italy, the claims (and the premiums) levelling down.<br />

agreement<br />

signed by<br />

Fig 1.20: Rising motor claims (in million) and expenditures in Europe (€ in millions)<br />

55<br />

54<br />

54<br />

53<br />

53<br />

52<br />

Number claims notified<br />

Claims expenditures<br />

AAAA. Reserved<br />

for employees of<br />

BBBB<br />

99,000<br />

97,000<br />

95,000<br />

93,000<br />

51<br />

51<br />

50<br />

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />

91,000<br />

89,000<br />

Source: Insurance Europe (EU 27)<br />

The increase in claims costs in the 2004-2013 period goes against the long-term<br />

trend in the reduction of accident volumes and the number of fatalities.<br />

Strictly reserved to BBBB<br />

Besides the cyclical nature of claims, this fall could be explained by the use of<br />

telematics of course, but only in markets where the penetration is high enough,<br />

like Italy.<br />

employees. Distribution to third<br />

Other triggers include the increasing penetration of standard safety features, the<br />

lower mileage caused by the economic recession and the increasing average age<br />

of drivers. Last but not least, an increasing number of countries have installed a<br />

parties is prohibited<br />

© PTOLEMUS - www.ptolemus.com - Global Usage-based Insurance Study - January 2016 - All rights reserved<br />

Strictly reserved for the internal use of the reader - Distribution to third parties is prohibited 91

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